SOVIET UNION- EASTERN EUROPE STAFF NOTES

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CIA-RDP86T00608R000400110034-0
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RIPPUB
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S
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15
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December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
October 26, 2000
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34
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Publication Date: 
December 22, 1975
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REPORT
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/ p e a ele se 2001109104 :ILIA-RDP86T0067 0004001106340 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400110034-0 Secret NO ORN Soviet Union-Eastern Europe F I State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file Secret 1,71 December 22, 1975 No. 0782/75 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400110034-0 Warning Notice Sensitive Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved (WNINTEL) NA) TONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized Disc;kLure Subject to Criminal Sanctions DISSEMINATION CONTROL ABBREVIATIONS NOFORN- Not fteleasable to Foreign Nationals NO:'ONTRACT- Not Releas9ble to Contractors or Contractor/Consultants PROPIN- Caution-Proprietsry Information Involved USIBONLY- USIB Departments Only ORLON- Dissemination and Extraction of Information Controlled by Originator REL... - This Information has been Authorized for Release to ... Classified by 010725 Exempt from 3eneral Doclassllicatlon S;hedulo of E.O. 11652, exemption category: ?56(1), (2), and (3) Automatically declassifieC on: date Impossible to determine Approved For Release 2001/09/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 200 ATE, rIL6 80608R000400110034-0 SOVIET UNION - EASTERN EUROPE This publication is prepared for regional specialists in the Washington com- munity by the USSR - Eastern Europe Division, Office of Current Intel- ligence, with occasional contributions from other offices within the Directorate,-)f intelligence. Comments and queries are welcome. They should be directed to the authors of the individual articles. CONTENTS December 22, 1975 Soviet Vi-Aws on Bangladesh. . . . . . . . . . . . 1 USSR - French Communist Party . . . . . . . . . . 3 USSR-Turkey: Kosygin's Coming. . . . . . . . . . 4 Yugoslavs Arrest a Soviet Spy . . . . . . . . . . 6 ANNEX: Supreme Soviet Speakers Protest 1976 Plan Cutbacks. . . . . . . . . . . 7 Approved For Release 2001/09/ :Lc ffP86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001 /09/04. Cli- 6T00608R000400110034-0 Soviet Views on Bangladesh. Moscow has once again expressed its co,icern over the unsettled situation in Banglades2-.. In a conversa- tion on Bangladesh with the US ambasiiador on December 19, Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Firyubin repeated- ly stressed the paramount importance: Moscow attaches to the preservation of stability in Scuth Asia. Fir- yubin seemed to be saying that Mosc;,.aw's special in- terest in the region entitled it tr: have a role in events there. The Soviets believe the turmoil in Bangladesh is a direct result of outside interfr?,.rence. Although there is no hard evidence to suggest that machina- tions by Peking are involved, Mot :ow persists in see- ing China's hand in the allegedl,;Y anti-Soviet activi- ties of Bengalee extremist groupi;. The planned es- tablishment of a Chinese diplomatic mission in Dacca has heightened Moscow's concern. In an effort to reduce Soviet suspicions, Ben- galee special envoy Tabarak Husain met with Soviet officials in Moscow on December 16-18 to discuss re- lations between the two countries. Husain probably sought to assure the Soviets that Dacca would con- tinue its policy of nonalignm':.rit and would do its best to put down the disturbeLw:es in the countryside. Firyubin indicated, however, -,.izat Moscow remains ex- tremely doubtful that the ne'ai leadership will be able tc cope with its enormo;.r. problems. Firyubin acknowledged i ,'aat the question of In- dian military intervention had come up during the talks, but he doubted the effectiveness of such a move. 25X1X the Soviets thus far have stopped short of re'ommending Indian military action, de- spite Moscow's dissatisfaction with the re,:ent, po- litical changes in Bangladesh. Should the situi- tion there deteriorate further, however, it seems December 22, 1975 -1- Approved For Release 2001/09/0 E, P, . 