THE SOVIETS GRAB THE UMBRELLA

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
January 4, 2017
Document Release Date: 
April 16, 2008
Sequence Number: 
17
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 26, 1984
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7.pdf561.78 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 SECRET The Director of Central Intelligence Washington, D.C. 20505 National Intelligence Council MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence Deputy Director of Central Intelligence ClOccko"t NIC #06641-84 26 November 1984 THROUGH: Chairman, National Intelligence Counci Vice Chairman, National Intelligence Coun- 1 FROM: Fritz W. Ermarth National Intelligence Officer for USSR SUBJECT: The Soviets Grab the Umbrella 1. The Soviets have decided to engage in the umbrella arms control exchange in a remarkable, but not surprising, tactical switch from the stone-wal?1 policies followed with almost uniform consistency since the end of last year. Their aim is no less than to encourage a substantial redirection of the Administration's policies in its second term. Soviet commentaries -- the most recent and comprehensive current example is attached -- lay out for internal audiences why this is worth a try: The stress on "new talks", not resumption of the old ones, makes it possible to resume negotiations without explicitly repudiating past positions, such as no talks on INF without reversal of US INF depl oyments. The world has learned that the "language of force" and "positions of strength" will not force Soviet concessions. Read: Moscow's hanging tough for the past year paid off after all. President Reagan is being pulled in the opposite directions of "playing the peacemaker" or "returning to the course of confrontation". He currently leans toward the former role. CL BY SIGNER DECL OADR Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Washington is in the throes of political battle which will determine the future US line, whose outcome cannot be assured, but which, by implication, ought to be influenced by active Soviet political tactics. Meanwhile, US allies, domestic opinion, and economic conditions have generated pressure that could modify Administration behavior in the next four years. Firm Soviet pursuit of "its principled line" has contributed to this pressure and created a potentially new situation. Resumption of talks does not represent a Soviet concession, but response to opportunity -- which will be very cautiously explored. 2. There is a certain amount of rationalization in these arguments. They are crafted to reassure skeptics within the Soviet elite, among whom there are surely many, that these talks will not put Moscow on the slippery slope to unnecessary concessions, but offer the chance of coaxing Washington onto it. It is unlikely that these rationalizations will be entirely persuasive. We can expect in coming weeks to see implicit questioning on the part of such skeptics as to who is going to take advantage of whom ("kto kovo", or "who gets whom" as Lenin put it) in these talks and the process that follows. 