THREAT ASSESSMENT TASK FORCE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP82M00591R000300100009-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 17, 2002
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: September 11, 1974
• Content Type: MIN

Approved For Releasc,2002/06/14 : CIA-RDP82M00591 R0003100009-0
SECRET
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
COUNTERMEASURES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT SUBCOMMITTEE
THREAT ASSESSMENT TASK FORCE
11 September 1974
NIS
SI/CIA
Secret Service
IA
ORD/CIA
RD/CIA
ORD/CIA
RD/CIA
1. Third Meeti,;
The third meeting of the Threat Assessment Task
Force was held on 11 September 1974 at 0930 hours at
the Ames Building.
2.. Presentation
The "Planning Study" work s onsored by the CIA
and the Department of State at was presented by
project personnel.
3. Discussion
a. The mission of the Threat Assessment Task
Force was discussed.
WARMING NOTICE
SENSITIVE IN1'ELLI(4Gc
~Y ~;,~5~
FD `Nd. i.VED
EX-2 IMPDET
r Release 2002/06/14: OIIR1I)FP82M00591 R0003001O0009-0
25X1A
25X1
 Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000301.00009-0
*Wy
b. Possible products and recommendations were
discussed.
4. Lg,cnda for -Next Meeting
Since the Final Report of the Task Force is due
at the October RFD Subcommittee meeting, the Task Force
must shortly prepare its recommendations. All members
are therefore requested to be prepared to present and
discuss recommendations, products, etc., for inclusion
in the Final Report at the next meeting. Short, written
descriptions of each product, etc. , would be helpful.
5. Next Meeting
The next meeting will be on 2 October at 0930 hours
at thel Facility.
6. A ournment
The meeting was adjourned at 1200 hou.is.~
25X1A
Secretary
Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA- 2DP82M00591 R000300100009-0
 Approved For Release? 02/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R0003QV 00009-0
SECRET
NO FOREIGN DISSEM
CONTROLLED DISSEM
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
COUNTERMEASURES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT SUBCOMMITTEE
THREAT ASSESSMENT TASK FORCE
28 August 1974
CIA.
1. Second Meeting
The second meeting of the Threat Assessment Task
Force was held on 28 August 1974 at 0930 hours at the
OSI/CIA
OSI/CIA
Navy
C:f IA
Facility.
2. Discussion
For the benefit of those attending the second
meeting who were not present at the initial meeting,
the mission, direction, and end products previously
identified were summarized.
NO FOREIGN DISSEM
Approved For Release 2002/Q RQl P$ M1 R000300100009-0
SECRET
CIA
avy
CIA
Secret Service
 Approved For Release,Zj}02/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000300100009-0
This summary resulted in substantial discussion of
the scope, charter, mission, and end products of the
Threat Task Force by attendees at the second meeting who
were absent at the initial meeting. In general, this
discussion raised serious questions as to the practi-
cality, purpose, and means by which the end products
were to be achieved. The two basic viewpoints were
not. satisfactorily resolved during this discussion.
The discussion was then turned to methodologies
by which substantial elements of the previously iden-
tified end products could be accomplished.
a. The = estimating methods for trans-
mitter power were discussed.
b. The applicability of existing systems 25X1A
models to ACM effectiveness were discusse 0 25X1A
representatives will be available 11 September 1974
in Room 607, Ames, for further explanations of
this effort.
c. The possibility of a cross-reference
index to categorize threat scenarios and sites
on a worldwide basis.
d. The elements and methods of threat analysis
and technological forecasting were discussed with
the OSI attendees with regard to information they
could provide for validation and forecasting.
The consensus was that they could provide infor-
mation if the questions were sufficiently specific.
e. The OSI attendees additionally stated that
they could probably identify Soviet purchases of
U.S. surveillance and countermeasures systems if
they were provided with sufficient information to
identify these items.
The close of discussion was ambivalent with one
member stating that the meeting had accomplished nothing
and questioning the feasibility of the end products
identified. Others in attendance felt that all the
end products were feasible at least in part and that
resources existed to accomplish them.
