ACDA VIEWS ON SALT TALKS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7
Release Decision: 
RIFLIM
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date: 
June 21, 2010
Sequence Number: 
11
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 24, 1970
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7.pdf262.53 KB
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No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21: LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 e7 lw6me. 2 '- March 24, 1970 THE SECRETARY OF STATJ THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE. THE ATTORNEY "Y GENT I',AL T1Tr CHAIRMAN, J-wOINT CHZST OF STAFFr yeaC TtHE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL XNTELLICE ~iYE $JECT: ACDA Views on SALT Talks The Preoidont has Raked me to cir att to the att shed letter sent to him by the Director of .AEA e reaatng views on the position the U. S. ,.houl4 take at Vienna. State Dept. review completed ON-FILE NSC RELEASE INSTRUCTIONS APPLY No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 ( igaad) HEPIRY A. KISSING ER Ianry A. (issi er OFFICE OF THE DIRECTOR Dear Mr. President: 1iv. 0z=copies, beri.es A No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 UNITED STATES ARMS CONTROL AND DISARMAMENT AGENCY WASHINGTON March 23, 1970 As we approach the reopening of the SALT talks, I wish to submit for your consideration some views as to the stance the United States should take. We have learned from some fourteen months of study- ing SALT problems that there are no clear cut answers to all the important issues. It seems to me that all deci- sions on these issues are close. There are risks attached to each of the various possible courses of action, as there are risks to continuing on our present course of independent strategic arms development and deployment. Even if the approach best calculated to advance the United States interest could be clearly identified, one cannot foresee clearly what arrangement might be negoti- ated with the Soviet Union, or on what conditions. In approaching the next phase'of SALT,. a central question is whether to try for (1) a relatively simple quantitative arrangement freezing numbers of launchers for major systems, or (2) a comprehensive arrangement including a MIRV ban and perhaps other qualitative limitations. I think the-security interests of the United States would.be better served by a more comprehensive agreement if the necessary verification arrangements can be The President, The White House. SECRET CROUP 1 Excluded from auto- matic downgrading and declassification. No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 : LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 : LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 W negotiated. The current strategic balance, while in pro- cess of change, rests on high levels and a variety of strategic weapons on both sides. A limited agreement Would not remove a number of the concerns which we now have about the sufficiency of our strategic forces in the years to come. It might also leave unchecked a costly, risky competition in areas not covered by the agreement. Unless we make comprehensive proposals, we will fail to test fully the depth and nature of Soviet interest in agreements to.constrain the strategic arms -.competition.. psychological costs. If a MIRV ban and low or zero ABM levels can be ne- gotiated with.the:conditions which have been worked out :in the Verification Panel, and for a short term of perhaps five-years,.1 think that United States security would be ,subject to no greater-risks than obtain under the present -;uncontrolled situation. There would be risks in such a Tconttrolled---environment-, but I believe. that they are cal- culable, insurable, relatively short term, and reasonable ones.'to.xun~ My suggestion-is in line with the recent '.re,conimendations to.you' of the General Advisory Committee cc-haired by John:McCloy. From an international as well as domestic political point of view, it strikes me that if a posture is adopted (of not trying for controls-over MIRVs or for ARM levels Bless'than the full Safeguard program, there will be heavy .:.__.If .SAIrT fails, Congressional support for strategic weapons programs in the future may depend in good part on the nature.-of.United_:States,SALT--offers. that the Soviet -,.would not.accept... If you reach a similar conclusion as to how this nation's security interests might best be served, I believe '."from:-the negotiating point of view that it would be prefer-- ablelfor-..us:to=put.forward proposals for comprehensive SALT arrangements at Vienna. This will . help us to take control SECRET No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 : LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 of the negotiating process. We would, of course, retain the option of agreeing to simpler quantitative arrange- ments if that proves to be all the Soviets are interested in or all they will agree to on our conditions. We would of course make clear at the outset that any comprehensive agreement would have to (1) Cover Soviet systems which we want brought under control as well as excluding Soviet proposals (such as a no-transfer agreement or unacceptable restrictions on operations of our strategic forces) which are contrary to our interests; (2) Include collateral restraints to make major limitations effective and verifiable; (3) Provide for a short duration (e.g., five years) which reflects the experimental nature of any agreement in such a sensitive and unprecedented arms control area and limits our commitment to a period of time tolerable even in the event of unexpected technological change or unsatisfactory operation of the agreement without explicit proof of Soviet violation. If your decision is that the risks and uncertainties leave you unwilling initially to authorize us to put for- ward proposals for a comprehensive agreement, an alterna- tive would be to propose a simple quantitative agreement, coupled with explicit statement of our readiness to explore actively'more comprehensive quantitative and qualitative limitations on strategic arms -- if the Soviets are in- terested and if we can reach agreement as to scope and equitable balance of commitments, verification, and other provisions such as duration. Such a pasture would still enable us to probe Soviet interests and positions without commitment on our part, and would in my judgment be accepted bythe majority of SECRET No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 : LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7 ? W Cq_ngr_.essjo,nal and Allied opinion. If the Soviets indi- cated a positive attitude on such key. issues as the cal_later.al restraints we consider essential for verification o-the MIRV test ban, or destruction of the major facilities associated with their Moscow ABM system, this might weigh importantly. in your decision as to the-risks and benefits of : a, broad strategic arms limitation. My concern is that, if we are not able to make specific proposals on key areas of limitation, such as MIRVs and ABMs, we may find it difficult to ascertain what conditions the Soviets might agree, to. ()":_On the question of a negotiating moratorium or some kind of temporary mutual restraint in strategic arms development and deployment, I recommend-that-our posture be:that we recognize the possible value of such action, and would be prepared to consider it with regard to any equitable package of strategic systems on which the Soviets ey_i;dence a general interest in- reaching agreements under conditions which would make them/verifiable. C. , . l SE CRET. No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/06/21 : LOC-HAK-4-7-11-7