3. Underlying these arguments is the pragmatic recognition that you can't make money at political poker by staying out of every hand. With the President massively reelected and the Soviet bureaucracy convinced, according.to many good reports, that the previous policy had run its course, it is now time to rejoin the game. 4. It is worth note that a Soviet Politburo evidently beset by vigorous internal politicking over succession has been able to make this tactical adjustment quite handily. It is equally significant that the process of adjustment coincided with the reassertion of Chernenko's political status. This coincidence should not be read as proof of Chernenko's detentist proclivities, at least for the moment. Rather his reemergence damped prospects for an immediate succession and permitted the Politburo to get some other business done. All reporting about his current authority indicates that Gromyko must have had a decisive voice in the Soviet decision. 5. The Soviet decision to reengage the Reagan Administration does not represent a fundamental or strategic change of foreign policy line. So far, it is a sensible tactical shift in dealing with a US administration that will be around for another four years and clearly wants its second term marked by better US-Soviet relations or, at least, earnest attempts to get them. The Soviets have certainly heard Bud McFarlane's assurance that the President is committed to getting arms control results before he leaves office. This sets them up for playing hard to get. Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 6. In the months ahead, we can expect the Soviets to be more active on many fronts to influence the political setting in which the US decides its negotiating positions in new arms control talks and, equally important, the contents of the rest of its national security agenda: military budgets and programs, and policy toward regional security matters such as Nicaragua and Afghanistan. With arms control talks once again in prospect or progress, the Soviets expect they will have better prospects to influence this agenda than they did over the past year, or possibly the past four years. 7. Playing this game does not require a lot of decisiveness in Moscow given its advantages of secrecy and its ability to pursue several seemingly contradictory tactical lines at once. Chernenko has made plain that the larger objective of the game -- admittedly a long shot, but worth a try -- is to get back to the "experience of the '70s" and to detente as "the natural state" of US-Soviet relations. Such a condition would tend to spare the Soviet leadership the necessity of more fundamental choices in foreign, military, and domestic affairs, or at least to delay the need for fundamental choice. That would be tailor made for,-thip Soviet ldership. Attachment: As Stated Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 FBIS 51 PRAVDA ON RESUMPTION OF USSR-U.S. ARMS TALKS TAKE i OF 2 -- PRAVDA ON ARMS TALKS PM241825 MOSCOW PRAVDA IN RUSSIAN 25 NOY 84 FIRST EDITION P 4 (NIKOLRY PROZHDGIN 'INTERNATIONAL REVIEW') (EXCERPT) TIME FOR CONCRETE DECISIONS THE OUTGOING WEEK IN INTERNATIONAL LIFE HAS BEEN MARKED BY THE BROAD AND INTERESTED DISCUSSION