REFORM OF SOVIET INDUSTRIAL MANAGEMENT: A STATUS REPORT

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-00927A005300060003-7
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RIPPUB
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S
Document Page Count: 
11
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 24, 2006
Sequence Number: 
3
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Publication Date: 
June 10, 1966
Content Type: 
REPORT
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se 2006/ 11 /1 CAA R~?F 9-O9 ' 0a6 y` * ti r. e a , . r ;Tune 1966 ~4~'~Q~7-~1QlQdticded fro M gotgrtic ? i r d~~t~grpd'tn and de 4assrftcgtI n' 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO05300060003-7 Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO05300060003-7 Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927A0Q5300060003-7 SECRET REFORM OF SOVIET INDUSTRIAL. MANAGEMENT:- A STATUS REPORT The Soviet regime is cautiously and deliberately implementing the reforms in the management of indus- try proposed by Premier Kosygin at the September 1965 plenum of the CPSU's central committee. In the ensu- ing eight months, the regime has completed changes affecting over-all administration--principally, by abolishing Khrushchev's system of regional economic councils and re-establishing the industrial minis- tries--and has begun to introduce the changes proposed for the management of individual industrial enter- prises. The changes in enterprise management to be ac- complished between 1966 and 1968 have three main as- pects. Increased use of financial incentives is to induce enterprises to raise efficiency and improve the quality of their output. Directors will have more freedom to manage their plants and to respond to the changed incentives. Finally, the reform of indus- trial wholesale prices will facilitate the operation of the financial incentives. The benefits derived from the reforms as they now are designed are not likely to be great. For the most part the over-alloadministrative changes merely restore the pre-1957 structure of administration. As for the new system of enterprise management, the in- ducements now offered have little potential for im- proving efficiency and quality of output. Moreover, continued detailed central planning of output and sup- ply, together with the lack of flexible prices, will hamper whatever efforts the enterprises do make to im- prove their efficiency. Progress on Implementation Since September, progress on implementing the reforms has been registered in several areas. In October, a revised statute codified the new free- doms and responsibilities of en- terprises. Provisional in- structions published in Febru- ary detailed the operation of plants and factories under the new system. By 1 July, approxi- mately 240 enterprises will be in the new system--43 in the first quarter of the year and about 200 in the second.. The new enterprise statute, which apparently applies only af- ter a plant has transferred to the new system, permits managers to make many decisions on inter- nal operation that formerly were SECRET Page 1 SPECIAL REPORT 10 June 66 Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO05300060003-7 Approved F?Al?Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-OO.A005300060003-7 PLANNING ASSIGNMENTS TO SOVIET ECONOMIC ENTERPRISES: OLD AND NEW SYSTEMS COMPARED OLD SYSTEM LEVIED ASSIGNMENTS COVERING: MOST IMPORTANT ASSIGNMENTS (Must be fulfilled before bonuses can Cost per unit of output Gross value of output Physical volume of output of principal products Total wages paid Output delivery schedules Labor productivity Total number of workers by grade and type Amounts and sources of materials and equipment New investments in fixed capital Introduction of new production processes Payments to state budget for profits tax and amortiza- tion of fixed capital MINOR ASSIGNMENTS Detailed assignments (20 to 30 in number) covering such mat- ters as volume of output, cost of specific products,and pro- ductivity of labor and equipment in producing specific products NEW SYSTEM LEVIES ASSIGNMENTS COVERING: Transferred To MOST IMPORTANT'' Category Aboyp 0 Total profits Total value of sales Physical volume of output of principal products Total wages paid Profitability (total profits as a percent of total value of fixed and working capital) Amounts and sources of materials and equipment Major investments in fixed capital Introduction of new production processes Payments to state budget for charge for use of capital, repayment of credits for major investments in fixed capital and part of amortization of fixed capital Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO05300060003-7 Approved For ReWase 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927A`d06300060003-7 SECRET made for them by their superior agencies. These decisions in- clude, for example, the number of workers and the size of inven- tories of materials and semi- finished goods. The provisional instructions put out in February list both the goals still to be determined by the central author- ities under the new system and the specific details of the re- vised incentives. At least the first 43 en- terprises met stringent criteria in order to qualify for selec- tion. Selected plants had to earn sufficient profits to be able to pay an interest charge on their capital. They also needed to have available suffi- cient additional funds to meet interest