ESTIMATE OF THE INDUSTRIAL CAPABILITY OF THE USSR TO PRODUCE SUBMARINES UNDER AN INDUSTRIAL MOBILIZATON PROGRAM

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T01149A000500130001-7
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: November 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 20, 1998
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 1, 1957
• Content Type: REPORT

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ESTIMATE OF THE INDUSTRIAL OAPAMITT OF 71E USSR
TO PRODUCE SUBMARINES UNDER AN INDUSTRIAL MOBILIZATION PROCFAM
"
EICSSCATPI
April 1957
Subearnittso on Shipbuilding
of the
Economic Intelligence Committee
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLAW. CI
CLASS. CHANGED TOilfig
CI DECLASSIFIED
AUTH: I-IR 70-2
REVIEWER:0 C./ c
NEAT REVIEW DATE:
CI:LA:1T3ES. AN TO
DATE: ??????????????????????????????
t4EXT REVIEW DATE:.
0 4 JUN 1990 AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE' . REVIEWER:
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INTROUNTION
The purpose of this ?apex is to estiwtte the industrial capahility
of the USSR to produce submarinee under an all out indastrial mbiliza-
tion program calling for the production of all implements of var. The
effect of attacks by the US or Allied arhn.fl forces on Soviet production
in the event of waro have not been considered in this astixt.
Mobilization of the shipbuilding industry for expanion of subnarinl
construction is considered in three separate phases.
The first period (Phase A) considers optimum utilization of
specialized facilities currently used for submarim proeuctm.
The second. period (Phase B) considers for ubnar inT cc: truct%on
the use of certain additional building my'S and sites not uscd siace
Vorld Var T1 for the construction of major naval surface %Passe's.
Finally, generalized co n3 !Aeration 1,3 givJn (Phase 0) o additional
methods of e7panding submarine output.
Special attention is given to tl,e tine interval betzer.:In R.daY
(mobilization day) and the achievemout of the probable cpV_Alm rate of
output.
The supply of the tvo najor components . steel and dic.,,sel engines
and the required increase in shipyard L?.bc.r is lso discussa
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? Do-cause of the probable hih prlurity that -:1111 be aesigned
subrarins productionp it is? vssuned that allocation. of resources i3.1
be adequate for the several phases and t'..mt no delays be eiirCoutterl?,
The tido tnt be.:17,,,ean-11:1-thay and -the adhieveraort of h3 probable peak
(optimum): prodvetiori is estimated on the baSiS of 'US analogiv modified by
the kne-?&?aodge c eviot achieimments In the inidustrisl field since 't.:orlol
ar 'II
A.11 estiru, t.z..s of :3oviet Production qapabilit1;/ .'or ono type of
submarie - the '10.. CITI-3 a* It it; r'ocoized that other types of
submarines, having different characteristics that -.4a-y 5RIP,7 building
tiPel may be cc1.10.;rcetfid during the psvied4, but ro at,e.t,pt is math', to
estinato either the typo or rate of output.
The estiw ted ;reduction of submpriner mder the throe 'phases of
industrial' rob-tliAation is &lawn f,vaph:cally in ?iguire 2,..e!fre An analysis
of each of thope phas29 is contmins0 i the folloulng ce
A. Phase A - rretismi All-Hkual Rate of ciut?,nt
G'urrerriuy In IL.? V290a12(0:POil c-c,.7-rnrena)
aaa.cr.4. -
It is c-sum3 that the. ?jrst :phaso in biltj iU be to
raise the annual output from the snecial ocrstrution
currently ed in the production of ubmarthe The ,..,urront annual
output (1951') Iron theso f:sollitios is rZt-,x!t 70 01`46-4:1aPs ani 25 11011.
Mass. An for average' yr..arl reoluctiur in trs of
Mass is abo,A 96 ed it is estitod t''.111, this rato can be raice0, to 117)
fhoilLties curni.ntly engage:1 in the production of submnrires
and no est .7rateo annual rate of output of 01lans t.,eploying 3 lator
shiftev: nu-la in Table
lasp subm,rxim1*::-
i the lsciing Soviet long rano subnr,rine
.
pith rospes to nnTlibers built. Over 2(10 halm, been cen?tradted since
1951. This I-e cie1 an electric u]'r ndconverAtioppl
armmont arL 1ME 4 standard displteraat el about L() tons and a
lIght shio ?Jaiht of it 380 tor3..
1f-re 1 feIlous pao,:s 2.
n,* See pe'ga for uanpou,o,r anElysis.
?-1.:fet,t-re Tabl. 1 appears on par;s 3.
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Tab
A
Special Facilities CuriwitIr Engaged in t,]Ae Constmotion of Submrines
Lot.ion
4.24-74.1.4C,4444P 4.414.......4
? said 7st ignited 0.4?tiMIlill 111111a1
'11 e:' of
Pe:,:.thol (Il'ov-7,51
Shipyard Sites C't Dociv,1
44?44.44?44 446,44....44.44?44.4,44
te of Output
Annual Rati.1
of 0',:itpLi.t ,
Per Bo:rtha.,
Le nin.,-Tad
Baltic #189
4
4 e/
Ery:',..ov #1.(,4i4 1.41
?!.
II oi
Gw?kiy
ji udo rf, kft t196
Kr&I.Inciyo
,
9
4 ni
Sorramo #112
13
Wi.lcolayav
Most:7114:o 44-14/.41;
44
4.5
Kom3ornisk
Kormaktolak #3.99
3
"
vonGns al 6,11
t mal -7:Ate
of
Output ,1,/
4..4m im44.anw 4,4.1sUarMa 4 4,444r4t4 44144
16
16
58
la
24
Tic oublravines have been r:Torted frcrtiifacili "aawaver? it L;
conoLdered to be part of Plase A estirate,,
c.4?, Becar.so c,f the cooperatf f3.monq the Ihi.Pyards in tiro Leniigraa arcs.
in the prodw;tion Of submax.iirn aomy,:ov.ent s kn overall avora ;re annu41
on tout o pr.,r I:my or sit%,
The fauf.l.ities listAld in Tablz: 1c pe AP-171.Y Suited. for the
atinb1r of Ethips by using etioxii, rrthd of corrtruatio, Lie n the
jota:',-;x44, tOgfrther on- tho- buildIng 1,747r,,,,tip on tbuilding q.nd
the building doakz of asveribIsd hull sections are prg:f1.1txriontm.i
in shops in the yard or ar-ljao.ent plant In the l'Iolenkce Shipyard
Nikolayev the rpthod of &sse$Tibly Lviserribly 7,1ne teeirrie?
Production in the Krasnoye the: subrarina
product:ion :Aird in the. TiF.;SR WA11:3 at the rat,,,.? of 1 s1bu2A-5....ne per berth
(site) every 2 rflonths in 1%2 Iyhen the ?rd had only 3 beftha for
su"wrzirinn construotio, 'z'a..ce S 17, Yin..in t9.1.1.rtui en
the additional 10 berths wer2