CIA RESPONSE TO CDA, HIGHLIGHTS OF 27 MARCH STATUS BRIEFING (SLIDES)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: STARGATE
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP96-00791R000200080001-8
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: November 4, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Content Type: BRIEF

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 M
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ionat onferee$
Addlt*
1irectedDlAtolransferl " $500K to CIA
DO 0 Asked DC I ? r e p o r t ! March 1 st:
- management strategy
- transfer status
# M a: ? # ; o ? a ? r i .
Tra~nsferrecl management of Star Gate to CIA July 1 st
Aclopted ~Senate~ directions in previous SAC: language
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Additional Points in Congressional-IY Directed Action*
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for a. re-evaiuationof the, classification of the
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somehow compromises Us Intelligence
concerned, . ? w $ s ? w a ..
asLe regarding joint ? ? / .. the,:::Russians:
and Chinese: . only been sporadically pursued.
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STAR GATE
Subsequent Conferees Language
? DIA to transfer 10 billets, $500K to CIA
? DCI to give status report by March 1 st
? Transfer management of Star Gate July 1st
? Adopt all previous SAC language
cr >c r+r~ r. rr
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STAR GATE
Proposed Management Strategy
? Terminate remote viewing operations within
Intelligence Community (IC)
? Terminate research and development relating
to remote viewing within IC
? Complete declassification review of all CIA,
DOD files; 4-man yrs, $400K in FY96, 97
? Apply no immediate resources to assessments
of foreign developments in parapsychology
SECRET
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Basis of Key Recommendations
? Blue Ribbon Panel Review by American
Institutes of Research, Key Scientists
? Recent Foreign Assessment by National
Intelligence Council: NIO/S&T, OSWR
? Specific Language of the Congressionally
Directed Action
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Blue-Ribbon Panel
? Dr. Jessica Utts, Professor of statistics, Univ. of
CA/Davis; Primary Proponent
? Dr. Ray Hyman, Professor of psychology, Univ.
of Oregon; Primary Skeptic
? Dr. Lincoln Moses, Professor Emeritus of
Statistics, Stanford Univ.
? Dr. David Goslin, former Exec. Dir., Commission
on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,
NRC
? Dr. Michael Mumford, Ph.D. Psychology
? Dr. Andrew Rose, Ph.D. Psychology
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AIR's Directed Objectives
Comprehensive technical evaluation of
remote viewing R&D at CIA and DIA
? Evaluation of remote viewing's utility in
intelligence operations regardless of
scientific validity
? Recommend to CIA management strategies
for possible program execution at CIA
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AIR R&D Review Process
? SAIC principal investigator asked to
identify 10 most favorable documents
? Detailed bibliographies made of all relevant
CIA, DIA documents
? Key CIA, DIA documents declassified
? Over 80 documents ultimately declassified,
transferred to blue ribbon panel
? Panel given every document requested
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AIR R&D Review Process, Cont.
? Blue Ribbon Panel met formally, reviewed
CIA objectives, program documents, got
presentation from SAIC (R&D contractor)
? Professors Utts and Hyman commissioned
to write separate detailed reviews
? Commissioned reviews exchanged, rebuttals
permitted, AIR arbitrated final conclusions
for CIA key recommendations
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AIR Operational Utility Evaluation
? DIA program manager asked to identify
most favorable users of remote viewing
? AIR conducted standard interviews of these
users on location with CIA present
? AIR interviewed Star Gate remote viewers,
and program manager
? AIR re-examined CIA's independent utility
study based on documented user evaluations
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Dr. Utts' Conclusions
? Asserted that "Psychic functioning" is well-
established
? Observed that statistical results obtained
were far beyond chance expectations
? Refuted argument that methodological flaws
or fraud could account for results
Claimed some SRI, SAIC results were
replicated in other labs
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Dr. Hyman's Conclusions
? Recent SAIC results are methodologically
superior to previously flawed SRI work
? New results are statistically significant
? Results hampered by secrecy, experimental
data base has had no community peer
review, no public scrutiny
Better than chance results do not, by
themselves, establish that a paranormal
phenomenon is the cause
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Dr. Hyman' s Review, Cont.
? Use of same "judge" during all SAIC
experiments is possible serious flaw
? "Remote viewing," as opposed to Ganzfeld,
has not been replicated in other labs
? Boundary conditions, i.e., when and where
remote viewing can reliably occur, have not
been defined
? Possibility of methodological flaw in results
has not been eliminated
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AIR' s Judgments on
Commissioned R&D Reviews
Reviewers agree more than they disagree:
- Statistically significant results
- Vast improvement in experimental protocols
? Reviewers disagree on key points:
- Establishment of paranormal causality
- Replication of "remote viewing" in other labs
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AIR' s Judgments on
Commissioned R&D Reviews
? AIR independently concludes:
- the data do not establish that a paranormal
phenomenon is involved, nature of source not
identified
- the data have not been replicated independently
- the boundary constraints critical to obtaining
statistically significant experimental results are
not practical in real world of intelligence
collection
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Future Research and Development
? SAIC's exp. results must be replicated in an
independent lab, not SAIC (RH, AIR)
Experimental protocols must be re judged
by independent judge (RH, JU, AIR)
? Cloak of secrecy must be removed since it
precludes objective community review (RH)
? AIR concluded future R&D should not take
place within Intelligence Community since
20 years of IC investment failed to establish
a paranormal phenomenon.
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AIR's User Interviews
Users say remote viewers typically give
descriptions too broad and vague to be
useful as intelligence
Remote viewers provide much inaccurate,
irrelevant; information making it difficult to
interpret by analysts
? Different remote viewers often inconsistent
? In no case, analyzed by AIR, did the user
actually act on remote viewing information
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AIR's Conclusions on Utility
? Conditions under which remote viewing is
observed in the lab do not apply in the
operational environment
? The users found some accuracy on broad
background characteristics, but not the
concrete, specific information valued by
intelligence collectors
? Since remote viewing typically does not
produce actionable information, it should
not be used operationally
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Further Declassification
? Congressionally Directed Action:
- The Committee believes it's time for re-
evaluation of the classification of both the
program and its findings
- DCI should review history and nature of
program to see which parts can be declassified
? Dr. Hyman's findings:
- Secrecy has kept this program from benefiting
from the checks and balances that come from
doing research in a public forum.
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Future Foreign Assessments
? Based on recent assessment, National
Intelligence Council concludes and
Directorate of Intelligence concurs that no
immediate resources should be applied to
assessments of foreign developments in
parapsychology.
? Assessment had oversight of NIO/S&T and
OSWR
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Congressionally Directed Action
(SAC)
? DCI to conduct review of technical files
going back 20 years at CIA, DIA
? DCI to review program history and nature
to determine what can be declassified
? Director of DIA to establish cooperative
activity with Russians
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