NORTH VIETNAMESE INFILTRATION IN THE PAST FEW MONTHS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2
Release Decision: 
RIFLIM
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
2
Document Creation Date: 
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date: 
September 1, 2010
Sequence Number: 
8
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 22, 1970
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2.pdf133.99 KB
Body: 
JWo Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2 T/SPO INFORMATION. October 22, 1970 RANDUM FOR DR. FINGER FROM: ;1'ohn H. Hoidridge U BJ EC T: North Vietnamese Infiltration in The Past Few Months DIA has provided the following details can the status c4infiltration: -- Overall infiltration last month and this mouth is a good deal higher than during the same period last year. The current magnitude indicates that Hanoi in engaged in a larger effort than last year, although the total number of infiltrators which will move south this dry season cannot yet be estimate -- During the past several months, until two weeks ago, most Infiltration groups leaving North Vietnam have en destined for southern mss, perhaps to protect the have -- Within the past two weeks, however, most of the groups leaving the north are being sent to COSVN for duty in southern South Vietnam or Cambodia. This now trend is likely to continue for the next several months. Infiltration data Total last year and this year is provided below. For I Infiltration Via? A619 JANUARY 20, 400 14,200 19, 200 13, 600 1, zoo 600 FEBRUARY Z5,000 11, 700 25,000 11,700 MARCH 17,100 10,600 17.100 10,600 APRIL 2, 300 3,000 2, 300 2, 300 - 700 MAY 1, 200 3,800 1,100 3,100 100 700 JUNE 100 2, 100 100 1, 200 - 900 JULY 100 4,100 100 3,400 - 7 00 AUGUST 600 4,400 600 1, 100 - 3,300 SEPTEMBER 600 11.000 600 800 - 10,200 SECRET/SPOKE JHH/M:E/sfp/10-23-70 No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2 No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2 SECRET/S: .K Total For filtration South Vi OCTOBER 4, 500 9, 600* 4,400 7,400* 100 2, zoo* NOVEMBER 7, 800 ? 7,800 ? DECEMBER 6, 300 ? 6,200 ? $6,000 74,600 84,500 55,200 1,500 19,400 roved into the panhandle -- almost all since April - in comparison to only 1, 500 during all of 1969. Included In this movement were three or four large combat units, and there is still some question whether these units will remain in southern Laos or move to another destination. teewwwrk in the Laotian panhandle. Accordingly, nearly 20, 000 men were perations, Hanoi decided it had to reinforce and expand its logistical new trend. With the loss of Sthanoukville and the allied cross border considerably lower than during the same period in 1969. This trend changed in April; since thou the 1970 figures have been somewhat higher. They were much higher during the last two months. It seems clear that the change of government in Cambodia was the major factor behind the Cor ont. During the first three months of this year, infiltration was Recently, the influx into the panhandle has dropped off, suggesting that its requirements there. Meanwhile, the regular dry no immediate offensive in mind, but intends to concentrate an re its military strength in southern South Vietnam and Cambodia. earlier and more substantially than last year. We agree with DIA that for the next several months most of the infiltration will be directed toward southern South Vietnam and Cambodia, and that it will be heavier than last year. How much more is difficult to may. Infiltration last year, according to Intelligence estimates, did not replace losses, and Hanoi may fool that it cannot afford to let its military strength dwindle further. The Coummumiewts must now do more just to stand stilt. At the same time, Hanoi faces a larger manpower requirement in Cambodia. Whatever the rate of infiltration during the rest of the year, it appears that Hanoi has season movement of infiltrators to South Vietnam has begun some SECRET/SPOKE No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2