SINGAPORE: SOME ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF THE UK MILITARY WITHDRAWAL

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1
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October 1, 2009
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81
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October 1, 1968
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Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Secret Intelligence Memorandum Singapore: Some Economic Implications of the UK Military Withdrawal Secret ER IM 68-131 October 1968 copy N2 94 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. GIIOJP 1 E clud.d from automatic downpradinp and d,ciouification Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence October 1968 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM Singapore: Some Economic Implications of the UK Military Withdrawal Summary By 1971, Singapore will have to plan and implement measures to compensate for the loss of the British military establishment whose bases occupy 12 percent of the island's total land area, generate 20 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), and provide direct employment for 54,000 of Singapore's 2 million people. Singapore is making a determined effort to minimize this considerable blow to its economy. During the four-year transition period, government spending is planned to increase by $312 million (including $120 million in loans and grants from the British), the large naval base and probably the airbases will be converted to civilian use, and private investment will be encouraged in tourism and manufacturing. These factors and the basic strength of Singapore's economy should enable the island to make the transition with- out serious economic consequences. The withdrawal comes at a time when the economy of Singapore is expanding rapidly, as the result of an aggressive government program to industrialize as well as a substantial inflow of foreign capital. Singa- pore's economy has been shaken twice previously in the 1960's: in 1963 because of Indonesia's policy of con- frontation with Malaysia and again in 1965 when Singa- pore opted out of the Federation with Malaysia. Despite these setbacks, Singapore's GDP has grown at a rate of 9 percent a year since 1960. Even with this Note: This memorandum was produced solely by CIA. It was prepared by the Office of Economic Research and was coordinated wi l h the Office of Current Intelligence and the Office of National Estimates. SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET rate of expansion, however, the economy in the past has failed to provide enough jobs for the growing labcr force, leading to an increase in unemployment which has become the island's major economic problem. With about 10 percent of the island's labor force unemployed, the withdrawal would be disruptive to Singapore's economy if there were not offsetting factors. Roughly one-fourth of the base workers are Malays and Indians and, by agreement between London and Singapore, they will be discharged first and encouraged to leave the country. Expanding tourism will absorb some of the slack in the service indus- tries, which now cater to British servicemen. About 13,000 of the base employees are supervisors or skilled industrial personnel who should have little problem finding jobs as the bases are converted to non-military uses and the industrial sector continues to expand. The conversion of the Royal Naval Base to a commer- cial ship repairing concern is already under way, and prospects look bright for turning the airbases into regional aircraft maintenance and repair facilities (see Figure 1). The government's plan to increase local spending substantially over the next four years will help to offset the recessionary influence of the withdrawal. - 2 - SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 w..dlune. o0 .1 ,sagulung I SINGAPORE Railroad Road } Airfield It Principal port 0 of Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 ECONOMIC ACTIVITY it Petroleum refinery 1 Petroleum bulk storage 0 Rubber plantation Thermal electric powerplants Substations 50.000-kilowatt and over ? Major A Other - Transmission line N - j6 N-_ I A 10 Miles J Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET The Setting 1. Singapore, an island country smaller than Hong Kong, has been independent for just over three years. In June 1959 the United Kingdom granted the island internal self-government under Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew, leader of the Peoples' Action Party (PAP). In 1963, Singapore joined with Malaya and the Borneo States of Sabah and Sarawak to form the Federation of Malaysia. But the racial antagonism between the Malays and the largely Chinese population of Singapore and the increasing friction between Lee and Federation leaders in Kuala Lumpur was too deep, leading Singapore to withdraw from the Federation in August 1965. 