ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ITEMS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: Library of Congress
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): LOC-HAK-549-1-33-5
• Release Decision: RIPLIM
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: January 11, 2017
• Document Release Date: October 27, 2011
• Sequence Number: 33
• Publication Date: February 21, 1974
• Content Type: CABLE

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No Objection to Declassification in Part 2011/10/27: LOC-HAK-549-1-33-5
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MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY
FEBRUARY 21s 1974
ON-FILE NSC RELEASE
INSTRUCTIONS APPLY
SUBJECT: ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ITEMS
PIANNFD STUDFNT DEMONSTRATION AGAINST YOU AND CHILEAN GOVERNMENT:
IF NECESSARY. IT IS UNLIKFLYs HOWEVER, THAT STUDENT PL FRS
WILL BE ABLE TO MUSTER A LARGE NUMBER OF DEMONSTRATORS WHO WOULD
BE WILLING TO RISK A VIOLENT CONFRONTATION WITH SECURITY FORCES.
THE GOVERNMENT HAS SHOWN.N 1 PROPENSITY TO HUMOR LEFTIST STtJnENTS,
PREFERRING EITHER TO DISRUPT ANY PLANNED DEMONSTRATIONS BEFr1RE
THEY GET STARTED OR MEET THEM FORCEFULLY AND DECISIVELY IF THEY
DO. ALL NECESSARY STEPS WILL CERTAINLY BE TAKEN TO ENSURE THAT
THE FOREIGN MINISTERS! MEETING IS NOT DISRUPTED. (FAZIO)
EGYPTIAN FORCES ALERT:
THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OTHER EVIDENCE OF SUCH A DEVELOPMENT, THE
FOLLOWING HAVE BEEN SUGGESTED AS POSSIBLE MOTIVES:
~- ISRAELI WITHDRAWAL FROM THE WEST BANK OF THE SUEZ CANAL
ACROSS THE ONE REMAINING BRIDGE IS SCHEDULED TO BE COM- 25X1
PLETED TOMORROWS FEBRUARY 21. 25X1
-- ISRAEL IS CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH A DOMESTIC POLITICAL
CRISIS IN FORMING A NEW GOVERNMENT. THE EGYPTIANS AND
SYRIANS PREVIOUSLY REACTED TO THE ISRAELI ELECTIONS ON
DECEMBER'31 BY PLACING THEIR FORCES ON ALERT.
*.* * * * * * * ? * * * * * * * *WHSR COMMENT * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
SFCFL
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-- SADAT IS OUT OF THE COUNTRY, EN ROUTE TO THE ISLAMIC
SUMMIT IN LAHORE OVER THE WEEKEND. (NIEHUSS/SAUNDERS)
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MRS. MEIR FORMS MINORITY GOVERNMENT: MRS. MEIR ANNOUNCED LAST
NIGHT THAT SHE WOULD MOVE FORWARD TO ESTABLISH A MINORITY GOV-
ERNMENTS WITH ONLY ABOUT 58 OUT OF 120 KNESSET SEATS. SHE
EVIDENTLY FAILED TO REACH AN ACCEPTABLE COMPROMISE WITH THE
FORMER COALITION PARTNERS, THE CONSERVATIVE NATIONAL RELIGIOUS
PARTY, ON WHICH THE LABOR ALIGNMENT DEPENDED FOR ITS MAJORITY.
SHE REPORTEDLY EXPRESSED THE HOPE, HOWEVER, THAT THE NRP WfuLD
JOIN THE NEW GOVERNMENT AT SOME POINT -- LEAVING OPEN THE OP-
TION THAT FURTHER NEGOTIATIONS MAY STILL BRING THAT PARTY AROUND.
