RE: STATEMENTS BY NUNN AND WARNER DURING MIDEAST VISIT

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CIA-RDP99-01448R000401630004-1
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RIPPUB
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K
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30
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December 22, 2016
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May 25, 2012
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4
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Publication Date: 
February 21, 1991
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LETTER
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Sl Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 21 February 1991 RE: Statements by Nunn and Warner During Mideast Visit STAT STAT STAT STAT As requested, here are news reports citing statements by Senator Nunn and Senator Warner on the Gulf situation during their recent visit to Saudi Arabia and Israel. Appropriate passages are highlighted. Wh11e there was fairly extensive wire service and television reportage on the trip, mayor newspapers such as THE NEW YORK TIMES and WASHINGTON POST really did not cover it. Attached opposite is THE NEW REPUBLIC article on Senator Nunn by Sidney Blumenthal. Attachments: As stated DCI/PAq Distribution: Orig - DCI 1 - I>.DC I 1 - ER 1 - D/OCA 1 - PAO Chrono 1 - PAO Ames 1 - ~ J PAQ 1 - ~ ~_S 1 - Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T19730 Wed Feb 20 17:26:41 1991 NYT'ui 0271 -GULF-PEACE-2nd1d-575&add-CJOX Page 1 filed Feb 20 10:34:31 1991 updates throughout S(7VIEI'S SAY IRAQ WILL EVENTUALLY REPLY TO PEACE OFFER By ANDREW MOLLISON c. 1991 Cox News Service Soviet officials insisted today that President Mikhail Gorbachev's secret peace plan for the Persian G1zlf was still alive, despite the lack of an irrrnediate response from Iraq. We re expecting a prompt response fran the Iraqis to the peace plan put forward by the president," Foreign Ministry spokesman Vitaly Churkin said. Gorbachev on Monday gave Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz a Soviet plan for avoiding a land war that could to tens of thousands of deaths in the Persian Gulf. Aziz arrived Tuesday in Baghdad, where he could confer with Iraqi President Saddam I~ussein. Scree Soviet officials predicted that Aziz would return to Moscow today with Saddam's reply. Late today, Churkin suggested that Aziz might be delayed by his awkward itinerary. Because the U.S.-led military coalition has pranised to shoot down any plane spotted over Iraq, Aziz couldn't board a plane until he had driven overland to an airport in neutral Iran. ~~Another visit of an Iraqi representative need not necessarily take place for Iraq to inform the Soviet Union about its response, " Churkin said. So far, he indicated, such methods as telephone, Telex, fax or cannunications through Iraq's diplanatic corps had not been used. The Reuter news agency reported from Bonn that German politicians were told today by Ali Akbar Velayati, foreign minister of Iran, that he didn't expect his Iraqi counterpart to reach Moscow until tomorrow. ~~Aziz will probably not go until tomorrow, " said Hans-Jochen Vogel, opposition Social Democratic leader, after talking to Velayati. The Soviet Union has shown an outline of its plan only to Iraq and to leaders of key allied nations, asking them to keep the details to themselves. The Soviet plan reportedly calls for Iraq's immediate withdrawal fran Kuwait, premises Soviet protection of Iraq's territorial and government integrity, guarantees Saddam won't be punished, and pledges that a debate will follow on all, the other issues mentioned in the peace offer floated last Friday by the council that rules Iraq. President Bush sto~~ed just sort of rejecting it outright. He said T~iesday that it falls well short of what would be required " to stop the war with Iraq. Nino Cristofori, an aide to Italian Prime Minister Giulio Andreotti, said the plan calls for Iraq to begin its withdrawal the day after a cease-fire takes effect. I But Senate Awned Services C'ha i rman fiam Ah inn ~~; r~ ; .. r..,..-,.., ~ti...i Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T19730 Wed Feb 20 17:26:41 1991 Page 2 he ormoseG a_ny cease-fire until~..~.x~g_~csr~.].~es. ~.iJ.]~y--.~ai.~h_a11..U.N._ resolutions. The Geo~cr is Democrat added. ~~and that m~s_ unconditional withdrawal. " Defense Secretary Dick Cheney told a congressional catmittee yesterday, ~~A cease-fire, a pause of some kind, would in fact be very dangerous from the standpoint of U.S. and allied forces. " Cristofori said the Soviet plan also says that the allies won't attack Iraqi troops wouldn't be attacked as they withdrew from Kuwait. That was in accordance with U.S. policy, as spelled out yesterday by White House spokesman Marlin Fitzwater, who said that the United States was willing to consider offering a right of safe passage to withdrawing Iraqi troops. A withdrawal could take 30 to 45 days, according to Marine Brig. Gen. Richard Neal of the U.S. Central Ccmnand . STORY CAN END HERE. OPTIONAL ADD FOLLOWS A newspaper clash between Kuwait and the Soviet Union raised another complication today for Bush in his attempt to hold together a diverse coalition of forces from 29 nations. Bush has been advocating _ but stopping short of a demand for the ouster of Saddam. - Kuwait's exiled government, anticipating a quick return to its occupied country, took a stand today against any protection for Saddam. This region cannot live peacefully with this man in power, " said Bader Jassim al-Yacoub, information minister of Kuwait's government in exile, in an interview published today in the Gulf Daily News. There is no guarantee he will not try again to attack his neighbors, " Yacoub said. The opposite stand was taken in today's editions of Pravda, the Moscow-based Oarttnznist Party newspaper. ~~One gets the impression saneone has been blinded by the idea of revenge against Saddam Hussein, that the war machine is in full swing and the military isn't inclined to stop it, whatever the success achieved by politicians and diplanats, " the part newspaper said in an editorial headlined, ~~Give peace a chance. " China's top official today repeated his support for Bush's demand that, rather than a cease-fire for negotiations, the first step toward ending the Persian Gulf war should be the immediate, unconditional withdrawal of Iraqi troops from Kuwait. ~~Chinese Premier Li Peng today urged Iraq to seize the opportunity and take immediate and concrete measures and actions to withdraw its troops from Kuwait, " reported China's official Xinhua news agency, as Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Saadaun Harrmadi flew harie from a meeting with Li. Xinhua reported that Li also told Hamnadi that China wants to keep a bloody air and border war from being transformed into an even bloodier ground war. Iraq has already reported the deaths of 20,000 and the injuries of 60,000 in the first four weeks following the beginning of allied F3i Y Yairic nn .Tan l G mho nl l ;~~. L,~.,,. ,.......~...a -.. ~L_~ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T19730 wed Feb 20 17:26:41 1991 Page 3 accidental deaths so far. In Yacoub's newspaper interview, he said 5,000 Kuwaitis had been killed and 20,000, including wat~en and children, interned in Iraqi camps since Iraq invaded its rich, but tiny neighbor on Aug. 2. Still, he told the (elf Daily News, he expects Saddam to quickly capitulate. I hope to see the Kuwaiti flag flying in Safat Square (in Kuwait City) on (next Monday) February 25, " Yacaub said. For use by clients of the New York Times News Service. NYT-02-20-91 1037F5T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T19550 Wed Feb 20 17:26:36 1991 NYTui 9744 -OOX-NUNN Page 1 Wed Feb 20 09:56:23 1991 ASKS ISRAEL TO OOOL IT, SAYS HE'LL UNDERSTAND IF THEY DON'T By LOUIS J. SAL,OME c. 1991 Cbx News Service JERUSALEM _ Four U.S. senators led by Senate Arrned Services Chairman Sam Nunn urged Israel Wednesday to continue with its policy of ~~restraint " in the,gulf war. we hope that restraint and patience will continue, " the Georgia Democrat told state-supported Israel Radio, ~~because we do believe that the end of this conflict is in sight. " Nunn, who told reporters, I think we will prevail " in the attempt to evict Iraqi troops from Kuwait, was accanpanied by Sen. John Warner of Virginia, the ranking Republican on his panel, and by Sen. Daniel Inouye, D-Hawaii and Sen. Ted Stevens, R-Alaska. The 36th Iraqi Scud missile was fired at Israel as they met Tuesday evening with Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Arens. Nunn said that during the attack, ~~we flipped on the television for a rnanent just to see what the reports were publicly, but the Scud attack did not interrupt the meeting." ~ Later that night, gurunen using autanatic weapons attacked troops of the Israeli-controlled South Lebanon Army at the northern edge of the security zone, reported Israel Radio. No injuries were reported. And on Wednesday morning, when the senators' whirlwind 15-hour visit was almost over, two Israeli jets roared over Lebanon, attacking a Palestinian base in the Syrian-controlled