LAM SON 719: PUBLIC REACTION AND POSSIBLE POLITICAL CONSEQUENCES

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
LOC-HAK-490-3-38-3
Release Decision: 
RIFLIM
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
2
Document Creation Date: 
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date: 
October 2, 2012
Sequence Number: 
38
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 25, 1971
Content Type: 
CABLE
File: 
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PDF icon LOC-HAK-490-3-38-3.pdf175.4 KB
Body: 
No Objection to Declassification in Full 2012/10/02: LOC-HAK-490-3-38-3 ( ?.# ? "u'' ON-FILE NSC RELEASE INSTRUCTIONS APPLY fiEWVED WttcA 1971 VAR 2 3 11-1, 90 i. u -' C R E T SEN3ITIVE2512ZNAR 71 VIA CAS CHANNELS FROY,I TO: REF: TELEPHONE COVERSATION MARCH 24 A.MN AND SAIGON 276 SnJECT: LAM SON 719: PU2LIC RECTION?AM. POSSIBLE POLITICA" AM3A3SADOR BUNKER, SAIGON 0737 r THE 'WHITE HOUSE, EXCLUSIVELY E-Yzs a:11y HERY A. KISSINGER- CONSEQUENCES; 1. I THINK IT IS FAIR TO SAY THAT VIETNAMESE PU3LIC REACTION TO . LAN SON 719 WENT THROUGH THREE PHASES, AN INITIAL EUPHORIA; FOLLOWED 3Y DOUBTS IN THE LATTER PART OF FEBRUARY THAT THE ? CikPAIGN WAS GOING ACCORDING TO PLAN; AND FINALLY A RESURGENCE O:r CONFIDENCE IN AV N AND PRIDE IN ITS ACCOMPLISHMENTS. 2. INITIAL REACTION, THE INITIAL THRUST INTO LAOS SET OFF ? A WAVE OF EXCITEMENT IN SOUTH VIETNAM STIMULATED 3Y SEEING ARUN. PENETRATE AN AREA THE,ENENY HAD CONSIDERED HIS OWN FOR SO MANY YEARS. VIRTUALLY ALL NATIONALIST ELENENTS WERE INSPIRED BY THE IDEA THAT ARV N TROOPS WERE ATTACKING ALONG AND ACROSS THE W. CET MINH TRAIL. LACK OF HEAVY CONTACT WITH. THE NORTH VIETNAMESE IN THE INITIAL STAGES GAVE RISE TO THE BELIEF,THAT LAM SON 719 - MGHT BE A RE-PLAY OF THE SWEEPS INTO CAMBODIA THE PREVIOUS SPRING. 3. A CONCOMITANT 'OF THIS ENTHUSIASM .WAS THE SURFACING OF NEW. CALLS FOR A "MARCH NORTH" TO SETTLE THE WAR ONCE AND FOR ALL.' THE fOST VOCAL ADVOCATES WERE THE NORTHERN REFUGEES, 3UT SOME SOUTHERNERS AND MANY PEOPLE IN MR 1 WERE ALSO SYMPATHETIC. MANY MORE'VIETNAMESE, WHILE NOT FAVORING ti.1 ACTUAL MILITARY ATTACK ON NORTH VIETNAM, NEVERTHELESS FELT THE THREAT EXERTED DESIRABLE PSYCHOLOGICAL PRESSURE ON HANOI. .4. DOUBTS. _IMPRESSIONS THAT THE CAMPAIGN WAS GOING ACCORDING TO PLAN RECEIVED A JOLT IN THE LATTER PART OF FE:VuARY YNEN REPORTS OF HEAVY ARUN CASUALTIES ?BEGAN TO CIRCULATE. THE EXTREMELY HEAVY LOSSES OF THE 39TH RANGER BATTALION AND OF THE AIR3ORNE TROOPS STRUGGLTNG TO RETAIN CONTROL OF HILL 31 ADDED_ TO 'ENE UNEASINESS. INADEQUATE OFFICIAL EXPLANATIONS OF WFAT WAS .ACTUALLY HAPPENING IN LAOS COUPLED WITH SENATIOAL WIRE SERVICE ACCOUNTS HELPED TO COMPOUND FEARS TUT THE OPERATION HAD RUN INTO TROUBLE. IN SOME QUARTERS, DOUBT WAS EXPRESSED WHETHER THE AMERICANS wEaz PROVIDING ADEQUATE SUPPORT. VICE PRESIDENT KY WAS ESPECIALLY UNHELPFUL IN THIS RESPECT. State Dept review completed MORI C05076881 5. RESURGENCE. OF CONFIDENCE, WITH THE ADVANCE TO TCHEPONE IN EARLY MARCH AND NEW REPORTS THAT AVC' WAS ACCUITTING ITSELF WELL AGAINST THE ?WELL-ARMED AND NUMERICALLY SUPERIOR NORTH VIETNAmESE FORCES? CONFIDENCE IN ARVN RETURNED TO A HIGH LEVEL AND HAS - PL:3I'jr,F: No Objection to Declassification in Full 2012/10/02: LOC-HAK-490-3-38-3 -71.;JrvitA. ij i iir, 11,11,41 