OF THE PROVISIONS PUT FORWARD BY COMRADE K.U. CHERNENKO IN HIS REPLIES TO QUESTIONS FROM A CORRESPONDENT OF THE AMERICAN TV COMPANY, N, THE FACT THAT THEY HAVE ATTRACTED SUCH CLOSE ATTENTION IS LOGICAL, FOR IT IS R MATTER OF THE MOST VITAL QUESTIONS OF THE RGE -- OF HOW TO AVERT THE TWAT OF NUCLEAR WAR, FIND A WAY OF ENDING THE ARMS RACE, AND CREATE A SITUATION IN THE WORLD IN WHICH THE PEOPLES DO NOT FEEL FEAR FOR THE FUTURE. FOR THIS IT IS ESSENTIAL FOR THE USSR AND THE UNITED STATES. TAKING ACCOUNT OF THEIR SPECIAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE PRESERVATION OF PEACE, TO AGREE ON THE LIMITATION AND REDUCTION OF ARMS, PRIMARILY NUCLEAR ARMS, AND ON THE PREVENTION OF THE SPREAD OF THE ARMS RACE TO AREAS AS YET UNAFFECTED BY IT. THE SOVIET LEADER STRESSED THE PROPOSAL THAT HE HAD PUT FORWARD RECENTLY, POINTING OUT PRACTICAL WAYS TO ACHIEVE THIS OBJECTIVE. THESE ARE THE CONCLUSION OF AN AGREEMENT ON THE PREVENTION OF THE MILITARIZATION OF SP , A QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE FREEZE ON NUCLEAR WEAPONS, AND THE COMPLETION OF WORK ON AN AGREEMENT ON THE COMPLETE AND TOTAL PROHIBITION OF NUCLEAR WEAPON TESTS. THESE ARE URGENT AND OBJECTIVELY THE MOST EASILY SOLURBL~STIONS, ALTHOUGH OF COURSE THE LIST OF POSSIBLE STEPS IN THE DIRECTION OF STRENGTHENING STABILITY AND SECURITY IN THE WORLD COULD BE LENGTHENED. THE PEOPLES NOTE WITH SATISFACTION THAT THE SOVIET UNION F WS ITS PRINCIPLED LINE IRRESPECTIVE OF THE COMPLEXITY OF TL' .; N INTERNATIONAL POLITICS. THIS IS CONFIRMED YET AGAIN BY THE ANTHOLOGY OF SELECTED SPEECHES AND ARTICLES BY COMRADE K.U. CHERNENKO PUBLISHED,IN VIENNA THE OTHER DAY. . Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 TO THE EXPEP.IEh :E OF THE '?OSs WHICH SHOWED THAT FRUITFUL GOOMPERATION BETWEEN STATES WITH DIFFERENT SOCIAL SYSTEMS IS NOT ONLY POSSIBLE BUT NECESSARY. OUR COUNTRY IS CONVINCED THAT DETENTE IS THE NATURAL STATE SINCE CONFRONTATION IS A DANGEROUS Of~A MALY WHOSE CONS QENCES E DIFFICULT TO PREDICT IN PRESENT CONDITIONS. RRE NOT TO BLAME FOR THE FACT THAT THE PEOPLES' HOPES FOR THE RRTI LATION OF THE SRLT-II TREATY WERE DISAPPOINTED. THAT OTHER IMPORTANT TALKS HAVE BEEN BROKEN OFFS THAT THE SITUATION IN THE WORLD HAS BEEN DANGEROUSLY EXACERBATED. THE RESPONSIBILITY FOR ALL THIS IS BORNE BY THOSE CIRCLES IN WASHINGTON WHICH BELIEVED -- AND MANY PEOPLE THERE STILL BELIEVE THIS TO THIS DRY -- THAT, HAYING FORGED AHEAD IN THE ARMS RACES THEY WOULD BE ABLE TO TALK TO THE USSR IN THEIANGUAGE QF %FQRCE' AND IMPOSE THEIR 'SOLUTIONS.' TODAY IT IS WFI I IIMDE. 51005 IN THE WORLD THAT THIS CANNOT 1L..._THE SUPPORTERS OF A 'POLICY OF STRENGTH' ARE FITHEMSELYES INCREASINGLY ISOLATED IN THE FACE OF WORLD PUBLIC OPINION. RN IMPORTANT ROLE IS PLAYED BY THE POSITION OF THE SOVIET UNION AND THE OTHER SOCIALIST COMMUNITY COUNTRIES AND THE PEOPLES BROADENING PEACE STRUGGLE THROUGHOUT THE WORLD, INCLUDING IN THE UNITED STATES. THESE FACTORS HP NOT BEEN UNINFLUENTIAL RECENTLY IN OFFICIA S' 'S ON THAT IT WOULD BENEFICIAL S HEIT SOFTEN THEIR ICON TONE. REPR SENTATIYES HAVE EVEN BEGUN TO GIVE ASSURANCES THAT DURING THE 'SECOND PRESIDENTIAL TERM' THE PRESENT