Bekaa Valley. Police there said three guerrillas were wounded in the air raid. Nunn praised Israel's decision to hold its fire against Iraq despite being on the receiving end in a one-way missile war. But, he said Israel, as a sovereign country. must decide for itself whether to retaliate or continue to sit tight. ~~If, speaking only for myself, if there is a response fran Israel, I'll understand it, " Nunn said. The senators visited Israel on their way back fran consulting with top U.S. commanders in Saudi Arabia. Nunn said carmanders said they are giving ~ top priority to knocking out Scud missile launchers in western Iraq that are aimed at Israel. He opposed a cease-fire until Iraq complies fully with all U.N. resolutions, ~~and that means unconditional withdrawal. " Nunn also said ~~the best case " caning out of the war is that ~~sane Arab countries will be willing to negotiate directly with Israel. I'm hoping that will be the case. If so we'll begin to make progress toward peace. " He predicted ~~severe " post-war ~~econcmic, population and resource " problems in the Middle East. ~ ~~We're going to have continuing problems that were here before the war. LSo we're all going to have to work together once it's over. " Early Wednesday morning, before leaving Israel, the senators visited a Tel Aviv suburb that has been struck several times by missiles, and then visited troops who operate a U.S.-built Patriot antimissile missile battery. A Patriot missile knocked the incoming Scud out of the air about 8 p.m. TUeSdaV . aS the cAnatnrc r.~,-o .,,.,"~; ... : iL Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T19550 Wed Feb 20 17:26:36 1991 Page 2 casualties. Israel's attack on a Palestinian base in eastern Lebanon was its third air strike into its neighboring country this year. Military officials said the attack lasted 10 minutes and was aimed at a Bekaa valley base used in the past to launch attacks against Israel's self-declared security zone in South Leaaanon. But no recent attacks have been reported fran the Bekaa area. C~errillas fired at the planes, without hitting them, and Syrian artillery remained silent, eyewitnesses reported in Lebanon. ENDIT NYT-02-20-91 0959FST Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T18760 Wed Feb 20 17:26:34 1991 RY-ri LBY002 -GULF-ISRAEL,-USA ( PICI2JRE j Wed Feb 20 05:53:34 1991 Page 1 U.S. SE[~TATE LEADER SAYS HE WOULD UNDERSTAND ISRAELI REPRISAL By Howard Golfer TEL AVIV, Feb 20, Reuter - U.S. Senator Sam Nunn, who heads the powerful armed services ccnmittee, said on Wednesday he would understand if Israel retaliated for Iraqi missile attacks but he hoped for continued restraint. Nunn headed a team of four leading U.S. Senators who met American and Israeli soldiers manning patriot batteries at the end of a Middle East tour that included visits to U.S. forces in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. ~~Speaking only for myself, if there is a response from Israel, I'll understand it. We hope that restraint will continue however, because we do believe that the end of this conflict is in sight, " Nunn, a Georgia D~nocrat, told reporters. But if there is a response, then I'll understand it as the response of a sovereign country and a people that have been very patient," he told an airport news conference after visiting the Patriot base in central Israel. Nunn said it was important for Israel to stay out of the war i to preserve a U.S.-led alliance against Iraq which includes Arab ~ states hostile to Israel. Defence Minister Moshe Arens was briefin th t g e sena ors on Israel's problems at his Tel Aviv office on Tuesday night when air-raid sirens wailed nationwide to warn Israelis to seek shelter from a Iraqi Scud missile attack. Arens's adviser Danny Naveh told reporters: ~~They said it was better than any explanation and they personally felt what every Israeli citizen experiences. " REU'1'ER HSG MLO PFS Reut05:55 02-20 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 V J r"1 r" u --~ ~ i ~r r-c (3 Y Senators witness Israeli Scud raid It didn't take long for four U.S. senators to get a sample of wartime life in Israel Tuesday. Sens. Sam Nunn, D-Ga., John Warner, R-Va., Daniel Inouye, D-Hawaii and Ted Ste- vetrs, R?Alagka, had just arrived at Defense MiNster Moshe Arens' once in Tel Avlv when alarms sounded to alert resi- dents to a mi~ile attack. M Iraqi Scud mi~iie struck Israel, but reportedly caused no casualties. The four, who are to tour a Patriot missile battery before leaving today, later ar- rived at the Tel Aviv Hilton carrying gas masks. Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Services of Mead Data Central LEVEL 1 - ? OF 7 STORIES The Associated Press .The. materials in t#:e ,AP file ~e.re ~c~mpiled .~y .The Associated Press. These materials may not be republished without the express written consent of The Associated Press. February 14, 1991, Tuesday, AM cycle SECTION: International hews LENGTH: 549 wards HEADLINE: Another Iraqi Scud Hits Israel BYLINE: 8y ARTHtlR MAX, Associated Press Writer DATELINE: TEL AVIV, Israel KEYWORD: Gulf -Israel BODY: A single Iraqi Scud missile struck Israel on. Tuesday night, but caused no casualties, the army said. It was the 36th Iraqi missile fired at the newish state during the Persian Gulf War. Reporters in Tel Aviv heard sounds indicating at least twQ !l.S.-supplied Patriot air-defense missiles wore fired. They heard a third explo3ion they could not identif~~. Israel television showed pictures of what appeared to be a Patriot hitting a Scud, which exploded in the air. Chief army spokesman Frig. Gen. Nachman- Sh~ai gave na details os~ where thQ missile hit. "So tar we have nn reports of injuries.ar damage," he said. The army command said ?he missile. carried.a.conyentional wa.rhead_, as dial all the ether Scuds fired at Israel .since the Gulf War began ,lan. 17. Four U.5. senators - Sam Nunn, D-Ga., Daniel t!. Inouye, D-Hawaii; Ted Stevens, R-Alaska, and Jehn a. 1~!arner, R-Va. - sere mee*.ing with Lefense Minis*.er Moshe Arens when alarms alerted residents to the missile attack. "The sera*.ors could personally feel what the Israeli citizens are experiencing every night. I assume they will take back this unpleasant experience. They said this was better than any explanation," said Dan Naveh, a spokesman for Arens. The United States has supplied at least six Patriot batteries to help protect Israel from Iraqi missiles. In a town in central Israel.,. Israeli-Arab residents pointed to a small hole in a courtyard and Said debris from the missile fell there and damaged the concrete. They said they heard a loud boom and' that police took the debris away. CVI~? ~IC'V~~? I cv~~+? ~~~v~~? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T16929 Wed Feb 20 17:37:58 1991 APIui 0672 -Calf-Ready Either Way, Bj t, 0790 Tue Feb 19 15:35:32 1991 Page 1 Ground Plans Have Air Component; Logistics Chief Says US Ready LaserPhoto DHR2 By JC~N KING Associated Press Writer DHAHRAN, Saudi Arabia (AP) - If a ground war starts, the allies plan to fill the skies over Iraq with fighters to keep the remnants of Saddam I-tussein's air force fran joining the battle, military sources said Tuesday. The plans also include an unusual joint Marine-Army assault in which U.S. ground forces plan to punch north into Iraq and Kuwait, said the sources, speaking on the condition of anonymity. As speculation ran rampant over the start of an allied invasion, the logistics chief for Operation Desert Storm declared U.S. forces ready despite a few spot supply shortages. Ground maneuvering, artillery barrages and other action offered even more signs an allied offensive could cane within days. With a Soviet peace proposal declared unacceptable by President Bush, score senior officers believe an assault inevitable - unless there is a diplanatic breakthrough in the next day or so. ..We don't need any more time, we'll cut right through them on the ground, " one senior officer said privately. ~~If the Gorbachev plan doesn't work, you'll see something soon on the ground. " Still, this officer said he did not expect the "Gday " orders before the weekend, Several others suggested the assault could cane as early as Thursday. But with the allies saying they are destroying more than 100 Iraqi tanks and dozens of lethal Soviet and South African-made artillery pieces each day, others believe the air assault will go on at least into next week before Bush sends ground forces into combat . A ground battle isn't the only contingency for which allied forces are planning. They're also getting ready for an Iraqi withdrawal. Most allied officers are skeptical any peace agreement will be struck but they are preparing nonetheless to respond if Saddam suddenly pulls his troops from the oil-rich emirate he conquered Aug. 2. Those plans, according to sources, are in preliminary stages but include securing vital Kuwaiti installations such as oil fields, airports and ports. The allies hope Arab forces will do much of the work, but U.S. rapid-deployment forces and ordnance experts are also expected to play major roles. They've got the whole place mined and booby trapped, so that's not likely to be pleasant work, " a Marine officer said. ~~We have the experts, so we're going to have to be involved in a big way." But the focus remained on preparing for a ground offensive. The U.S.