NIEHUSS/SAUNDERS)
BRANDT BESET BY TROUBLES -- RUMORS OF RESIGNATION: EMBASSY
BONN REPORTS THAT THE WEST GERMAN PRESS IN THE PAST FEW DAYS
HAS CARRIED WHAT APPEARS Tn BE WELL-INFORMED ARTICLES CON-
CERNING WILLY BR-ANDT'S DEEP UNHAPPINESS WITH THE STATE OF
AFFAIRS IN THE FRG. ESPECIALLY DISTURBING TO HIM, APPARENTt.Ys
WAS THE RECENT INFLATIONARY WAGE SETTLEMENT WITH THE PUBLIC
SERVICE UNIONS, WHICH BRANDT KNOWS WILL SET THE PATTERN FOR.
OTHER UNION BARGAINING IN THE WEEKS AND MONTHS AHEAD. THIS
PROBLEM, COMING IN CONJUNCTION WITH A SERIES OF OTHER SETBACKS
AND DIFFICULTIES, IS SAID TO BE CAUSING BRANDT TO CONSIDER
STEPPING DOWN AS CHANCELLOR. ALTHOUGH SENIOR SPO SOURCES ARE
DENYING THESE RUMORS, BRANDT HAS APPEARED SOMEWHAT TIRED AND
DISPIRITED IN HIS PUBLIC APPEARANCES RECENTLY. WHILE IT IS
QUITE UNLIKELY THAT HE IS SERIOUSLY CONTEMPLATING RESIGNATION,
BRANDT CERTAINLY REALIZES THAT THE DOMESTIC POLITICAL-ECONOMIC
SITUATION IN GERMANY IS NOT LIKELY TO SHOW IMPROVEMENT IN T!4E
COMING YEAR AND THIS WILL RIOT IMPROVE HIS PRESENT GLOOMY MOOD.
CLIFT)
TANAKA GOVERNMENT WEAKENED -- BUT NOT. FATALLY: VICE FOREIGN MIN-
ISTER HOGEN'S DEPARTURE OF FEBRUARY 18 APPAc.ENTLY WAS AN EFFORT
BY THE TANAKA GOVERNMENT To PREEMPT GROWING CRITICISM OF ITS
FOREIGN POLICY -- AND PARTICULARLY FROM ATTACKS ORIGINATING IN
ITS OWN LIBERAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY (LDP) RANKS. THE EVENT WHICH
TRIGGERED HOGEN'S DISMISSAL -- AMRASSADOR YASUKAWA'S MISSTATE-
MENT ABOUT THE TIMING OF THE EMPEROR'S VISIT TO THE U.S. ,-- WAS
ONLY THE LATEST WHICH CRITICS HAD SEIZED ON, EARLIER ISSUES
HAVE INCLUDED THE CIVIL AIR AGREEMENT JAPAN IS NEGOTIATING wITH
THE PRC', MIDDLE EAST AND ENERGY POLICIES, AND TANAKA'S RECENT
SOUTHEAST ASIAN TRIP, LEADING MANY OF THESE ATTACKS FROM WITHIN
THE LDP HAS BEEN THE NEW RIGHTWINGs NATIONALISTIC FACTION, SUMMER
STORM GROUP (SEIRANKAI).
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TANAKA'S ACTION ON HOGEN QUITE OPENLY ADMITS THE WEAKENED STATE
OF HIS GOVERNMENT: HE APPARENTLY HAD HOPED THAT HIS PUBLIC RE-
PRIMAND OF YASUKAWA WOULD SUFFICE. OUR EMBASSY IN TOKYOs HOW-
EVER, BELIEVES THAT NOT EVEN OFFERING UP HOGEN WILL STILL TANAKA'S
CRITICS. IN ADDITION, THE LOP IN-FIGHTING HARDLY WILL HELP THE
PARTY PREPARE FOR ITS MAJOR TEST IN THE UPPER HOUSE ELECTIONS
THIS JUNE.
