(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP97-00770R000100280001-2
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: January 12, 2017
• Document Release Date: June 14, 2011
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 9, 1986
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100280001-2
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 86-010
9 May 1986
Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100280001-2
 J ..I.I
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Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100280001-2
 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100280001-2
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Page
Economic Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States
1.9
-8.2
-5.6
Japan
-6.7
1.0
-6.7
West Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Canada
Japan
4.1
3.1
3.3
5.0
4.6
5.8
3.0 7.2
West Germany
-0.2
-1.0
1.5
3.0
2.4
6.8
6.8 -0.2
France
0.2
1.8
0.7
1.5
1.3
3.1
3.7 2.1
United Kingdom
-1.4
1.9
3.3
2.6
3.3
6.4
-0.7 2.2
Canada
3.3
-4.4
3.3
5.0
4.5
3.2
7.0 5.4
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Year
4th Qtr
1st Qtr Mar Apr
United States
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
1.4
4.3
1.4 -5.0
Japan
West Germany
6.0
5.3
3.3
2.4
2.2
1.0
-0.9 -2.1 -0.9
France
13.3
12.0
9.5
7.7
5.8
3.2
0.7 0.9
United Kingdom
11.9
8.6
4.6
5.0
6.1
3.2
4.8 1.4
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
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Money Supply, M-1 a
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.2
7.0
9.1
11.1
7.9
15.0
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.2
3.3
4.4
15.5
9.7
43.3
United Kingdom
NA
NA
13.0
14.7
16.7
25.1
9.0
34.6
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.1
12.3
Canada
3.8
0.7
10.2
3.3
4.1
14.0
-3.2
2.3
-8.3
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and M1-B.
Unemployment Rate a
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
7.4
7.1
6.9
7.0
7.1
7.0
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.8
2.6
2.7
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
9.3
9.1
9.1
9.2
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.6
9.9
9.7
10.3
10.5
10.5
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.4
12.6
12.9
13.0
13.0
13.1
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
10.4
10.7
11.0
11.5
Canada
7.5
11.1
11.9
11.3
10.5
10.2
9.7
9.6
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United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
217.6
213.3
52.6
52.4
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.3
326.2
345.9
85.5
91.7
30.9
31.0
31.0
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.6
-108.5
-132.6
-32.9
-39.3
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.4
168.1
173.9
43.6
47.3
16.3
15.9
15.6
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.1
124.1
118.0
29.3
30.3
10.4
10.5
9.3
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.4
44.0
55.9
14.3
16.9
5.9
5.4
6.4
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.8
184.3
48.7
51.3
18.7
18.7
17.5
Imports c
163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
159.0
41.8
43.9
15.2
15.4
14.3
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
25.3
6.9
7.4
3.6
3.3
3.2
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
101.9
26.2
28.8
10.2
10.3
9.9
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
104.5
27.0
29.2
9.7
10.3
10.2
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-2.6
-0.8
-0.4
0.5
0
-0.4
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.1
93.6
100.9
25.8
27.3
8.9
8.8
8.4
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.7
99.3
103.5
26.4
27.6
8.7
9.3
10.1
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.6
-5.7
-2.5
-0.6
-0.3
0.2
-0.5
-1.7
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.8
73.5
78.8
20.3
22.5
7.2
8.5
7.7
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.6
84.4
90.7
21.4
26.0
8.8
9.3
8.7
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.8
-10.9
-11.9
-1.0
-3.4
-1.6
-0.7
-1.0
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.7
86.5
88.0
21.8
22.5
7.7
7.2
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
75.7
19.6
19.6
7.0
7.0
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
15.9
12.3
2.2
2.9
0.7
0.1
I Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
United States 6.3 -8.1 -46.0 -107.4 -117.7 -29.3 -36.6
Japan 4.8
Canada -5.0 2.1 1.4 1.9 -1.9 -1.1 -0.9
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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Export Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.6
-2.0
0.3
-11.0
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
38.6
24.2
111.0
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
44.6
31.9
60.6
32.7
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
30.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
13.8
-11.3
-16.0
26.4
Italy
-7.8
-3.0
-4.4
-5.2
-0.3
34.8
Canada
3.9
-2.0
0.2
-0.4
-3.5
-6.0
-30.7
12.1
Import Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
2.9
-5.0
-13.4
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
26.9
-0.9
15.2
-6.9
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-0.3
38.4
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.5
0.5
8.3
-13.6
-2.0
26.2
Italy
1.0
-5.3
-6.6
-3.7
-1.0
24.2
Canada
8.7
-1.1
0.6
1.0
-2.1
1.6
4.0
5.4
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Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
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Agricultural Prices
Bananas 214.0 217.0 232.0 243.0 110.3 NA 109.3 NA NA
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa (4 per pound)
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
98.7
95.7
95.5
91.0
90.0
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.43
2.01
1.95
2.04
1.92
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
123
148
150
125
116
115
113
111
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 4/lb.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
632
481
514
514
484
453
455
455
455
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
507
447
527
727
571
405
395
362
350
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
S per metric ton)
252
219
238
197
157
188
186
193
190
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices Q per pound)
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(? per pound)
Wheat 210 187 183 182 169 172 175 166 164
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton) _
The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
82.1
79.9
Cathode major producer
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.2
2.2
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.8
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
Major producer
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
446.0
326.7
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
6.1
5.9
5.9
5.7
5.5
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
74.4
NA
75.0
NA
Tina (0 per pound)
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
543.2
357.4
385.6
329.2
325.3
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
10,656
8,673
8,745
8,687
8,554
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
543.5
567.3
590.2
611.6
617.8
NA
551.2
NA
NA
34.7
41.5
35.4
28.5
27.6
28.4
27.3
Lumber Index
(1980=100)
114
105
103
NA
104
NA
NA
Industrial Materials Index r
85
71
(1980=100)
., Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Penang market.