-led coalition established air supremacy over Iraq and Ki~waii- in fhc nw.,;.,.. ,a.,,,.. ..F iL_ ~__~,_ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T16929 Wed Feb 20 17:37:58 1991 Page 2 the United States to rest and repair its F-15 air-to-air fighters during the past week. A senior Air Force officer in Riyadh said those fighters would be called on early in a ground offensive, charged with patrolling Iraqi and Kuwait airspace to keep Saddam from using his warplanes to provide close-air support for his army. Although sane 140 Iraqi planes have fled to Iran, the bulk of those left in Iraq are equipped for air-to-ground canbat, including delivery of chemical bombs on ground troops. We'll get the fighters up there in numbers to keep him from getting any planes up," the officer said, speaking privately. The Marine-Army operation, according to another military source, involves Marines punching a hole across the northern Saudi border and clearing a path for Army tanks. The source discussed the plan on condition the location not be disclosed. For the past week, the allied carmand has said the U.S. and allied forces are ready for a ground offensive, but there have been periodic reports fran the field of shortages ranging fran ammunition to chemical protective gear. But Lt. Gen. Cis Pagonis, the logistics chief for Desert Storm, said Tuesday the shortages did not involve those or any other vital supplies. We're ready to go, " Pagonis said. ~~We're totally prepared to do whatever is necessary. " Pagonis said his supply system was not a factor in deciding when to order a ground offensive. ~~Logistically, it's irrelevant to me whether we go today, tanorrow or next month, " he said. The chairman of the Senate Armed Services Da~tmittee, visiting Saudi Arabia, said he found U.S. troops well prepared but hinted he would prefer giving the unrelenting air war more time. Sen. Sam Nunn said a ground offensive should be ordered-only if the air war lost its effectiveness in destroying Iraqi armor and artillery, the main targets as pilots prepare the desert battlefield. When asked if the air assault was still working, the Georgia Democrat replied: ~~My impression is that it is. " AP-NY-02-19-91 1536F~T+ Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Services of Mead Data Central 4TH STORY of Level 2 printed in FULL format. Copyright (c) 1991 Reuters _February 19, 1991, Tuesday, AM cycle LENGTH: 3DZ words HEADLINE: SENATOR NUNN 5AY5 BUSH HAS FREE HAND OVER WAR DATELINE: DHAHRAN, Saudi Arabia KEYWORD: GULF-SAUDI -SENATORS -- BODY A senior U.S. senator who tried to stop the United States from going to war in the Persian Gulf said Tuesday that President $ush now had a free hand to launch a ground war, Referring to reports of a deadline contained. in peace. proposals made by Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev to Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, Sam Nunn, D-Ga., said: "Thirty-six hours is not a deadline on the Elnited States in terms of doing anything after that 35 hours. The question of whether and when to start aground war is a decision the president will have to make." Nunn, head of the Senate Ar~ped Services Committee, has been touring Saudi Arabia with three other senators. He resisted sending troops to the Persian Gulf after Iraq invaded Kuwait Aug. 2, arguing that economic sanctions should be given pore time to bite. Nunn said that before caking his mind up on the ground assault to drive Iraq out of Kuwait, .Bush would have to talk to fii.s commanders and his allies, assess the readiness of allied troops, review the politicial situation in the region and check the weather. Sen. John Warner of Virginia, the leading Republican on the Armed Services Committee, told the same news conference: "5addam Hussein i.s hurt, he is injured, he is down but he is not out.. "And now the Soviets come in maybe to pick at his bones for their nwn self-interest. But let's give them the benefit of the doubt." Warner, who Tuesday celebrated his 66th birthday aboard the battleship Wisconsin, said the senators would visit Israel after their Saudi tour. He said he agreed with Flush in refusing to link a settlement of the Gulf War with the. Palestinian issue, "But subsequent to the resolution of this conflict, one way or another, the world has to .address the issues of the region and that includes the Palestinian issue," he said. C Y/~? w/ C Y/~?/ C YI ~? ~^C VI Declassified in PartSanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25_CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 PAGE A6 / WEDNESDAY,.FEBRUARY 20,1991 II~IaE "LHE ;.r ~~~~. will be a"(Gov William Donald) Schaefer for President" rally at the Maryland State House in Annapolis at noon tomorrow. It's an effort on the part of those who take Mr. Schaefer's words, "I'm serious about this," seriously. Some con- cern must be expressed, however, regarding the sentiments of the group. Why, one might ask, would they have recently acquired a clown suit? On his 64th birthday, aboard ship, John Warner recalled his youth. Have a happy Virginia Sen. John Warner, the ranking Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee, cele- as~jatgtott Vanes brated his 64th birthday aboard the battleship Wisconsin, wearing the same bomber jacket he had on 40 years ago while flying over the Wisconsin as it conducted a firing mission during the Korean War. During his visit to the battleship, Mr. Warner stood inside the turret on one of the ship's big guns while it fired a shell weighing nearly 2,000 pounds during prac- tice. He later came outside and watched as the ship fired all of its big guns. Before he left the ship, a group of seamen sang Happy Birthday to the senator. Aver the shin's public address system. Mr Warner told the grew that the firin? of the big ?uns was "a hell of a ndlelight" o .elm brate his birthday He c?id the_..YYi_si~ "brotlght back memox7es9f9Q nears a?o when I was airborne as a_ .communications officer in an air- craft during the Korean War and had the onoortunity t~ ~b r t~ shin in a live fi*+ng mission on Nov 10 1951. She hit the tar eg t that day_ .~ttd you're hittin? the tar~et_on this da . A well done to ou entlemen y~9~beha oft the United States" Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T15064 Wed Feb 20 18:04:57 1991 Page 1 l: APIri 2: 0506 3: -(half-Readiness,0499 4: 5: Tue Feb 19 08:09:01 1991 6: 7: Desert Storm Supply Chief He's Ready For Ground War 8: By JOHN KING 9: Associated Press Writer 10: DHAHRAN, Saudi Arabia (AP) - American forces are experiencing 11: spot shortages of sane non-essential supplies but are ready to 12: launch a ground offensive, the supply chief for Operation Desert 13: Storm said today. 14: ~~We're totally prepared to do whatever is necessary, " Lt. Gen. 15: Gus Pagonis said of the ground offensive sane officials hint may be 16: days or hours away. ~~We're ready to go. " 17: Sen. Sam Nunn, chairman of the Senate ~irtned Services Ccmnittee, 18: agreed with Pagonis. But while ending a visit to U.S. forces, the 19: Georgia Democrat hinted that he favored continuing the air war for 20: awhile. 21: Nunn, a leading Senate voice on defense matters, said the air 22: war should continue as long as it remains effective in debilitating 23: Saddam Hussein's army. 24: ~~My impression is that it is, " Nunn said. Asked if he would 25: advise Bush to hold off a ground attack, Nunn refused to ccmnent. 26: Speaking to reporters before he flew back to the United States, 27: Nunn .said the readiness of U.S. forces was just one of several 28: factors Bush would have to consider when pondering ordering a 29: ground attack. 30: He specifically mentioned anti-American sentiment in the region, 31: other political concerns, weather and approaching Muslim religious 32: holidays. 33: Nunn said he was not familiar with the Soviet peace proposal but 34: would support it if it fell in line with United Nations 35: resolutions, including the Resolution 660 that demands an 36: unconditional Iraqi withdrawal fran Kuwait. 37: But he said that in briefings with allied carmanders, ~~I've 38: seen nothing here that indicates they are pulling back, " 39: Soviet President Mikhail S. Gorbachev offered a new peace plan 40: on Monday. 41: Details have not been released, but a German newspaper reported 42: today that in exchange for an unconditional withdrawal, Iraq would 43: be promised that Saddam will not be punished, that his government 44: and borders will not be tampered with, and that talks on the 45: Palestinian problem will be held. 46: The senior Republican on Nunn's crnmittee, Sen. John Warner of 47: Virginia, said he also found U.S. forces ready for a ground attack, 48: but said he would not join speculation about when such an order 49: might cane. 50: We've got too many armchair strategists right now,' Warner 51: said. 52: In response to a reporter's questin, Pagonis said supply 53: shortages did not include essential items such as ammunition, food, 54: or chemical protective gear. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 T11004 Wed Feb 20 18:05:07 1991 Page 1 1: DJUML 2: 0251 3: BUSH TO SEEK 50 BLN DLRS TO FUND GULF WAR, SEH. NUNN SAYS 4: 5: Mon Feb 18 03:39:55 1991 6: 7: 8 : RIYADH - (DJ) --SE[QP,TE ARMED SERVICES OCt~TTEE 9 : CHAIl~MAN SAM NUNN, (DIIdOC~2P,T-(~2GIA) , SAID THE BUSH 10: ADMINISTRATION WILL REQiJEST A SUPPLFI~~N'PAL APPROPRIATION OF 11: 50 BILLION DLRS TO FUND THE PERSIAN GULF WAR. 12 : ' I~PEEtJLL,Y WE'LL BE REINNlBURSID BY OUR ALLIES , ' THE 13: SE[~TATOR TOLD PRESS POOL REPORTERS DURING A WEEECFND VISIT TO 14: SAUDI ARABIA. 'THE UNECNOWN IS HOW QUIC~{LY THAT WILL OCt~ IN 15 : AND HC1W MUC~i WILL BE IN-KIND . ' 16: -0- 17: 18: -(DJ-02-18-91 0841GMT) 19: 20: # Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 ~crvices of ~neaa uata ~entrai 9TH STORY of .Level ?. printed in FULL format. Proprietary to the United Press International. 1991 ,February 17, 1991, Sunday, BC cycle SECTION: International LENGTH: 523 words HEADLINE: Members of Congress visit gulf DATELINE: IN CENTRAL SAUDI ARABIA KEYWORD: GULF -SENATORS BODY: Four U.S. senators emerged from a +aeeting Sunday with Gen. H. Norman Schwartkopf, commander of U.S. forces in the gulf, satisfied with the war`s progress but uncertain about its future. The senators insisted that no decision has been made on when to launch a ground offensive, and said President Bush would decide after consulting. further with advisers and allies. " There are many of us who still hope the air war can wind this up, " said Sen. Sam Nunn, D-Ga., chairman of the Senate Armed Services Coma~ittee. " Bu t we have no assurances of that, and we have to be prepared for every contingency." Nunn said he and. the other senators -- .inhn garner, R-Va., Daniel Inouye, D- Haiwaii and Ted Stevens, R-Alas#ca, didn't specifically ask Schwartkopf if U.S. forces were ready for a ground offensive. " But my impression is that we are mnvir~g toward readiness, " the senator said. " I think they (the Iraqis) need to anticipate that our military forces are ready. " Also Sunday, Rep. John Murtha, D-Pa., chairman of a Mouse appropriations defense subcommittee, made a whirlwind tour of the gulf that included a visit to the aircraft carrier USS Midway. Murtha predicted that U.S. technical superiority will 6e even mare evident in a ground offensive than it has been in the air campaign, but said tine war could last up to six months. " We have to flush them out, " Murtha said Qf Iraqi. troops dug into Kuwait. " At the same time, they have to come out of their hole or they are of no value." The congressional visits coincided with tens of thousands of U.S. troops positioning themselves in Saudi Arabia, near the Kuwaiti border, and amid mounting speculation that a ground war could begin as earlier as this week. It also followed Baghdad's conditional offer to withdraw f roa Kuwait and on the eve of Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Atiz's trip to the Soviet Union to discuss the war with Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev. ~ c~ric? w~c~r~c?/ C'Y1~? w~c~r~ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 5ervlces of Mead Data Central PAGE 9 ~-- Proprietary to the United Press International, February 17, 1991 Nunn said, "All. of us want stability (in the gulf region) when this is over and I think the way to do it is 'to continue to prosecute the soar as we are doing now until he ESaddam Hussein) decides to comply with the U.t~, mandate." to unconditionally withdraw from Kuwait. Inouye, asked about the civilian casualities in Baghdad last week, said, " We are concerned about every life .... but I am satisfied that our military has taken every precautionary step to avoid casualities. " "But this is war, " he said. "Even under the best of ci roumstances we do have accidents, even in training missions." Stevens said t-he delegation came to the gulf to better understand the U.~. military's needs and " to tell them we think that they have the support of the people at home. " "They certainly have the support of the. Congress," Stevens said. Besides speaking with Schwarzkopf, the four also visited an American Patriot firing battery, where the spoke with same of the service personnel who have successfully used the rocket to shoot down Iraqi Scuds. Warner told-the troops, "The ho~aecoming you guys are going to get will be hard to survive. " 1 C Y/~? w/ C YI ~? I C YI ~? ~I C ~/I ? Declassified_in PartSanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004_1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 ~eivices ui ivieaa uata ~,enirai LSVfL 1 - ? OF 7 STORIES copyright cci !?gI Reuters ~Febra~ary 17, 1991 , Swr~s#air, ?AM cycle ~ ENGT~l: 542 words NEAIILINE: SENATIIRS IN S4t1DI ARABIA KICl4 SCliISS ANB PA.AISE PATRIOTS BYLIla?: By Arthur Spiegelman IIATI~l.It~lE: AT A. PATRIOT BATTEpY, Saudi Arabia . KEYWOfID: tilLF-SAlJDI -SENATORS BODY': Kicking a downed scud missile and. praising the Patriots that destroy them, four influential L.S. .senators said Sunday there should be no cease-fire in t he Gulf War. Visiting the Fox?rot Patriot antimissile missile station, which boasts the world record- 1 L~- for downing Scads, the sera*.nrs rejected any cease-f z re based an Saddam Nussein's strings-attached peace proposal announced Friday. Georgia Democrat Sam t+lunn, chairman of 'the Senate's armeri service committee, told reporters: "I think we will be able. to tell when Saddam Hussein. decides to get out. I don't think there will be any mistake about it ... and until them I feel real strongly there should. be nn cease-Fire. "A cease-fire, in the long run, unless it is under the cnnditiQns of certainty about his intentions could end up costing lives rather than saving lives." Speaking far the group, he added: "All of us waflt stability when this is over. I think the way to do it is to continue as we are doing nor." tJhile Iraqi Foreign Minister Tareq ~lziz ?lew t? M~seow fe* talks nn Iraq's conditional offer to withdraw from ~~wait, tens of thousands of !l. S. and allied troops are at the frs~nt in preparation for a ground war that could come at anyt time. Nunn, Hawaii Democrat Daniel Inouye and Republicans Jahn l~4arner and Ted Stevens, of Virginia and Alaska respectively, spent a3.mnst three hours being briefed on the war by allied cam~ander ten. Norman Schwarzkopf after they arrived Sunday morning. They declined to say what Schwarzkopf told them on the passible start of a ground war, but n.ated that the decision wa.s one for President Bush to make. Schwarzkopf told another group of congressional visitors an Saturday that allied farces were now ready for a ground war. He has always said that he would not give the ga-ahead until he believed the troops were ready. Although top level French officials are claiming that a date has t7een grade for the ground invasion, Sen. darner insisted it had not. i ~r~c? w~c~r~c? ~ c~r~c? w/CYI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004_1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 vc~ vic co vi w~c au vaia ~. ci ni ai (c) 1991 Reuters, February 17, 1991 "It is clear that the decision to go or nat. go has nat been made. It 15 to be made by our president in consultation with the other forces in this military operation." Nunn, who voted against the congressional authorization for the Gulf fear, suggested that the air war could continue because it was "degrading the Iraqi military forces on the ground." He added: "There are many of us r-ho still hope that the air war can wind. this up. But we have na assurances of that." The senators made their ca~-ments after touring the Foxtrot batter~,~ where the belly of a downed Scud lay in the sand for their inspection, nflt far from a faattery of rectangular Patriot launchers. Warner, clad in the leather jacket he wore as a Marine airman in the fe been f i red s~r~re than 5Il t i mes by I rag at Saud i and T s rael i cities, but at Foxtrot Battery, the Scud gets no respect. Warner told one of his constituents, Sgt. Richard Williams of Fort Reyal, Ya.;. ?You really ought to be proud of yourselves. Yau are going to get one nice homecoming." Williams replied= "Yes Sir, I am really looking forward to the homecoming." LEaEL 1 - 4 OF 7 STORIES Copyright (c) 1991 Toronto Star Newspapers, Ltd. The Toronto Star February 16, 1991, Saturday, SATURDAY EDITION SECTIQN: NEWS; Pg. A1/ FRONT LENGTH: 1239 words HEADLINE; Allied bombing continues as Bush calls peace bid a 'hoax' But some- in U.S. see optimism in Iraqi proposal BYLINE: By Linda Diebel Toronto Star DATELINE: WASHINGTON KEYWORD: GULF WAR HOAX BODY: While U.S. President George Bush flatly condemned Iraqi President Saddanr Hussein for his conditional offer t:o withdraw from Kuwait, others saw it yesterda3~ as Iraq's opening bid for peace. ~~r~c? ru~~r~c? ~ ~~r~c? w/CYI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 10TH STORY of Level 2 printed in FULL format. The materials in the AP file were compiled by The Associated Press. These materials may not be republished without the express written consent of The Associated Press. February 16, 1991, Saturday, PM cycle SECTION: international News LENGTH: 574 words HEADLINE: Offer May Signal Start of Bargaining to Ensure Saddam's Survival BYLINE: .By DAVID CRARY, Associated Press Writer DATELINE: NICOSIA, Cyprus KEYWORD: Gulf -Survivor Saddam BODY: Saddam Hussein has