CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A007900500001-9
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
15
Document Creation Date:
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date:
November 7, 2002
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 29, 1964
Content Type:
REPORT
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Body:
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TOP SECRET c o
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State Department review completed
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
RELATING TO NATIONAL SECURITY
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29 October 1964
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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1. USSR- Soviet and Polish leaders may have
decided to proceed with mid-December Commun-
ist meeting in Moscow. (Page 1)
4. Communist China: Peiping has indicated it
plans next nuclear test in the spring. (Page 5)
7. Western Europe - UK: Western Europe critical
of London's economic stabilization measures.
(Page 8)
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10. Notes: India;
Gabon. (Page 11)
France-MLF;
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
29 October 1964
DAILY BRIEF
*USSR: One result of the Soviet-Polish talks last
week end may have been a decision to proceed with the
mid-December Communist preparatory meeting in
Moscow.
'rhe brief 25 October communique stated that
Brezhnev, Kosygin, Gomulka, and Cyrankiewicz had
reached "complete identity of views" on the further
development of Soviet-Polish party and state relations.
initely will take place on
that the Poles will attend...7
the Moscow meeting def-
ecember as planned and
the purpose of the
December meeting will be to reeze" the Sino-Soviet
conflict, not to push it to the limit.
while this understanding was a great relief to e o es,
they recognize that the ba is reasons underlying the
conflict remain unchanged
lrhese remarks suggest that the new/Soviet lead-
ers offered assurances that they would not use the
December meeting to aggravate the split with China.
They may also have shown willingness to modify the
terms of the conference and to mute polemics. Khru-
shchev, while also disclaiming any intention to "ex-
communicate" the Chinese, apparently intended to use
this meeting to demonstrate that Peiping, by refusing
to attend, had in effect excluded itself from the Commu-
nist community.
(continued)
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The apparent decision to proceed with the Decem-
ber meeting reflects the new Soviet leaders' concern
that if it were canceled or postponed the Chinese would
exploit this as a major victory over the USSR.
Moscow faces delicate problems on the Chinese
question in the current consultations with foreign
Communist delegations. The Italian Communists re-
portedly will urge that the December meeting be
postponed and that discussions be started on means
of resolving the conflict with China.
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Communist China:
Peiping 's next nuclear test is sc e u e or Marc
1965 and will be "much largef' than the first explo-
sion.
In a joint communique Keita signed
with the North Vietnamese in Hanoi on 22 October,
he "warmly welcomed" the test and hailed it as a
"great success:!
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T e hinese may also be concerne over
posse e a verse effects of another test coming at
about the same time as the second "Bandung" confer-
ence, scheduled for Algiers next spring)
Fhe prediction that the second test will be larger
than the first suggests the Chinese are confident that
they can improve the efficiency of their next test de-
vice, possibly by using both plutonium and U-235. It
is believed that both of these will be available in suf-
ficient quantity for a test by next March)
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Western Etend Europe - UK: he initial reactions in
western urope to Britain.'s economic stabiliza
tion
measures to be negative, despite recognition of
the necessity for the action]
he import restrictions would compli-
cate t e Kenne y Round, and French Finance Minister
Giscard d'Estaing observed that the measures "go in
a different direction" from the effort to liberalize
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"seriously weakened" the EEC Commission's case
for holding exceptions from tariff cuts to a minimum
in forthcoming trade negotiations]
CR.esentment over the lack of prior consultation,
which was widely noted in official and press comment,
was to be expected, but nevertheless could serve to
reinforce suspicions in Western Europe of Britain's
intentions. Belgium's foreign commerce minister,
for example, expressed regret at the "unilateral
character" of the UK action and indicated pressures
for EEC retaliation could be anticipated.
A (Action by the EEC at this time seems doubtful.
Any negative EEC attitudes, however, may become
more evident when Britain applies to the International
Monetary Fund for financial. support. The EEC
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tary Committee will consult. on the UK measures on I
3 November and may nregs for nlnco,? rv,,,7+;1-4.
scrutiny of British policies7
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India: The Congress Working Committee, the
top policy making body of the Congress Party, has
reaffirmed the party's intention to keep India's nuclear
program geared to peaceful purposes. The committee
has commissioned Foreign Minister Singh, Defense
Minister Chavan, and former defense minister Krishna
Menon to draft a resolution on the subject for presen-
tation to a larger party meeting next month. An in-
fluential minority in India, however, advocates going
ahead with a weapons program, and even Chavan has
expressed uneasiness over the use of such words as
"never" and "forever" in a statement of India's inten-
tons.
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France--MLF: CI'he French appear to be moving
toward more active opposition to the multilateral
nuclear force (MLF) and are evidently seeking ways
of dissuading the West Germans from joining. Dur-
ing a conversation in Paris on 24 October, Couve de
Murville told State Secretary Carstens the MLF would
tend to limit cooperation under the French-German
treaty and would isolate Germany from other Euro-
pean countries as well as France if it began as a hi-
lateral US-German venture!
Gabon: [Earlier reports indicating that the French
had decided to force unpopular President Mba to step
down may have been premature. French officials in
Paris evidently are.concerned lest M.ba's removal
pave the way for a takeover by radical elements and
have unfavorable repercussions among other former
French African dependencies. News of Mba's sudden
departure for Paris early this week has not yet been
published in Gabon, but his departure appears to have
become generally known?
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NATIONAL INTE LLIGEN ESTIMATE
The United State4ntelligence Board on 28 Octo-
ber 1964 approved,,tfiie following national intelligence
estimate: /
NIE 29:1-64, "The Outlook for Greece"
29 Oct 64 DAILY BRIEF 13
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THE PRESIDENT
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chi.ef of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Administrator
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The Director
The United States Information Agency
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The Director
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