ADMINISTRATION WILL HAVE NO TASK MORE IMPORTANT THAN TO IMPROVE RELATIONS WITH THE USSR. WELL-i WE W111 WAIT BUD CFF_ UN ARK ON NEW REACHING MUTUALLY ACCEPT c i GE OF HOLE DI NUCLEAR FIND SPACE WEAPONS. TO FORMULATE A JOINT UNDERSTANDING OF THE SUBJECT AND OBJECTIVES OF SUCH TALKS USSR FOREIGN MINISTER A.A. GROMYKO AND U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE G. SHULTZ WILL MEET Itti ~F t: ~'F UN 7-g .TRMUPL Y t 4 HIS LIGHT THE SOVIET UNION'S APPEAL TO THE UNITED STATES TO JOIN US IN SEEKING PRACTICAL SOLUTIONS TO SPECIFIC PROBLEMS ASSUMES INCREASINGLY TOPICAL SIGNIFICIRNCE. DISCUSSIONS, DISCUSSIONS... WHEN DISCUSSING THE THEME OF DIALOGUE BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND THE USSR, THE CONCEPT OF 'UMBRELLA' TALKS HAS BEEN PUT INTO CIRCULATION IN WASHINGTONi MEANING THAT A BROAD RANGE OF QUESTIONS CAN BE DISCUSSED UNDER SUCH AN 'UMBRELLA.' ONE HIGH-RANKING WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL HAS DESCRIBED 'UMBRELLA' TALKS AS 'RN EXCHANGE OF VIEWS BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES DESIGNED A REPORT WAS RECENTLY PEIBLISHED THAT THE SOVIET UNION AND THE Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 TO PROVIDE BOTTH SIDES WITH AN OPPORTUNITY TO ASCERTAIN TO WHAT EXTENT OUR VIEWS DIFFER ON STABILITY AND HOW EACH OF US SEES THE POSSIBILITY OF STRENGTHENING STABILITY WITH THE RID OF ARMS CONTROL.' FOR HIS PART; U.S. ARMS CONTROL AND DISARMAMENT AGENCY DIRECTOR K. ADELMAN ADDED THAT THESE WOULD NOT BE 'NEGOTIATIONS IN THE SENSE THAT WE ARE ATTEMPTING TO ELABORATE TREATY FORMULATIONS OR REACH AGREEMENT ON VERIFICATION MEASURES;; THEY WOULD BE A PRELUDE TO NEGOTIATIONS.' LET US NOTE; FIRST; THAT BOTH THESE EXPLANATIONS DEAL NOT WITH ARMS REDUCTIONS BUT MERELY 'ARMS CONTROL.' THE TERMINOLOGY ADOPTED IN WASHINGTON IS NO ACCIDENT; OF COURSE. MOREOVER; THE CITED STATEMENTS ARE NOT DISTINGUISHED BY CLRIRTY IN DEFINING THE U.S. STANCE. THIS LATTER flC E IDENTLY REFLECTS THE STRUGGLE W 7UDGING BY U.S. PR SS REPORTS, IS TAKING PLACE DEEP WITHIN THE wR GTON ADMINISTRATION ON THE QUESTION OF TALKS WITH 'WE ARE BY NO MEANS UNANIMOUS IN OUR P ON;' AN OFFICIAL ADMINISTRATION SPOKESMAN ADMITTED A FEW DRYS AGO. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL WRITES THAT 'A STRUGGLE TO INFLUENCE THE PRESj,p,W HAS BEGUN ADMONG HIGH-RANKING HIP .. ;~. HIE STATE DEPARTMENT AND THE PENTAGON ARE GIVING HIM DIAMETRICALLY OPPOSED ADVICE ON ALL THE MAIN QUESTIONS RANGING FROM ARMS CO!41 OL TO CENTRAL AMERICA. THE MAIN SUBJECT OF THE DISPUTES IS THE OF QUESTION OF WHETHER REAGAN SHOULD ATTEMPT TO PLAY THE R 01F PEACEMAKER DURING HIS SECOND TERM; TRANSLATING HIS PREELECTION RH RORIC INT1 RLITY; OR WHETHER IT WOULD BE BETTER 2r1 T TO THE COURSE OF CONFRONTATION WHICH CHARACTRIZED HIS FIRST INCLI WING TER . - ' ' ; --FF,'.