IDENTIFICATION OF WARSAW PACT NUCLEAR DELIVERY AIRCRAFT

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000700230001-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 28, 2003
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
January 23, 1975
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000700230001-0.pdf136.76 KB
Body: 
25X1 Approved For Release 20D3106104:CIA-RDPBBTOD606ROD070D230D01-D Approved For Release 2003/08/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000700230001-0 25X1 23 January 1975 Identification of Warsaw Pact Nuclear Del veLZ Aircraft 25X1 Conclusions a.. The size of the nuclear strike elements of Warsaw Pact Frontal Aviation evidently is more de- pendent on pilot training and qualifications than aircraft characteristics Although there are about 700 Soviet aircraft in t NATO Guidelines Area (NGA) assigned to units ,..gat have a nuclear tole, recent intelligence information and analysis indi- cates that only some 300 of the pilots in these units are--according to Soviet standards--qualified to fly nuclear strikes. As such, the Pact apparently does not have a group of specially dedicated or con- figured aircraft in the NGA that is directly comparable to NATO's nuclear dedicated air forces. This seriously complicates the problem of identifyinn and enumerating Pact nuclear air elements if they are to be considered for arms control purposes. 125X1 This memoran um was prepared in the Office of Strategic Research of CIA and inform aZl reviewed b 25X1A9A analysts in the Defense Intelligence 1 ::1 who concur 'n its ccnclusions. Com- ments and queries may be addressed to view completed Approved For Release 2003/08/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000 P5X1 Approved For Release 2 700230001-0 5. Recent Pact defectors have also testified that nuclear delivery within Soviet tactical air regiments is -i "squadron" mission. 25X1 25X1' 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000700230001-0 Approved For Rele Inp2lications 6. Most: Warsaw Pact coutl,al- aircriCl in the NATO Guidelines Area are probably tr;clhnica.1..1y capable of delivering nuclear weapon,; (see figure llowc!ver, only some 700 of these aircraft are ass' clned to units The significance of the new analysis is that accord a.rig to Soviet standards only a portion of the pilot,.:,, in these units--perhaps 300 in all--are qualified to fly nuclear. strike missions. 7. This conclusion has .important arms-control implicatir. e . It indicates that the Warsaw Pact probably does not have a group of :;pucia.L i.y dcd:i.cat-c'i and c:r.~nf i. Jug c ci aircraft for nuclear delivery that. compares to NA'.CO's nuclear dedicated air forces. NA'.I'O assigns particular aircraft nuclear missions and fits them with unique nuclear weapons control devices. In contrast, the Warsaw Pact apparently assigns nuclear missions to particular pilots in its tactical ai.r units rather than aircraft. 8. Accordingly, the task of isolating those elements of Pact tactical aviation earmarked for the nuclear delivery mission to serve as the basis for reductions or ceilings on tactical nuclear weapons is seriously complicated. 25X1 25X1 25X1 5X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000700230001-0 Approved For lease 2003/08/04: CIA-RDP86T00608R000700230001-0 25X1 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Total Aircraft Inventory Figure 1 Pact Nuclear Delivery Air Forces in the NATO Guidelines Area Aircraft With Technical Nuclear Capabilities 'mac I ear Qua__-" :ed Pi _o t- s 25X1 Approve Aircraft With Probable Nuclear Missions