proved willing to do almost anything to retain power, from ordering poison gas used nn his own people to granting huge concessions to former enemy Iran. His offer to withdraw from Kuwait, linked tfwugh it is to conditions the allies will not accept, -may be the first phase of hi.s latest survival strategy, analysts said Friday. "He now knows that continuing the war is meanint~~ess," said Tasheen Beshir, an Egyptian political expert and former ambassador. "He needs to stop the war, but he will try to cover up any sense of defeat - he`s a good poker player." Not long ago, Saddam was vowing that Kuwait would remain part of Iraq fo r eternity. As of Friday, that vow was no longer operable. Andrew Duncan, an analyst with the International Ins titute of Strategic Studies in London, said he had na doubt that Saddam could. complete this about-face and withdraw from Kuwait without jeopardizing his hold on power in Iraq. ' "He's quite capable of making major concessions, and there`s no reason this shouldn't be the start of one," Duncan said in a telephone interview. "He will have enhanced his position with over half the Arab world, and he's not going to lose support because he naves the llves of thousands of his soldiers," Duncan added. A Jordanian political science professor, Kamel Abu Jaber, said Saddam "showed he cares about the Iraqi people, by trying to alleviate their suffering. "The lives of his people are worth more to him than to those bombing Iraq, " he said. L~Y/~? IV~Y/~? L_ ~Y/~? IV~YI ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 services of iweaa uata ~entrai The Associated Press, February 1b, 1991 In Washington, President Bush bluntly voiced his preference for an outcome that ousted Saddam. He urged Iraq's military and its people "to take matters into their own hands, to force Saddam Hussein, the dfctator, to step aside." But Sen. Sam Nunn, an influential Georgia Democrat, :suggested Saddam was .hinting at further concessions. "This could be the opening bid in Saddam`s wave toward diplomacy," Munn said. "In the Arab world you always have to be prepared for bargaining and this may be the opening gambit." Saddam has been Iraq's effective ruler since 1968 and its president since 1979. In that period, he has survived at least a half-dozen assassination attempts, and kept his hold over the public with a mix of harsh repression and social reforms. When Kurdish rebels posed a severe challenge to his regime in 1.988, he ordered a counteroffensive in which an estimated 4,000 villagers were killed by the army's chemical weapons. He launched a war with Iran that lasted from 1980 to 1488, yet last year - ~following the invasion of Kuwait -granted to Iran many of the demands it had made for a final peace. "Saddam is a lousy strategist," said Besfiir, speaking by telephone from. Cairo. "He miscalculated with Iran and he miscalculated with Kuwait. .but T wou ld leave it up to the Iraqi people to decide how to deal with a defeated Saddam Hussein." If Iraq did withdraw span, it would still. possess one of the world's largest military forces, even after the severe pounding inflicted by the allies' month-long air offensive. Thousands of tanks and hundreds of thousands of troops would remain. Saddam's attempts to link the Gulf War to the Palestinian cause might keep his new-found popularity alive among the Arab masses and make him a regional political power even with an economy in disarray, "Unless we deal with the frustrations of the Arab people, we will be winnin g the war without saving the peace," Beshir said. ~ ~~r^c? r-^~~r^c? ^ ~~r^c? w/CY^ ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 vcivn,co vi ivicau vata VGIIU QI tc) 199a The Mew York Times, February 7, 1591 poorly prepared the public for war and was ill prepared for its aftermath. "It is a mistake to pretend you can have a new wfl rld order witlwut having first a new American order," Mr. Cuomo said. Mr, Bush was "being too cute by half" by acknawledg~ing certain domestic needs and then .by largQly ignoring them, he said, adding, "You made a choice -- bankers before babies." Why had the President intervened in the Persian half? the GQVerno r .asked, fielding the rhetorical question himself: was it to curb aggression? Then why no*. intervene in Afghanistan or in Ti-bet? You mean aggression where our vital interests are concerned? That's ail. No, jabs. Then, what about Iraq's nuclear arsenal? "And now the reason far the war," Mr. Cuoraa said, "is, there is a war." 4lauZd sanctarms have succeeded? "How would you ever know?? he said. "How would you ever prove it? Now the question is haw do you end this thing? It`s like my budget -- you have to came with alternatives. I don't think at this point the President can throw down our ar~-s and say, 'I surrender to SaddaM Hussein.' It would destroy the coalition. It would destroy Israel. "Ne must win because Saddam Hussein must lose. The President must be constantly mindful of disengagement with honor.~But the armed forces have the full support of all Qf us'-- every Democrat and good American. There is no choice for decent people. And see .have to avoid the mistake see made in Vietnam, of blaming the armed forces for a wretched political judgment." lJherQ had the bovernor stflQd on the Vietnam scar? "I don't even remem.ber," he replied. "Nobody ever asked ace. I.was not relevant. Now, after aII these years, I'm barely relevant." The outcome of this war may determine .whether the Governor grows more relevant as a national political figure ar less, SUB,}ECT: ELECTIONS; fiOVERNORS tllS3; ELECTION ISSUES; MILITARY ACTION; !lNITED STATES ARMAMENT AND DEFENSE rlAME: CUQMO, MARIO M tL-OV?; ROBbRTS, SAM GEOGRAPHIC: NEbI YOP.K STALE; PEP.SIAN GULF; MIDDLE. EAST; IRAB; SAUDI ARABIA LEVEL 1 -- 5 OF 7 STOP.I ES Copyright cc' 1991 Newsweek L February 4, 1991 , UNIT~D STATES .EDITION j SECTION: PERISCOPE; Exclusive; Pg. 1D LENGTH: 255 words I HEADLINE: Shutting, Out Sam Nunn BODY: NEWSWEEK has learned that Sam Nunn, the Senate's "Mr. Defense," is being frozen out by the Pentagon because he led the fight to delay the use of force in the Persian gulf. Senate Democrats say there's been a "major battle" ~ ~ r~ c? rum r~ c? ~ ~ r~ c? w/ C YI ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 cervices or nneaa uata ~entrai (c) 1991 Newsweek, February 4, 1991 between Nunn and tap Defense Department afficials aver access to gulf war plans. "He feels.baxed cut," says a Senate defense specialist. Asides say Nunn is having difficulty getting. information an the~war and some of his requests have been denied outright. Such cavalier treatrt~ent of the Ara~ed Services Committee chairman is unprecedented, and Hill sources say Nunn is "furious" at the freeze-out. Senate Democrats speculate that the White House sees Nunn as a likely presidential candidate in '92 who's not to be trusted because of his vote en the gulf. But it's not the first time the administration has snubbed the Georgia se?ator. Last November Nunn wasn't told about the U.S. troop build-up in the gulf until an hour before it was made public. +~ In Other gulf developme?ts, NEI~SWEEK has learned tfiat Saddam Hussein's terrorist traini?g camps were. ?ot targets of the Air force`s first bambi?g raids agai?st Iraq. The reasD?: 4l. S. intelligence monitoring showed that the camps, where Sadda~r riad been trai?i?g more tha? 1UQ guerrillas, sere mostl9 deserted.. "They graduated a lot of studs?ts before the war," says a U.S. intelligence source. LI.S. counterterrorism afficials have alerted.Il.S. and allied .interests around the world to prepare far terrorist attacks by Saddans's camp graduates. GRAPHIC: Picture, Paying the price far his vote to delay the war: The senator, TIMOTHY A. T411RPHY Copyright (c) 1991 Levitt Commu?icati'ons, Inc. Roll Call ebruary !~, 1991 SECTION: Political Briefing LENGTH: 9Gb wards HEADLINE: Two Republicans Ready to. Challenge Moderate Specter BYLINE: By Tim Curran BODY: Although Sen. Arley. Specter (R-Pa) lacks Strang sitting. atop his X1.5 s~illion war chest right now, at least one .Democrat and two P,epublicans appear ready ate challenge hint. Stephen P. freind, a conservative GOP state Representative, recently told the Philadelphia Inquirer, "A lot of people have contacted me over the last few aeon the asking me to consider it, and at this paint, that's what. I'm doing." The Inquirer called freind "one Qf the few conservatives with high name recagnitian, the ability to instantly mobilize a mass grassroots effort and to draw an a national base of contributors." Conservatives have long quarreled with Specter for his moderate position an abortion rights and his vote against Robert Bark's confirmation to the Supreme Court. c~r~c? w~~~r~c? ~ c~r~c? w/CY1 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 ~~, .,.,~, .,. ,.,~~,. ~u,u .,~,,,, u, (C1 1991 Rall Call, February 4, 1991 Another Republican, Joseph Breslin, said he too. will. seek. the 60P nod, Breslin ran unsuccessfully for Congress as a Democrat in 19lsB and 1970. The only high-profile Democrat who'll say publics}f that he's looking at the race is newly re-elected Lt. Gov. Mark Singel. 4f ter his re-election on .a ticket with Gov. Sob Casey (D), Singel told the Philadelphia Daily Mews that Specter's was "a seat a moderate Dem4~cr.