86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09/04""ETA-R ' 86T00608R000400110034-0 unlikely that Moscow would actively work to prevent India from intervening, (SECRET NOFORN/NOCONTRACT/ ORCON) 25X1A Phone: 143-7285 December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/09/0+:1 6T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001 /09?. Cd P86T00608R000400110034-0 USSR - French Communist Party A public exchange of recriminations between the French and Soviet Communist parties suggests that re- lations between them have reached a new low. The ex- change was triggered by a film shown on French tele- vision on December 11 depicting Soviet persecution of political prisoners. On December 19, Pravda labeled the film a "crude falsification," which clashed with the generally improving climate of Soviet-French re- lations. Pravda also expressed surprise that "some per- sons who have always given a due rebuff to anti-So- vietism and anti-Communism were taken in by the prov- ocation of anti-Sovietists and anti-Comminiists and thus, wittingly or unwittingly, promoted further spread of this anti-Soviet provocation." This was clearly aimed at the French Communist Party, which, instead of criticizing the film itself, had issued a formal statement calling on the Soviets to rebut the charges contained in the film. The highly unusual public airing of differences reflects the gradual cooling of relations between the two parties, especially since the Soviets fa- vored Giscard over the leftist coalition in the May 1974 elections. The recent joint statement of the French and Italian parties and Spanish Communist Party leader Santiago Carrillo's remarks about form- ing a Latin Socialist blot: undoubtedly added to So- viet concern about the increasing independence of the major Western parties. One result of the growing dispute is to reduce the chances for a European Communist Party confer- ence in the near future. There has been other evi- dence, however, that the Soviets have decided not to make the compromises necessary to convene the conference. (CONFIDENTIAL) December 22, 1975 -3- Approved For Release 2001/09 P86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001 /09/0 E 14 .86T00608R000400110034-0 USSR-Turkey: Kciygin's Coming Soviet Premier Kosygin will arrive in Turkey on Friday for a five-day visit. Although the inaugu.-a- tion of the Soviet-aided Iskenderum steel plant will provide the ceremonial centerpiece of his visit, Kosy- gin will also continue Moscow's low-key efforts to ex- ploit US-Turkish friction and to improve its own rela- tions with Ankara. In his conversations with Turkish Prime Minister Demirel, Kosygin will probably urge continued economic cooperation and suggest that Moscow poses no threat to Turkish interests. He may indicate that Moscow is will- ing to sell Turkey military equipment. 25X1C Kosygin may also bring up the subject of extra- dition of two Soviet aerial hijackers who fled to Tur- key in 1970. The incident, which has been a continuing irritant to Moscow, has led the Soviets to propose to Ankara that an agree- ment on air piracy be worked out. In his discussions on Cyprus, Kosygin will re- state the formal Soviet position favoring a unit--rv Cyprus, but he will not press the issue. He may sug- gest that Moscow--in fact--has followed a policy of benign neutralit;- toward the Turkish occupation. The Turks will continue their efforts, which have accelerated since their embargo' difficulties with the US, to take some of the chill and antagon- ism out of relations with their Communist neighbors. They no doubt view the visit as a useful signal to the West that Turkey cannot be mistreated or taken for granted. December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/09/08E., ET86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09/04~lEC]k6T00608R000400110034-0 The Iskenderum project that Kosygin will dedi- cate is one of Moscow's largest aid projects, in- volving $420 million in Soviet credits. Construc- tion on the project got under way in 1970; the first stage, now being opened, will be able to produce 1.1 million tons of steel ann,ially. Last July, Moscow and Ankara signed a-. economic and technical cooperation agreement that may provide as much as $600-700 million in credits for sei--- L.i. projects. Expansion of Iskenderum to a capao_.