NORTH VIETNAMESE INFILTRATION IN THE PAST FEW MONTHS
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2
Release Decision:
RIFLIM
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
2
Document Creation Date:
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date:
September 1, 2010
Sequence Number:
8
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 22, 1970
Content Type:
MEMO
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
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Body:
JWo Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2
T/SPO INFORMATION.
October 22, 1970
RANDUM FOR DR. FINGER
FROM: ;1'ohn H. Hoidridge
U BJ EC T: North Vietnamese Infiltration in The Past Few Months
DIA has provided the following details can the status c4infiltration:
-- Overall infiltration last month and this mouth is a good deal
higher than during the same period last year. The current
magnitude indicates that Hanoi in engaged in a larger effort
than last year, although the total number of infiltrators which
will move south this dry season cannot yet be estimate
-- During the past several months, until two weeks ago, most
Infiltration groups leaving North Vietnam have en destined
for southern mss, perhaps to protect the have
-- Within the past two weeks, however, most of the groups
leaving the north are being sent to COSVN for duty in southern
South Vietnam or Cambodia. This now trend is likely to continue
for the next several months.
Infiltration data
Total
last year and this year is provided below.
For
I Infiltration
Via?
A619
JANUARY
20, 400
14,200
19, 200
13, 600
1, zoo
600
FEBRUARY Z5,000
11, 700
25,000
11,700
MARCH 17,100
10,600
17.100
10,600
APRIL
2,
300
3,000
2, 300
2, 300
-
700
MAY
1,
200
3,800
1,100
3,100
100
700
JUNE
100
2, 100
100
1, 200
-
900
JULY
100
4,100
100
3,400
-
7 00
AUGUST
600
4,400
600
1, 100
-
3,300
SEPTEMBER
600
11.000
600
800
-
10,200
SECRET/SPOKE JHH/M:E/sfp/10-23-70
No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2
No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2
SECRET/S: .K
Total For
filtration South Vi
OCTOBER
4, 500 9, 600*
4,400 7,400*
100
2, zoo*
NOVEMBER
7, 800 ?
7,800 ?
DECEMBER
6, 300 ?
6,200 ?
$6,000 74,600
84,500 55,200
1,500
19,400
roved into the panhandle -- almost all since April - in comparison to
only 1, 500 during all of 1969. Included In this movement were three
or four large combat units, and there is still some question whether these
units will remain in southern Laos or move to another destination.
teewwwrk in the Laotian panhandle. Accordingly, nearly 20, 000 men were
perations, Hanoi decided it had to reinforce and expand its logistical
new trend. With the loss of Sthanoukville and the allied cross border
considerably lower than during the same period in 1969. This trend
changed in April; since thou the 1970 figures have been somewhat higher.
They were much higher during the last two months. It seems clear that
the change of government in Cambodia was the major factor behind the
Cor ont. During the first three months of this year, infiltration was
Recently, the influx into the panhandle has dropped off, suggesting that
its requirements there. Meanwhile, the regular dry
no immediate offensive in mind, but intends to concentrate an re
its military strength in southern South Vietnam and Cambodia.
earlier and more substantially than last year. We agree with DIA that
for the next several months most of the infiltration will be directed
toward southern South Vietnam and Cambodia, and that it will be heavier
than last year. How much more is difficult to may. Infiltration last year,
according to Intelligence estimates, did not replace losses, and Hanoi
may fool that it cannot afford to let its military strength dwindle further.
The Coummumiewts must now do more just to stand stilt. At the same time,
Hanoi faces a larger manpower requirement in Cambodia. Whatever the
rate of infiltration during the rest of the year, it appears that Hanoi has
season movement of infiltrators to South Vietnam has begun some
SECRET/SPOKE
No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/10/07: LOC-HAK-558-11-8-2