NORTH VIETNAM'S TRUCKS AND THE WAR

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6
Release Decision: 
RIPLIM
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
January 11, 2017
Document Release Date: 
September 9, 2010
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 1, 1972
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6.pdf596.93 KB
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No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 SECRET Copy No. 2 DIA review completed MORI c05099622 HANDLE VIA COMINT CHANNELS WARNING This document contains classified information affecting the national security of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, US Code, Title 18, Sections 793, 794, and 798. The law prohibits Its transmission or the revelation of its contents in any manner, to an unauthorized person, as well as its use in any manner prejudicial to the safety or interest of the United States or for the benefit of any foreign government to the detriment of the United States. THIS DOCUMENT MUST BE KEPT IN COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE CHANNELS AT ALL TIMES It is to be seen only by US personnel especially indoctrinated and authorized to receive COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE Information; its security must be.maintained in accordance with COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE REGULATIONS. -No action is to be taken on any COMMUNICATIONS INTELLI- GENCE which may be contained herein, regardless of the advantages to be gained, unless such action is first approved by the Director of Central Intelligence. GROUP 1 N~iPAPINO 'A 1 11' 1I ' of [ICLYUIQ~hU UI I lA S SECRET No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 North Vietnam's Trucks and the War coo introduction Throughout the war in Indochina, trucks supplied by Hanoi's Communist patrons--principally Communist China and the USSR-- have played a vital role in the enemy's logistical activities both within North Vietnam itself and in Laos. Allied air strikes-- concentrated since 1968 along the Ho Chi Minh trail in southern Laos and to a much lesser extent in North Laos--have exacted a large toll in trucks destroyed, but heavy imports of trucks into North Vietnam have offset these losses. The ruck inventories currently maintained by Nor h Vietnam a about double the lev n,a , floe ear. r&_o_f_JhA war. This memorandum reviews the present evidence of truck inventories and locations in North Vietnam and Laos. It also presents an overview of reported truck destruction since 1965 and the import levels that. have enabled. the North Vietnamese to cope with their heavy truck losses. Trucks in North Vietnam Since the cessation of bombing in 1968, North Vietnam has concentrated its stock of trucks in large storage areas in northern North Vietnam, many in the Hanoi and Haiphong areas. During 1971, the number of trucks in these parks was the highest ever noted, reaching a peak level of about 6, 000 trucks in October 1971. These unprecedentedly large truck inventory holdings were probably due, at least in part, to the 1971 floods, which may have led the North Vietnamese to store trucks. in these holding parks to avoid the disrupted transport system farther south. The largest park at that time was at Dong Dane. on the North . some , rue s 'in storage. Other large truck par areas are at Hanoi where 500 -rue cs were o bserve u In -- Le Nhuong near Kep airfield northeast of 25X1 Copy o? _25X1 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 Mai Thinh, also near Kep, which held 500 trucks as of January 1972 An Khe, near Haiphong, which for years has 330 been a prime holding area for vehicles arriving.through the port. It held only. 330 trucks in October--a reflection of the shift in the past year or so from seaborne imports to rail imports; Xuan Mai, about 25 miles west of Hanoi in. a military training area, which always holds large numbers of vehicles, had some 1, 300 trucks in December 1971: .(because Xuan Mai probably is a repair and training as well as storage facility, some of these. trucks are not in "storage" in a strict sense). In all, there are more than 50 areas 'in northern North Vietnam where trucks have been stored at one time or another. The smaller ones usually hold under 50 and the larger ones several hundred trucks. This large number of dispersed truck parks and the infrequent photographic coverage of North Vietnam has made it difficult to keep close tabs on the inventory levels at many of these locations. In general, it appears that in recent years there has been a shift from use of- the Haiphong port area for storing trucks to areas near the Hanoi-Doug Dang rail line, the main overland link to China. It has been difficult to establish a seasonal pattern to the level of stocks, if, in fact, there is one. Apparently the enemy plans well in advance. The increased truck inventory noted throughout 1971 probably reflected, in part, increased deliveries to compensate the truck losses sustained during Operation Lam Son 719 in southern Laos during February and March. It also undoubtedly reflected an accumulation of trucks in preparation for the 1971-72 dry season. The higher level of imports projected for 1972 suggests that the enemy is already preparing to counter anticipated heavy truck losses during this dry season. Trucks in the Laos Panhandle The Communists maintain 'a substantial inve'ntoryof vehicles in the Laos Panhandle for use in zn.oving supplies (and at times No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 personnel) along the Ho Chi Minh trail toward Cambodia and South J- 14 000 t 3. th o , 00 actual number probably in southern Laos is ~i;ra.,g~.. The size of the truck end of interdiction campaign against transportation routes and vehicles. This bombing has caused the North Vietnamese to keep on hand only sufficient trucks to sustain the required levelp of logistic activity. The bombing has also made the Communists disinclined to establish large concentrated vehicle parks in the Laos Panhandle. Instead, vehicles are dispersed along the entire logistics corridor, under the control of transportation battalions. subordinate to the major logistic entities. The level of activity undertaken in a given area of the Panhandle determines the size of its vehicle inventory. Thus, in the northern Panhandle where