PENTAGON SAYS THE SOVIET MAY HAVE 2 NEW ICBM'S

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP80-01601R000300340104-0
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RIPPUB
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K
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3
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December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 8, 2001
Sequence Number: 
104
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Publication Date: 
May 27, 1971
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NSPR
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NEW. .YORIC TinES Approved For Release 2001/03/047. C1A-RDP80-01601 7. ---..- ...- , . ----- - - .---7----------7.7---7-------7----7---- - ? ? -1 Officials now note that from ,,!. r _ (I : , :2 , .0 !reconnaissance satellite alti- ? fi . eli '(. Pe 0 0 ,9 q-7 j,f.,1:0,Z; r irfie . )O 0 .`7 (7-' fr, i tildes of roughly 100 miles, it ? , ...- i?_r? 4., I was difficult at first to discern . ? 11 T.f, 7.,,,, tir , c.,..; 7.\,, r ? , 1,,,/-7.-7, ,,,,? 6, r,..!slight chLut,1COS between ' ' ? the dV'e,--. ? 1,Vii 01? i 'il of 0,2 4 j 1 6 z,zio t. ',?,,,. k2),1,./1: 0:the two 1...pes of excavations. 1 --I he insertion of concrete mis- . .._ i Sile liners, however, made clear, . . . . .. they said that two types of -By WILLIAM LT,EQ;ER . . .. Silos were involved. . :. - ? Spoc:al to 1:1,! Nc 7.- Yirk Ti:1123 .. . ,-". ! . /Jut officials concede that :if ' WASHINGTON, May 26-----De-, agreement between the tWo. the majority of the new silos lease Department officials said On the public record, ,Ierry are designed for smaller SS-II to' dav that the 60 new missileY. Frienelm, Deputy Assist'. type missiles, this would be Silos' detected in 1.1v.s. Soviet! pa. I. 1 btl. S e CArCilj.1.1 ,Yv ? . of . act.De.fe i for consIder' ed a lot less menacing i . 4-? , , , s I IS II 0 vi lilt i 011 recently might be in.iag- reed throughout thc,, Govern. tended for two new types ofi:ment that the new silos are intercontinental missiles ratheriof two sizes, but that the larg- than one, as suggested earlier,: est Soviet missile, the SS.9, could fit into either one. But a Pentagon official con- r Other sources explained that Ceded that there was still su.f- the idea of two different ha- ficient uncertainty about tins proved or all-new missiles ' .that a quite different assessment arose in large part from the ri.u. .advanced yesterday could not fact that Russia was rapidly. . If equipped with such ktrge be excluded.This' assessmut,rebuilding launching silos for multiple warheads with lac- both the large SS-9 and the . ? - ..-.- ?-. - ro?-.Thin,-, a cultter. , was that the Russians, rather ii SS -1 . . culacius ....pp. .? 1 , than if all were used for very large missiles of the 53-9 type. ? ? The SS-9, they explain, car- ries a nuclear warhead of 25 megatons and could carry three warheads of five mega- tons each, or six of two meg- atons each. A megaton is equivalent to a million tons of ? ? than seeking, I sma er SS-11 missile at the of a nine, analysts say, the to clePloY new ; Ty uratam missile test . , ?... SS-9 ' types of weapons, were actual- near the Aral Sea. missile is considered a po- ? t ly fashioning larger silos rein.: The two types of rebuilt silos threa to destroy os i the nutemen forced with concrete and other' at the test 'center, they say 1,000 American M , missiles in a first: strike. ..0s,,,a.ppear to conform precisely to featur?es to increase the su t.lip new spos being constructed 'Fite, Soviet Union is said to ability ?to - 1\.-ithstand nuclear . ,at operational SS-9 and SS-11 have just under 300 of the 53-9 attack.. . ? - -. imissile complexes in the Ural missiles' - ' The, 55-11, by way of con- reacting to reports by Senate , The :Pentagon officials were 'Mountains. trast, carries a single warhead Qualified smirces explained . of roughly one megaton, offi- , Republican sources yes! te.. " .,...? that when the holes fii.st Last Demi,. cials note, and is not considered ").: newstarted appearing that the Central Intake-, ? bullce her, they were measured at ,as much of a threat to the Min- 1Kgency had concluded thatbeing,: ; slightly under 30 feet in uteman. It could not carry warheads, tves'r3. r two-thirds of. the large new silo diameter, somewhat larger than. large multiple hey boles were intended for the holes for the SS-9 silo. conclude. The Russians report- "It was not a question of the ecilY has 'a ali"t 800 SS-I Vs' relatively small SS-11 intercon- this ?. spring, . 