~at ~coaald win, whetfier it's Singel or someone else." Me estimated that a bid to unseat well-funded, hard-charging campaigner Specter would require $b million. Singel is also considering a race to succeed Casey in 1994, but the fact. that the last three Pennsylvania lieutenan? governors to run~fnr governor have los t may give him pause. Before becoming a state Senator, Singel served as the chief of staff to Reps. Peter Peyser it?-NY) and Helen Meyner (D-NJ). Specter is running for a third term.. In 498J, he won with just 5(] percent of the vote, but he raised his margin to Sb to 43 in defeating former Rep.. Bob Edgar (D' in 1986. Nunn, Fowler Feeling The. Heat in Georgia. Democratic Sens. Sam Nunn and ~Jyche Fowler are feeling the heat at home in 6eargia, a state with a strong military tradition, for failing to vote. with the President on *.he use of force in the Persian Sulf. According to the Atlanta Constitution, even before war broke out, a sign haQ been erected along !iS b1 in Cobb County reading, "Senator Sam Nu~zn -You're becoming SADDAl1'S Sest Friend!" The sign was put up by 8ubby Crowder, owner of Crowder Outdoor Advertising, Inc., wt~o claia~ed that Nunn was using the Gulf issue to position himself for a presidential run. "I've heard a lot of negative grumbling," the paper quoted one state Deawcrat as saying. "You know, calling him Baghdad Sam, and all that." Another Constitution article quoted Sam briffin, a newspaper publisher and the son of former Democratic Gov. Marvin Griffin as saying, that he was "very, very disappointed in Sen. Munn, and, of cDUrse, in Sen. Fowler, too.,' Nunn won re-election in November without opposition, and political fallout from his Gulf vote will be measured in terms of his much-discussed presidential ambitions. Fowler, hoseever, is up for re-election in 1492 after wresting the seat frogs lincumbent Sen. Mack Mattingly (R) by just 22,OaII vntes in 148b. Pilot Bryan dill Take 4n Rep. Studds Again Conservative airline pilot and educator Jon Bryan, who has run in the last two elections against Rep. Gerry Studds (D-Class) and held him to 52 percent of the vote in Navesgber, is challenging the ten-term Congressman again ~in 1492, and he's already got at least one theme. A report in the conservative newspaper Human Events quotes a Bryan press release that calls Studds's support of tfie Congressional pay raise ?~an arrogant and incredible rip-off of the taxpayers!" ~ ~r~ c? rum ~r~ c? ~ ~ ~r~ c? rum ~r~ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 .., ~,~.~..w vi iv~cau va~a vci ni ai cc) 1991 Ball Call, February ~, 1991 In 1988, Studds defeated Bryan by a booming 57 to 33 percent margin, but the challenger :aanaged to shave !5 points off of the incu;nbent's ~sargin in two years, It looks like he'll spend the next 20 months trying to shave Off the next two points. Studds, an acknowledged hamasexual who was censured by the Hawse is 1983 for having. sex with a male page, should be high an the NRCC target list far the next cycle. Democrats offered Studds a a~easure of protection Iasi ~unth by naming him to the powerful Energy and Caa~merce Committee. Studds ranks.secar~d an Merchant tlarine and Fisheries, a panel that is important to his district, which includes Cape Cod and tJew :Bedford. The chairman of that committee, Rep. Walter Janes tD-MC?, 77, is a potential retiree in 1992. 1 ~'Y/ C? 11I~'Y/ c?I ~Y/ C? w~c ~r~ ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25: CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 THE DEAD-END ARAB STREET, BY THE Ell1TURS THE _ MARCH 4, 19y l ? S2.y5 The Kremlin's man on horseback, by Kurt M. Campbell ? Alex Heard on nuke weenies Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 The `defense Democrat' on the defense. THE MYSTIQUE OF SAM NUNN By Sidney Blumenthal or two days of suspended time in January, as Con- gress debated the ultimate question of war, Sena- tor Sam Nunn of Georgia became the center of national gravity. Without his ever seeking the presidential nomination, the leadership of the Demo- cratic Party had suddenly fallen to him. Before this mo- ment, his immense reputation had been protected by his distance from the national party and its quadrennial de- feats. Ahost ofadmirers in the capital, from his Southern colleagues to The Washington Post's editorial board to the Democratic Leadership Council, had long clamored for the party to make this archetypal "defense Democrat"- thechairman of the Armed Services Committee-its stan- dard-bearer. Yet most of the Democrats in Congress had steadfastly refused to follow him down the line on the defense issues most important to him. Moreover, he had compiled a record on social issues that was highly conser- vative, far less liberal than his state would have been will- ing to tolerate. This had further lengthened the odds against his emergence as a national Democratic figure. But now, with Nunn as the author of the resolution calling for the extension of sanctions and against the resolution that would approve war, the Democratic lead- ership, in closed strategy meetings, treated him with an abject deference they had never shown him before. But then, he was giving them political cover he had never given before. He was willing to extend himself at last-as camouflage netting. His mystique has made him seem invincible. But the Nunn cult of personality is curious because Nunn him- self has tried not to be a personality. In small groups he can exhibit a wry sense of humor, and on the stump in rural Georgia he has revealed a folksy side, including barnyard jokes about cow manure never aired in the drawing rooms of Washington. But mainly he appears dry and shy, withdrawn behind the armor of inexpres- siveness, an Olympian pose that is quite conscious. ' `I can't think of any major problem that can be solved with partisanship," Nunn has said. He prefers the role of disinterested expert. He waits for a situation to develop, for the lines of debate to form, before he enters. When he believes he holds the balance, the others are forced to demand: What does Sam Nunn think? His owlish, opaque gaze projects calm rumination, inner security, unruffled authority. He has his own sense of how the process ought to operate; when it doesn't meet his speci- fications, he thinks it's improper. He has mastered every corner of his arcane subject and chastises those who impute to him any political motive. He has the mental habits of a grindingly methodical lawyer, which he is. Inevitably his argument is organized around the techni- cal, the tactical, the procedural. Usually his solution is a carefully hedged middle ground, covered with the pati- na of analysis. Nunn's ideal of politics is cool and pas- sionless: politics as policy. But he has been building more than a case; he has built power. Nunn's history and temperament would seem to have placed him anywhere but across a line in the sand drawn by the president. "He did not," says one of his friends in the Senate, "set out to do it." But Nunn's position on the war-the most important position in his career-was not quite the dramatic reversal it appeared. The tradi- tions ofGeorgia and the Senate, which Nunn wears like a mantle to lend him his aura of mastery, were not enough toward off defeat in the Senate vote. But those traditions and what he has made of them may suggest what pointed him to the Senate floor to take command of a lost cause-and what it might mean for the Democrats that he has done so. am Nunn Sr., known as "Mr. Sam," was awell-to- do landowner and lawyer in the central Georgia town of Perry. He was Southern gentry rather than Southern populist, and a player of consequence in local politics. He was sent to the state legislature, became mayor of Perry, and ran the campaigns in Houston County of Governor Eugene Talmadge and his senator son Herman. Mr. Sam's wife, Elizabeth, a former school- teacher, maintained in their home the largest library in town. Mr. Sam was an avid reader of books on the War between the States, reading and rereading Douglas Sou- thall Freeman's three-volume Lee's Lieutenants. Every Thanksgiving Elizabeth Nunn's Uncle Carl came down from Washington for the holiday dinner. Carl Vinson had been elected to the House of Represen- tatives in 1914, and in 1932 seniority made him chair- man of the House Naval Affairs Committee. On the eve of World War II he oversaw the instant explosion of the military budget, funneling billions into the construction of bases and factories in Georgia, especially middle MARCH 4, 1991 THE NEW REPUBLIC 23 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Georgia. Military Keynesianism pulled the region out of the Depression and laid the basis for a modern economy. Since before the Civil War Southerners in control of key congressional committees had wielded influence out of proportion to their weight in the country. Vinson, who ruled over his committee with an imperious hand, had two sobriquets: "the Swamp Fox," for his shrewd- ness at legislative guerrilla maneuver, and "the Admi- ral," for his command of what he called "my Navy." After 1947, when the semce committees were merged and he became the first chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, he