2. Traditionally the island has been the leading entrepet port in Southeast Asia, but this role was changing even before the breakup of Malaysia. The - 3 - SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET flow of goods between the less developed countries the region and the developed countries of the world via Singapore is declining in importance, ac- counting for only about 13 percent of the country's GDP in 1967 (see Table 1 and Figure 2). Singapore is gradually becoming an entrep8t/manufacturer by process- ing many of the raw materials which pass through its ports, although the local Chinese businessmen are traditionally traders, and many of them are reluctant to move into manufacturing. But the recent problems with Communist agitators in Hong Kong have encouraged some investors there to examine opportunities in Singa- pore, and this may help to accelerate investment in manufacturing. Figure 2 SINGAPORE: GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 1966 Agriculture and Fisheries $, Wh0%1a/p - 4 - SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET 3. Singapore has benefited over the years from a substantial British military presence. The island's officials have long known that the British eventually would leave, and London's announcement in 1967 that British forces east of Suez would be withdrawn by the mid-1970's came as no surprise. Indeed, Singa- pore's defense planning after the break with Malaysia assumed that the presence of British forces could not be counted on beyond 1975. The shock came with the UK announcement in January 1968 that withdrawal had been moved forward to 1971. After an initial period of threats of reprisal, Singapore began to work out programs to take up the expected slack in the economy. The UK Military Presence 4. The UK military establishment in Singapore was and is impressive in terms of the number of people and the size of the installations involved. In April 1967 the United Kingdom had 28,800 uniformed personnel, 2,000 civilians, and 3,300 Gurkhas stationed in Singa- pore. The oases occupy 17,069 acres, or 12 percent of the island's total land area. About 54,000 local personnel were employed in early 1967, including persons employed directly by the bases, locally en- listed personnel (90 percent of whom were Malays not holding Singapore citizenship) , domestics, and persons employed by contractors working on the bases. Prob- ably as many more were indirectly dependent on the British for jobs. 5. The direct expenditures attributable to the bases and to UK personnel in Singapore in 1966 (the last year for which complete figures are available) totaled about $187 million. These expenditures generated roughly 20 percent of national income and represent a valuable source of foreign exchange (see Table 2). Singapore runs a chronic deficit on its balance of trade, which is made up by a surplus in services, consisting largely of the British military expenditures. Population and Employment Problems 6. Unemployment is Singapore's major economic problem and the greatest potential threat to stabil- ity. There are no government statistics on the size of the labor force or the number of unemployed; how- ever, a survey made by the University of Singapore in SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET 1966 and data from the Labor Exchange suggest that about 60,000 people are now unemployed and that this represents roughly 10 percent of the labor force. Probably at least an equal number are underemployed. 7. After World War II, Singapore's birth rate soared and became one of the world's highest. While population growth remained high throughout most of the 19501s, it has declined from 4.4 percent in 1959 to 2.2 percent in 1967. The government's goal is to reduce the rate of population growth to 1.2 percent by the end of 1970, a goal which may be reached by 1971 or 1972. The reduction in the birth rate should soon begin to ease the burden on Singapore's educa- tion system, but for a number of years at least it will not ease the island's major problem of a large number of young people entering the labor force annually (see Table 3) . 