CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A017900050001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 1, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 30, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
DIA and JCS review(s) completed.
Secret
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No. 0312/70
30 December 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
CAMBODIA: The ARVN task force that led the drive to
reopen Route 7 has returned to South Vietnam.
(Page 1)
SOUTH KOREA: Pak Chong-hui has made changes in the
Liberal Democratic Party hierarchy. (Page 2)
IRAN-IRAQ: Tehran claims it has neutralized an
Iraqi plot to overthrow the Iranian Government.
(Page 3)
RHODESIA: The two insurgency movements continue to
drift aimlessly. (Page 5)
INTERNATIONAL OIL: OPEC resolutions are causing ap-
prehension on the! part of major oil companies and
importers. (Page 6)
SOUTH VIETNAM: Cease-fires (Page 7)
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GUINEA: Expulsion of West Germans (Page 9)
TURKEY: Students (Page 9)
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CAMBODIA: Current Situation
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CAMBODIA: The South Vietnamese task force.
that led led the recent drive to reopen Route 7 has
returned to South Vietnam.
US military officials in Saigon report that
the last of the South Vietnamese Army (ARVN) troops
that were involved in the road clearing operation
west of Kompong Cham city have been airlifted to
nearby Tay Ninh Province.
The job of keeping Route 7 clear now reverts
to the Cambodians. There already is some evidence
that they still are not prepared to fulfill this
task. The US defense attache reports, for example,
that government positions along the road between
Skoun and Kompong Cham appear to be poorly con-
structed and located. Additionally, several Cam-
bodian units apparently have made no attempt to
set up defensive positions and are simply living
in nearby villages.
In other military developments, the situation
in the southwest along Route 4 continues to dete-
riorate, The Communists probed government positions
east of the Pich Nil pass yesterday, while elements
of several government battalions southwest of the
pass remain isolated. Enemy troops now control
another section of Route 4, from its junction with
Route 18 southward to Stung Chhay.
30 Dec 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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SOUTH KOREA: Following on the recent cabinet
shake-up, President Pak Chong-hui has made hierar-
chical changes in his Liberal Democratic Party to
tighten further the administration's machinery for
next year's elections.
In a move to inject proven talent and yet main-
tain balance among competing party factions, a tri-
umvirate of special advisers to party president Pak
has been created. Prominent in this new lineup is
Kim Chong-pil, the highly capable presidential as-
pirant whose ambitions last year led to a temporary
falling out with Pak and eclipse from office. The
other members of the trio of advisers are Yun Chi-
yong, leader of the anti - Kim Chong-pil faction,
and Chong Il-kwon, former premier and well-liked
neutral. This neat balance is intended by Pak to
prevent any of the three from developing an exces-
sive power base of his own in the coming period.
To box in Kim Chong-pil even more, the other
party posts, which have also changed hands, are
predominantly held by individuals opposed to him.
Kim Chong-pit, while obviously unhappy at these
constraints, apparently is resigned to working
within the system while keeping a calculating eye
on the future.
Rounding out the party mechanism, a new 15-
man Party Affairs Committee--whose members are
responsible for bringing in the vote in individual
provinces or special city areas--reflects the care-
ful attention to geographic politics evident in
the selection of the recent cabinet appointments.
Thus, with these changes in the party and
cabinet, and the appointment of the controversial
but effective Yi Hu-rak as director of the South
Korean Central Intelligence Agency, President Pak
seems to have fashioned a high-powered election
team, yet one that remains directly res onsive to
his control.
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IRAN-IRAQ: Tehran claims it has neutralized
an Iraqi plot to overthrow the Iranian Government.
This latest in a series of mutual harassments,
which have kept Tehran and Baghdad openly hostile
for several years, has led to the arrest of some
40 persons in Iran alleged to have been part of
Baghdad's plot. In a press conference held last
week, Iranian Prime Minister xoveyda had revealed
details of the plan, allegedly begun by former
intelligence chief Teimur Bakhtiar with the support
of the Iraqi Government, the outlawed Iranian Com-
munist Party and dissident students. Bakhtiar was
reported to have been assassinated in Iraq last
summer, but an Iranian spokesman claimed that Bakh-
tiar's wife re-established contact between Baghdad
and the alleged plotters in Iran. after her husband's
death.
The plot reportedly included plans to sabotage
important Iranian installations in Tehran and the
provinces, and to mount guerrilla activities in
several provinces. Top court and government of-
ficials were targeted for assassination.
