DRAFT REPORT ON SATELLITE RECONNAISSANCE PROGRAMS

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CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2
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16
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December 9, 2016
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November 4, 2000
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REPORT
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Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R0-00100150005-2 mg= DRAFT mow o PRREC OG NUTE This report and its recommendations do not include examination of possible private disclosure of US reconnaissance satellite capabilities to the Soviet leaderehip. OBJECTIVES To develop a poil2;i with respect to United States reconnaissance pmpz.vs which will: A. Maintain our freedom of action unilaterally to conduct eeceeraienance s.at6Elite operations. B. Pent foreign political and physical imterference mith the conduct of thee operations. C. Prevent accidental or forced disclosure of details of the operations or end products of the US satellite reconnaissance program. D, Avoid nituations, otatementa or actions which, in the context of our satellte reconnaioaance program, could later be exploited as evidence either of allege US negzessiveness or duplicity. E, Facilitate the easolution of any conflicts which might arise between the essentiee eechnical and security requirements of the US satellite eaceenaineaeee program and the international commitments and feeeige policy ob]eetieee of the United Staten in a manner which is in the ove!e-all boDt f!mtesta of the national security of the United States. A:M=104 1? The es;tial .:5ecty and technical requiroments of the US recon- naissance sattliite weram era not incompatible with foreign policy objectivee enuneiated 4 the US, nor do they eonflict with existing tOlgittente aatEmmi ty thz US in International agroments on outer space matter State Dept. deOpetkiii4ati41342WAIMe: iThStatailitIJAAIttibZi50005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R0-00100150005-2 SXR - 2 - 2 The US is not at present leganx bound to observe any commitments regarding the UE of CAltOr space. However, as a natter of national policy, the US does consider itself bound to eomply with the United Nations General Assembly Resolution 1721 (XVI), which the US drafted and sponsored and which was unanimously adopted by the UNGA on December 20, 1961. That Resolution "commends to States for their guidance in the exploration and use of outer space" two principles: (a) International law, including the Charter of the United Nations, applies to outer space and celestial bodies; (b) Outep space and celestial locales are free for exploration and the use by al/ States in conformity with international law, and are not subject to national appropriation. e Pursuant f-,0 UNGA Resolution 1721, the United States now registers all . eatellite launching with the UN. There is no internationelly agreed formula governing the data provided for registration with the United Nations. 4. Also pursuant to UNGA Resolution 1721, the US has taken part in the work of the UN Outer Space Committee, At the recent meetings of the Committee's Legal Subcommittee in Geneve, the US proposed; (a) A draft General AsseMbly rese3ution regarding assistance to and return of pace vehicles and their occupants, and SECRE2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 max - 3 - (b) A draft resolution requesting the Secretary General of the United Nations to constitute a panel of experts to draft an international agreement dealing with liability of launching states and international organizations for injury? loss or damage caused by space vehicles. Those proposals were carefully framed so as not to affect the US reconnaissance satellite program. It should be noted, however, that the issue of banning reconnaissance satellites was specifically raised by the Soviets in a Draft Declaration of Principles. The question of exempting reconnaissance satellites from any agreement to return space vehicles inadvertently landing on the territory of other states was also raised not only by the Bloc, but by some other countries as well. The Legal Subcommittee was unable to reach agreement on any substantive 1851108. The US Delegation in the Outer Space Technical Subcommittee, which met concurrently, proposed that reports on general national plans for international spec o activities be submitted to the Outer Space Committse and agreement vas reached on this point. /t was made clear by the United States (ancl by the Soviet Union) that such information 1011 be submitted on a purely voluntary basin and at the discretion of the reporting state, 5. There are at preriont no international agreements on disarmament or arms control. Bowyer, the esent US disarmament proposal, to which we SECRET Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R0110100150005-2 SWIM - 4 - are committed, includes a provision which mould affect the reconnaissance satellite program, The Treaty Outline on General and Complete Disarmament of April 18, 19625, includes as a measure in Stage One provision for prohibition of "the placing into orbit of weapons capable of producing maas destmction," For verification of this measure, inspection of vehicles and advance notification of all launchings of space vehicles and missiles, including information on the track of the space vehicles or missiles., mould be provided. In addition, the International Disarmament Organisation would establish any arrangements necessary for detecting unreported launchings. FJTIA11y, the production, stockpiling and testing of boosters for space vehicles mould be subject to agreed limitations. The US is also committed to consideration of a possible separate dis- armament agreement limitod to banning weapons of mass destruction from outer spa - We have notq, however9 advanced specific provisions of such an agreement. 