logistic activity is heaviest, a logistic entity may control as many-as 300 vehicles. Farther south, as the level of logistic activity decreases, vehicle inventories also decrease. , inventory in a }Pan candle is constrained by the concentrated air The standard practice followed by the Communists is to disperse vehicles within a given geographic area in the Panhandle as much as possible. Despite this. dispersal, however, some relatively small vehicle parks exist where vehicles can be stored when not in use or taken for repair or maintenance; but these can consist of only a few acres of cleared land under heavy jungle canopy, or one of the many camouflaged caves near some. major routes. They seldom would contain more than 10 to 20 vehicles at any one time. Similarly, the life-span of a vehicle storage area In southern Laos may be relatively short: with constant aerial reconnaissance and bombing underway, the continual establishment of new truck parks is a necessity. Enemy Truck Losses During 1971, the Air Force reported nearly 18, 000 trucks destroyed and 7, 000 damaged, based primarily on pilot observations. The Washington intelligence community has long recognized pilot reporting of truck losses probably overestimated the actual ` situation. Thus, it has applied a deflation formula to derive a figure called "effective" losses. The formula-~-effective losses equals 75% of trucks reported destroyed plus 25%6 of those reported -3- No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 25X1 25X1 Vietnam. The current estimate of the truck inventory maxnta e No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 f the ca ability of the North Vietnamese to damaged -allows or P repair trucks and for. inaccuracies in pilot reporting. Using this formula, there have been nearly 48, 0.00 truck losses during the years 1965-71 as shown in the following tabulation. * Effective Losses Total 470600 1965 400 1966 4#000 1967 5,300 1968 0#500 1969 6,000, 1970 7,206 1971 15,200 25X1 Even this deflation formula may overstate truck losses, however. Since the beginning of the war, it is estimated that North. Vietnam has imported 36, 400 trucks, or about one-fourth less than the calculation of effective truck losses. However, its current inventory of roughly 18, 000-23, 000 trucks is about double the inventory of 10, 000-12, 000 maintained during the early years of the war. Another possible cause of this apparent discrepancy--besides the overstatement of truck losses--is the fact that truck import data may be understated. Thus, it has never been possible to equate losses in any given year to import and inventory levels. Although it is difficult to estimate the number of truck losses (with any precision), there is no doubt that they have been increasing substantially in recent years. The 15, 200 effective losses in 1971 were more than twice those in 1970, and almost treble the 1967 level of 5, 300. The sharp increase in recent years is primarily attributable to the concentration of the air campaign against targets in southern Laos and to increased use of the highly effective truck-.killing AC-130 For a detailed breakout of truck losses, see Appendix A. No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 and AC-119 gunships. 's'he high level of talanned truck import 1972 from thh [XSSR?-- about50a -~ some 4Qo Brea#ertian the. previous high of 4, 000 trucks?importt. a oxr h..e,, " T ...n 96.. is m part a reflec lion of the effectiveness of these unsbips. _. 4?J CIA. r+9 rrrlll~. -25X1 xm.ports Hanoi's ability not only to maintain its truck inventory but to increase it over the past few years, in the face of the heavy losses to air attack, is attributed to the ingenuity of its maintenance personnel and more importantly to the support of. the Bloc. North Vietnam's Communist allies have willingly supplied the trucks needed for the enemy's logistical effort throughout the war. North Vietnam has imported by sea and rail more than 36, 000 trucks since 1965 as shown in the tabulation below: Estimated Truck Imports .Units Total 36,400 1965 3,500 1966 4,700 1967 .. 6, 800 1968 4$700 1969 6"800 1970 5,900 1971 4,000* * Preliminary The USSR provided about half of the total, ' Communist China about one-fourth, and Eastern Europe the remaining one-fourth. Truck imports nearly doubled from 3, 500 in 1965 to a peak of more than 6, 800 in 1967 as the war escalated. Although imports apparently have dipped below this level in three of the four years since 1967, there have never been any indications that trucks were in short supply in North Vietnam or that Hanoi's requests for trucks have been refused. The distribution of truck imports by country of origin is shown in Appendix B. 25X1 25X1 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 25X1 Furthermore, the relatively low figure for 1971 probably will rise when more complete information becomes available later in the year on imports from the USSR. No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 Appendix A Communist Truck Losses in North Vietnam and Laos Destroyed Effective Losses** 1965 358 519 399. : 1966 4, 035. A.,732 3,959 1967 6,042 2,886 5,254 1968 21$243 4, 206 :9,478 1989 6, 868 3, 224 5,960 1970 8,0016 4, 922 1,243 1971 17,757 7 ,15,150 Total 54, 319 26,816 470,543 As reported by 7th Air Force. Effective truck losses are computed by taking. 75 the number of trucks reported destroyed + . 25 the number of trucks damaged. Llama,ged No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 25X1 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09 LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6 pe] B litorth Vietnax~r~ is T~stima Ix sports of Trucks B3 Countt;7 o Cori 396.5-71 96 1966 1 196 Units' 8. `otal 36 40 1.970 1_997 U 4-=.700 70 o .800 5 900 S SR East r 18"400. 1 000 ,0.00 4,000 2,200 ' . 3, ,900 , 3 500 _ 2 e n Eura e' PRA 500 200 700 600 11300 1, 700 , 1#200. 000 0 800 8, 50? 1, 300 1,200 I, 204 1, 200 1820 0 1,0200 1 200 Prelunina estimate for 1971 paucity on ra shipments, The Soviet trade handb i il autu e b e of the k oo , availabl t probably show higher totals. y next Limited data has been avilabie o PR n C truck shipments since 1985. It ha a bee agreed by CIA and nT that :nn n `rA vaw-uzs a reasonable estimate for' e for s since 1965 25X1 '25X1 No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/09/09: LOC-HAK-558-13-2-6