NIE-33: SOVIET CONTROL OF THE EUROPEAN SATELLITES AND THEIR CONTRIBUTION TO SOVIET POWER

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A000900020004-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 33
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 28, 1998
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: October 25, 1951
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : C A-RDP79R01012A000900020004-5
*.wpf *ftt #53631.f
SECDR/TY INFORMATION
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
BOARD OF NATIONAL ESTIMATES
AGENCY
25 October 1951
MEMORANDUM FOR THE I o IGEE ADVISORY COAMiiia,
SUBJECT: NIE-33: Soviet Control of the European Satellites
and Their Contribution to Soviet Por
1. The attached draft
Board of National Estimates
by the IAC representatives.
2. This estimate will
ularly scheduled meeting of
Distribution "A"
.0
A6proved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79R01012A000900020004-5
estimate has been approved by the
pursuant to a consideration of it
be on the agenda of the next reg-
the IAC.
25X1A9a
Executive Secretary
DOCUMENT NO. ,
NO CHANGE IN! CLASS. t
D DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO. TO /04/
NEXT REVIEW DATE;
AUT11:1
DATE'!
REVIEWER REVIEWER:
4
. ,
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8.111STIM7
TABLE OF CONTENTS
NIE-33
Page
THE PROBLEM ? ? . OOOOOOOOOOOOOO ? ? ? 2
CONCLUS TOM 3
CUSSION ? ? . OOOOO a ....... 6
I. CO:1TROL
Degree of Control ? ? . ? . ? 6
Instruments and Techniques . . 0 ? o ? 0 7
Troublesome issues and Forces . ? ? ? ? ... . 9
II. SATELLITE CONTRIBUTIONS TO SOVIET STRENGTH: ECONOMIC
The Long-Term Program . .....
*0 000
The Current Plans . . . ..... . . . . ? ?
Principal Economic Contributions ?0000 00 :0 6: ii
Limitations on Satellite Economic Capabilities . . 17
Comparison of the Satellites and Western Europe . . 19
III. SATELLITE CONTRIBUTIONS TO SOVIET STRENGTH: vILITAar
. .
Advanced Bases for the USSR . . . ....?.. 19
Satellite Ground Forces . . . . . . ? . . ? 0 0
Satellite Air Forces and Airfields ? 04?0 0 : : :3
Satellite Naval Forces . . . . . . ? ? 0.00 ? 0 25
Summary 26
APPENDIX A - Soviet Forces Stationed in the Satellites,
September 1951
APPETEMC B - Production of Selected Commodities by the Satellites
and the ussn, 1950
APPENDIX C The Development of Satellite Armies,
1951-1953
APPENDIX D Satellite Air Forces, September 1951
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#53631aog
SECURITY INFORMATION
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
26 October 1951
SUBJECTt NIE-33: SOVIET comma OF THE EUMFEAN SATELLITES
AND THEIR ECONOLaC AND LMITAZ CONTRIBUTIONS
TO SOVIET POWat, =UGH Lap-1953
THE PROBLM
To estimate the effectiveness of Soviet control over the
European Satellites and their economic and military contri.
butions to Soviet strength, through mid.1953.
ASSUMPTION
That there will not be general war within the period of
the estimate.
DOCUMENT NO. __,----------.',?""n,
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. I.
DECLASSIFIED . ..
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TSC
NEXT REVIEW DATE: _?__
AUTH: R 70-2
DATE: REVIEWER:
_Aa
2
ti
ti
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APPENDIX B
Production of Selected Commodities by the Satellites and the USSR
1950
Commodity
Production
(Million !letric Tons)
Satellite Production as Percentages of
USSR plus Satellite
Ferrous Metals
Satellite
USSR
USSR Production
Production
Iron Ore
3.500
42.000
8.3
7.7
Pig Iron
4.325
19.5oo
22.2
18.1
Raw Steel
6.775
25.40o
26.7
21.1
Metallurgical Coke
5.47o
25.500
21.0
1707
Nonferrous Metals
Copper
0.050
0.265
18.9
15.9
Lend
0.061
0.095
64.2
39.1
Zinc
0.107
0.105
102.0
5o.5
Antimony
0.003
o.o05?