A RANKING FOREIGN OFFICE OFFICIAL HAS TOLD OUR EMBASSY THAT AM-
BASSADOR YASUKAWA WILL NOT BE SACRIFICED, IF ONLY BECAUSE HIS
OUSTER WOULD OPEN OHIRA TO MORE DIRECT ATTACK, GIVEN OHIRA'S
CLOSE ASSOCIATION WITH YASUKAWA'S GAFFE. HOGEN'S REPLACEMENT,
DEPUTY VICE MINISTER TOGO, PORTENDS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE P
OUR RELATIONS WITH JAPAN. (FROEBE)
ARGENTINA BUYS OIL FROM LIPYA: THE ARGENTINE GOVERNMENT HAS
SIGNED A SERIES OF BILATERAL AGREEMENTS WITH LIBYA UNDER WHICH
LIBYA WILL SUPPLY THREE MILLION METRIC TONS OF CRUDE OIL TO
ARGENTINA IN 1974. ARGENTINA REPORTEDLY WILL PAY THE GOING
INTERNATIONAL PRICE. IN RETURN LIBYA WILL PROVIDE CAPITAL
FOR AN ARGENTINE-LIBYAN INVESTMENT BANK IN ARGENTINA AND WILL
PURCHASE UNSPECIFIED AMOUNTS OF ARGENTINE AGRICULTURAL AND
MANUFACTURED GOODS. OUR EMBASSY BELIEVES THAT ARGENTINA WILL
ALSO CONTINUE ITS CRUDE IMPORTS FROM TRADITIONAL WESTERN SOURCES,
POSSIBLY USING ANY EXCESS CRUDE (EVEN AT HIGH COST) AS A MEANS
TO GAIN INFLUENCE WITH URUGUAY AND PARAGUAY AND COUNTER BRAZILIAN
INFLUENCE WITH THESE COUNTRIES. (BROWNELL)
LIBYAN-ARAB WORLD RELATIONS: LIBYA'S RELATIONS WITH THE ARAB
WORLDS ESPECIALLY EGYPT' APPEAR TO BE ON THE MEND, AT LEAST
FOR THE SHORT-TERM. ALL SIDES SEEM TO HAVE A NATURAL INTEREST
IN THIS DEVELOPMENT, ESPECIALLY ON THE EVE OF THE ISLAMIC SUMMIT.
LAST WEEK PRESIDENT ASAD STOPPED OVER IN TRIPOLI ON HIS WAY
TO THE SUMMIT IN ALGIERS, WHICH WAS NOT TO INCLUDE LIBYA, THIS
WEEK, QADHAFI VISITED SADAT IN CAIRO -- AFTER SADAT HAS ALL BUT
IGNORED HIM FOR THE PAST TWO MONTHS -- AND EVEN DELIVERED A
RATHER MILD SPEECH CONCERNING EGYPT'S CURRENT PEACE EFFORTS;
HE POLITELY ACKNOWLEDGED THAT "SINCERE DIFFERENCES" WOULD BE
AIRED ONLY IN A CLOSED MEETING RATHER THAN IN PUBLIC, AS HAS
BEEN QAOHAFI'S WONT IN THE PAST. YESTERDAY, SADAT AND QADHAFI
FLEW TOGETHER TO SEE KING FAISAL; THEY MAY EVEN GO ON TOGETHER
TO THE ISLAMIC SUMMIT WHICH OPENS IN LAHORE ON FRIDAY. IN
SUMMARY, QADHAFI APPEARS MOMENTARILY REPENTANT AND ARAB NEIGH-
BORS PRAGMATICALLY INTERESTED IN FOLDING HIM 'INTO THE UNITEn
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.ARAB FRONT TO SHORE.UP PEACE EFFORTS -- AN INITIATIVE THEY HAVE
EXPRESSED A DESIRE TO UNDERTAKE AS OFTEN AS THEY HAVE DESCRIBED
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QADHAFI AS A MADMAN.
