SOVIET ANALYSIS OF U.S. CAPABILITIES AND INTENTIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: Library of Congress
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): LOC-HAK-537-1-5-9
• Release Decision: RIPLIM
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: January 11, 2017
• Document Release Date: August 17, 2010
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: November 13, 1969
• Content Type: MEMO

No Objection to Declassification in Part 2013/03/26: LOC-HAK-537-1-5-9
t'WV 1. 'i 1969
MEMORAJ4DUM FOR
E DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
SUBJECT: Soviet Analysis of U. S. Capabilities and Intentions
The report on intelligence analysis in the Soviet
Union is a hig, y interesting study of the procedures and Lnstitu-
tions by which the Soviets make judgments about the outside
world. I would be interested to know what we know of the substance
of those juddgnw
For e*ample r
... What do they think Is our targeting doctrine? Do they
think our Minutemen are targeted on their cities or on their forces?
?. How do their perceptions of our forces and doctrines
enter into their own strategic fore* decisions? Would they see a
need. to have a MIRY to respond to our ICBM force?
?? What is their current view on the kinds of situations in,
which we might use nuclear weapons? Do they expect quick use
of theater weapons in a war in Europe? Do they see "bargaining'
strikes or threats of strikes as a likely device in a confrontation
between the U. S. and the USSR?
I realise that our information on questions like this may not be as
complete and definitive as our Information on some technical
questions, On the other hand, the President has often expressed
his interest in careful assessments of Soviet reactions to the
courses of action he wants to consider. Analytic intelligence on
how they view specific substantive areas helps us understand how
they might react to future situations.
MORI/CDF
C05106168
pages 1 & 2
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2013/03/26: LOC-HAK-537-1-5-9
 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2013/03/26: LOC-HAK-537-1-5-9
w Tw
Y WW 44 appreciate rsceiving from you as au soon as po.sibles
outUMng what ws know now *bout the quealtions
A report on our pr.$eut caaptbUttl to
arxa*k es$, with suggostions for Improve
(Signed) HENRY A. KI SINGER
Hoary A. Kissing
LELynn/Walocombe/ks nb/7 Nov 1969
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2013/03/26: LOC-HAK-537-1-5-9
 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2013/03/26: LOC-HAK-537-1-5-9
MEMORANDUM 14 X 91 .3
ACTION
November 8, 1969
MEMORANDUM FOR DR. KISSINGER
s
FROM: Laurence E. Lynn, ,Tr.
SUBJECT: Request for More Information from CIA on Soviet
Analysis of U. S. Capabilities and Intentions
General Haig said that after reading the CIA's report on intelligence
analysis procedures in the Soviet Union you asked what We know
about the substance of their analysis, specifically whether they
think our Minutemen are aimed at cities and whether they have
MIRVs.
Attached at Tab A is a note to Helms asking for:
-- CIA's current views on those two questions and on their
notions of when the U. S. might use nuclear weapons.
A report on our present capability to answer questions
about the substance of Soviet analysis of U. S. actions and doctrine.
I have included the second part so that CIA will be reminded of
your interest in intelligence analysis of Soviet decision-making
and doctrine, as well as technical and "factual" reporting.
RECOMMENDATION:
That you sign the memorandum at Tab A.
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2013/03/26: LOC-HAK-537-1-5-9