8. Singapore has an unbalanced age distribu- tion -- more than half of the island's 2 million people are under 20 years of age. Each year, more than 50,000 people reach working age, and the number is expected to swell to 60,000 by 1972. The labor force participation rate in the 15-to-19 age group is 44 percent for males and 25 percent for females (comparable rates for Hong Kong in 1961 were 55 per- cent and 48 percent) . Thus 18,000 to 20,000 young people will be entering the labor force annually between now and 1972. Just to hold unemployment to the present rate, about 70,n00 new jobs will have to be created by 1972. Although the economy has grown at an average of 9 percent a year since 1960, the unemployment rate has almost doubled during that time. Singapore and Malaysia 9. Singapore's domestic market is too small for the development of a viable industrial sector. The Federation with Malaysia was seen as a partial solution to this problem. Even at the time of the 1965 break, both sides promised full economic co- operation, and many hoped a common market might still be formed. But economic cooperation has not developed, and prospects for a common market are dim. Although Malaysia is still Singapore's most important trading partner, accounting for one-fourth of the total, trade has declined since separation. In the first SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 The Singapone Hanbon Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 I n the Fonegnound, the Singapone Cu4.tom4 Shed Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET five months of 1968, Singapore's exports to West Malaysia were down 17 percent and imports 10 percent from the same period in 1965. Trade is expected to continue to decline in relative, if not absolute, terms as Malaysia raises tariff barriers to protect its own processing industries and ports. Singapore traditionally served a large hinterland in West Malaysia with imports from third countries coming via Singapore. Malaysia has been successful in re- directing some of this traffic to West Malaysian ports but has not succeeded in finding other outlets for Malaysian rubber, which continues to be processed in Singapore (see Tables 4, 5, and 6). 10. Aside from a decline in transit trade, Singa- pore probably has not suffered from its break with the Federation of Malaysia. Economic integration with Malaysia would have had advantages in terms of market size, but the Chinese business community in Singapore would have been restricted in this larger market by the Malay-dominated federal government. Programs to promote economic integration within Malaysia were being implemented very slowly, if at all, because of continuing communal and political rivalries between the member states. Disputes be- tween the federal government and the government of Singapore were intense on questions of economic policy, with each side claiming that the other lacked the proper common market spirit. Disputes centered on such matters as the size of Singapore's financial contribution to the federal government, allocation of Malaysia's quota for textile exports to the United Kingdom, and the establishment of a common external tariff. 11. The dispute over allocation of the textile quota is a good example of a number of federal policies which discriminated against Chinese-dominated Singapore. Unler the quota negotiated by the federal government with London in 1965, Malaysia could export annually to the United Kingdom 9.8 million square yards of woven textiles and 7.6 million square yards of made-up goods. The federal government reserved for Malaya the entire quota for woven goods. It also reserved 4.7 million square yards of the made-up goods for Malaya in spite of the fact that no garment manu- facturers in Malaya could produce this volume of goods for export. Meanwhile, textile manufacturers in Singapore were being forced to cut back operations and lay off workers. SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET Government Policies 12. The failure to achieve a common market with Malaysia has resulted in increased efforts by the Singapore government to attract foreign firms with established international markets. The main invest- ment incentives that Singapore offers are an ideal location from which to tap the Southeast Asian market; a well-developed infrastructure in transportation, communications, and banking; experience in interna- tional trade; a stable political and economic situa- tion, including a sound, freely convertible currency; a plentiful, relatively well-educated labor supply; and a favorable tax structure. Singapore must com- pete for foreign capital with Hong Kong, Taiwan, and to some extent South Korea, all of which offer most of these incentives plus a labor supply which is cheaper and less protected by unions and legislation. Singapore has recently enacted legislation aimed at reducing labor costs and restricting union prerogat- tives by limiting fringe benefits, reducing overtime, making wage increases and bonuses dependent on pro- ductivity, and giving employers a free hand to dis- charge workers "for cause" and to promote workers without regard to seniority. The change in tone on the part of the government is designed to reassure investors that in Singapore profits are not frowned upon and to remind the unions that the time has come for belt tightening. This is a marked change both for Prime Minister Lee, who started his career in the labor movement, and for a government which came to power through the support of labor. 