60.0
37.5
Bauxite
-0.600
o.75o
80.0
44.5
Aluminum
0,018
0.240
7.5
7.0
Coal
Hard
1o0.143
187.150
53.6
3)4.9
Brown and Lignite
1890230
74.850
253.0
71.7
Petroleum
Crude Oil
7.231391,
37.500
19.3
16.2
Petroleum Products
6.3oolV
/
32.636.1Y
1903
16.2
Syntheticsci
1.400
1.530
915
47.8
a Includes the Soviet Zone of Austria.
V/ From crude only.
Cl Includes products from shale and synthetics.
mmiiiii?dadmilommmmi
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APPENDIX B
Productional' Selected Commodities by the Satellites and the USSR
1950
(Continued)
Commodity
Chemicals . ?
Ammonia (Synthetic)
Nitric Acid (100%)
Sulphuric Acid
Toluol
Chlorine
Carbide
Synthetic Rubber
Uranium
Artificial Abrasives
Agricultural Products
Grain
Meat
Sugar
Production
(Million Metric Tons) Satellite Production as Percentage of
Satellite
00386
0,230
00949
0.020
0.222
0.794
0.00
A'y
0.017
36.100
2.107
2.718
USSR
USSR Production
USSR plus Satellite
Production
905314
7100
4200
0.715
32.0
24.0
2.800
34.0
254
0.053
37.7
27.4
0.218
102.0
50.0
0.250
3184
76.0
0.200
20.0
17.0
N.A. gi
200.0
6700
0.030
57.0
3600
82.000
44.0
3005
3.386
6200
39.0
2.100
129.0
56.0
V Not available for this report.,
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Pro
APP'ENDIX B
tion of Selected Commodities by the Satellites and the USSR
1950
(Continued)
Commodity
Production
USSR
Satellite Production attlissIspLaL
Machinery Items 2/
Satellite
USSR Production
USSR plus Satellite
Production
Antifriction
Bearings
90$00000000
60,000,000
1600
? 13000
Tractors
28,00000
100,000
28.0
22000
Machine Tools
Locomotives
31,00000
2,10000
74;000 Ei
2,720!
42.0
8000
30.00
43.00
Freight Cars
45080000
/461)000 7
31.0
24000
Trucks
12000000
4280000
3.0
2.73
Passenger Cars
34,00000
6,000
5200
314.,00
E22yy Electrical
500.0
1,400
36.0
27.00
Mach ery 2/
Electron Tubes
15.0
29
5200
34.00
Electric Lamps !V
97.0
120
8100
4540
Electric Power 2/
4203
85
4907
33020
2/ Quantities are calculated on the following basis: machinery items, units; heavy
electrical machinery, thousand kilowatts; electron tubes and electric lamps, million
units; electric powerp billion kilowatt-houre0
/ Planned production.
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APPENDIX C
THE DELO?LIENT W SATF.T.LI 4UU1E'9 1951.1953
September, 1951
a)
4 44.
cd
960000
820,000
8650000fi
55)000!
300000d
495300a
se 1999/09/27
8
u_
Postern Germany
Poland
Czsdho8lovakie
Albania
Hungary
Rumania
Bulgaria
TOTAL
0
0.
52,000
200,000
559000
450000
100,000
230,000
165,000
03
.8
1.3
3.7
1.05
0 0
h 12 16
0 11 11
7
9
305,0
? ???????????????????????
Irwmi*
56 66 _09360000
Summers 1953
Divisions
3009000
2509000
2404000
55,000
150,000
0
24 214 C5
6 121 22 6.
6 12 ; 18 N"
CN1
5, 5 cg
3 ?
151 20 u)
j
2 15 71)
3
'7
300,000 1.8
1600000 2.0 3
11;4750000
2
12
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Conven-
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Attack
VJlo
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0
0
8-6
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0
0
Light
Medium
IBombers
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0
Transports
8
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443
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____
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Reconnais-
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Trainers &
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_______. --
Total
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0
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sv
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Total A, OF 0
Personnel
32 -
Samoa HIV
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