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TERRITORIAL ISSUES IN THE SOVIET-SINO DISPUTE

Document Type: 
CREST [1]
Collection: 
General CIA Records [2]
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
19
Document Creation Date: 
November 11, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 3, 1999
Sequence Number: 
15
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 1, 1975
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6.pdf [3]1.27 MB
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ir~-o~d For Release 1999/0/26'. GIA-(vDP8G706608R0006p07400'15'-6 ,. ~~ ~ i Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 dk'Eret NOFORN (Sea Inside cmwr) GCR RP 75.31 Nowmb.r 1975 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Warning Notice Sensitive Intc,lligunco Sources and Methods involved (WNINTEL) NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions DISSEMINATION CONTROL ABBREVIATIONS NOFORN-- Not Releasablo to Foreign Nationals NOCONTRACT- Not Rnlcosoble to Contractors or Controclor/ Consuitants PROPIN- Caution--Proprietary Information Involved USIBONLY- USIB Departments Only ORCON- Ditsomination cma Extraction of Information Cor,trolled by Originat,r REL. .. -- This Informotion has been Authorized for Release to ... CIOUIh.d by 010411 rumpl been O.n.rn1 D*.Io111111oI o. S(l tdvlo el r o, 11437, ...mpI.on rp byotyf ~ 311111. (2!. end (3) Avferop/Rally d.doN,li.d on, der. 1"oos-bro to d.r.rmin. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 SECRET NOI OIW SUMMARY 't'erritorial issues idong the 1'ItC-USS11 border reflect the, overall Sino-Soviet dispute and have been tisc(1 by both sides to vent it. Border talks---initiated in 19GI, then broken off, and resumed in 19(39--have faile(1 to product It settlement, it failure that results as much from Peking's inflexible conditions for negotiation as from llte issues arn(l territory actually in dispute. If it, boun(ary settlement is finally con- clnde(l, no sizable territorial exchanges are expecte(1. Although all major territorial issues have already been publicized, less important sovereignty problems could arise amid demarcation or re(lenucrcation of the lengthy border iaight prove troublesome. Territorial problems include, first, those arising from undefined river boundaries in the castvrn border sector, where no agreement exists on the allocation of several hutuire(i islands. A second category of problems, applicable principally to the Pamir area, concerns the validity of certain boundary treaties. Other problems, of unknown complexity and seriousness, involve the (lemareation of land boun- daries or their rcdcmarcation where the original survey may be in question or lioimdi(ry markers have disappeared. Nott:: This pa[Wr was prodt.ted by Ilie (Nfity of Ccogtaphic ..od Cartographic Research and coordinated within the Directorde for Intelligroce and with the Ccographer. Department of State. Comments or quest inns may I m- directed to Code 143, Extension 3057, or Extension 3583. 25X1 A9a 25X1A9a I SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 SECRET NOFOUN TABLE OF CONTENTS l"c')nont(c. Drvrlopment (;urrent Ncgotlating i'osiUans Sprcilie Territorial i'ml li ms Undefined liiverhiv Ilott darles llortler IUvers mid '('heir Islands (:hint:tnya island Arva Other Disputed Islands Iloundary Agrrrtnctits at issue Pamir: Man-dton?li Area Paw Land Boundaries Requiring Demarcation or Redenutrcation .. .. .... 8 Western Sector .. . 8 Lake Khanka to 'l'umen River 12 Prospects 12 1. Lower Ussuri River Valley Page 2 2. Chinntaya Island Area fold-rua following J. I'a-c:h'a Island 6 . i;pcnd ix . 0 4. Upper Argun River 5. Dzungarian Cate 0. Druzhha Army Barracks 10 7. Ili (liver 11 Page China-USSR Border Area ............ ................ . . ... . ... facing 1 China-USSR Border: Eastern Sector ...................... fold-out following Appendix China-USSR Border: Western Sector ...................... fold-out following Appendix iii SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 SECRET NOI"ORN China-USSR Border Are,, Sen of ~-, r~SOaff(, 'J(oroa) r' Ycllow r j Sea in Run iv SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 SECRET NOFO1IN Territorial Issues in The Sino-Soviet Dispute Nearly all of the 6,700-1-,iloneter Sino-Soviet boundary is base(] on 19th century treaties negoti- ated at it time when an expanding tsar1s Russia cane in contact with the distant outposts of it weakening Manchu Chinn. Russia thereby acquired sizable territories--estimated by Peking to total 11/z million square kilonetcrs--that since the 17th and 18t!i centuries had been under at least nominal Chinese control. The border region was unpopu- lated or sparsely inhabited