13. Singapore offers a number of tax breaks designed to encourage investment. Most new firms enjoy a tax holiday of two to five years. To encour- age established firms to expand, profits derived from expansion are tax exempt for a period of three to five years. The tax structure was modified in 1967 to favor firms manufacturing for export. Prof- its derived from the export of locally produced goods are taxed at only 4 percent instead of the normal rate of 40 percent. To encourage the flow of capi- tal into Singapore (especially from Hong Kong) the tax rate on interest earned on deposits in Singapore banks by nonresidents was reduced from 40 to 10 per- cent in 1967. An additional attractive feature of Singapore to overseas Chinese investors from Hong Kong and Indonesia is that investors are eligible for citizenship. SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SL.ngapon.e: Thn.ee-Stony Low-Coat wonfzmen'4 Fta.tb Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 cn C~) Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SZngapone: Ka.e.eang Ba.6,tn S.eum Anea to be Redeve.eoped Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET Implications of the UK Withdrawal 14. The withdrawal of British fcrces which began last year is scheduled to be completed by the end of 1971. Between May 1967 and July 1968, about 6,500 civilian employees and 950 enlisted personnel lost their jobs. About one-fourth of all base employees are Indians and Malays who are not citizens of Singa- pore. By agreement between the UK and Singapore, these persons will be released first and encouraged to leave the island. The United Kingdom has agreed to make a payment to each worker who loses his job because of withdrawal, and this money will go into a fund set up by the government of Singapore. Citi- zens will eventually be able to draw the full amount, but noncitizens will be able to draw only two-thirds unless they leave the island permanently. About 13,000 of the local base civilians are supervisors and skilled industrial personnel who will have little problem finding employment as the bases are converted and the industrial sector in Singapore continues to expand. Some of the slack in the large services sector, which caters to the British servicemen, will be taken up by the expanding tourist trade. The num- ber of visitors arriving in Singapore was up 60 per- cent in 1967, to about 205,000. The expansion is con- tinuing in 1968, with the number of arrivals in the first four months up 31 percent above the same period in 1967. 15. The United Kingdoii. will provide $120 million to help offset the money Singapore loses when the British withdraw. Beginning this year, 75 percent of the aid distributed over the next five years will be in the form of an interest-free loan, repayable over 25 years with a seven-year grace period. The balance will be an outright grant. London and Singa- pore have already agreed on the initial allocation of $32.7 million for the period April 1968 to March 1969. Specific projects include: conversion of the Royal Naval Dockyard, $2.9 million; vocational training, $3.3 million; purchase of British machinery and equip- ment, $9.8 million; harbor modernization, $1.8 mil- Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 ovi- Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET profitable commercial enterprises. The conversion of the Royal Naval Dockyard is already under way, and offers have gone out to 3,000 of the 5,000 skilled and semi-skilled workers to remain on the job when the yard becomes commercial at the end of this year. The ship repairing business has been booming in Singapore, and prospects are bright for the converted base to be a successful enterprise. There are also prospects for converting the Royal Air Force bases. Both US and Australian investors have expressed an interest in converting the bases to regional aircraft maintenance and repair facilities. Singapore's Plans for Adjustment 17. From now until the end of 1971, when the British complete the withdrawal, there will be a pro- gressive reduction in the UK's military expenditures in Singapore. For its part, Singapore will adjust its fiscal and monetary policy to smooth the transi- tion. In March the Minister of Finance announced plans to increase government spending by $312 million during the transition period to offset the recession- ary influence of declining