1 a?on rmc otnCr When asked about the new stinental missile and not for a officials speculated that these silos at arms control talks in large new weapon, as the Do- new silos might be for "hard_ Vienna recently, Soviet officials i lease Department had reportedly told American offi- previously. suggested cried" or reinforced silos, an . ? mproved ?SS-9 or . an entirely telials not to woiry, saying the i i ' - . new missile, Pentagon officials ..'"?s merelyrepresented a ," While this latest suggestion :stressed the latter two possi_, "modernization" program simi- ,about the new silos left a nuns- bilities in most public and pd. lar to the United States mod- ber of questions unanswered vote statements. ei.nization of the Minuteman-3. ., , Officials in various Government The Some Holes Are Larger - Tho United States for about , . . a. year as been replacing early agencies insisted that this five new of the six boles SS-9 coappearedat i fi mplexes; model Mi1ute515n-1 missiles ;seeming confusion accurately and at several 55.11 complexes.' with the Minuteman-3, carrying 'reflected the 'Wide areas of un- Within recent weeks, it wasltwo or three warheads of about ? certainty that exist within the discovered that some of the 160 kilotons each. A kiloton is intelligence community. holes, at both types of corn- ' .. , plexes, were two or three feet ,' The Central .Intelligence Ag- narrower than the otersh. ency declined to comment on Then, more recently, intelli- reports that it differed with g,enteerceports showed that con- the Pentagon's ,interpretation, fl c liners, placed inside these w.es left inner cores of two ? ;but officials at the Defense De- differerst s' equivalent to 1,000 tons of TNT. One hundred silos have been equipped with ithe. Minuteman-3, in a program calling for 550 such missiles. . In the course of rebuilding the old Minuteman silos,the ,., Jheci cience, United States has been addling ipartment and other agencies between the ! two, , sources . say, 1 more concrete and improved said there?.waS no basic dis,' is foci' feet. . . s . . uspension systems to increase, . - . - T f' Tile .)S-9 .has a diameter-y of r ' : b a factor of three, the abil- ? about 10 feet, small enough toit 1 - ! v of the new missiles, to with- fit into either .of the two silo standI a nearby. hit. types, officials say. The' SS-11 has a diameter of roughly 6 feet.. _ .. _ .. ... ..,. STATI NTL Approved For Release 2001/03/04: CIA-RDP80-01601R000300340104-0 STATINTL Approved For Release 2001/03/04: CIA-RE SAN DIEGO, TRIBUNto 2 7 197-1 E 3.21,726 ISS ,Stockpiles used _ Meanwhile in Mittenwald, Germany, Defense Secretary. Melvin R. Laird said Russia S1 OS Hge and the United States are: .adding to their nuclear mis- . sile stockpiles despite an agreement to talk about Ern- buk? 1? g - . ? itincr them. Ell) q?,,,O, MIL If Both superpOwers are, maintaining conventional ground troops . at present EVENING TRIBUNE: News Report gro strength in central Europe, WASHINGTON -- The new although 1Vioscow now has in- missile silos under construe- (Heated an interest in dis- tion in the Soviet Union may cussing mutual and balanced be for two separate missile reductions of these forces. systems, a Defense Depart- Diplomats from North At- ment spokesman said yester-. lantic Treaty Organization day. ? (N TO) countries will under- The spokesman, Jerry W. tar,? exploratory talks with Friedheim, said new evidence Mo -w mo. -w immediately in gathered over the past month hop( of learning within the gives some indication the next six to eight weeks Russians -may be involved in whether the Russian interest "two separate systems of is sincere, U.S. officials said. silo improvement." ? Friedheim suggested the Eight nations attend silos could be for either new. These were the highlights missiles, existing missiles or of a two-clay meeting of perhaps only represent an el.-. NATO's eight-nation nuclear fort to harden silos against planning group. .attack. Manlio Brosio, secretary - "We are not certain what general of NATO, told a news the Soviets' intentions are," conference the defense mini- he said. "That remains our siers comprising the nuclear current assessment." planning group "are trying to CIA reports prevent war before waging it. ? "You cannot have a good Meanwhin, Senate Republi.