6. It is deaf that in negotiations involving outer space and disarmament certain issues have besA or will be raised that have serious implications for the US reconnaissance satellite program and on which the US position must be carefully formulated and vigorously defended,. Our negotiating posture is weakened, however, by current security restrictions that prevent us from making a N11 and convincing explanation of our position Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R0tT0100150005-2 SECRET - 5 - to Allies and friendly neutrals. We are increasingly in danger of being Isolated in negotiationn on seemingly minor issues, whose implications axe bettor perlerstood by our enemies than our friends. A earetei eeview of official statements on US plans for a reconnaissance eatellite prnram, of present free world attitudes toward the concept of oatellite reconnaissance? and of the probable extent of Soviet knowledge of our program, indicates that the US might privately seek support from allies and certain neutrals by impressing upon them the importance of the program to the free world, the requirements it imposes on US negotiating positions on outer space and disarmament matters, and US determination to protect and pursue the program. 7. Public official statement?, budgetary funding of the reconnaissance satellIte program, and limited publicity about launching of developmental vehicles aseociated mith the program, have committed the US to some degree of public acknouledgeeet of this program. Intent to develop a reconnaissance capability i3 on YG301'do No official statement has indicated wbst results might have bean achieved or information obtained from satellite reconnaissance. 8. The eeietence of a US requirement for effective intelligence on the SinoeSeviet bloc is generally clear to the leaders of the principal countries of the free orid? as well as to official, military and some other groups in those euuntries. Available evidence indicates that these elements SECRET Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 SECRET -6- generally support US efforts to develop reconnaissance satellite gystems. In some easet4 US activities in connection with satellites (not specifically reconnaissance satellites) have elicited concern. In Japan, for example, there has been reluctance to cooperate with NASA on the establishment of US tracking facilities because of suspicion that military activities might be or become involved. In Zanzibar and Nigeria also some groups have argued that the presence of US tracking stations is inconsistent with a neutralist posture since the stations mey involve US activities of a military nature. These scattered evidences of concern suggest that a concerted Sino-Soviet bloc campaign attribut.ing sinister and threatening motives to US military (Including reconnaissance) natellite programs might elicit a favorable and sympathetic r _ction not only from anti-US elements, but also from some others concerned over lally heightening of international tension. US private diplomatic efforts to gain support for the concept of the right of space reconnaissance would probably counteract the Soviet campaign to some degree, though it is unlikely that the US could at this time gain widespread support for a positive affirmation in the UN or other international forum of the right to conduct space reconnaissance. 9. It is particularly Important that the US avoid public statements about our satellite operations that mould pose a direct political challenge to the Soviet Union on the sensitive issue of reconnaissance. The Soviets MM. Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Rerease 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R0-00100150005-2 SECRIU -7- would feel compelled for reasons of prestige to react very strongly by any of a variety of political moans to such statements. Similarly, if the Soviets wore able to obtain any convincing evidence of the US activity they might, even if not compelled to do no, use the opportunity to launch a major political offensive against the US in an effort to end the reconnaissance program. 10. There can be little doubt that the USSR is aware that the US is engaged in a reconnaissance satellite program, though they are probably in some doubt as to its precise effectiveness. EVen in this respect, by exteapolating from knout U-2 photographic equipment, they can probably make a reasonable estimate of the resolution of cameras that such a matollite could have, Theo is reason to believe that the Soviets are developieg an anti-satellite weapons system and they may have some capability for anti-satellite operations by 1963. While the US probably cannot keep the Soviete from attempting physical anti-satellite measures, our objective should be to make the Soviets pay a political price for doing so by creating a climate of acceptance of the principle of freedom of apace, US handling of its pdblio relations on reconnaissance operations, and on US development of anti-satellite capabilities, will have an important bearing on this question. Mbreover, there are a series of technical measures which the US can use to counter hostile active countermeasures. On balance it seeme probable 'Mat from a technical point of view it should be possible by coueorted efforts to maintain an effective reconnaissance program despite hostile eeuetermeasures. scar Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R00100150005-2 SECRET - 8 - RECOMMENDATIORS General Principled 1. The United States should maintain the legal position that the principles of international law end the UN Charter apply to activities in outer space and, specifically, that all of outer space is free, just as are the high seas. The US should therefore continue to avoid any position declaring OP implying that observation (reconnaissance) activities in outer space ars not "peaceful use," and are not legitimate. 