British expenditures. Singapore expects to raise the $312 million for addi- tional government spending by official overseas aid and loans ($93 million), floating loans on overseas money markets ($49 million), increased local taxa- tion and borrowing ($114 million), and drawing down its foreign reserves ($56 million). The official overseas aid portion is already oversubscribed (the United Kingdom alone has promised $120 million). The $49 million figure for private foreign loans is well within Singapore's capacity to raise, considering the island's high international credit standing (see Table 7). The level of official foreign reserves stood at more than $490 million at the end of 1967 and will only have to be reduced by about 10 percent in order to raise the $56 million from that source (see Table 8). 18. The planned $312 million increase in govern- ment spendinq will be divided between defense and Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET for the middle and late 1970's will be advanced several years, including express highways, a second large industrial complex, land reclamation, and an increase in housing construction from the 12,000 units per year previously planned to 16,500 units per year. In addition, Singapore hopes to increase private in- vestment by $65 million over the four-year period by accelerating the construction of tourist hotels and by loan guarantees and equity participation. Some $20 million of the increased government expendi- tures has been allotte;d for this purpose. To en- courage increased private construction, interest rates on approved private buildings started during the period 1968-71 will be subsidized sufficiently to reduce the effective interest rate to between 2/ and 4 percent throughout the life of the mortgage. Prospects 19. The British pullout will not cause major disruptions in Singapore's economy, because the con- version of the bases, the gover::ment's expansionary monetary and fiscal policy, and the infusion of UK aid will cushion the impact. Aided by foreign capi- tal, Singapore's economy is growing rapidly, and the British withdrawal may slow but probably will not stop Singapore's economic development. On balance, the economy will probably expand at a rate of 8 per- cent or more for the next few years. Unemployment, the island's major economic problem, will, of course, be aggravated by the withdrawal. But conversion of bases, the expected rise in tourism, and Singapore's plans to enlarge its military establishment (16,000 young people are to be inducted each year) should keep unemployment close to present levels. 20. Investors seem to be confident about Singa- pore's future after the British leave, and the govern- ment intends to maintain that confidence. An in- creased inflow of investors specializing in labor- intensive industry would go a long way toward solv- ing Singapore's unemployment problem. There is mount- ing evidence that such an inflow may take place in Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 The Si,ngapone Nava.e Ba4 e Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SLngapone: The Queen'e Dnydoclz Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SLngapone: The Queenstown Housing Pnoject Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET S. ngapohe: The Ho-tet SCngapun.a In-teh.contZnen-tat Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 :;ingapore: Estimates 'It' Truss 11,meotit Pr:du:t, by Sectur of Origin a 1' )60-66 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1 6 66 9 5 19 Million US $ Percent Million US $ Percent Million US $ Percent Million US $ Per t Million US $ Million Million cen Percent US Percent s$ Percent Ai.1culture and fisheries 40.g 6.0 44.6 6.1 45.5 5.9 48.5 5.5 46.9 5.3 48.2 4.8 54.1 4.9 Mining and quarrying 1.3 0.2 1.3 u.2 1.7 0.2 2.0 0.2 2.3 0.3 2.0 0.2 2.3 0.2 Manufacturing 48.8 7.3 59.4 8.1 62.4 8.1 74.3 8.5 83.5 9.5 99.7 10.0 116.8 10.6 Cl) n Construction 13.9 2.1 21.8 3.0 23.4 3.0 31.4 3.6 37.6 4.3 43.2 4.3 42.6 3.8 J N oth.r services 16.8 2.5 17.8 2.4 19.5 2.5 19.8 2.3 22.4 2.5 22.4 2.2 26.7 2.4 o h l J W olesale and retail trade 217.5 32.6 235.3 32.2 245.9 31.8 297.7 34.0 248.5 28.2 270.0 27,0 306.3 27.7 ~ I Entreptt D i 128.7 8 19.3 131.4 18.0 134.0 17.3 159.7 18.3 109.2 12.4 121.1 12.1 149.8 13.5 omest c 8.8 13.3 1014.0 14.2 111.9 14.5 138.0 i5.8 139.3 15.8 148.8 14.9 156.4 14.1 Ownership of dwellings 30.7 14.6 33.3 4.6 34.3 4.4 36.3 4.2 38.9 4.4 42.6 4.3 46.9 4.2 Covernment services 35.0 5.3 147.5 6.5 54.1 7.0 62.4 7.1 63.0 7.2 70.6 7.1 88.4 8.0 Military services 92.1 13.8 92.7 12.7 99.3 12.9 106.6 12.2 136.0 15.4 171.3 17.1 174.6 15.8 Other services 171.0 25.7 177.9 24.3 186.5 24.1 195.7 22.4 201.0 22.8 231.0 23.1 247.9 22.4 Tourism Oth 10.2 6 1.5 10.6 