-y, of 4 million tons is envisioned in this accord. (SECRET NOFORN/NOCONTRACT/ORCON) N P one: 143-7285 December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001 /091 E( WP86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09/0tJ 86T00608R000400110034-0 Yugoslavs Arrest A Soviet Spy The recent arrest of a Soviet citizen for es- pionage could become a cause ceZebre should the Tito regime wish to accelerate its vigilance campaign against foreign, and particularly Soviet, meddling in Yugoslavia. a 35-year-old woman--who resides in Yugoslavia but is a Soviet citizen--was arrested on November 30 for economic and political espionage. The arrest took place just three days after Pravda had asserted that Moscow had no hand in the activities of pro-Soviet subversives in Yugoslavia? The woman is reportedly the first Soviet citizen to be arrested in the current cam- paign against Cominformists and other subversives. there was a link between the arrested woman and the Soviet con- sulate in Zagreb. The recent, premature departure of the Soviet consul general from Zagreb had already loosed rumors of his involvement with Cominformists. The Soviet diplomat had been expelled from Great Britain in 1971, when London ousted a host of sus- pected Soviet intelligence officers. The Tito regime could use the incident to ques- tion--either by innuendo or outright accusat~.on-- the sincerity of Soviet promises to stay out of Yugo- slav affairs. (CONFIDENTIAL) December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/09/ ,,(9JP86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09/04~]Plk:6 86T00608R000400110034-0 The following in extracted from FBIS Trendy, December 17, 1975. Supreme Soviet Speakers Protest 1976 Plan Cutbacks The tight 1976 annual plan and budget presented at the December 2-4 USSR Supreme Soviet session were greeted with a barrage o- complaints by republic rep- resentatives, according to regional press versions of their speeches at the session. Although all for- mally endorsed the plan and budget--as they are ex- pected to--spokesmen from virtually every republic protested parts of the plan and budget and appealed for more money or equipment for their local areas. Supreme Soviet sessions on the plan and budget often hear appeals for local projects, but the present cho- rus of demands appears to set a new standard in this regard. While it is not surprising that the extremely low growth rates envisaged in the plan should provoke complaints from those affected, it is surprising that local representatives would dare to speak out so openly and bitterly. Moreover, virtually all these appeals for changes in the plan or for more money or equipment were deleted from the versions of the speeches published in the central press, even in the relatively long versions printed in Izvestia. Only a few of the lesser appeals for more funds were men- tioned in Gosplan Chairman Baybakov's concluding speech, and he replied in each instance that the funds provided were sufficient or that the questions raised were still under discussion. The speeches do not appear intended to reflect on Brezhnev or his leadership, since the compl.ai:its were more than counterbalanced by praise for Brezhnev. December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/09/CE;.E,G'IRB11P86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09/04 -FC (=RR T86T00608R000400110034-0 Moreover, many of the complainers were from republics controlled by close Brezhnev proteges (the Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Azerbaydzhan, etc.). On the other hand, virtually all the complaints mentioned Gosplan or the central ministries, suggesting that Kosygin may have been the ultimate political target. Coincidentally, Kosygin, for the first time since becoming premier in 1964, failed to attend the opening day's meeting of the Supreme Soviet session. Kosygin also failed to attend on December 3, although he was reported meet- ing briefly with the Kuwaiti foreign minister on that day. He did attend the short December 4 final ineet- ing which heard the brief closing speeches of Baybakov and Finance Minister Garbuzov. The most far-reaching and serious criticism was made by Ukrainian Deputy Premier and Gosplan Chair- man P. A. Rozenko, half of whose speech, as published in the December 4 Radyanska Ukraina, was devoted to complaints and appeals for more money. His main appeal was on behalf of the Ukrainian coal and metal- lurgy industries, whose growth, he contended, was being stymied by limits on investments. Stressing the national importance of Ukrainian coal and metal, he pleaded with the USSR Gosplan and central minis- tries to provide new equipment for Donetsk mines, to opef new mines, and to provide for accelerated construction of metallurgical projects in the new five year plan. He also appealed to Gosplan and the USSR Power and Electrification Ministry to aid the lagging construction of the Dnepr-Don Canal and'urged diversion of some production funds to build more kindergartens and nurseries. Estonian Premier V. I. Klauson declared flatly, according to the December 5 Sovetskaya F'stonia, that the 1976 plan's growth rates for Estonian industry "do not satisfy us." He complained that Gosplan and the USSR Finance Ministry had already placed limits on t:_c rights of local plants to use their own funds December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/09/(SIE(3R.'86T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09AV.