could also refer to "my Army." Sam Nunn Jr. saw Vinson as a model, and when he graduated from Emory Law School in 1962, he joined his uncle's committee staff for a year. "He was at the zenith of his power," Nunn told me in an interview. "That had a big effect on me." At the end of his stint with Uncle Carl, unsure whether to set up his legal practice in Perry or Atlanta, Nunn sought the advice of Senator Herman Talmadge, the old family friend. Talmadge counseled him to return to his roots, where he had a better chance of winning a seat in the state legislature. Back in Perry, Nunn joined a group of responsible moderates devoted to racial comity dur- ingthe civil rights revolution. Soon he was elected to the legislature. After four years there he lobbied the mem- bers hard to create a new congressional district in mid- dle Georgia that might be his. But his ambition to follow in the footsteps of his great uncle was rebuffed, not least because of the opposition of the new governor, Jimmy Carter. Inside the Statehouse, a detractor hung a sign: "Bye, bye, Nunn." Then, with the 1972 election ap- proaching, Richard Russell died. Given the lifetime ten- ures of Southern senators, the razest of opportunities had presented itself. or Georgians, filling the vacancy meant filling a myth. As the chairman of the Senate Armed Ser- vices Committee, Russell had formed with Vin- son apowerful legislative alliance. Russell was a monastic man, a lonely drinker and voracious reader, married to the institution as only a Southerner could be. In 1952 he had deluded himself into believing that the deference paid him within the Senate represented a national will. His presidential candidacy served only to demonstrate his very limited regional support and to expose his vanity. His defeat showed him as decidedly mortal, and he would never rise beyond the Senate. Still, his institutional power remained intact. He sup- ported a lazge Pentagon budget, but wazned against the United States becoming the "world policeman." At the start he opposed American involvement in Vietnam. Once massive forces were committed, he seemed to have become a hawk, though when the crunch came in Mazch 1968 he strongly opposed the Pentagon's urgent request for acall-up of the reserves. For him, the constitutional tension between Congress and the executive over for- eign policy was a central dilemma. But he was willing to give in to the president in the period of the cold waz because of its extreme danger. Lyndon Johnson, like Harry Truman, respected Russell more than any other member of the Senate; both relied on him in every crisis. ' "His struggle," writes the historian Caroline F. Ziemke, "often led to apparent inconsistencies between what he believed was right and the public position he actually took, inconsistencies which, in turn, compromised his ability to exploit his influence and leave an indelible mark on U.S. policy in Southeast Asia." "I met him two or three times," says Nunn of Russell. "I came over to the Senate side with Uncle Carl when they had a conference. I was a junior lawyer. It was shaking hands, that's about it." Russell was remote, but his image loomed. Nunn asked Uncle Carl whether he should seek Russell's seat. "He told me not to run," says Nunn, "that I was Crary to run, that I didn't have a chance-mission impossible." But Nunn felt that if he did not take the risk he would be finished in politics. Vinson seemed to be testing his nephew's mettle. "After the first two weeks to see if I'd stay in, he pitched in and helped," says Nunn. The Swamp Fox notified his many supporters that he was backing Young Sam, and that financial contributions would not be inappropriate. Nunn faced an Atlanta lawyer named David Gambrell, who had been appointed by Governor Carter to serve the remainder of Russell's term and was Carter's cam- paign finance chairman. "When you have an appointed senator," says Nunn, "there are at least fi~ur or five factions who didn't get the job." Eventually, all those who felt rejected mobilized on behalf of Nun n. I t was, he remazks, "a strange coalition"-an anti-Garter coali- tion, in fact ranging from segregationist Lester Mad- dox to civil rights activist Julian Bond. Nunn accused Gambrell of being a "false conservative," supporting the Democratic nominee, George McGovern, for president, and buying his seat with' contributions to Garter. The candidate also made a pilgrimage to the man who was then the Confederate flag. "George Wallace," said Nunn, "represents the real views of Georgians." But perhaps the crucial stroke in his campaign-and cazeer-was made by Uncle Cazl. Before the runoff, Vinson took Young Sam up to Washington to see Sena- tor John Stennis of Mississippi, Russell's successor as chairman of the Armed Services Committee. Nunn left Stennis's office with a pledge that, if elected, he would be named to the committee. This rite made Nunn the presumptive heir of both Vinson and Russell. Flourish- ing this promise, he won a narrow victory. The new senator took his direction partly from the courtly Stennis, who conducted the committee's busi- ness with an air of civility and the tap of a pencil on a water glass. But simply becoming a Southern grandee in the old style was no longer possible in the defense field. A new class had intruded to set the terms of the discus- sion: the defense intellectuals. Nunn soon began to take his lead partly from Rand, the Air Force-sponsored think tank, using their studies to enhance his reputation as one who knew what he was talking about. He appeazed more intellectual, more expert than his older col- leagues. But he also partly followed the lead of another 24 TrIE NEW REPUBLIC MAACM 4, 1991 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 committee member, Senator Henry Jackson, a scathing critic of detente with the Soviet Union and the chief proponent of the more-is-better school of defense spending. Jackson was a strident cold warrior whose ideas on defense were adduced from ideological points. Nunn always presented his case based on clinical evi- dence, carefiil to position himself as an expert beyond ideology and followership. In 1976 Nunn endorsed Jackson for president, but Jackson was handily dispatched in the primaries by the former governor of Georgia, Nunn's earlier nemesis. His quiet criticisms of Carter as impulsive, weak, and lacking in judgment were accepted as special insights coming from a Georgian and enhanced Nunn's own reputation as the opposite. In 1978 the senator and the president attempted to make peace by uniting around the neutron bomb. Carter commissioned him to drum up support for the weapon in Congress, but then withdrew his own support, embarrassing Nunn, who felt this was a final betrayal. unn had tried to steer a middle course in favor of both arms control and an arms buildup-a course between Carter and Jackson. But at the crucial moments he swerved toward the latter. In 1979, as the ratification hearings on s.~t.T tt were be- ginning, Nunn urged a 5 percent increase in the defense budget. In 1980 Jackson demanded that the committee issue a negative report on the treaty, even though it did not fall within its jurisdiction. Stennis, whose energy and grip on the committee were waning, cited the tradition of the Senate-the proper respect for other commit- tees-which to him was paramount. But Nunn, backing Jackson, broke down Stennis's resistance. Though Nunn claims he would have voted for the treaty, he had helped undermine its passage. After the Soviets invaded Afghan- istan, Carter never even submitted it to the Senate for approval; now he too was advocating a buildup. Ronald Reagan swept into the capital with long coat- tails and a Republican Senate. John Tower of Texas became the chairman of Armed Services. He was ex- tremely partisan, knowledgeable, and disagreeable. In the early 1980s Nunn positioned himself as the pivotal man in a number of compromises involving the funding of weapons systems, invariably crafting a mid- dle ground. He spent a good deal of his time in the imbroglio over -how many Ntx missiles-in hardened silos or on racetracks-would close the metaphoric win- dow of vulnerability. In 1983, when Reagan sent Ma- rines to Lebanon, as if their mere presence would straighten out its convoluted civil strife, and the Demo- cratic leadership endorsed a War Powers resolution in support, Nunn went into the opposition. "It is an abso- lutely absurd military mission," he said. Russell's cau- tions about Vietnam were not far in the back of his mind. When a [ruck bomber blew up the Marines, Nunn's prophecy was fully borne out. Defense Secre- tary Caspar Weinberger's credibility with Congress was virtually nil, his frequent testimony dismissed as worth- less. He was presiding over a "Department of Procure- ment, not a Department of Defense," Nunn cracked. Back in Georgia he had become an institution, an untouchable political figure. During his effortless re- election campaign in 1984, he was endorsed by dozens of craven Republican leaders. Nunn's victorious return to Washington was especially sweet because Tower had resigned and the new chairman of Armed Services was the conservative icon Barry Goldwater, the weakest chairman in