by naniadic groups neither Russian nor Chinese. Most of !;je 3,700-kilometer eastern part of the Sino-Sovict border is formed by the Amur and Ussuri Rivers. Except for a small segment at the extreme western end, the boundary was established by the Treaties of Aigun (1858) and Peking (1860). China claims that these treaties resulted in the loss of 1 million square kilometers of territory that had been acquired by the Treaty of Nerchinsk (Nip- chu) in 1689. This treaty, which ended the initial Russian penetration and colonization of the Amur region, defined a boundary-as best as can be deciphered from the vague and imprecise descrip- tion-that incorporated nearly all of the Amur Basin within China. During the intervening 170 years of Chinese ownership, however, the vast forest lands of the Amur-Ussuri territories were vir- tually unsettled and undeveloped by China and re- mained almost exclusively the domain of scattered Tungusic tribes. One exception was a small Manchu-inhabited area, the "64 villages," located south of Blagovc- shchensk on the left bank of the Amur. This area was specifically allocated to China by the Treaty of Aigun, but at the turn of the century a wave of anti-Chinese feeling in Russia resulted in the death of many of the Manchus and the forced removal of others across the Amur. Although oc- casionally mentioned by China in the past, it is not clear whether the Chinese have actively pressed the issue. The mountainous 3,000-kilometer western section of the Sino-Sovict border divides the Chinese- ruled eastern fringe of traditionally ishunic Turke- stan from the gigantic Soviet-controlled portion, which extends westward to the Caspian Sea. This boundary also, except for the southern segment, was defined by the Treaty of Peking. It was later demarcated in accordance with the Tnrbagatay Treaty (1864) and apparently also the Treaty of Uliassuhai (1870) and modified by the Treaty of Ili (or St. Pet ,rsburg) in 1881. The southernmost segment, in the high Pamirs, was determined with- out Chinese participation by it British-Russian agreement in 1895, designed primarily to establish a buffer zone between British India and Russia. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Most of the economic development and sett] ment in the frontier region is on the Soviet side- a fact that does much to explain the futility of Peking's demands for a Soviet military withdrawal from the disputed territories. Along the eastern section, contrasts are particularly sharp and Soviet security interests most acute (Photo 1). On the Soviet side the Trans-Siberian Railroad closely parallels the border, connecting the cities of Blago- veshchensk (via a spur line), Khabarovsk, and Vladivostok with each other and with the western USSR; agriculture is important around these and other cities and along the middle 1,mtir between the Bureya and Zeya Rivers and to the Khanka- Ussuri lowlands; and regionally significant indus- trial plants are located in the major urban centers. In contrast, the Chinese side of the frontier remains little developed and sparsely populated. Most of the small Chinese frontier towns and villages a:rc directly connected only by the border rivers them- selves; although most roads are oriented toward the Chinese interior, improvements in roads along the frontier have been made since the late 1960's. 1 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 25X1 D Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 'I'lte contrasts between the two sides of the boundary are less sharp in the western section. Settlements and agricultural areas arc scattered along both sides north of the Tien Sham; several of die more important ones lie in cast-west stream valleys that cross the border, No sizable cities or major agricultural areas tare located immediately adjacent to the boundary, and no major transpor- tation routes parallel the border. Farther soitth, in the 'Tien Shan and other high mountain ranges, there is little permanent settlement or economic activity. The USSR rejects the Chinese demand that ntili- tnry forces be withdrawn from all nreas Peking claims to be in dispute. Moscow feels that it pull- back from these areas would lend credence to the legitimacy of the Chinese position and prede- termine the outcome of the negotiations. Soviet officials have softened their original adamant stand against relinquishing any territory to the Chinese and now offer to return some islands in the Atnur and Ussuri to Chinn. There is no hint, however, of any willingness to compromise on either the Chimnaya Island area or the Pamirs. CURRENT NEGOTIATING POSITIONS Since its enunciation in 1969, the unchanging basic negotiating position of Peking