SENIOR REVIEW PANEL COMMENTS ON DRAFT CONCEPT PAPER AND TERMS OF REFERENCE (TOR) FOR NIE 11/12-9-87: SOVIET POLICY TOWARD EASTERN EUROPE UNDER GORBACHEV, INTERNALLY DATED 7 APRIL 1987

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP93T00451R000100170017-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 2, 2013
• Sequence Number: 17
• Publication Date: April 13, 1987
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/02 : CIA-RDP93T00451R0001001,70017-5
Senior Review Panel
SECRk,1
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
NIC-01386-87
13 April 1987
MEMORANDUM FOR: Acting Director of Central Intelligence
Chairman, National Intelligence Council
NIO for USSR
Acting NIO for Europe
SUBJECT:
Senior Review Panel Comments on Draft
Concept Paper and Terms of Reference (TOR)
for NIE 11/12-9-87: Soviet Policy Toward
Eastern Europe Under Gorbachev, internally
dated 7 April 1987
1. We think these are first-rate drafts--clear, well-
organized, and incisive. They should support an outstanding
analysis of one of the most crucial aspects of Soviet foreign
policy under Gorbachev. As we are so often seen to be critical,
we would, in this instance, like to cite as particularly well
done: (a) the Scope Note's perceptive appraisal of NIE 12-84;
(b) the Concept Paper's Key Questions, which are both compre-
hensive and strongly estimative; (c) TOR, which integrate the Key
Questions, develop a persuasive analytical approach to the chief
intelligence issues, and set out the product plainly. The Panel
found the drafts a pleasure to read and believes they might well
serve as model forms.
. We have at this point only one suggestion:
Alternative Environments. Broadly, we suppose
international and European conditions will develop through
the early 1990s under situations of diminished, intensified,
or static tensions--marked by concluded or aborted agreements
on arms reduction, regional conflicts, human rights, and
bilateral exchanges (and conceivably encompassing US-Soviet,
NATO-WP, OECD-CEMA, or all-European relations). The
CL El Siers
DERIVED -
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/02 : CIA-RDP93T00451R000100170017-5
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/02 : CIA-RDP93T00451R000100170017-5
SECRET
implications of the resulting atmospherics might vary widely,
and would be complex. We wonder if it might not be useful to
examine briefly (perhaps in a concluding section) some of
their alternative effects on Gorbachev's policies toward
Eastern Europe over the next few years.
William Leonhart
Jon B. McPherson Rich' Walker
Walker
cc: VC/NIC (Mr. Fuller)
VC/NIC (Mr. Hutchinson)
ODCl/SRP:thelma
Distribution:
1 - Ea Addressee
1 - VC/NIC (Mr. Fuller)
1 - VC/NIC (Mr. Hutchinson)
1 - NIO/Economics
1 - NIO/AL/AG (Kate Hall)
1 - PO/NIC
1 - ER
1 - SRP File
1 - SRP Chrono
1 - SRP (Amb. Leonhart)
1 - SRP (Gen. McPherson)
STAT
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/07/02 : CIA-RDP93T00451R000100170017-5