News of the coup plot came almost a year after
an unsuccessful Iranian-backed coup attempt in Iraq.
At that time, both countries put their armed forces
on alert, expelled. ambassadors and consular staffs
and moved troops to the border, but neither side
provoked further action. It is unlikely that the
current situation will lead to open hostility either,
but the two countries can be expected to continue
their border harassment, propaganda, and subversive
efforts.
The Iranian Government is still smarting over
student rioting which forced the closing of three
universities over the Christmas period. Disclosure
of the conspiracy may help to reinforce the govern-
ment's contention that student disturbances were
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instigated by outside subversive elements--"inter-
national Communism" and Iraq, and to illustrate
that Iran's security organization is sufficiently
vigilant and efficient to counteract any threat.
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RHODESIA: The country's two insurgency move-
ments are drifting aimlessly and are likely to
remain inactive for some time.
The Zimbabwe African People's Union (ZAPU),
the largest and most active of the two Zambia-based
groups, and the Zimbabwe African National Union
(ZANU), an organization of only a few hundred
Rhodesian exiles, have been negotiating for several
months to form a united front. Because of deep-
seated distrust between the two groups and fac-
tional strife within ZAPU itself, the talks are
dragging.
both sides have agreed not to undertake any guer-
rilla operations until the united front negotia-
tions are completed.
Probably neither group is anxious to mount
operations in any case, because of the trouble
each has had in penetrating Rhodesia's security
screen. ZAPU has been largely inactive since late
1968, except for a surprise attack on a border
police post and the Victoria Falls airport last
January. ZANU has undertaken no guerrilla opera-
tions in the last four or five years and is now
essentially a political movement. Even if a united
front is formed, therefore, the effectiveness of
these small insur ent groups will not be si nifi-
cantly improved.
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INTERNATIONAL OIL: Resolutions recently adopted
by the ten-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC) are causing apprehension on the part
of the major international oil companies and the
principal oil importing countries.
Both radical and moderate members together
called for an across-the-board increase in the price
on which taxes are based, a minimum tax rate of 55
percent, and revision of prices to reflect changes
in the exchange rate of any convertible currencies.
They also will attempt to eliminate the disparity
in crude oil prices from different sources by using
Libyan prices as a base and adjusting for geograph-
ical locations and unit weights of crude oil. Mem-
ber states of OPEC are Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi
Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Qatar, Libya, Algeria, Indonesia,
and Venezuela.
A committee was appointed to begin negotiations
with western-owned companies in Tehran in mid-Jan-
uary.
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NOTES
SOUTH VIETNAM: The Communists' self-imposed
three-My New Year cease-fire begins at. noon today,
Washington time, while the allied 24-hour military
standdown will begin early tomorrow morning. The
Communists will probably generally abide by their
announced truce as they did at Christmas. The usual
minor violations occurred at that time, but even
those were fewer than in any of the five previous
Christmas-time standdowns. Evidence continues to
accumulate, however, that enemy units are likely
to be more active following the holiday truces.
New Year Cease--Fire
Communist
Saigon
Washington
Begins
Dec. 31-11100
Dec.30-1200
Ends
Jan. 3-0100
Jan.2-1200
Begins
Dec. 31-1800
Dec. 31-0500
Ends
Jan. 1-1800
Jan. 1-0500
(conti,nued)
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GUINEA: President Toure has expelled most if
not all West German aid technicians, reflecting an
apparent conviction that they figured prominently
among the foreign elements he believes are threat-
ening his regime. The expulsion decree, carried
out swiftly by armed Guineans, follows a request
last week for the recall of the West German ambas-
sador who left yesterday. Bonn has indicated that
even now it has no intention of severing relations,
but would not be surprised if Toure did so. Bonn
has received reports that it was the East Germans
who turned Toure against them. In any event, the
expulsion effectively ends the West German aid pro-
ram which has totaled over $22 million since 1960.
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TURKEY: A new wave of student violence has
aroused growing public anxiety and could give the
government the support it needs to clamp down on
student agitators. Recent incidents have involved
gunfire, bombs, molotov cocktails, and student fa-
talities. Several crude bombs narrowly missed the
Prime Minister's motorcade last week, although
Demirel himself was not believed to have been the
target. In the latest incident, two Turkish police-
men guarding the US Embassy in Ankara were wounded
early Tuesday morning by semiautomatic weapons be-
lieved by police to have been. fired by radical stu-
dents.
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