NEWSCLIP, (NEWSPAPER NOT SPECIFIED), DTD 10 NOV 87.

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: STARGATE
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP96-00789R000200230003-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: November 4, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 17, 2000
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: November 10, 1987
• Content Type: NSPR

Approved For Release 2001/03/07 : CIA-RDP96,0'
COMMENTARY
0003-2
DREW MIDDLETON
Gulf War Entering Critical, Perhaps Final, Phase for All
CPYRGHT
-. ~,,,y ,u r ~vv y iaCSS inciuae the destruction of arms and,,,,
2 d n 7, , ~ supplies. Their leadas?udR ov.mayhaveserveto avi;PersianGulfonN
drive awayan intruding boat, but it also di- who helped overthrow the shah, knows that
vertsattention from some ofthemore sig the Iranian forces are running short of
nificantweapons and forces of the Iran-Iraq IL r,
modern weapons
, andina recent
stateme>it
war- a conflict in which the U
it
n
e
destr
~n ?u?cu u,441,411U1 1{IUW Qfl
1
dales,wnetng,rornotWashingtonwisheato
46n a3 \Y r ar
acknowlaglow it ....:_---,-- . i egnipmentwotth millions of dollars
?w v V afl r Iran and its neighbors indicate that the inter-
nal giving, situation is vulnerable to this sort of
assistaMetotheoilexports ofRuwait a
state thatf omthestartoftheGulfwarhas resistance aetiyity.Although theKhomeini
cumstance& e AGneoflrao b5tsk'sleadintrcnnnn,+o,~
Y me'spolicehaveruthlesslyquelled
be
m no&
free tocontinu speaaorWidespread disaffection among
off eitsfair1vsuecessfulair-sea ?FF two main groups.
39ainStInn's ell industry, which The first istheurbanmiddleclass. De-
suDnOrtcTahrnn}~ ,fl. -..a;,.~ ~ .~~
? s[anaing Its members no longer enjoy
iSlik ~ranianr aliationwhich, ifitcomes,
their oldstandard ofliving- notwith jamb at
iSlike~ptobedelivererlhvt`h~~o~nemb +i
erared women ofthe shah's era are the most
I'Ifwhich was
eQSS11r)6466~rgr:titdil a highly sue outspoken critics ofthe present regime.
4hu o d.ml r
,-
ra
-not a normal, rational one. Rather it eo n is soldiers and ofiPcials in 94 fo forces. Theraiders, usually striking at night, Ift -etaariadon` lkw nrm at actor-1At proneto'goforbroke' anduseth roV 1 e : CI 9f~08 023000 8+~MO&Weareenteringacri' ,per-
u soul awavchnfair-..at~__.._ s~iTim ei final nhaaat>f tvi .a,v
om t
SovietSAM,q eirheadquartersinBagh '- cussed "fnaloffensive,"could bringd
surfaemprn mil ,r v. dadtohavekilledorwounded Iranian thegovernment ~ It
asweknownow,thegovernmetinT h
r
o
g
YatollahRuhollanicnoroeinis thatthe MiJahedeen presenting an financia forthe en iqg
vert themissile once detected. regime Late last month the gvernmentsecu crewel riousmili w' parents,whoselossofsons
Will the Silkworm be used? ngb tary problemforthe to till farms or run shops would.bethe
A normal ritycoun iimettodiscussforth first time Iranian,almy equivalent in our society to a loss of Social
b ernmentfaced with the naval and air the expanding operations of what it terms
strengthoftheUnited States would contin? "terrorists".onit western frontier. ~
711eelementsoftheproblemarefamil Security or an ofthatpension.
onlyagainstKu- iar. The best ofIran's regular troops are else- ploitationfthatsituationbyt6eMu
waiti targets; defense from that ale attackers are the Mujahedeen where- jahedeen or even a decisive Iraqi victory, if
ueto employtheSilkworm q, orPeople s Warriors, who have new offensvein the north trainaide byth M and when Tehran launches its much die
country's.
FFawk missiles and old claimed fr
b
m
a
v
erse course of events in the Per- that, although the figures of Iranian casual- the parents are proud of their sons' martr-
iabaatttlth Sian Gulf isnottheonly troublesome situa- ties may be exaggerated, the fact remains dom. Butthegovernmentbasdon
i is1,antfdentthatithasthetoolstod tionfad
th'
n
A
g
Navgaclmowle'dges that the Silkwor
intelligeiee agencies in Tehran confirm The official nvernment s't' . #16-+
a The
d