UP LJUNPILit' Vr IN PiiVN w/DE.3m7Anrigynnm,17* drth-0%..,r21. L,No Objection i ?t?DeVass!i Declassification FuFull2012/10/02 . . LOC-It8X-49 73-38 .73 Uf.11.4Aljiq ANU )LLP ILD 1k -SUPPORT OF TEE 'NOW'S yE BEEN POURING IE FROM PiRIFV'MIAL coucfu;7r WO: CIVIC o..zoup. C) NANCH 13, UPPER HOU LEADER FO :AU PRAT S TEE, SPI AT OF THE NEN INVOLVED. A CAM)AIGN.,'WHICH GREW OUT OF A RECT CONFERENCE OF PROVINCIAL COUNCIL CHAMEN, AW IS NAMED THE MOVEMENT FOR THE REAR SUPPORT OF THE SOLDIERS AT THE FRONT, II"SET TO RUN FROM MARCH 20 TO APRIL 4. DEMONSTRATIONS ARE BEI.EG PLANNED IN EVERY PROVINCE FOR SATURDAY IN SUPPORT OF THE ARMED FORCES. 7. A FURTHrR MATTER FOR SATISFACTION HAS BEEN THE FACT THAT THE FIGHTING HAS TAKEN PLACE OUTSIDE OF VIETNAM. THERE IS PRIDE IN THE FACT THAT ARVN HAS BEEN ABLE TO CONDUCT TWO CAMPAINS CUTSUE THE BORDRRS OF.VI:TOAM SIMULTANEOUSLY. PEOPLE WERE ENCOURAGED TO SEE THE INITIATIVE WITH THE' ARVN AND THERE WAS A FEELING THAT THIS INDICATED A SHIFT IN THE BALANCE OF POWER. THAT THE DRIVE INTO LAOS F:AY HAVE FORESTALLED NORTH VIETNAMESE ATTACKS INTO THE NOW PEACEFUL COASTAL PLAIN WAS ESPECIALLY. APPRECIATED IN CENTRAL VIET-NAM. S. CRITICISM. THERE PAS BEEN VERY LITTLE PUBLIC DISAPPROVAL OF LAM SON 719, EVEN FROM opposINo POLITICIANS, MOST OF WHOM HAVE PRAISED THE. OPERATION OR HAVE REMAINED SILENT. THE NUMBER OF CASUALTIES SUFFERED BY Alivn, HOWEVER, REMAINS A SENSITIVE ISSUE. 'THE MAJOR OVERT CRITIC OF THE OPERATION HAS BEEN VICE PRESIDENT' KY. HE FIRST EXPRESSED FEARS OF A POSSIBLE ?'BOGGING DOWN" THE DAY'THE OPERATION BEGAN AND THEN PREMATURELY ISSUED A CALL FOR TERMINATION OF THE OPERATION TO REST THE TROOPS. 9. THERE HAS BEEN MUCH CRITICISM OF THE MINISTRY OF INFORMATION AND GENERAL GVN AND ARVN PRESS POLICY ON THE. OPERATION FROM BOTH GOVERNMENT SUPPORTERS AND OPPOSITIONISTS. IT AS FELT -THAT BOTH THE' MINISTRY AND THE BRIEFERS FAILED TO PROVIDE TIMELY AND AUTHORITATIVE TNFORMATION TO PUT DOWN SPOT RUMORS AND .PUT MATTERS IN PERSPECTIVE. 10. THERE 18 A COPSIDERAnE DIVERGENCE BETWEEN THE VIETNAMESE INTERPRETATION OF THE OPEiATION'S RESULTS AND THE VIEW PRESENTED IN THE FOREIGN PRESS. ? MUCH OF THE LATTER PRESENTS THE WITH- C;AWAL.PNASE AS A DEFEAT FOR ARV. THE VIEW OF THE VIETNAMESE PRESS, PROADMINISTRATION AND.OPPOSITIONIST,- IS THAT LAM SON 719 WAS A VERY HEAVILY FOUGHT ENGAGEMENT IN WHICH SOME THINGS WENT WRONG, .TAT THAT;,3ASIC OBJECTIVES WERE ACHIEVED AND THAT THE ARUN FOUGHT ADMIRABLY% it. POLITICAL EFFECT. IT rs TOO EARLY TO EVALUATE THE POLITICAL IMPACT OF THE OPEIIATION WI;H ASSURANCE.. MANY POLITICAL FIGURES !AVE CUMENTED THAT SUCCEAS IN LAM SON 719 WOULD GREATLY ENNACE THIEU'S POSITION. THERE HAVE BEEN SOME REPORTS THAT IT liAS ALREADY RESULTED IN MORF POSITIVE SUPPORT FOR THE GOVERNMENT. THIEU HIMSELF FAS REFLECTED THIS FEELFOG IN RECENT TALKS I HAVE En WITH HIM. I THINK IT IS FAIR TO SAY THAT LAN SON 719 HAS !=N A POLITIOAL PLUS IN THE CONFIDENCE IT HAS CREATED IN THE AOILITY OF ARVN AND IN PRIDE IN ITS ACCOMPLISUENTS. THERE, ? HAS FIEEr SATISFACTION IN THE FACT THAT THE FIGHTING HAS TAKEN PLACE ONSIDE THE k;ORDERS OF SOUTH VIETNAM AND THAT WHILE ARVN VtV3 HAD EAVY LOS".-..S IT VAS INFLICTED FAR HEAVIER CASUALTIES CO THT ? No Objection to Declassification in Full 2012/10/02: LOC-HAK-490-3-38-3