calls for the following: - As it precondition to an overall settlement, it preliminary agreement of mutual non-agres- Sion; - As a second precondition, withdrawal of armed forces from all disputed areas along the present de facto Sino-Sovict border-in effect, requiring withdrawal only by the USSR because it occupies virtually all of the dis- puted territory other than the uninhabited river islands; -Confirmntion by the USSR that treaties re- lating to the present Sino-Soviet boundary tire "unequal" and were imposed on China by "tsarist Russian imperialism"-although re- cently less stress apparently has been placed on this point; -Chinese willingness, nonetheless, to accept these treaties as the basis for an overall settle- ment of the Sino-Soviet boundary-an ap- parently deliberate display of Chinese reason- ableness; - Return, subject to mutually agreed adjust- ments, of territories now occupied or under the control of either party in violation of these treaties-i.e., return by the USSR to China; - Conclusion of a m:'re equitable Sino-Soviet treaty to replace the "unequal" treaties, and survey and demarcation of the boundary. SPECIFIC TERRITORIAL PROBLEMS UNDEFINED RIVLRINL IIOUNDARIF"S Border Rivers and Their Islands The most pressing territorial issue is the disposi- tion of about 7(10 islands in the, border rivers, none of which were allocated by the 19th century treaties. The initial 1964 Soviet negotiating posi- tion was that all of the Aniur-Ussuri islands be- longed to the USSR, but Moscow has gradually moderated its stand and offered to return some 400 islands to Chinese control. Although no evi- dence is in hand, the new position was probably reached after examining the islands' relationship to the deepest part of the train navigable channel, the thnlweg-a widely recognized method of river boundary dclimitation. Generally, international boundaries along navig- able rivers follow the thalweg, and the ownership of islands is determined accordingly. Should sud- den changes occur in the alignment of the main channel, prevailing practice in international law is to leave the boundary where originally estab- lished even though water subsequently may cease to flow in that channel. In contrast, the boundary may be altered by gradual changes in the course of a border river-unless otherwise agreed by treaty. Most of the Amur-Ussuri islands are small and low-lying, many are marshy or swampy, and some are little more than mud or sand banks. Some of the islands are inundated following spring breakup of river ice and after mid-slimmer rains, but rela- tively lush tree growth on many islands indicates that flooding is not prolonged. Although stream- 3 S1'.CRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86TOO608ROO0600140015-6 SECRi:',' bed changes call occur quickly during; flooding, the sire and physical charactcrisii:?s of the islands appear to change little. Inder.d, the evidence is overwhelming; that Glaring the last 40 years the navigable cluunnels have remained relatively stable. A comparison of Japanese navigation maps of the Amur-surveyed in the 1930's--with recent maps and photography indicates that no major realign. mcnts have occured. 't'here has been some shoaling and do-epeniug and minor alterations fit the size and locution of niud and sand hanks, but these changes have not significantly altered the align- ment of tile thalweg. Very few of the river islands are permanently inhabited, with the notable exception of Chhnnaya; they serve its sources of hay and firewood and me visited front time to time by fishermen. Island settlements would in filet have no economic ad- vantage over those on the river banks. An island settlement could be established for political reasons, but it would be both vulnerable to attack and difficult to supply. Even most of the border posts are located on the banks of the boundary rivers where logistical support can be more readily mnain- tained. While island occupation might strengthen the claim of the occupying side, in the current atmosphere it would be a highly provocative net. Chimnaya Island Area Along the border rivers, the most contentions segment is the Chinmayn Island area, at the con- fluence of the Anutr and Ussuri Rivers. This area has been the major territorial issue between Mos- cow and Peking since border talks began in 1161. The poorly drained triangular area, about 50 1 ilo- meters long and less than 12 kilometers wide, is comprised of two large islands, Chimnaya and Tarabarovskiy (together named I Iei-hsia-tzu by the Chinese), and several smaller islands ( Photo 2, foldout following Appendix). Along the southwest side is the 35-kilometer Kazakcvichcva (Fu-yiian ) Channel. The USSR considers