WEEKLY SUMMARY SPECIAL REPORT CZECHOSLOVAKIA: THE PARTY FACES THE FUTURE

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5
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RIPPUB
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S
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15
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December 22, 2016
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January 6, 2011
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22
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Publication Date: 
June 25, 1971
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REPORT
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011 /01 /07 : JWJrA CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01 50002 a nitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01 50002 Irr Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Secret DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Special Report Czechoslovakia: The Party Faces the Future QSI FILE COPY ~~owiff L 9?- P~~?T~v: ~P~c' TO 1E,,61 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 2!. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET Czechoslovakia: The Party Faces the Future Power mist expand or contract; it must be active and successful, or it will decline and others will take it over. Its foundation consists in a dyna- mism operating on a basis of acquired capability. It must be motivated by intelligence, sustained by high morale and supported by economic pros- perity. Lack of any one element may prove fatal to the rest. The Communist Party's 14th congress,* held 25-29 May, brought to a close a momen- tous chapter in the history of Czechoslovakia and of the European Communist movement and marked the full return of the regime to Soviet tutelage and Communist orthodoxy. The congress, the first to be conver.ed by new party chief Gustav Husak, served mainly to hail the end of the long process of "consolida- tion"-the dismantling of liberal innovations introduced during the brief reform era under Alexander Dubcek-and to legitimize the Husak leadership. Having rationalized the past, the regime has turned its attention to Czechoslovakia's future. The 1971-75 five-year plan launched by the congress is the regime's first effort to tackle systematically the country's economic and social problems. The enormity of the task, following the disruption of four years of reform and counterreform, is recognized by the leaders in Prague. They are aware of the need to mobilize public support to accom- plish their goals, but they have invested heav- ily in the orthodox conservative socialist system that in the past has proven inadequate for the task. *A hastily assembled "14th " party congress was convened in support of Dubcck following the in- vasion in August 1968 but it was subsequently an- nulled at Soviet insistence. SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET Husak has proclaimed the defeat of "revisionism" and has anxiously embarked on the "construction of socialism," but it is clear that the leadership will be haunted by the ghosts of the past. By the terms of its succession and tenure and the atavistic nature of its domestic policies, the regime has little chance of establishing credibility in the eyes of the people. Some r zechoslovaks may privately acknowledge that Husak has the best interests of the nation at heart, but for most he still remains the symbol and willing tool of Soviet repression. Moreover, in spite of claims of accom- plishment by today's conservative leaders, there is unmistakable apprehen- sion among them that liberal sentiment, now dormant, will one day rise again. This paranoiac dread of renewed "right-wingism" (liberalism) is not the mood of leaders confident of the future. The main danger against which we must struggle is rightist opportunism and revisionism.... We must never provide the slightest opportunity for them to assert themselves. The completion of their ideological defeat is an extraordinarily important task of the party at present. Resolution of the 14th party congress. A congress responsive to the regime could be convened only after exorcising from all levels of the party any one who backed the ideological heresies committed in 1968 in the name of "so- cialism with a human face." The nationwide purges of 1969-1970 were but the prelude to this process-a mechanical chore made relatively easy under the aegis of the Soviet occupation. Only by inculcating the membership with orthodox Com- munist tenets could the party justify its "leading role." The task of ideological purification was im- mense. The reform movement that had brought Dubcek to power in 1968 had overturned funda- mental principles governing the party's control of the state and its relationship to the individual citizen. The separation of party and government authority, the effective participation of the citi- *Fu11 title - Lessons Drawn front the Crisis Development in the Party and Society After the 13111 Congress of the Communist Party of Czechoslovakia Special Report zen in the political and social system, and the loosening of the national economy from central- ized control were all major planks in Dubcek's program. In the eyes of his heirs, Dubcek's leader- ship had prostituted socialism, and it was up to them to rid the party of the vestiges of his tenure. The major vehicle for the regime's ideologi- cal offensive was the Lessons document,* promul- gated by the central committee in December 1970, which presented the regime's interpretation of party developments since the 13th party con- gress in 1966. It was only after that, the new litany goes, that deviation set in, luring the party from its correct path. As an apologia for the orthodox Communist system of government, Lessons sought to restore the legitimacy of that system by blaming both former party chief Antonin Novotny and his successor Dubcek for the 1968 crisis. It was the failure of those re- gimes, not inherent faults in the Marxist-Leninist system, that lulled the party into a posture vul- nerable to the "righ. st onslaught." The docu- ment also sought to rationalize the roles played during the reform era by some of the party's present leaders. This was a particularly delicate task, because many of them were bitterly divided over some of Dubcek's reforms and over the justi- fication of the Soviet invasion itself. SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET General Secretaries Husak and Brezhnev and President Svoboda celebrating the "victory over revisionism." Another ideological