charges on short-term loans, provide for managerial bonuses, and make other payments required from profits under the new system. Other criteria in- clude high quality of output, stable finances, and satisfac- tory administrative organization. The requirements also specified that the plant must have "agree- ments" with customers and suppli- ers, although such "agreements" are not the same thing as direct contracts, which have been used only in the light industries. however, is the responsibility of the industrial ministries to which the plants are subordinate. Future Implementation A tentative schedule for introducing new prices and for transferring the remainder of industry to the new system was announced last March by the chairman of Gosplan. Beginning 7L July, whole branches of in- dustry will switch to the new system; this presumably means that the present strict criteria for the transfer of individual enterprises will be relaxed. A number of minor branches of the food industry are to lead the Changeover because no price changes are to be made in them. In late 1966 and early 1967, most of light industry and the food industry will convert after new prices are established--pos- sibly on 1 October 1966. Ac- cording to Kosygin at the recent party congress, the enterprises in question employ nearly a third of all industrial workers. The remainder of industry will switch in two further stages, on 1 July 1967 and on 1 January 1.968, again apparently after the planners have set new prices. A special interdepartmental commission, headed by the State Planning Commission (Gosplan), is directing implementation of the reforms. Representatives of the Ministry of Finance, the state committees for labor and wages and for prices, and other central agencies sit on this com- mission. Introduction of the reforms in individual enterprises, Main Features of New System The provisional instructions impose on enterprises new cri- teria by which their performance will be judged. These criteria include: total profits, total value of sales, and profitability. The Soviets define profitability. as a percentage of total profits to the total of fixed and working SECRET Approved For R?e e32006/TV4IIN-A-W T00921M0 t@O&b003-7 Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO05300060003-7 SECRET capital. Moreover, under the new system enterprises must pay the State Bank a new charge on the use of fixed and working capital --now set at three to six per- cent--as well as higher interest charges for short-term loans than in the past. They now also must repay credits advanced from the state budget for reconstruc- tion and expansion instead of re- ceiving what were, in effect, grants for these purposes. All of, these payments will come from enterprise profits. For each plant, central as- signments of goals for profits and profitability replace the previous assignment governing costs, which induced managers to reduce their production costs at the expense of quality. The new assignment specifying total value of sales replaces the former assignment of gross value of output. The latter had led plant managers to emphasize vol- ume at the expense of quality. (The table on page two com- pares the old and new system of plans assignments to Soviet en- terprises.) Increased Freedom for Enterprises The new freedoms ,granted under the revised enterprise statute permit the enterprise managements (a)to determine for themselves the total number of employees they need, (b) to spec- ify the composition of their working capital (materials and tools), (c) to determine more freely their own needs for fixed capital, (d) to dispose of un- needed fixed capital such as underemployed machinery, without the express permission of supe- rior agencies, and (e) to borrow more freely from the State Bank. Under the provisional instruc- tions, moreover, the number of assignments the central author- ities give an enterprise are re- duced from 30 or 40 to about ten. The central authorities re- tain the right to decide, how- ever, such crucial matters as how many of each 'of the en- terprise's principal products will be made (the output as- sortment), total wages paid, the amounts and sources of materials and equipment, new investment in fixed capital, and the in- troduction of new products and new production methods. Central authorities also continue to set basic wage rates and the wholesale prices of products. Bonuses for Managers The provisional instructions specify that bonuses for indus- trial managers now are to be fi- nanced from profits rather than from the wage fund, as in the past. However, the amounts set aside for bonuses are determined by the size of the total wage bill, the increase in sales, and the level of profitability at- tained by the enterprise. Actual payment of bonuses, moreover, will depend on whether the mana- ger has fulfilled his quota for sales, profits, profitability, and volume of output; whether he has avoided overspending on wages; and whether the enterprise has paid off capital charges and interest on short-term loans. The linking of managerial bo- nuses to enterprise profitability SECRET Appro or4Relea?9NW41 IA-RDI#9JM927*05300060003-7 Approved For Base 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-009271 5300060003-7 SECRET is the most significant innova- tion of the new bonus system. The sales component of the bo- nus--carried over from the old system--links the amount of bo- nus payment to the