1.4 13.2 1.7 18.2 2.1 20.1 2.3 21.5 2.1 27.4 2.5 er 1 0.7 24.1 167.3 22.9 173.3 22.4 177.6 20.3 180.9 20.5 209.6 20.9 220.5 19.9 Statistical discrepancy -1.7 26.2 66.7 34.5 9.7 -42.3 -10.6 GDP at factor cost 666.3 757.8 839.3 909.2 889.8 958.7 1,096.0 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET Estimated Contribution of UK Bases to Singapore's Gross Domestic Product 1966 Million US $ Expenditures Wages and salaries to local civilians 42 Expenditures of UK military personnel 79 Local base expenditures 57 Other 9 Import content of local purchases -53 Direct contributions 134 Indirect contribution 87 Total a/ 221 a. Equal to 20 percent of GDP. Unemployment in Singapore a/ 1966 Never Unemployed Age Previously Previously Group Employed Employed Total Percent of Total 10 to 19 4,061 18,545 22,606 42.9 20 to 29 8,473 8,814 17,287 32.8 30 to 39 4,228 844 5,072 9.6 40 and over 7,115 586 7,701 14.6 Total 23, 877 28, 789 52,666 100.0 a. Based on a survey of sample households. - 21 - SECRET Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 cn y a. Data reflect the dominance of Singapore's role as an entrepot, inasmuch as only a small portion of the major commodities involved in Singapore's foreign trade are produced or consumed locally. For data on domestic exports and retained imports, see Table 5. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Exports 1963 1967 Million Percent of Million Percent of US $ Total US $ Total Crude rubber 318 28 246 19 Coffee 31 3 41 3 Pepper 19 2 20 2 Cotton piece goods 27 2 17 2 Sawn timber 10 1 16 1 Pineapple 12 1 15 1 Rice 29 2 14 1 N Palm oil 7 1 13 1 Other 682 60 889 70 1,135 100 1 271 100 H , Imports Crude rubber 266 19 244 15 Synthetic fabrics 29 2 49 3 Rice 56 4 46 3 Cotton piece goods 41 3 45 3 Coffee 14 1 29 2 Pepper 17 1 21 1 Palm oil 8 1 14 1 Pineapple 9 1 14 1 Other 958 68 1,130 71 Total 1,398 100 1,592 100 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Foreign Trade of Singapore 1960-67 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 2/ 1965 a/ 1966 2/ 1967 Value (Million US $) 1,136 1,081 1,117 1.135 906 982 1,103 1,271 71 74 82 91 97 113 130 N.A. 1,332 423 1,295 1,319 1,398 1,137 1,244 1,329 1,592 tt 447 469 568 529 591 614 N.A. C) Index (1960 = 100) 100 95 98 100 80 86 97 112 100 104 115 128 137 159 183 N.A. 100 97 99 105 85 93 100 120 100 106 111 134 125 140 145 N.A. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Table 6 Foreign Trade of Singapore, by Major Countries 1967 Exports Million US $ Percent of Total Malaysia 359 28 Of which: West Malaysia a/ (270) (21) Indonesia 131 10 South Vietnam 102 8 United States 80 6 United Kingdom 69 5 Japan 51 4 Other 479 39 1, 271 100 Imports Million US $ Percent of Total Malaysia 350 22 Of which: West Malaysia a/ (274) (17) Japan 179 11 Indonesia 152 10 Communist China 125 8 United Kingdom 116 7 United States 80 5 Other 590 37 1,592 100 a. Formerly Malaya. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 SECRET Singapore: External Medium-Term and Long-Term a/ Public Debt Outstanding as of 31 December 1967 Thousand US $ Total Disbursed Total external public debt 83,109 33,465 Debt repayable in foreign currency 74,663 32,660 IBRD loans 71,365 29,362 UK government loans 3,298 3,298 Debt repayable in local cu rrency 8,446 805 Suppliers credits 8,446 805 a. 1)"bt With an original or extended maturity of one LI6clr or !pore . - 25 - SECRE'l' Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1 Million US $ Singapore's estimated share of Malay-Borneo Currency Board's exchange assets Singapore government Government agencies and other public authorities Official reserves Less commercial bank's foreign exchange liabil- ities 1960 90.2 110.5 47.4 248.1 169.0 417.1 104.8 Net reserves 312.3 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 a/ 88.4 87.6 88.8 89.5 89.9 98.3 162.1 b/ 131.9 167.5 194.3 179.8 159.7 171.3 278.1 70.2 72.1 63.2 65.6 55.3 65.8 51.0 290.5 327.2 346.3 334.9 304.9 335.4 491.2 159.7 174.3 162.5 185.6 236.1 243.5 170.3 450.2 501.5 508.8 520.5 541.0 578.9 661.5 113.3 109.0 102.6 151.1 207.3 203.6 109.0 336.9 392.5 406.2 369.4 333.7 375.3 552.5 a. Data for 1967 is not comparable with other years, because Singapore's share of the Currency Board's assets was underestimated up to that time. Thus, of the apparent in- crease of $64 mit'ion, perhaps $60 million is a statistical adjustment. It should also be noted that the sharp increase in Singapore government foreign assets largely repre- sents the end result of a windfall inflow of capital from Hong Kong in 1967 as well as a shift out of Malaysia into Singapore treasury bills in 1967. b. Including $138.3 million foreign assets of the Singapore Currency Board. Approved For Release 2009/10/06: CIA-RDP85T00875R001600010081-1