blast was set off in March, when the regime published "theses" in anticipation of the party's 50th anniversary. This document catalogued the difficulties and accom- plishments of the Czechoslovak party since its founding in 1921, recapitulated the ideological themes promulgated in Lessons, and depicted the 14th party congress as the "logical conclusion" of the period of crisis that had existed since the 13th party congress in 1966. The party's search for respectability, how- ever, remains an elusive goal. Too many Czecho- Special Report SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 slovaks reject its tortuous analysis of the past as well as the inadequate steps it sets forth to meet the political, economic, and social demands of the future. As a result, the regime's efforts to reaffirm the inherent worth of the Communist system while forced at the same time to declare that two previous regimes, both products of that system, were incompetent has met with popular incre- dulity and privately expressed derision. The congress made clear that the ideological offensive would continue. It reaffirmed the lead- ership's view that only fully committed party Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET members could be entrusted with the task of guiding the further consolidation of Czechoslovak society. But the country's leaders know that at present such commitment is rare and, based as it is on opportunism, also fragile. The preoccupation of the top leaders, and particularly those in the conservative wing of the party, with the "virtues of socialism" thus reflects a basic insecurity. They are acutely aware that they told no mandate from the people and that their power and future rest on their usefulness to Moscow. They know that moderate and liberal Czechoslovaks, both Communist and non-Com- munist, who to them rr.present the "right wing," will continue to be a '.hreat that they alone can- not resist. Explaining the psychology of the "col- laborationists" and their obsession with "right- wingism," one Czechoslovak has observed that it is based on their fear that the deposed of today may one day regain influence and sit in judgment on those now doing the deposing. Thus, it is not merely the dogmatists' ideological attachment to Moscow or to Communist orthodoxy that drives them, but also personal fear for thei? future. The one major accomplishment of the con- gress was the successful show of unity within the top leadership. A sense of cohesiveness was appar- ent that had not existed since Husak came to power. To a man, the leading figures of the party committed themselves to present party policies, and to the personal leadership of Husak. Faction- alism and dogmatism were both officially out- lawed, a decree that for the first time appears enforceable. At the same time, however, the con- gress re-examined the party's glaring weakness-its inability to engage the interest and support of the 14th congress of the Czechoslovak Communist Party Special Report SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET people. Faced with public apathy, the party for all its newfound cohesiveness will probably not be able to mobilize effectively the country's human and material resources. For the most part, the congress was a pro forma affair, canonizing previously voiced doc- trines and shibboleths and streamlining the party structure. Political continuity and stability, Mos- cow's first demand, were the essential require- ment, and nothing was said or done to jeopardize either. Changes in the party leadership and organi- zational structure were minor, designed either to tie up loose ends remaining from the liberal era or to manifest further the party's loyalty to the USSR. Thus, Evzen Erban, a holdover from the Dubcek leadership and the only presidium mem- ber to lose his job, was replaced by conservative Karel Hoffmann. To fit the Soviet model, Gustav Husak changed his title to General Secretary and future party congresses were scheduled at five- year intervals. Probationary candidate member- ship to the party was reintroduced as part of the regime's effort to screen and train its rank and file. In order to recentralize the leadership's power, the congress abolished the Czech party bureau, a stopgap body created after the invasion by reformists attempting to federalize the party around equal Czech and Slovak party organs. The demise of the Czech bureau returns the Slovak party to its traditional subordinate, albeit sepa- rate, status. Together with modifications in the federal government structure earlier this year, the move ends the Slovak drive for equal political status with the Czechs. The only major personnel shifts at the con- gress were in the central committee. Over half of the membership-holdovers from both the No- votny and Dubcek eras-was removed. Many of the newcomers are political unknowns, suggesting that the regime was hard pressed to find persons with an uncompromised past who were willing to Special Report accept an uncertain future. For the time being, the new central committee, reduced from 132 to 115, provides the leadership with a rubber stamp. One troublesome issue was apparently resolved when Novotny's party membership, suspended in 1968 for his complicity in the Stalinist trials of the early 1950s, was reinstated. This move does not mitigate his official disgrace but avoids raising the sensitive issue of the early trials. The moder- ates in the regime may have agreed to Novotny's reinstatement in return for a commitment that no action would be taken against the reformist lead- ers of the Dubcek era. It was considered virtually certain that Husak would emerge from the congress as undis- puted head of the party. The thoroughness with which he had dismantled the liberal movement and his firmness in quieting public dissent had left his conservative opponents no lever with which to challenge his position as first secretary. Moreover, the dedication with which he aligned Czecho- slovak policy with Soviet interests and his per- sonal allegiance to Brezhnev earned him the all- important backing of Moscow. This and his success in re-establishing Czechoslovakia's role as a reliable member of the "socialist camp" were his guarantee of tenure. The issue on which he appeared most vulnerable-his failure in 1968 to sanction the invasion-was largely diluted by his public accession at both the Soviet and Czecho- slovak party congresses to the thesis that the invasion was in response to "appeals" by true Czechoslovak Communists. - There is also no sign that Husak has recently had any serious