3. Agenda for Next Meeting
No topic for the next meeting was discussed.
2
Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000300100009-0
 Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000300100009-0
4. Next Meetin2
The next meeting will be on 11 September 1974
at 0915 hours in Room 607 of the Ames Center Building
(1820 North Fort Myer Drive, Rosslyn, VA).
5. Adjournment
The meeting adjourned at 121S hours.
I
Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA FDP82M00591 R000300100009-0
 Approved For ReleaseiJ02/06/14: CIA-RDP82MOO591 R0003OZOOO09-0
SECRET
NO FOREIGN DISSEM
CONTROLLED DISSEM
UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
COUNTERMEASURES RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT SUBCOMMITTEE
TIIREAT ASSESSMENT TASK FORCE
1 August 1974
25X1A
1. Initial Meeting
The initial meeting of the Threat Assessment
Task. Force was hold on. 1 August 1974 at 0930 hours
25X1A
at the Facility.
The general problem of threat as ossment was
discussed including:
a. problem definition,
h. alternate approaches and methodologies, and
c. future frequency of such effort.
CONTROLLED DISS.EM
VEI)
br Release 200 &/YCV" I IIDP$i IPe{ t91 R000300 60A~-00 3 3 7 4 6
1 EX--2 IMPDE'.'U
 Approved For Release,,p02/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R0003Q >00009-0
SECRET
NO FOREIGN DISSEM
CONTROLLED DISSEM
A preliminary draft of a. task force mission, objectives,
and criteria statement was produced and is attached.
Some factors that affect the.technical threat were also
identified and are attached.
3. Agenda for Next Meeting
The topic for the next meeti.ng is to further discuss
the output or kinds of output that should result from
the Threat Assessment Task Force and to define them in
the greatest amount of detail possible.
Next Meeting
The next meeting of the Threat Assessment Task
Force will be Wednesday, 28 August 1974 at 0930 hours
at thel Facility.
5. Adl ournment
The meeting adjourned at 1130, ho~rs.
Secretary
Attachments:
as stated
CONTROLLED DISSEM
P?O FOR .IGN DISSEM
Approved For Release 2002/06/14 SCG ?P82M00591 R000300100009-0
25X1A
 Approved For Release 02/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R00030001100009-0
THREAT ASSESSMENT TASK FORCE
Technically and operationally evaluate foreign audio
and video surveillance capabilities believed to be employed
or capable of employment against. U.S. installations or
personnel. for the purpose of enhancing the United States
Government's technical surveil lance countermeasures posture.
CRITERIA
1. The threat assessments must provide practical
threat estimates (i.e., within reasonable technical and
operational constraints) as distinguished from the earlier
"DC to Light." approach.
2. The threat assessments must consider environmental/
operational factors that affect the .threat.
3. Output must be usable.
OBJECTIVES
1. The objective of the Threat Assessment Task Force
is to produce end products that will:
a. impact on day-to-day audio countermeasures
(ACM) operations,
b. impact on training provided to ACM personnel,
C. impact on long-range programming of both a
procurement and R&D nature, and
d. provide threat inputs suitable for systems
analysis programs or efforts.
POSSIBLE: END PRODUCTS
1. Positive audio surveillance scenarios.
Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000300100009-0
 Approved For Release-,Z02/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R0003001100009-0
ft?V
2. A. world-wide hostile audio surveillance threat
assessment.
3. Evaluation of the effectivendss of current ACM
operations based on the threat estimate.
4. Technological- forecast for guidance to R&D equip-
ment procurement activities,.
Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000300100009-0
 Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000300100009-0
SGM,,.E FACTORS AF EC NG TIE-C, Cy ri"
~_./
Proxir,i ~.~; ance
Opera ~i onal Freedom
Common Wall
unlimited
Limited
No Access
25X1A
Kind o Access Ater.
Envi ronrieIn
pf L r ,..:?C; .ar_o/Techn icues
Avca.1 LaO111 LX
25X1A
Approved For Release 2002/06/14: CIA-RDP82M00591 R000300100009-0