the committee's history. Nunn often adroit- ly operated as the de facto chairman without Goldwater ever aware of his figurehead status. "We better come up with somebody," said Goldwater, "or I'm going to sup- port this guy for president." In 1986 the Democrats regained the Senate. At last Sam Nunn Fvas in the chairman's seat of Richard Russell. Meanwhile, conservatives within the redoubt of Wein- berger's Pentagon were making a heroic, devious effort to create an enormous obstacle to~prevent Reagan from ever signing an arms control agreement with the Soviets. They argued that the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty could be reinterpreted to permit that which it clearly prohibit- ed-the full development of Star Wars, the president's "dream." Informed that he could make the treaty mean what he wanted it to mean, Reagan was happy. But by doing so, he would demean the Senate's treaty-making power to the vanishing point. In March 1987 Nunn held forth on the Senate floor for days in defense of the treaty and the Senate's constitutional prerogatives. His speech- eswere athunderbolt. For all intents and purposes, they settled the debate and helped clear the way for the Intermediate Nuclear Force Treaty. Republicans who had come to view Nunn as an ally were becoming wary, and soon their apprehension turned to rage. Upon taking office, George Bush nomi- nated Tower to be his defense secretary. It was assumed that he would be routinely confirmed by the committee he had chaired. Nunn, who had never liked Tower, now came to see him as a debauched, untrustworthy charac- ter. "Tower didn't have many close friends around here," Nunn says laconically. "But I didn't have any major problems. I had fully intended to support him. It was an accumulation of facts. What people don't realize is that most of that stuff [stories of Tower's drinking and womanizing] came out before we got the ~t file. The press was chasing it all over the place. The other thing people don't realize-the most unpleasant, disagree- able task in my life-is that so many people would come up and tell me firsthand experiences who wouldn't testi- fy. What do you do with that? As chairman of the com- mittee, Ididn't use the arguments on the floor. In my own mind-people giving me accounts, at least fifteen accounts-I can't ignore that. It's not a court of law, but it went into my personal thinking." Single-handedly, Nunn brought down the Tower nomination. The Republicans were in a fury. Senator Robert Dole, their sulfurous minority leader, mocked his stance of nonpartisanship as "Nunn-partisanship." But on issue after issue of defense and foreign policy, Bush relied upon Nunn. In 1989 his voting record showed that he backed Bush 72 percent of the time, the 26 THE IYEW REPUBLIC MARCH 4, 1991 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1 fourth-highest rating among Democratic senators. _ Nunn was pleased to be working closely with a presi- dent, though by 1990 he had begun to criticize him for failing to respond to the end of the cold war. Bush's military strategy, he charged, was a series of "blanks"- not the necessary "fundamental rethinking," though Nunn had only begun that task himself. y now he was commonly spoken of as a presiden- tialcontender. In 1987 he had said he would give the possibility "serious thinking," but then veered away. In 1990, however, he seemed to be trying to make himself more acceptable to the party. He quit the Burning Tree Country Club in Bethesda, which discriminates against women. Overnight, he tossed over- boardhis position against abortion, making his new case in terms of practicality, not morality, revealing how per- functory his belief in his previous position had been. He treated the self-consciously "centrist" Democratic Leadership Council, which featured his portrait on the cover of the first issue of its publication, The Mainstream Democrat, as a congressional staff to provide him with what he was missing in domestic policy. "He relies a lot on us," says AI From, the DLC's director. "The first big initiative he did was on national service. Will [Marshall, a uLC o4licial] wrote the book on that." But there was still no domestic Nunn canon as there was on defense. Then Saddam Hussein struck. Even after the initial U.S. mobilization in the Persian Gulf, Nunn did not anticipate that he would become the leader of the oppo- sition. But when the president doubled the troops in Saudi Arabia on November 8, Nunn was notified after the fact. "I thought the die was cast then," he says. This huge army could not be sustained on the ground, except with rotation of the troops or war-and Bush had ruled out rotation. "I never objected to having an offensive force. By October 1 I felt we had a very viable offensive force there with air.... But after the November decision they had given up on economic sanctions.... The fact that they didn't consult me didn't bother me. The fact they did it bothered me." Nunn's instincts about the proper way things ought to be done and the respect the executive should pay the Senate impelled him to hold hearings. He saw himself as representing the general sentiment of the military estab- lishment, which had qualms about Bush's haste. His witnesses-including two former chairmen of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, David Jones and William Crowe, former Defense Secretary James Schlesinger, and former na- tional security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski-were among his closest advisers. Their very presence was an appeal to authority. There was another authoritative figure in the hearing room, though he was a ghost. "I see the Middle East in some of the same ways that Russell probably saw Viet- nam," says Nunn, "a place we would get into and not be able to get out of.... In Vietnam there was no clear military mission. Here there was a clear military mission. Here I did not think liberating Kuwait in the next four weeks was vital. I saw it as over the next six to twelve months. It had become vital to get the Iraqis out of there because of the huge commitment of the president's prestige." By the time Nunn delivered his floor speech, it was clear that his cause was lost. He had been unable to carry with him any of the Southern Democrats who regularly followed his lead, with the exception of David Boren of Oklahoma. Nunn's speech, a desperate effort to estab- lish abalance between means and ends, ultimately re- flected his ambivalence. He challenged the notion that Kuwait was a vital interest: "We throw around the word `vital' very carelessly." He acknowledged that sanctions guaranteed nothing. He demanded that Saddam leave Kuwait, and admitted that "military power" might be necessary. Nunn's intellectual position, and therefore the Democrats', lacked clarity and depth. Having con- ceded the principle of using military force to protect an interest he doubted was vital, he found himself ensnared in Russell's quandary. He had proposed not an idea but a hope. What the Democrats were left with was a tactical hy- pothesis-an instrumental point-that cannot be re- vived. With Saddam unbending after being subjected to the greatest air bombardment in history, it now seems absurd to believe that sanctions alone would have made him relent. Nunn himself recognizes that the position he had laid out is no longer there. "That debate is over," he says. "Nobody will ever be able to demonstrate with finality whether it would have ever worked." When the bombs started falling, Nunn scrambled to restore his luster by proposing a resolution supporting the troops. In closed sessions with the Democratic lead- ership, he was described as confused about and obsessed with the sources of Bush's actions. Nunn was thinking out loud; the silent command was absent. His political friends were suddenly unsure about his prospects. "Where he's going politically, the best thing I could tell you is you better talk to him,"..says From of the nLC. "I don't know, and I know him pretty well." The idea of a presidential campaign has no appeal for Nunn now. "I don't plan to be a candidate in 1992 and I'm not inclined that way," he says. "In all sincerity, I believe I'll finish my political career in the Senate." His Republican critics suggest that a political miscalculation on the war has blasted his ambition. But it was never obvious that Nunn would have (or will) ever run for president-just that he let others say he should. He has not had a real campaign since he was first elected to the Senate. He recalls that when he used a negative commer- cial, his mother, offended, chided him-and he pulled it off the air. The political process, he says, is not what it ought to be: "It's very bad." But he is paying the price of having staged a candidacy in another form. He has reached a place in his career for which neither -Uncle Carl nor Admiral Crowe, neither the experts at Rand nor at the nLC, prepared him. In spite of himself, he has become what he had damned: a national Democrat. Exposed in the crisis as decidedly mortal, Sam Nunn can no longer lay claim to mystic political wisdom. ? MARCH 4, 1991 THE NEW REPUBLIC 27 Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/05/25 :CIA-RDP99-014488000401630004-1