enterprise's performance in a current year as compared to its past performance. The new profitability component of the bonus is based on the en- terprise's performance compared to other, similar enterprises, thereby introducing a competi- tive: element. Failure to compute bonuses on this basis under the cost reduction system, which has been in effect.since 1959, is an important reason for the failure of the old system to bring about significant increases in enter- prise efficiency. Production Development. Fund The provisional instructions also provide for the establish- ment at each plant of a new en- terprise fund--the "production development fund"--to be used for plant modernization and im- provement at the initiative of the enterprise. The fund is financed partly out of profits and partly out of funds for amor- tization of fixed capital that formerly were returned to the state budget. The intent of the fund is to make it possible for plant managers to exercise their initiative in making improvements not specified'in their plan as- signments. The manager must in- clude in his plans: submitted to the central authorities, how- ever, proposals for the purchase of equipment from this fund, and receive the equipment through the normal channels of centrally controlled supply. Reform. of: Industrial Wholesale Prices No details on the reform of industrial wholesale prices are yet public. In his speech to the September 1965 plenum, Kosygin gave the newly formed State Committee for Prices re- sponsibility for submitting rec- 6mmendations for determining new :industrial wholesale prices by 1 January 1966. Although the details of these recommendations were never published, the com- mittee chairman released some general statements on them early :in January, which indicated the 'three main features of the price reform: (1) The revised industrial wholesale prices are to provide a profit margin sufficient to cover capital charges, bonuses, and other payments from enter- prise profits. The cost for most products is to be the aver- age for all enterprises produc- ing a given product. The lower profits of high-cost enterprises could result in lower managerial bonuses, but lower profits may be offset by fixing a lower cap- ital charge for plants in a dis- advantageous cost position. (2) The price reform is. to provide inducements to enter- prises to produce "technically progressive" products by estab- lishing higher prices for new products. The prices of new products will be high in rela- tion to production costs,'and then lower after a fixed inter- val of time, when these goods are "no longer technically pro- gressive." SECRET Approved For Re9411ge -2006/14 Ift-AOP9]330092~AoiJsm AM Aft Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO05300060003-7 SECRET (3) The reform seeks to en- courage enterprises to improve quality by authorizing price in- creases to cover the increased cost of high-grade output. Such price increases were permitted only infrequently in the past. Corresponding reductions in prices are to be made when en- terprises fail to maintain qual- ity standards. when he stated that as the ex- tent of direct contracts in- creases, the detail with which central output plans are com- piled could be reduced. He also noted that the present central rationing of industrial materi- als and equipment could eventu- ally be abolished, and supplies could be freely distributed by the wholesale trade network. The fate of recent proposals by prominent economists to in- troduce some flexibility in pric- ing is unknown. These economists have suggested retaining central fixing of prices for only a few key products and permitting the prices of other products to fluc- tuate between limits determined by the state. Unsettled Issues Neither the enterprise statute nor the provisional in- structions have made any clear statements about the specific role that direct contracts be- tween enterprises and their cus- tomers are to play under the reform or about the changes in the central planning of output and supply that may be required to carry out the reforms. The enterprise statute provided that consumer goods enterprises would base their output plans on or- ders from the trade network and urged that all other plants en- ter into direct contracts. The provisional instructions, how- ever, failed to mention how this was to be implemented in enter- prises transferring to the new system. Kosygin alluded briefly to these questions in September, The failure to clarify these issues or to publish the details of the price reform have led So- viet economists to give varying interpretations of the over-all impact of the reforms. Some liberal economists, such as Li- berman, Birman, and Pugachev, have viewed the reforms as re- sulting in a substantial move- ment toward the introduction of market forces. In their view, the reforms will sharply reduce tautness of planning, enterprises will compete with one another for orders, and industrial whole- sale prices will be able to fluc- tuate, albeit within limits set by the state. These economists also state that detailed central plans for the physical assort- ment of output and for supply will be abolished. Most of the more conserva- tive economists do not interpret the changes in this light. To them, the role of direct con- tracts--apart from consumer goods--is approximately the same as that experimented with in heavy industry prior to the Sep- tember plenum: they are