- preventive if you do not have can sources reported that the a- good deterrent," Brosio Central Intelligence Agency iid has concluded that at least- two-thirds of the new silos recently detected in the So-. .viet Union appear to have been prepared for the rela- tively small SS11 inter- continental ballistic missile, rather than a large new weapon. Over the past 'months U.S. intelligence has reported the ,Soviets were building 60 new missile silos, raising alarms that the Russians were ? eirt7; harked on a .new missile pro- grain and seeking a first- strike capability. Friedheim said the Penta- gon was still unable to make any final .determination of' _what the Russians were up to.. He said the new silo construc- tion is continuing in areas of their cxis in SSO and 11 missjieccApoved r Release 2001/03/04 : C IA-RDP80-01601 R0003003401-04-0 Approved For Release 20 _ ADP80-016 2 7 MAY .197i STATINTL By Michael Getler Washington post, Staff Viiiter. :The Pentagon said yester- day that the new, large missile 'silos. being built in the Soviet Union' now, appeal' to be de- signed far to different kinds of ICBMs, but conceded that more than half of the new holcS. may be for the relatively small and less threatening SS-ll ICBM. Defense - officials said that new - intelligence gathered since late last month indicated that the silo building program -:-?-which touched off scares here of a new arms race--may be' ant in part to provide protection for Russian. both the 55-11s and the huge SS-Ds, against U.S. at- tack. rather than as a big ex- pansion of the Soviet SS-9 force: However, Pentagon spokes- man -terry W. Friedheim made it clear that the Pentagon's "test ,. judgment remains that either new missiIe7, or modifi- cations of existing missiles" will go into the "two separate systems of silo improvement." Privately, Defense officials say they believe the most likely prospect now is that the Soviets will combine their silo hardening effort with installa- tion of inipl.oved versions of both 'missiles, rather than with any completely.. new ICBM even bigger and more ominous ? than the existing 55-9. . Of some (10 new ICBM silos that .U.S. spy satellites have spotted ? since. this February, well-informed defense officials say. that 20 to 25 are under construction in missile fields minally associated with exist- ing -SS-9 ?IiiiSes?-and. $5 to do at SS-11 bases. No missiles have actually been installed in any .of the'new holes so far, the of- ficial.saye Friedheith , yesterday. ex- plained that. the .original tectioft:of the new silos showed ?"dia.meter,s. large enough to en- . 'compass any missile in the So- viet inVentory"'''-' ' Disclosure of the new silos Washington hopes lb hold was first made publicly On udown\ .the number of Soviet March by Sen' Henry 1\11S5-93 to about 300. Jackson (D-Wash.), ancl was later confirmed by Defense Secretary Melvin R.. While the Pentagon has said all ,along that it was not sure The Soviets now haVe al- most .288 SS-Ds on the firing line and presumably will add 20 to 25 more in the new silos. Friedheim denied there had if .the holes were for a COM- pieteiv now missile or for a been disagreement between modification of the existing SS-9, the impression was gen- erally created that whatever it was, it was very big. It is the 55-9, equipped with multiple warheads, which the Pentagon has portrayed as the major threat to knocking out U.S. Minuteman ICMIs in a sur- prise attack. There was no official indica- tion given until yesterday that the new holes might be for protecting small ICBMs as The SS-ll. carries a much smaller warhead than the 55-9 and is not viewed as a first- strike weapon. Frierlheira said that while it was still unclear what Soviet intentions were "new infroma- tion now available to us leads us to conclude the Soviets may be involved in two sepa- rate silo improvement pro- grams" rather than, just one. The new evidence, other sources say, was photos of dif- ferent size protective concrete liners for the missile silos which reduce their inside di- ameters and of different base layouts used for the two mis- siles. Friedheim said that in the past the Russians have in- stalled SS-11. ICBMs into what heretofore have been bases used exclusively for shorter range missile. Privately, Defense officials conceded that the latest devel- opments, if they do not change, are less provocative than a big Soviet drive to add still larger missiles. Splitting the new silos between SS-9s and 55-11s also seems to fit in with U.S. objectives at the strategic arms limitation talks; the CIA and the Pentagon over assessing' the moaning of the: silo construction program ill recent weeks. Nevertheless, Sen. William Proxmire (D-WiQ yesterday' called the episodi.. the "OW shortest missile gap in his- tory." ;Proxmire accused - both Laird and Jackson of whip- ping no "a series of. scare 'cm stories" based on the "wholly unproved assuroptiOn that these holes were all designed, for the huge new 25-megaton SS-9 missiles." `?The lesson is clear," Prox- mire contended. "The practice 'of selective disclosure of par- tially analyzed intelligence data by the Pentagon and its allies should stop. Congress and the American public must not be swept off their feet by leaks designed merely to pro- pagandize for a bigger and fat- ter ary budget." Approved For Release 2001/03/04: CIA-RDP80-01601R000300340104-0