ALL SIDES WOULD SEEM TO BENEFIT BY THIS MOVE. QADHAFI HAS PEEN
BADLY ISOLATED POLITICALLY AND ALSO DOES NOT WANT TO FOREGO
EGYPTIAN TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE, UPON WHICH LIBYA DEPENDS HEAVILY
FOR ITS DEFENSE ESTABLISHMENT AND DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS. EGYPT
AND SYRIA HAVE A NATURAL INTEREST IN LIBYAN MONEY AT A MINIMUM
POLITICAL COST AND ALSO, ALONG WITH SAUDI ARABIA AND OTHER ARAB
STATES RELEVANT TO THE PEACE PROCESS, A GREAT INTEREST IN
NEUTRALIZING LIBYA'S OBSTRUCTIONIST VIEWS TOWARDS A SETTLEMFNT
AND IN FURTHER STRENGTHENING PROSPECTS FOR A TRULY UNITED ARAB
POSITION. THE TIMING Of THIS DEVELOPMENT IS OF INTEREST SINCE
THE ISLAMIC SUMMIT, WHICH WILL DISCUSS THE MIDDLE EAST, WILL
OPEN ON FRIDAY. WITH QADHAFI AND ARAFAT BOTH PRESENT, THE
ANTICIPATION HAS BEEN THAT THE CHANCES FOR INTER-ARAB DISAGREE-
MENT AND HARDENED POSITIONS ON MIDEAST ISSUES WOULD BE GREATER,
AND GENERALLY UNHELPFUL TO THE CURRENT NEGOTIATIONS. ARAB AND
PARTICULARLY SADAT'S EFFORTS TO BRING QADHAFI INTO THE FOLn
PRIOR TO THE CONFERENCE AND HIS PRESENCE WITH QADHAFI COULD RE-
DUCE THE CHANCES FOR AN UNHELPFUL OUTCOME AT LAHORE, WHICH IS
IN OUR INTEREST AS WELL. (.NIEHUSS/SAUNDERS)
JORDAN-PLO RELATIONS: KING HUSSEIN HAS RECENTLY BEEN RETHINKING
JORDAN'S STRATEGY AND IS NOW REPORTED TO HAVE CONCLUDED THAT THE
PLO SHOULD BE GIVEN GREATER RESPONSIBILITY TO NEGOTIATE FOR IS-
RAELI WITHDRAWAL FROM THE WEST BANK THROUGH THE FORMULATION OF
A JOINT JORDANIAN-PLO POSITION. THE KING'S MAIN CONCERN IS TO
EASE JORDAN'S ISOLATION WITHIN THE ARAB WORLD AND HIS OWN DIFFI-
CULT DOMESTIC SITUATION.
THE KING AND ZAYD RIFAI ARE PLANNING TO MEET WITH A FATAH REPRE-
SENTATIVE IN AQABA TODAY. HE WILL THEN WANT TO DISCUSS HIS STRAT-
EGY WITH YOU DURING YOUR UPCOMING VISIT AND ALSO PLANS TO TALK TO
KING FAISAL AND PRESIDENTS SADAT AND ASAD, IF ALL THESE TALKS GO
WELL, THE KING WOULD THEN BE PREPARED TO ANNOUNCE JORDAN'S NEW
POLICY PUBLICLY.
TO SOME DEGREE, THIS SEEMS TO BE A TACTICAL PLOY ON THE KINr;'S
PART, BUT IT DOES REFLECT HIS SENSE THAT JORDAN WILL BE TAKING
HIGH RISKS IN ANY UNILATERAL AGREEMENT WITH ISRAEL. IN ANY
EVENTS THE PRESENT ISRAELI ATTITUDE TOWARD NEGOTIATING OVER
THE WEST BANK MAY MAKE THIS ACADEMIC. (QUANDT/SAUNDERS)
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SIHANOUK IDLES IN CANTON: EXCEPT FOR A BRIEF TET VISIT TO.kANOI,
PRINCE SIHANOUK HAS REMAINED IN CANTON SINCE EARLY NOVEMBER O -
TFNSIBLY CARING FOR HIS AILING MOTHER, QUEEN KOSSAMAK.