n S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
This index is compiled by using the average of 11 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
rThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 I 1 .
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985 a
1986,
Year
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Jan
Feb
World
55,837
53,092
52,633
53,691
53,356
52,373
55,015
53,757
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
37,588
40,707
39,471
40,423
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
14,643
14,958
15,083
15,070
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
8,954
8,933
8,942
8,934
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457
1,444
1,476
1,480
1,480
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
2,399
2,607
2,734
2,699
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
823
870
839
870
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
1,023
1,072
1,088
1,087
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,922
7,888
7,678
7,393
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,738
2,721
2,510
2,400
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
890
856
860
600
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,294
4,311
4,308
4,393
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
15,023
17,861
16,710
17,960
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
616
660
650
550
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
282
287
300
220
Gabon
151
154
157
152
153
153
160
160
160
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,203
1,286
1,200
1,300
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
2,335
2,301
1,700
2,200
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
1,482
1,666
1,680
1,880
Kuwait b
947
663
881
912
862
800
899
1,000
1,100
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
933
1,234
1,100
1,000
Neutral Zone
370
317
390
410
355
306
391
300
300
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
1,214
1,686
1,300
1,400
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
312
312
400
300
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
2,564
4,067
4,200
4,600
UAE
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
1,193
1,242
1,165
1,400
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
1,630
1,670
1,555
1,550
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,405
14,434
14,664
14,785
14,308
14,286
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,749
11,866
11,367
11,350
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,286
2,496
2,504
2,521
2,496
411
410
420
420
419
415
420
440
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Year
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Jan
Feb
Mar
United States a 16,058 15,296 15,184
15,708
15,697
15,557
15,748
15,923
16,773
16,457
Japan 4,444 4,204 4,193
4,349
4,124
3,839
4,376
4,661
5,046
West Germany 2,120 2,024 2,009
2,012
2,077
2,258
2,018
France 1,744 1,632 1,594
1,531
1,493
1,310
1,569
1,622
2,003
United Kingdom 1,325 1,345 1,290
1,624
1,398
1,230
1,292
Italy b 1,705 1,618 1,594
1,513
1,511
1,41
11,642
1,718
--
Canada 1,617 1,454 1,354
1,348
1,350
1,366
1,419
1,359
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
Year
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Dec
Jan
Feb
United States
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,402
3,216
3,171
3,662
3,640
3,329
2,993
Japan
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
3,377
3,003
3,619
West Germany
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
1,284
1,248
1,210
1,150
France
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,395
1,476
1,421
1,590
1,690
1,430
Italy
1,816
1,710
1,532
1,507
1,166
334
247
244
283
311
343
379
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1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
Year
4th Qtr
Jan
Feb
Mar
OPEC Average a
30.87
34.50
33.63
29.31
28.70
28.14
28.15
28.1 I
28.08
28.09
(Official Sales Price)
---
World Average Price
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
27.16
27.36
24.81
20.32
17.05
F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
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Average Crude Oil Sales Pricea
11.29 11.02 11.77 12.88 12.93
n r-1 fl F7 F]
34.50 33.63
30.87 , 29.31
F 28-70
r-a 27.16
3.3 9
oL1[1 11l 1l
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
20.32
'The 1973 price is derived from posted prices, 1974-84 prices
are derived from OPEC official sales prices, and beginning
in 1985. prices are a measure of average world sales prices.
I Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100280001-2
 Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100280001-2
Approved For Release 2011/06/14: CIA-RDP97-0077OR000100280001-2