REAGAN, GORBACHEV SET ICELAND SUMMIT, UNDERLINING U.S. QUEST FOR ARMS PACTS

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP90-00965R000403340006-5
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RIPPUB
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K
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1
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2012
Sequence Number: 
6
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Publication Date: 
October 1, 1986
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OPEN SOURCE
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP90-00965R000403340006-5 WALL JIrt=l JUU"AL $! TMLE APPEARED ON PACE -3 - Reagan, Gorbachev Set Iceland Summit, Underlining U.S. Quest for Arms Pacts WASHINGTON-In a surprise decision, President Reagan agreed to meet Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev in Iceland next week, a move that underscores the U.S. de- termination to seek new arms control agreements despite recent tensions with Moscow. Mr. Reagan's acceptance of the Soviet proposal involves some concessions. Pre- This article was prepared by Fred- erick Kempe, John Walcott and Ellen Hume in Washington, and Mark D'.lnastasio in New York. viously, the president had insisted on meet- ing Mr. Gorbachev in the U.S. after the November elections. But in his White House announcement of the Oct. 11-12 meeting in Reykjavik, Mr. Reagan made it clear that he's ready to work toward better relations with Moscow after the Kremlin's release of an American reporter. "I've said for a long time that the chances are better than they've been in many years for reaching some agreement on arms reduction," Mr. Reagan ex- plained. The plan for the Iceland meeting was announced simultaneously by Mr. Reagan and by Soviet Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnadze from the United Nations, in conjunction with news that Soviet spy sus- pect Gennadi Zakharov had pleaded no contest to all three counts of espionage charges filed against him by the U.S. Mr. Zakharov later boarded a jet bound for Moscow. Orlov's Emigration Cleared They also announced that the Soviet Un- ion would allow a prominent Soviet dissi- dent, Yuri Orlov, to emigrate. Mr. Orlov is a physicist and human-rights activist who was arrested in 1977. The announcements came the day after the Soviets freed U.S. News & World Report journalist Nicholas Daniloff from his detention in Moscow on espionage charges. The administration also softened its or- der that 25 named Soviet U.N. diplomats accused of espionage activities leave the U.S. by yesterday. To head off threatened retaliation by Moscow, the administration extended the deadline by two weeks and is considering withdrawing the demand in certain individual cases. For its part, the Soviet Union has as- sured the U.S. that it has reduced the size of its mission from 243 members to 205, less than the 218 the U.S. had demanded by today. Setting Pace of Talks Next week's meeting could give Mr. Gorbachev an opportunity to try to set the pace for future arms control negotiations. "The meeting in Iceland could be either the lead-in to a real summit or a way for Gorbachev to get out of coming to the U.S.," says one administration official. "If he likes what he hears, he can move for- ward; if he doesn't like what he hears, he can blame Reagan for not being inter ested" in banning tests of nuclear weapons or showing any flexibility on the American Strategic Defense Initiative. U.S. officials believe that Mr. Gorba- chev proposed the meeting to ensure that the two sides could achieve concrete arms agreements that eluded him at the first summit last year in Geneva. Impact of Daniloff Arrest Officials also believe the meeting will help Mr. Gorbachev regain the initiative in East-West relations that he lost during the dispute caused by Moscow's arrest of Mr. Daniloff. U.S. officials believe the negative impact of the controversy on Moscow's im- age was greater than Soviet diplomats had expected. With the Daniloff case cleared up, Sec- retary of State George Shultz expressed hope that the Iceland meeting can "move things to the point where ... we can see the gap closed and the prospect of an agreement." He said the superpower lead- ers will discuss arms control issues, in- cluding possible reductions on medium- range missiles in Europe, regional issues and human rights. Mr. Shultz expressed hope that Mr. Gor- bachev still will come to the U.S. for a summit this year, as agreed to at the first summit in Geneva. But Mr. Shevardnadze wasn't as optimistic. "The trouble is that on the central issues-space and nuclear arms-there has been no progress," he said at his New York news conference. "The objective of the (Iceland) meeting is to make a direct assessment of the situa- tion and work out some clear instructions, I would say clear directions, designed to achieve some progress ... at least in some questions relating to nuclear arms, sufficient for obtaining substantive re- sults," the Soviet foreign minister said. -President Reagan's decision to go to Iceland is somewhat of a political gamble. He will be criticized by the right for not holding out for a U.S.-based summit, and some senior officials fear they'll have little time to properly prepare the president for such an important meeting. But Republican strategists say the dip- lomatic initiative could help the GOP re- tain control of the Senate in the Nov. 4 elections. Thomas Griscom, executive di- rector of the Republican Senatorial Cam- paign Committee, said, "In off-year elec- tions people look for reasons to vote against the president's party. The economy is in good shape and we've just defused the war-and-peace issue." More immediately, White House offi- cials hope the environment around a Gor- bachev-Reagan meeting also will help them defeat congressional efforts to im- pose economic sanctions against South Af- rica. Secretary of State Shultz told 10 Re- publican senators that they would undercut the president on the eve of his meeting with Mr. Gorbachev if they voted to over- ride his veto of the sanctions. Test of Reagan Seen According to East Bloc diplomatic sources, Mr. Gorbachev and his senior ad- visers requested the meeting to explore re- ports that Mr. Reagan finally is serious about arms negotiations. They say the So- viet leader sees the meeting as a low-risk way of testing Mr. Reagan's intentions and probing U.S. flexibility. former Central Intelligence Agency an- alyst Arnold Horelick, now at Rand Corp., agrees that Mr. Gorbachev "M truing to determine whether it is wise or safe or de- sirable for him to come to the U.S_" for a more formal summit later. "It is insurance against ailure." _ Some U.S. officials expect that Mr. Gor- bachev will try to put Mr. Reagan on the defensive. "The president said he wouldn't make a deal to get Daniloff back, and he did," one administration official said. "He said he wouldn't let Gorbachev off the hook by agreeing to a summit anywhere but the U.S., and now he has. I wouldn't be sur- prised if Gorbachev thinks the momentum is on his side," the official explained. However, U.S. officials say that the short lead time before the meeting means that Mr. Reagan won't be under pressure to produce concrete deals. The Soviets' primary goal is to block the Strategic Defense Initiative, Mr. Rea- gan's "Star Wars" plan to shield U.S. forces from attack. But Mr. Gorbachev may be able to come to a U.S. summit if he can get an agreement that cuts me- dium-range missiles in Europe and if he can get some smaller accords. The Soviet Union has moved closer to the U.S. posi- tion on an agreement limiting missiles in Europe, giving the U.S. additional reason to come to Iceland. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP90-00965R000403340006-5