USIB WATCH COMMITTEE WATCH REPORT DRAFT-SUBMITTED FOR USIB APPROVAL

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP93T01468R000100040013-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 5, 2003
• Sequence Number: 13
• Publication Date: February 5, 1975
• Content Type: REPORT

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% Wool Secret
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Watch Committee
Watch Report
DRAFT-Submitted for USIB Approval
NSA, DIA reviews completed
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Top Secret
Meeting No. 1276
5 Fcbruary 75
Copy No.
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 No. 1276
IO NIC No. 75-0015
WATCH COMMITTEE DRAFT WATCH REPORT
OF THE
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
6
7 February 1975
The Committee concludes that there will be d` S
no military attack on the United States or
its overseas forces in the near future.
Subjects of immediate concern are discussed
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however, are now probably under way.
below.
I. Middle East
Although a renewal of large-scale fighting in the
Middle East could occur with little warning, we believe
that neither the Arabs nor the Israelis will initiate
hostilities in the immediate future. Both sides appar-
ently remain willing for the present to continue diplomatic
efforts to reach some accommodation. Soviet Foreign
Minister Gromyko's trip to the Middle East is not expected
to reconcile Soviet-Egyptian differences significantly,4
or to result in major new Soviet arms aid. The long-delayed
deliveries of Soviet aircraft under previous contracts,
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Southeast Asia
!c South Vietnamese armed forces have been placed on
alert in anticipation of increased Communist attacks during
the upcoming Tet holiday, which begins on 11 February.
While we expect localized heavy fighting to resume soon,
there are no indications of Communist plans for an all-out
offensive in the near future.
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In Cambodia, Communist forces are trying to launch
a second round of attacks in the capital area, and increased
shelling of Phnom Penh and Pochentong airfield is expected.
We believe that recent Communist employment of mines in the
Mekong poses a significant threat to river convoys. Unless
some way is found to neutralize these mines, or clear the
banks, government efforts to keep the Mekong open will
likely fail.
Approved Foil
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 Approved For Reh'
No. 1276 6 February 1975
(As of 0830 EST)
/Co
COMBINED WATCH REPORT
of the
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
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The Committee concludes that there will be
no military attack on the United States or
its overseas forces in the near future.
Subjects of immediate concern are discussed
below. F_ I
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I. Middle East
Although a renewal of large-scale fighting in the
Middle East could occur with little warning, we believe
that neither the Arabs nor the Israelis will initiate hos-
tilities in the immediate future. Both sides apparently
remain willing for the present to continue diplomatic
efforts to reach some accommodation. Soviet Foreign Min-
ister Gromyko's trip to the Middle East is not expected
to reconcile Soviet-Egyptian differences significantly or
to result in major new Soviet arms aid. The long-delayed
deliveries of Soviet aircraft under previous contracts,
however, are now probably under way.
Approved For Ro
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 Approved For Relea
.r
JPT0PRIDTIR 1y 1975
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IV. Southeast Asia
South Vietnamese armed forces have been placed on
alert in anticipation of increased Communist attacks dur-
~ing the upcoming Tet holiday, which begins on 11 February.
While we expect localized heavy fighting to resume soon,
there are no indications of Communist plans for an all-out
offensive in the near future. F_ I 25X1
In Cambodia, Communist forces are trying to launch
a second round of attacks in the capital area, and increased
shelling of Phnom Penh and Pochentong airfield is expected.
We believe that recent Communist employment of mines in the
Mekong poses a significant threat to river convoys. Unless
some way is found to neutralize these mines, or clear the
banks, government efforts to keep the Mekong open will likely
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Approved For Reliase 2003/06/06 : CIA-RDP93T01468Rb00100040013-?
 Approved For RelIease 2003/06/06 : CIA-RDP93T01468R000100040013-1
COMBINED WATCH REPORT
of the
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
'No. 1276 6 February 1975
(As of 0830 EST)
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I. Middle East
Although a renewal of large-scale fighting in the
Middle East could occur with little warning, we believe
that neither the Arabs nor the Israelis will initiate hos-
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tilities in the immediate future. Both sides apparently
remain willing for the present to continue diplomatic
efforts to reach some accommodation. Soviet Foreign Min-
ister Gromyko's trip to the Middle East is not expected
to reconcile Soviet-Egyptian differences significantly or
to result in major new Soviet arms aid.
The Committee concludes that there will be
no military attack on the United States or
its overseas forces in the near future.
Subjects of immediate concern are discussed
Southeast Asia
South Vietnamese armed forces have been placed on
alert in anticipation of increased Communist attacks dur-
ing the upcoming Tet holiday, which begins on 11 February.
While we expect localized heavy fighting to resume soon,
there are no indications of Communist plans for an all-out
offensive in the near future.
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Approved For Re
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Release 2003/06/06: CIA-RDP93T01468 061 QO4By 1975
In Cambodia, Communist forces are trying to launch
a second round of attacks in the capital area, and increased
shelling of Phnom Penh and Pochentong airfield is expected.
We believe that recent Communist employment of mines in the
Mekong poses a significant threat to river convoys. Unless
some way is found to neutralize these mines, or clear the
banks, government efforts to keep the Mekong open will likely
fail. 1 -1
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