this waterway, which connects the two rivers, to be the border. Soviet occupation of stratcgicr,lly located Chim- naya Island reportedly took place in the early 1930's in response to .rowing tensions with Japan, then in occupation of Northeast China, and ap- parently has been continuous since then. Ile island is the site of as Small shipyard-probably n sub- sidiary of one of the larger ones in Khabarovsk- for repair of river and small coastal vessels; It could also be used to build small craft, A perma- nent settle"Ient adjoins the shipyard, and It few small agricultural settlements are found elsewhere on both i;hintnaya and 'i'araharovskiy islands. Thre'e border outpost! front the (:hinese "naln- land" along the Kazakevicheva Clutnnel, A railroad line is being; constructed across Chimnaya island as it shortcut from the Trans- Siberian Railroad to the southeni, end of the Khabarovsk urban area. This expensive project, over marshy ground, is clear and current evidence of the Soviet rejection of Chinese claims, Rails were laid across the ice from Khabarovsk to Chimnaya during the. winter of 1972-73, three dredges were nu.ved to the island, and it founda- tion for two large I'OI, tanks was prepared. Sub- scclnently, construction began on it railroad em- bankment on :himna ya, using; materials dredged from nearby channels, the POh tanks were erected, and additional construction support ecluip- nunt was moved to the island. Across the Amur River to the north, it railbed was prepared leading from an existing spur of the Trans-Siberian Rail- road to the bank of the river; at Khabarovsk it causeway aligned with another spur of the same railroad all(] witl1 the embankment on Chirnnayn was built out into the Ussuri. Since the summer of 1974, the embanknnent on Chirnnayn has been extended, with one segment now directly aligned with the railbcd on the north bank of the Amur. More equipment mill facilities have been moved to the island, and additional con- struction activity-the purpose of some of which is not clear-has been initiated. Recent upgrading of military defenses further indicates Soviet inten- tions to retain these islands. Use of the thalweg principle to define the boundary would allocate the Chimnaya Island area to China, but the overriding factor in the dispute regardless of the legal merits-is the strategic lo- cation of the islands in relation to Khabarovsk. Non-Soviet control of the island complex would be a threat to the security of the city and the Amur River crossing of the Trans-Siberian Railroad. This vital supply line will remain vulnerable even after SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86TOO608ROO0600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 SECRET completion of the secon(1 'I'rnus?Siberluuu 111klhro;ul- tlt"" Ilnykul-Amur NIg!istol' ( BAN1)-it deca(Iv. or more hence, since no alleruntivc roll r(mle exists or is planned hetwecu Klutba ?ovsk nil VIndivostok, Sensor l shoaling; of the Kar.nkcvichevu (;hmid Occurs during, low enter stages Ihul nornullly ex- tend from late June until lilt(- July and ng;ain front about the bcg;inuing of Seplem1wr until frecienp in early November. 'I'bis shoaling, hws not posed any signiHennl ccon(m-ic loss for (he (;hh-esc bv.- cause little (,largo has ever beet) skipped between the Amur and Ussuri Rivers (tiring, (it(, ntvigmtion sensotl, which extends frool about the first of May until lilt(, October. i?a(h year the Chinese annum(,. their intentions to sail, (hiring tI-e low wntcr pc- rio(ls, around the east end of (;l-innatytt dv iig what Chinn reg;;irds its the irttertationnl boundary. Soviet authorities counter by (ainling; that lltc Amur and Ussuri in this area Orr USSI1 inland w;(ters, and that tl,e Kaxakrvic?hrva (;luunul forms the international houndnry. Since 1973, the USSR has offered to assist in deepening; the cluunuvl--a ploy the (;hinese predictably ignore bec?uuse le- ceptancc would imply rrc?og;nition of the c?hvtuel as the de facto houndnry. Whatt-ver Ili(, relative merits of the Soviet end (;hinese positions, (,ot)- tinuatiun of the status (pto wppears necessary to protect Soviet sec?urily interests at Khabarovsk. Settlement of the sovereignty (lucstion for nearly all of the other irdauds cat likely be based on the timhveg; formula, but the USSR will never agreo to its application in the Chinuuaya ishind area. Other I)i.sputed Islands The sovereignty of other Annur-Ussuri islands, including the well known (:hen-pao (i);-tn; i ckiy ) and 1't)-ch'a (Photo 3), has I-cen disputed. Ad- herence to the thalweg principle would allocate to China all disputed islands whose locations have been dutv.tn t ed. Sensitivity to direct observation from several islands lying opposite USSR settle- ments probably accounts for Soviet claims to these particular islands. Ili most erases, however, there appears to be no specific security interest respon- sible for the Soviet position. Another boundary segment that may cause a problem is the upper Argun above Priargunsk; it has been si-own differently on Soviet and Chinese amps. 