FINANCIAL CRISIS

ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY ARTICLE - HOW A COPING SCENARIO FOR THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS COULD UNRAVEL

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(b) (1) 7I eK (b) (3) -eepdt Directorate of intelligence Economic Intelligence Weekly C191P.1 ----- F-Rd 22 November 1997 APPROVED FOR RELEASED DATE: 04-Feb-2009 DI EIW 97047 22 November 1997 copy 05.2 3 International Many financial' analysts say the global economy will shake off Southeast Asia's econo iElroubles growth rowth rates in the US and Europe` will decline by about one-third percentage point next year and that an upward growth path will resume within 18 months. - This scenario includes a $50-60 billion improvement next year in ASEAN current account balances offset.

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0005284261