CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A026400250001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 13, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 24, 1974
• Content Type: REPORT

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Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
Top Secret
C 308
May 24, 1974
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The United States Intelligence Board has approved
the establishment of a National Intelligence Bulletin
that will replace the Central Intelligence Bulletin,
The first issue of the new publication will appear on
May 29, 1974? The National Intelligence Bulletin will
be produced by the Director of Central Intelligence
in collaboration with member agencies of the United
States Intelligence Board. Insofar as possible, the
National Intelligence Bulletin, like the CIB, will
present fully coordinated information and judgments,
but it will provide a greater opportunity for the
participating agencies to express differing or dissent-
ing views. The National Intelligence Bulletin will
be addressed to all those who have received the CIB.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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May 24,
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
ISRAEL: Labor Alignment, two liberal parties agree
to form coalition government. (Page 1)
ARAB STATES: Arab leaders likely to confer after
Secretary Kissinger returns home. (Page 2)
EC - ARAB STATES: The Nine consider question of coop-
eration with Arab states. (Page 3)
THAILAND: Prime Minister agrees to stay on.
(Page-Ty
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IRAQ: Clashes with Kurds occurring daily. (Page 9)
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NATO-UK: London makes proposal on arms standardiza-
tion. 13)
SOUTH VIETNAM: Fertilizer cost and reduced availa-
bility may force stricter control by Saigon. (Page 15)
FOR THE RECORD: (Page 16)
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*ISRAEL: The Labor,Alignment and the two small
liberal parties, the Independent Liberal Party. and
the Citizens Rights Movement, yesterday signed a
formal agreement to form a coalition government. The
agreement apparently clears the way for Prime Minis-
ter-designate Yitzhak Rabin to replace Mrs. Meir.
The Labor Party Executive Bureau meets Saturday and
probably will ratify the new coalition agreement.
Rabin undoubtedly will ask President Katzir to
grant him more time when. the first extension of his
mandate expires today. Under the law, Rabin could
get up to 14 more days.
A major obstacle still to be overcome is the
composition of Rabin's cabinet.. It is likely to have
numerous holdovers from Mrs. Meir's government, al-
though many may be heading different ministries. In
Israel, the factions and. coalition partners, rather
than the Prime Minister, choose the candidates for
ministerial posts. Since the old leadership groups
remain largely intact, few startling changes are
likely.
Defense Minister Moshe Dayan is expected to
leave the government. Deputy Prime Minister Yigal
Allon's leftist Labor Party faction would like him
to be defense minister, while the party's conserva-
tive Rafi faction is demanding that Information Min-
ister Shimon Peres be given the defense portfolio.
Peres appears to have the inside track.
Foreign Minister Eban will probably stay on,
despite personal differences with Rabin, in order to
provide the appearance of continuity in this vital
area.
*Because of the shortage of time for preparation of this item, the
analytic interpretation presented here has been produced by the
Central Intelligence Agency without the participation of the Bureau
of Intelligence and Research, Department of State.
May 24, 1974 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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ARAB STATES: Shortly after Secretary Kissinger
returns to Washington, Arab leaders are likely to
hold a conference to discuss the results of his
mediation efforts.
President Asad has asked for an Arab summit
meeting and has received the backing of Algerian
President Boumedienen
ome ran news-
papers have said that the meeting wi 1 be limited to
Presidents Sadat, Asad, and Boumediene and King Faysal.
If a disengagement accord is concluded, the
Syrians will press for the adoption of a united Arab
position at Geneva to try to prevent Egypt from get-
ting out ahead of Syria again during the next phase
of negotiations. Asad may also want to obtain the
endorsement of other Arab leaders for the terms of
the disengagement agreement in order to take some of
the responsibility off his own shoulders.
On the other hand, if no accord is reached, the
Syrians will try to line up support for the position
they adopt at that time. Asad might well press for
the reinstitution of the oil embargo. Representa-
tives of Arab oil-producing states are scheduled to
meet in Cairo on June 6 to review their oil policies.
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May 24, 1974 Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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EC - ARAB STATES: The EC apparently is prepar-
ing to move forward on its proposal of March 4 for
wide-ranging cooperation with the Arab states. The
process of changing governments in London, Bonn, and
Paris, along with an adverse US reaction, had stalled
earlier action.
The EC offer involves cooperation with the Arabs
in such fields as transportation, industry, agricul-
ture, technical training, and science. The proposal
was first raised in the EC last January by the French,
after the Arabs had expressed interest in cooperation
at the Copenhagen summit of EC leaders in December
1973. France and a number of the other EC states
wish to maintain a political presence in the Middle
East. The energy crisis and its repercussions inten-
sified the determination of the European states to
play a role in the area.
Hans-Dietrich Genscher, West Germany?s new for-
eign minister, said publicly on May 19 that he be-
lieves the EC dialogue with the Arabs will begin "in
the next few weeks." A senior West German official
visited Cairo last weekend to discuss West German and
EC relations with the Arabs. He may go on to other
Arab capitals.
A high Belgian official told a number of Arab
ambassadors earlier this month that the EC foreign
ministers would probably take up the question of EC-
Arab cooperation early in June and that he thought
they would decide to begin talks with the Arab states.
Preliminary discussions within the EC may take place
in Bonn on May 27-28.
A committee of 1:1 Arab foreign ministers, formed
in March to develop a policy on EC-Arab cooperation,
early this week expressed interest in a dialogue but
decided to await the results of EC meetings before
pursuing the matter further. The foreign ministers--
in Cairo for a meeting of the Arab League Defense
Council--listed topics that they would like to discuss
with the Europeans. These would include European
May 24, 1974
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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assistance in establishing an industrial base in the
Arab world, a flow of European technology, a "balanced"
system of trade exchange, and stability in the value
of Arab capital investments to guard against the ef-
fects of future "monetary shocks."
The EC, meanwhile, is considering two emergency
programs to assist Palestinian refugees. Action on
one of them--budgetary assistance--was suspended last
March because of the chance that the EC foreign min-
isters might want to consider it in the context of
the EC proposals for cooperation with the Arab states.
This no longer appears to be the case, because none
of the members has asked that the program be tied to
the broader political question of EC-Arab relations.
THAILAND: Prime Minister Sanya has yielded to
public andpress clamor and agreed to remain as head
of the government.,
Sanya is likely to make several changes in his
cabinet, but none would portend any significant de-
parture in Thailand`'s foreign or domestic policies.
Sanya's demonstrated reluctance to remain in of-
fice, however, may serve to speed up the process of
drafting a new constitution, which has bogged down in
the National Assembly, Sanya originally had agreed
to head the government only until the constitution
is promulgated and elections are held,
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May 24, 1974
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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