2. The US should, to the extent feasible, seek to avoid public use of the term "reconnaissance," and where appropriate use instead such terms as "observation of the earth," or "photographic satellites." Further studies should be made to determine whether there are releaseable data, such as mapping information, which would help create wider public acceptance of space observation and photography. The argument should be made along the following lines: Iternetionni law permits observation of the earth from liter space whether by visual, electronic, phAographic, or other means? Such action is peaceful in character, and does not interfere with other activities on earth or in space, For example, we consider that the observations made by Major Titov while aboard Vostok II, as indeed any other observation which the USSR may be conductsrg from outer apace are peaceful, Observation of the earth from satellites makes possible the accomplishment of many tasks beneficial to mankind, such as weather forecasting? resource surveys, mapping, and geodosy. Many such activities have military applications, but this does not mean that they are non-peaceful. SECRET Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 - 9 - At the same time, it is recognised that the US cannot entirely avoid or disclaim interest in reconnaissance, since to attempt to do so would be unconvincing, mould render the US vulnerable to charges of deceit and evasiveness, and would preclude efforts to broaden acceptance of the principle of legitimacy of space reconnaissance. Therefore, where feasible the US should also seek to gain acceptance of the principle of the legitimacy of space reconnaissance, although we should avoid pressing the iBtille to a decision in any 'world forum unless and until we believe we could carry a majority on the issue. As a step in gaining each acceptance, certain international legal bodies composed of Allied countries, such as the Legal Advisers to NATO, ? offer opportunities for furthering acceptance of the principle of the legitimacy of space reconnaissance. 3. In the face of a sustained Soviet campaign to outlaw reconnaissance activities in space, the US may be compelled to take a public stand on the legitimacy of the nrinciple of reconnaissance from outer space. In this case, the US should to the extent feasible continue to base its position on the above two general principles, but it would probably become necessary to make explicit and clear our position that reconnaissance from areas beyond the sovereignty of a state is not unlawful, and is not in itself aggressive or a violation of the United Nations Charter. Specific tactical reactions would depend on the form and circumstances of the Soviet political ass ult. SECRIff Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000.100150005-2 SECRET - 10 - kiadaelamaLkaait_heszlizaiga 4. The US should not at this time attempt to conduct a truly clandestine program (by utich we mean a program with covert and unregistered launchings? and public denial that the US is engaged in reconnaissance), for the following reasons: (a) it is already officially acknowledged that we are developing a satellite reconnaissance capability; (b) it could be used to undermine our claim to legitimaey; and (c) it could tend to discredit our integrity by forcing the US to violate or alter present registration practices pursuant to the UN resolution which we ourselves proposed, and which was unanimously adopted by the General Assembly (111GA Resolution 1721-XVI). However, it is recognised that if the USSR should employ effective countermeasures, drastic changes in present operating procedures mey be necessary, perhaps including establishment of now launch sites which would permit truly secret 0 4 Z.) launchings Tho The US should therefore investiggli'the technical recadrements for a standby capability for clandestine operations in ease circumstances ever make such operations necessary, even though such operations are not now planned. 5. It does not appear practicable to attempt to submerge our space reconnaissance programs in the over-all RASA scientific space program. The present practice of not identifying individual military space launchings new Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R0011100150005-2 by mission or purpose is sound. However, current public information ? ?,-, , r, 4:7-:A .5 71'-e", practice tends to focus speculation on the very programme eleh not to publicise. We believe that there should be nore open Nut not more detailed) public reference to the general over-all militat7 program, \\ whose stated objectives would purposely be left vague and broad (space research, communications, observation, and the like). Information officers could announce or refer to all lannehinge in terms of a ?, single over-all military program. To be successful such a program requires elimination of any in publicity between various shots, and requires that all launchings uniformly be given broad generalised descriptions. It should be stated, when the question arises, that the US has no program for satellite or space veapone.45iP 6. The US should not, at this tine, publicly disclose the status, extent, effectiveness or operational characteristics of its reconnaissance program. Strict control over public statements and backgrounding concerning reconnaissance satellites should be exercised to ensure consistency with the policy guide-lines suggested in these recommendations. Satellite reconnaissance should not be associated with possible future weapons-carrying satellites, since relationships to disarmament and other matters differ. As little public attention as possible should be given to development of anti-satellite CRpailitiOS? *Ed in publicised demonstration of developmental work toward such a capability should require White House approval, with fell account MAME Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : Clfelln4i8sR09\838R0011100150005-2 1 / ?,) I I I / / vocyauf.:7fry given to the adverse effects for our reconnaissance satellite program. We should avoid agY indications that physical countermeasures to reconnaissance vehicles mouId be justified, and as appropriate the US should make a positive effort to propagate the idea that Interference with or attacks on any space vehicle in peacetime are Inadmissible and illegal. 