-FRR AS CAN BE ; REAGAN IS rn'RR-D THE COURSE ' '- NF ONTATIGN TH RTE FNj AT THE SAME TIME THE SUPPORTER[: Or A HARD LIB RE LONTINUING BACKSTAGE MOVES TO PREVENT A SOFTENING OF THE U.S. POSI11ON,' (MORE) 24 NOV 2135Z CLB/TM Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 FBIS 5S: TAKE 2 OF 2 -- (PRAVDA ON ARMS TALKS) ///THE U. S. POSITION.' PM241907 (EXCERPT) THIS IS NOT THE FIRST TIME THAT WE HAVE SEEN ACROSS THE OCEAN ' :RTT ~ ~ HI C:H MAKE I T POSug us SIBLE TO SHOW SOME ' E'EA":ETM it, .1 N FIGURE' IN AN EFFECTIVE PROPAGANDA LIGHT. THE AMERICAN PRESS IS LAYING IT ON THICK IN DESCRIBING WHAT NBC'S WASHINGTON CORRESPONDENT CALLED OR CLASSIC POWER STRIIGGLE,' WHOSE MRIN PROTAGONISTS ARE THE HEADS OF THE STATE DEPARTMENT ON THE ONE HAND AND THE PENTAGON O!R THE OTHER. THE NOT UNKNOWN AMERICAN EXTREMIST ORGANIZATION THE RITA.E FOUNDATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH MILITARIST CIRCLES. A MEV-MRROYFOS" AGO IT PRESENTED THE U.S. ADMINISTRATION WITH A REPORT WHOSE CONTENT WAS LEAKED TO THE PRESS. THE REPORT CALLS ON THE ADMINISTRATIO": TO RENOUNCE THE REM TREATIES SIGNED BY THE UNITED STATES AND THE USSR IN 1972 AND NOT TO CCiNDUCT TALKS WITH THE SOVIET UNION ON ANTISATELLITE WEAPONS AND LIKEWISE NOT TO AGREE TO THE CONC SIO OF A TREATY ON THE COMPLETE AND TOTAL PROHIBITION OF NUCLEAR WEAPON TESTS AND NOT TO RATIFY THE T 'EATY ON THE L T I TAT 1 C'+`: it UNDERGROUND TESTS OF SUCH WEAPONS. MOREOVER, Ac:CORiI k f TCi TH T S SUPERHAWK ORGANIZATION, THE UNITED STATES MUST NOT 1.?LU LI?L~L A TREATY ON THE BANNING OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS OR REDUCE ARMED FORCES AND ARMS IN CENTRAL EUROPE... IN A WORD, THE REPORT CALLS FOR ALL CHANNELS OF THE ARMS RACE TO BE LEFT OPEN AND FOR I T TO BE CO NT NIE IN EVERY WAY IN THE HOPE OF OBTAINING FOR THE UNITED STfITES MIL IT='. 11 nmi SUPREMACY OVER THE SOVIET UNION. SOs DISCUSSIONS, RECOMME D TT ?r T T T E W C; =T ` B_s WHERE IS THERE ANYTHING CONSTRUCTIVE OR CONCRETE I N R s4` OF Ts- S? NOTHING OF THI C, KI N D I S S. _y w- C, N L!oC? FT !f;Tf#: 1; .d t ~ ~T YI S ,LEI -iitu X14 Ni 1 I. TALr\ ABOUT NEGOTIATIONS OR NOT A BAD THI G IFs OF COURSE s THEY GIVE RISE TO THE TRUTH AND AN UNDERSTAElD I WG THAT CONCRETE ACTIONS ARE NEEDED TO IMPROVE THE SITUATIO': A!.D END THE ARMS RACE. IT HAS LONG BEEN TIME TO ABANDON THE ILLUSIONS THAT THE UNITED STATES, IN THE NEW YORK TIMES' WORDS? 'WILL BE ABLE TO CONTINUE TO ELI ILD LIP ARMS WHILE SIMULTANEOUSLY PERSUADING OR COMPELLING MOSCOW TO REDUCE THEM.' THE AUTHOR OF THE ARTICLE PUBLISHED IN THIS NEWSPAPER COUNTERS SUCH I L L U S 110-1 WITH THE VIEW OF 'PRACTICALLY ALL AUTHORITATIVE SPECIALISTS OI Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 u l i t t n r i Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 v ti' p'- n A 4 L V" V L i 1- 1?. 1! Iii ? .NECESSARY TO PRESERVE MILITARY PARITY.` YES3 THIS; IS THE CASs. 'AND HERE EVEN THE INSANE 'STAR WARS' CONCEPT, THE SHIFTING OF THE ARMS RACE TO SPACE, WILL NOT HELP. BUSINESS WEEK MAGAZINE GlYES ASSURANCES THAT 'E GRN S Y INTENTION 'OF CROWNING HIS PRESIDENCY WITH AN ARMS CONTROL 'r %evil. v uv v I i{.L.7 P Lrm U E CHIEF OF STAFF M. DERYER STATED. AT THE SAME TIME5---TN THE VIEW OF MOST AMERICAN OBSERVERS, THE MAIN OBSTACLE T REACHING AN AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE USSR AND THE ..,.TFS ON 3 c% DISARMAMENT QUESTIONS IS THE AR ~ARc' P PROCLAIMED IN WASHINGTON. MOREOVER, THERE IS RS YET NO INTENTION TO ABANDON THIS SINCE BOTH THE WHITE HOUSE RND THE PENTAGON SEE THIS