HIS CHINESE HOSTS RECENTLY HAVE NOT DEVOTED MUCH ATTENTION TO
SIHANOUK. INSTEAD, PEKING'S PRESS HAS CONCENTRATED ON KHMER
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COMMUNIST MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS. (STEARMAN/ADAMS)
DRV LEADERS CRITICIZE PROLETARIAT BEHAVIOR: IN NORTH VIETNAM'S
"PROLETARIAN DICTATORSHIP," THE PROLETARIAT AS WELL AS THE PEA-
SANTRY HAVE COME UNDER SIGNIFICANT BUT NOT UNPRECEDENTED OFFI-
CIAL CRITICISM IN RECENT WEEKS. SINCE EARLY FEBRUARY, NUMEROUS
EDITORIALS, SPEECHES, AND OFFICIAL CONGRESSES HAVE EXPRESSED
SHARP CONCERN OVER LOW PRODUCTIVITY BY NORTH VIETNAM'S WORKING
CLASS. PRONOUNCEMENTS ON THIS SUBJECT HAVE STRESSED THAT THIS
PROBLEM IS THE KEY TO ECONOMIC REVIVAL AND MUST BE RESOLVED
IMMEDIATELY. PARTY CHIEF LE DUAN HAS PUBLICLY COMPLAINED T~-+AT
MANY PEOPLE ARE NOT WORKING AN FIGHT-HOUR DAY. THE PARTY DAILY
HAS ACKNOWLEDGED THAT 30 PERCENT OF RAW MATERIALS EMPLOYED RY
WORKERS ARE BEING WASTED, WHILE 4o PERCENT nF THE DRV'S EQUTP-
MENT,CAPACITY IS IDLE. AGRICULTURAL COOPERATIVES HAVE BEEN
CRITICIZED FOR A GROWING TENDENCY TOWARD PRIVATE PROPERTY,
WHICH HAS "SERIOUSLY ENCROACHED" ON RICE LANDS HELD BY THE
STATE.
PROPER MOTIVATION OF THE DRV'S WORKERS WAS THE FIRST PRIORITY IN,
THE PARTY'S RECENT 29ND PLENUM AND RELATED STATE PLANS FOR 1974-
1975. HOWEVER, THE NEW PARTY'S CAMPAIGN FOR INCREASING LAPnR
PRODUCTIVITY FREQUENTLY IS LINKED TO A NEED TO ELIMINATE UN:
SPECIFIED "NEGATIVE ECONOMIC PHENOMENA" (E.G., BLACK MARKET AND
PRIVATE ENTERPRISE) AND INCREASE RESPECT FOR THE "SOCIALIST LEGAL
SYSTEM." APPEALS FOR HEIGHTENED DISCIPLINE,, SECURITY, AND PUBLIC
ORDER ARE INCREASINGLY COMMON.
IN RELATED DEVELOPMENTS, BOTH LE DUAN AND FOREIGN MINISTER TRINH
HAVE ASSOCIATED THESE PROBLEMS WITH THE SITUATION IN SOUTH VIET-
NAM, THEY HAVE STRONGLY IMPLIED THAT HANOI'S COMMITMENT IN THE
SOUTH HAS AGGRAVATED ECONOMIC PROBLEMS IN THE NORTH.
NORTH VIETNAM'S NEW CRACKDOWN ON LABOR DISCIPLINE AND PRIVATE
ENTERPRISE REVEALS SERIOUS MOTIVATIONAL PROBLEMS AMONG ITS
GENERAL POPULATION, SUCH PROBLEMS ARE NOT NEW, BUT HANOI'S
REACTION APPEARS UNUSUALLY SHARP AND DISPLAYS CONSIDERABLE SEN-
SITIVITY OVER THE "PROLETARIATS'" APPARENT LACK OF ENTHUSIASM
WITH ITS OWN DICTATORSHIP. (STEARMANIADAMS)
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