7. The US should discreetly disclose to our allies and selected neutrals the feat that the US is engaged -An a space reconnaissance program, making each disclosure in a manner that viii preserve the essential security of our program while impressing upon them its importance for the security of the Free World. In order to preclude the inquisition by the Communist Bloc of usable evidence of an official US acknowledgment of a poli qy to conduct satellite reconnaissance over Bloc territory, disclosures should generally be aade to selected representatives of one government at a time, avoiding disclosures in international forums (except for the NATO Council). Disclosures Should also be made on a verbal basis only, without written aide mires or other documentary evidence remaining with the country involved. In carrying out the foregoing controlled disclosure procedures it should be stressed to recipient:1 that the 118 mill not be pressured out of this program, and that their cooperation is essential in parrying SWAIM Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 =MR Soviet efforts to apply such pressure. The US should note that, emeept in some cases for specifically' defined disarmeaent agreements, the US cannot agree to (a) declarations of the precise purpose of all satellites, (b) declarations of the equipment of all satellites, (c) general require- ments for advance notification of satellite lannehings and the tracks of satellites, (d) prelaunch inepeattmnof the satellites, ar (e) a specific definition of peaceful uses &space vhieb does not embrace unlimited observation. 8. The US should stand by' the disarmament proposal for a Stege One provision banning weapons amass destruction in space, and providing for advance notification and inspection of all space launchings to insure that ban. The DS should continue to exclude any ban on recon- naissance satellites. 9. The US should omit-nefersawto-satellitenrent=spain - any proposal for notifications of lone-range missile firingss-imiLthary ..,jammerslialmierr as part of a proposal for measures to "reduce the risks of var.' If attention should be drama to such omission in subsequent debate and it mould seem to be incriminating to oppose the addition of reference to them, disarmament negotiators should be authorised in advance as a fail-back position to agree to advance notification of satellite launchinge along vith notification of intermediate and later- continentalsissile firings. MOE Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000-100150005-2 -14- 10. The US is now committed to a discussion of the possibility of a separate arms control agreement banning all weapons of mass destruction from being carried in satellites or spacecraft, with appropriate verification controls. This proposal does not indlade a ban on reconnaissance satellites. The meMbers of this Committee are not agreed on the net advisability of this proposal, which of course depends on pdlitioal considerations apart from its effect on the reconnaissance =Wilts proven. They are agreed that no such proposal should be tabled until the question has been reviemmd by the Committee of Principals on Disarmament, with careful consideration of the present report. The Representatives of Defense, CIL, And do not believe that the US should advance such a proposal, because of the possible berate the reconnaissance progren and the limited value of the proposal. The Representatives of the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, , and believe such dangers can be controlled and that the measure is in, net an advantageous initiative for the US. Arguments pro and con are summerised below. Arguments Pros The USSR is unlikely to accept such a proposal, tut the US record of willingness to make such =agreement would bring favorable 'world reactions. It is easier to prevent armament of space than to get agreement to Man Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 MEI -15- subsequent disarmament after the arms race had been extended to outer specie. An agreement alungther lines proposed by the DS could make a positive contribation to the national security in that it would help curb the arms race in an area of potential military significance and reduce the threat of teebnological surprise in an area where the Soviet Union, by virtue of its greeter payload capabilities, enjoys present advantage. Moreover, since the US has committed itself to examining such a proposal, reversal of our position would raise doubts as to the sincerity of US pablia statements and disarmement positions, and perhaps adversely affect other political interests as U. Heconmatimnummt vehicles mould not be included, and such farther campromiee of /Jimmy of our reconnaissance program as sight result from Soviet claims that inspection for nuclear weapons revealed presumptive evidence of reconnaissance would be largely offset by their very acceptance of an armament mhicb, did ma boa recon- naissance. The Soviet disaramment proposal itself provides for Is ben on weapons In orbit and does not include a ban UZI Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2 on reconnaissance. Also, agreement on such e measure would create a political context in idlich Soviet hostile countermeasures would bemire peliticaIky costly to them, although advance notification might assist hostile countermeasures. Arguments Cog: The USSR wou3d. use the occasion of debate on suchaben to efts& reconnaissance satellites, and might t7 to blame failure of agreement on US refusal to include a ban on reconnaissance. It is important also to bear in mind the possibility that the Soviets might decide it was important enough to them to stop our reconnaissance pewee actually to agree to an inspected ban on weapons plus reconnaissance uses of enter apace. If the USSR agreed to a ban on nuclear 'weapons in orbit, but excludieg reconnaissance, they would learnmsch about our recon- naissance operations (even though the degree of inspection would not provide details such as resolution of photography), and would be aided in physical active and passive counter- measures by advance notification of launchings. MOE Approved For Release 2001/08/27 : CIA-RDP66R00638R000100150005-2