rivals for his position. The two presidium members most frequently mentioned in this role-Alois Indra and Vasil Bilak-have shown no desire to initiate a power struggle. Their recent public praise for Husak and exhortations for party "unity" are convincing evidence that, for the present at least, they are more concerned with maintaining stability than with enhancing their ovin influence. SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET CZECHOSLOVAK COMMUNIST PARTY LEADERSHIP Other members of the Secretariat Candidate members of the Presidium * - Slovak t - Czech Special Report SECRET Vasil Bilak * Peter Colotka Karel Hoffmann t Gustav Husak * Alois Indra t Antonin Kapek t Josef Kempny t Josef Korcak t Jozef Lenart * Ludvik Svoboda t Lubomir Strougal t Vasil Bilak * - international relations Jon Fojtik t - ideology Miloslav Hruskovic * - economics Alois Indra t - appointments Josef Kempny t - Czech party bureau Oldrich Svestka t - press Jozef Lenari * Miroslav Moc t Frantisek Ondrich t Miloslav Hruskovic Vaclav Hula t Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET The congress, however, was not an unquali- fied personal triumph for Husak. By stressing the collective nature of party authority, the congress underscored the fact that he paid for his pre- eminence by compromising fundamentally with his conservative colleagues. The re-election of all but one member of the presidium virtually guar- antees a continued balance of power between the "conservative" wing of the party headed by Indra and Bilak, and moderates such as Svoboda, Strougal, and Colotka, who lean to Husak. Party decisions in the future are likely to be determined by consensus, with no individual or "clique" within the presidium developing decisive power. Brezhnev's endorsement of Husak, along with "others" in the leadership, was indicative of Soviet approval of the present combination of political interests within Prague's ruling body. A strong indicator of the limitations placed on Husak's power was the shelving of his "recon- ciliation" campaign. His attempt to strike a bar- gain with the deposed liberal community was a key element in his early political program and the major issue setting him apart from the conserva- tives. "Reconciliation" involved exoneration of the thousands of Czechos;ovaks who had sup- ported the reform movement in exchange for their "atonement" and future cooperation with the party. The lure of jobs and social status was not enough to earn the allegiance of the liberals. The failure of "reconciliation," however, resulted just as much from the refusal of the party actu- ally to put it into practice. W'iere the more practi- cal Husak could envision a tactical alliance with the liberals for the sake of "normalization" the conservatives could not. Conservative party mem- bers considered it beyond the pale to seek rap- prochement with their countrymen who so re- cently had turned on them. Husak's ability and willingness to revive "reconciliation"-whether tacitly or explicitly- may be one key to Czechoslovakia's political future. The bitter legacy of 1968 must be miti- gated before the regime can hope to implement any forward-looking domestic policies. The Special Report talents of the disenfranchised economists, admin- istrators, teachers, and even the hated and feared intellectuals are an asset the Communists cannot in the long run do without. During his two years in office, Husak has earned a reputation as a shrewd practitioner of political gamesmanship. He has displayed his ability to recognize the limits of his, personal power, to judge the proper moment for compro- mise, and to reverse himself for the sake of polit- ical expediency. His timely warnings in mid-1968 that the reform movement should not overreach itself, his about-face since the invasion on such crucial issues as federalization and the "invitation to invade" thesis, and even his present servitude to the men in the Kremlin all are the mark of a pragmatic, if opportunistic, man. For all of his servility to Moscow, however, Husak is not without plans of his own for Czecho- slovakia. As the man who drew up the original federalization plan and who, in the face of SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/07: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500030022-5 SECRET considerable opposition, offered amnesty to the reformists, he does not fit the image of a mere hireling. Alois Indra, believed to have been Moscow's initial choice to replace Dubcek as first secretary, by most accounts is number-two man in the party. A presidium member and party secretary in charge of official appointments, Indra is believed to enjoy widespread support among the party's "old guard" in Bohemia and Moravia. By his early opposition to Dubcek's reform program and his defense of the party bureaucracy in 1968, Indra has earned credentials as the top conservative in the hierarchy. He is unqualifiedly loyal to Mos- cow and has maintained personal contacts with Kremlin leaders. Politically shrewd and intellec- tually polished, Indra would be the odds-on favor- ite to replace Husak should the latter leave office. current regime, represent the "collaborationist" wing of the party. Kapek heads the powerful Prague party committee and is believed to be one of Husak's more persistent gadflies. Bilak, who in 1968 headed the Slovak party, is the most con- servative Slovak in the hierarchy, and the re- ported enmity between him and Husak seems merely to have been papered over. Husak is not without his "moderate" allies on the presidium. Svoboda, Colotka, and Strougal are believed to line up behind Husak on the most important issues. Strougal, once a contender for Husak's job, has apparently accepted the fact that his political future now depends on his perform- ance as premier, and he is maintaining a low profile on party matters. The complexion of the regime in Prague is also in part dependent on the political proclivities of men filling subordinate positions in the party. For instance, the two candidate presidium mem- bers seam to have earned their positions by virtue of respectable careers as economic administrators. Both apparently remained cautious enough in 1968 to avoid the stigma of reformism and are today considered "reliable." The installation of proregime functionaries in regional and district party organs earlier in the year and the election of a largely conservative central committee at the congress provide a politically homogeneous bu- reaucracy from which to draw future leaders. The promotion of a large number of political un!