'I'll(, upper Argon flows in ounurrotus bridled cltuuuPls lltr(ntg;h it it it Isy flood plain its nuuch us 10 kilotuctct?s wide ( I'll(:'() 4), 0't-rrully, fit(' Soviet limps show the bottn(h1, tdoug, the east(?rnmost (,hunt)( will the (:lines(, r(-aps partrmy it nloaK the westct?c-tnost, 1)nring, pcriud.v of hi};h wilier the chaillwls unty shift within the flood plain; weir parison of recent tnwlis with Japan se maps com- piled b- fit(' early 10,10ys indicates that sailer channels have shifted. '1'echnirnl problems coil]( easily arise when ac bill boundary demarcot :n Is tnt(lcrtwk(n because of the plysicwl chan%(irr of tilt- river will tit(. difficulty in ag re(ing, oil its limit) rharanel, but this boundary s(g;ntenl seems unlikely to 1-coma' it major Issue. No conflicting, chtitns Ii%v( been publicly voiced by either party i1ong; fie lower Argun liiver, oil Lake Khwnka, or ;dung, the Song;achw lliver, which e?cntnects lake Khankn w;t.h the Ussuri. Alloca- tion of islnuls in these rivers has never been ag lecd, IIuv(ver, mid there is it possibility of tills issue being, raisc(1 rI some future (late. ROt1N1)AIIY A(a11E.1,1111:N'1'S AT ISSUE. I'(lmirs The Chinese el;titn of sums' 41,01Y) sclnarv kilo- meters in the 1'nntirs' ^pparrntly is based nullity on lSth c?entor' Manchu military operations, in 1895 the boundwry in the i . nirs wws clc?tc?rnined, without direct Chinese pdtticipatioo, by a British- 11ussian ng;recnent designed primarily to define 'the border between British India and Rttaia. Some sources refer to wt) acceptance of the Pamir ho;nd? ary as it (c? f;rc?to line in an 1894 Sino-Tlussimi ex- ch.-Inge of notes, but this c?orrespoudeocr has never been found. Although Chinese na::ps depict the dv facto boundary in this sector, it is labeled "In- d(finite"-tl-c only sco r of the entire border so (lesignated. No subsequent Chinese government has accepted the Pamir boundary, and protests were voiced im- mediately after the 1895 agrecnu?nt was signed. From time to time Chinese maps have shown vary- ?A "parnir" literally is a high, trtvlrss, glaciated s?alley lillri with glacial debris end rimmed by higher snow- (?rownt(1 ri(igcs. The Pamirs are made tap of a null'ber of such valleys and ridges. 5 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 25X1 D Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 25X1 D Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 SECRET ing but 'sizable areas in the I'iunirs its plat of China. The Chinese are probably less concerned with the border alignment itself than with its origin, which they consider defective because no Chinese officials participated In It. The Pamirs seem an unlikely area to be coveted; the region Includes the highest mountains in the USSR, with elevations over 7,(X)0 teeters. Most of the Pamirs arc uninhabited except for small con- centrations of people who practice irrigated farm- ing in the broader stream valleys. The coal sad other mineral deposits have gone unexploited bc- cause of their inaccessability. The extensive Pamir snowficlds provide abundant water to irrigate the cotton growing areas of Soviet Central Asia to the west, and ambitious Soviet plans call for construc- tion of large hydroelectric power plants utilizing the water in the swift flowing rivers. Man-chou-1i Area The border segment between the Argun River and the China-USSR Mongolia tripoint might prove troublesome-although there is no direct evidence that this has been a contentious issue. Soviet maps show the boundary as much as 21 kilometers south of the alignment depicted by the Chinese, leaving about 900 square kilometers of territory between the two lines. This tract is strategically significant because it lies across the major approach from the USSR into Northeast China. The Soviet version apparently has served as the do facto boundary ever since the Tsitsihnr Agreement was signed by a moribund Manchu government in 1911. This agreement is c,F questionable legality, however, be- cause it was never ratified by any Chinese gov- ernment; the Chinese continue, therefore, to por- tray the boundary cartographically on the basis of the Treaty of Kiakhta (1727). LAND BOUNDARIES REQUIRING DEMARCATION OR REDEMARCATION Western Sector The 3,000-kilometer western part of the border, with the exception of the Pamir region, was de- fined in the second half of