PLAN? ACCORDING TO AMERICAN PRESS REPORTS, AS A MEANS FOR SECURING AMERICA'S 'INVULNERABILITY' AND SIMULTANEOUSLY AS 'AN INSTRUMENT FOR PRESSURING THE tUSSR.' IN THIS CONNECTION, WASHINGTON POST OBSERVER S. ROSENFELT NOTES THAT THE RDMINISTRRTION'S ADHERENCE TO THE 'TAR WPB' PROGRAM IN NO WRY TALLIES WITH THE PROCLAIMED ASPIRATION TO RC el-7 I IS ATIVE THAT THE U.S. ALLIES ARE DISPLAYING INCREASING CONCERN IN ATTEMPTING TO PERSUADE WASHINGTON TO EMBARK O1`: TALKS FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENDING THE ARMS RACE. THIS QUESTION OCCUPIED RN IMPORTANT PLACE IN THE COURSE OF THE JUST-ENDED VISIT TO THE UNITED STATES BY FRENCH EXTERNAL RELATION} MINISTER C. CHEYSSON. FRG FEDERAL CHANCELLOR H. KOHL INTENDS TO RAISE THE QUESTION OF 'REAL RESULTS' IN EAST-WEST DIALOGUE IN WASHINGTON. JAPANESE PREMIER Y. NAKASONE HAS ALSO VOICED HIS INTENTION 'TO MAKE EFFORTS AIMED AT ACHIEVING PEACE' DURING HIS UPCOMING TALKS WITH THE U.S. PRESIDENT. NO MATTER HOW POLITE THE FORMULATIONS USED BY THESE AND OTHER WESTERN COUNTRIES IN THEIR APPEALS TO WASHINGTON, THEY DISPLAY APPRECIABLE CtINC:ERN, PRIMARILY WITH THE U.S. ASPIRATION TO SHIFT THE ARMS RACE INTO S:1'ACF? WHICH THREAT; TO JEOPARDIZE E4EI! THE MILITARY CONCEPTS ADOPTED NOW B4' THEIR ALL`, NOT TO MENTION THE THREAT POSED BY SUCH PLANS FOR THE CAUSE OF UNIVERSAL PEACE. IN ADDITION TO THE GROWING THREAT OF WAR, MANY PEOPLE IN THE WEST ARE ALSO CONCERNED BY THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE ARMS RACE. THE LATEST DOWN-TURN IN THE U. 9 _S NG -MCRERSINGLY SERIOUS CONCERN AMONG AMERICAN BUSINESS CIRCLES. IT IS NO COINCIDENCE THAT IT IS AT PRECISELY THIS TIME THAT THE ORGAN OF THESE CIRCLES, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, PUBLISHED AN ARTICLE UNDER THE EXPRESSIVE HEADLINE 'THE ARMS BUILDUP PLANNED BYREAGAN COULD BE BEYOND THE UNITED STATES.' THUS, THE INEVITABLE HANGOVER. III.- 10 GC 11r 1J rLiLL() J .` b I ri 19 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7 THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE ARMS RACE HAVE ALSO AFFECTED THE POSITION OF THE LEADERSHIP OF THE AMERICAN LABOR UNIONS! WHO ARE CONVINCED, AS THE JOURNAL POLITICAL AFFAIRS STRTESs THAT 'PEACE IS IN THE INTERESTS OF ECONOMIC SECURITY AND THE IMPROVEMENT OF WORKERS' LIVING CONDITIONS.' 'WE ARE WITNESSING A.TRANSITION TO THE PEACE STRUGGLE THROUGHOUT OUR SOCIETYs AND THE LABOR UNION MOVEMENT CANNOT BE AN EXCEPTIONS' THIS JOURNAL TESTIFIES. 'ON MANY FRONTS -- IN THE STRUGGLE GRINST THE MX MISSILES) THE CAMPAIGN FOR A NUCLEAR FREEZE, THE GROWING OPPOSITION TO ARMS EXPENDITURE: AND THE INDIGNATION AT MILITARY INTERFERENCE IN CENTRAL AMERICAN AFFAIRS -- THE LABOR UNIONS ARE PLAYING AN IMPORTANT ROLE.' THE NEW NEGOTIATIONS ON WHICH THE USSR AND THE UNITED STATES HAVE AGREED TO EMBARK WILL BEGIN IN THE NEW YEAR. THE PEOPLES EXPECT THEM TO BE JUST THAT -- NEW TALKS IN WHICH THE AMERICA: SIDE WILL FINALLY BE PREPARED TO HEED THE, S OF THE MODERN WORLD AND THE PRINCIPLES OF EQUALITY AND IDENTICAL SECURITY IN ORDER TO REACH ACCORDS IN THE INTERESTS OF PEACE. (ENDALL) 24 NOV 2324Z'CLB/TM Approved For Release 2008/04/17: CIA-RDP89B00423R000300350017-7