% P86T00608R000400110034-0 for their own development and that these limits were being continued in the 1976 plan. He also asked Gosplan to "raise the limits on building materials" provided for Estonian kolkhozes. A Georgian representative accused Moscow, in effect, of reneging on recent promises of aid. Accord- ing to the December 4 Zarya Vostoka, M. T. Tsiskar- ishvili, head of a Georgian hydroelectric station construction administration, complained that while a 1974 CPSU Central Committee - Council of Ministers decree on Georgia had promised aid to Georgia's railroads and metallurgical, machine building, chem- ical, food, and light industries ministries under the 1976-80 plan, "preliminary discussion of the measures in union ministries and the USSR Gosplan" shows that these measures are in serious jeopardy, and he ap- pealed to Gosplan and various ministries to imple- ment the promised aid. Azerbaydzhani and Belorussian speakers protested cutbacks in housing and schools. Azerbaydzhani fac- tory worker 0. A. Bagirov, according to the Decem- ber 5 Bakinsky Rabochy, stated that the 1976 plan had cut local housing construction to 330,000 square meters, as against 1975's 355,000, and provided for construction of only 27,300 rural school seats a year. He appealed to Gosplan to allot additional investments to build housing and ruralsschools in Azerbaydzhan, which he said suffered a severe short- age of both. Belorussian Deputy Premier and Gosplan Chairman F.LL. Kokhonov complained, according to Sovetskaya Belorussia on December 4, that central ministries had "sharply" cut investments for housing construc- tion in Belorussia in the 1976 plan; he also attacked the USSR Agricultural Machine Building Ministry for eliminating funds to build vocational schools in the new plan. A Kazakh speaker, Karaganda miner Ya. Musagaliyev, according to the December 5 December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/09/045 M'fB6T00608R000400110034-0 Approved For Release 2001/09/04 : rA-F S;F86T00608R000400110034-0 Kazakhotanrtkaya Pravda, urgently appealed for Gosplan and the USSR Coal Ministry to reverse cutbacks in housing construction in Karaganda and also to deliver more equipment to the area. More speakers, including even those whose repub- ics seem favored in the new investment plans, ex- pressed fear that their republics would not develop fast enough under the 1976 and 1976-80 plans. Accord- ing to the December 5 Pravda Voctoka, Uzbek Premier N. D. Khudayberdyev urged Gosplan and central minis- tries to increase the planned growth of Uzbekistan's economy--especially its industry--to raise the produc- tion of Uzbek coal fields, and to increase delivery of agricultural equipment and pesticides to Uzbekistan. Kazakh Premier B. A. Ashimov, according to the De- cember 5 Kazakhstanskaya Pravda, asked Gosplan and central ministries to provide for a "significant increase" in produc',ion of equipment for the Kazakh consumer goods industry and to provide more drilling equipment and pipe for the Kazakh oil and gas in- dustry and more equipment for irrigation. Turkmen First Secretary M. G. Gapurov, in the December 5 TuAmenskaya Iskra version of his speech, appealed for aid in construction of more plants, in building a canal, and in expanding electric power, and com- plained that the 1976 plan's reduced investments in the Chardzhou oil refinery--which was supposed to be completed in 1975--will mean that the project will not be finished even by 1980. Armenian First Deputy Premier G. A. Martirosyan, according to the December 5 Kommunist, urged Gosplan and central ministries to accept local proposals to further develop Armenia's natural resources and to aid construction projects in the republic. Even speakers from the RSFSR joined the chorus of appeals and complaints. Although long local ver- sions of most of their speeches are not available, Baybakov's concluding comments indicated that RSFSR First Deputy Premier V. I. Vorotnikov had asked for December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/0" RIDP86T00608R000400110034-0 ?~'((~~cpRrr~~ y Approved For Release 2001/09814: CTA-Z P86T00608R000400110034-0 more funds to build roads in the RSFSR. Baybakov likewise indicated that Moscow, Leningrad, and Kuyby- shev speakers had -tppealed for more money for subway construction in their cities. (CONFIDENTIAL) December 22, 1975 Approved For Release 2001/09SE CAMbP86T00608R000400110034-0