to be used to determine the details of delivery of products after the specifications, supplier, pur- chaser, and prices have been set centrally. Any changeover from SECRET Appr~w ReleavwgQPi$J1l, lA-RIW7, Q 2LTe1005300060003-7 Approved For Rase 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927A' 300060003-7 SECRET central rationing of industrial materials and equipment to free distribution through wholesale trade channels will occur only after there has been a sharp im- provement in their availability. Moreover, this will apply only to enterprises producing commodi- ties whose supply has caught up with demand. Similarly, any elimination of central planning of the prod- uct "mix" for these commodities will await the abolition of cen- tral rationing of industrial.ma- terials. The Soviet leadership apparently shares this conserva- tive view. For example, the new five-year plan (1966-70) calls for a sharp improvement in the availability of industrial ma- terials and equipment, to provide the basis for an eventual trans- fer to freer distribution through wholesale trade channels, presum- ably after 1970. Prospects The benefits from Kosygin's program of economic reform as presently constituted are likely to prove disappointing. Frag- mentary reports on the details of the system as applied to the 43 enterprises transferred to it in the first quarter of-this year suggest that they fail to give sufficient stress to the improve- ment of efficiency. In many cases, attainment of sales target influ- enced the amount of managerial bonuses paid more than did the level of profitability. For ex- ample, the profitability of one enterprise dropped during the quarter as a result of improve- ments in quality not compensated by price increases, but substan- tial bonuses still were paid be- cause the enterprise attained a large increase in sales. The results in the 43 en- terprises also indicated an un- willingness to permit payment of the capital charge to infringe unduly on managerial bonuses. The provisional instructions, for example, called for a six-per- cent capital charge, but the actual charge levied on less profitable enterprises during January-March 1966 was set as low as three percent. The affected enterprises now are theoretically free to increase the efficiency of their operations, but the Soviet bureaucracy may nullify this freedom before it becomes:.fully effective. Recent press arti- cles by Birman and other liberal economists express this fear. No evidence exists, for example, that a significant number of workers was discharged by the first 43 enterprises, although the enterprise statute specifi- cally allows them to do so. In another instance of frustrated efficiency, at least one of the 43 enterprises sought to sell un- needed equipment but was unable to find a buyer because the State Bank refused to lend funds for its purchase. Perhaps the most important impediment to the improvement of efficiency under the new system is the continuation of central controls over both the level and physical assortment of output SECRET Approved For Rel?@dWb 006/1?WSCUA-FWMM'00927A005m0N60603-7 Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927A005300060003-7 SECRET and the supply of materials and equipment. In the absence of flexible prices, central assign- ments for total sales and for the output of specific products will not be consistent with maxi- mum profits. Thus, enterprises may find it difficult to meet their sales and production as- signments and still raise prof- its. If the incentives to in- crease profits are made strong, assortment and sales plans could be unfulfilled, and instances of excess productive capacity may appear. If, on the other hand, the incentives to raise profits are weak, the physical assortment and sales plans could be ful- filled at the expanse of effi- ciency. In addition, continued cen- tral controls over (a) plant ex- pansion and reconstruction, (b) the introduction of new products and new technological processes, and (c) the sources and amounts of materials and equipment will work against enterprise efforts to improve efficiency. Plants may attempt to resist centrally imposed expansion plans or as- signments for introducing new technology as being unprofitable, or worse, they may accept the plans at the expense of effi- ciency. Failure of the reform pro- gram to produce appreciable gains in economic efficiency and quality of output during the next few years will generate in- creasing pressures for a more de- cisive movement toward the use of market forces in the Soviet economy. Liberal Soviet econ- omists, in their warnings that the present program may be in danger of being sabotaged by con- servative bureaucrats, seem to be building their case for such a movement. The increasing in- stitutionalization of Soviet so- ciety and the continued develop- ment of an entrenched bureauc- racy, however, suggest that re- forms will continue to be piece- meal and relatively ineffective. The time for a sweeping reorder- ing of economic reality--as op- posed to intellectual blueprints --is Apparently not yet at hand. (This report was prepared by the Office of Research and Reports) SECRET Approy Eoi8Releas D, LJ 1U oWtA-RY9JO@U05300060003-7 Approved For Rel~6 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927A005 0060003-7 SECRET SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/13 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO05300060003-7