the 19th centuiry by two sets of treaties between the Russian and Chi- nese Governments. Although the Chinese claim to have lost about 440,000 square kilometers of territory its a result of the Treaty of Px,1 Inif (1800), they have, no realistic expectations of recovering it, (According to '''eking, the boundary should have been drawn to connect the westernn(n;t mobile pickets established by Manchu China to regulate use of pastures by nomadic Kazakhs in Central Asia. Soviet authorities, in turn, chuhn that the 1860 boundary is correct since it follows the line of permanent Chinese outposts, which were lo- cated considerably cast of the maximum Chinese clan.) The 1881 Treaty of Ili transferred an addi- tional 70,000 square kilometers from the, Lake Zaysai , Ili, and other anent, to Russia. Aside from the Pamir tract, no other disputed area is known to exist along the western border- despite its length and the disappearance of 19th century boundary markers. The boundary appears to be well known to local inhabitants in the rela- tively few areas where the frontier is permanently settled and major route cross the boundary. How- er- several border incidents have occurred in the past, and it is possible that additional disputes could arise once negotiations reach the stage of establishing a precise alignment. The physical character of the border and the ethnic composition of the frontier area could create additional problems in reaching n final boundary agreement. North of the Pamirs a number of natural corridors, primarily rive: valleys, cross the bound- ary. The most important is the Dzungarian Gate, connecting Kazakhstan and Sinkiang Province (Photos 5 and 6). Other important corridors are the valleys of the Tekes, Ili (Photo 7), Emel', and Chernyy (Black) IrtyAi Rivers. It was through the Dzungarian Gate that Moscow and Peking planned to link their Turkestan railroad systems. Although the Russians completed track-laying in 1958 to the border town of Druzhba ("friendship" in Rus- sian, but actually an armed camp), the Chinese halted construction at Wu-lu-mu-ch'i (Urumchi ) in the early 1960's as the Sino-Soviet dispute deepened. The border has never been a barrier to the various ethnic groups inhabiting the grasslands and valleys of the USSR-China frontier. Kazakhs, Uighurs, and Kirgiz live on both sides; other Cen- tral Asian ethnic groups have a vast majority in one or the other country. Slavs, primarily Russia.- 8 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 25X1 D Next 2 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/20 C~~A-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 .,LCtt and I ikraintam., have moved Into urban arsaq m ;tr III(- ftontler, Stutilatly, hugs, numbers of Ilan (a-inize have tnii,rutctl Into Sinl ianj eluting (If(' pna Iwo dreads':; iniuty Inter been silt led III rural arras to work oo land reeliunittimi projects, it few of which iuv located oche Ihr bottler. 'fine presence of if single ethnic lroitp idott); both sides of Its Sino.Sovitt border is it sotuc?r of boroler iucidetitc. 'i'he most notable example wits its exo- dus of ?10.(HX) Kitzaklis nod tlighurs from Sinkiang in 1002. 'I'hts incidtvil developed its it result of the temporary liberalization by the (;Masse of their emigration regulations and the consequent esca- lntion (,f efforts by minority peoples in great numbers to cross over into the Soviet Union, When the Chluese officials changed their minds they brutally suppressed those who still insisted on emigrating to the USSR. Since then tighter con- trols slid improved economic conditions in Sin- kiang have reduced transborder movement, 'I'hc USSR continues to i eani anti-Chinese broadcasts to Sinkiang Uighurs; the brov,dcasts appear to be only another facet of the overall dispute, however, rather than it serious attempt to foment it genuine separatist movement. The 550-kilometer boundary between Lake Khanka and the North Korea-USSR-China tripoint at the Tumen tiivv-r was twice demarcated in the late 19th century. The precision with which the boundary is depicted on recent Soviet maps con- trasts with the relatively generalized delineation on Chinese maps. This may simply reflect it need for redemarcation of the border in this generally hilly and lightly populated sector where, in many areas, the boundary follows no easily recognizable terrain features. Undoubtedly many of the 37 markers erected in 1886 have deteriorated, become overgrown, or have been destroyed. No territorial disagreement between China and the USSR has been documented along this sector of the border, but previous border clashes between Soviet and Japanese troops in the 1930's and alleged Soviet- hisligalrvl Iritnsbotder Incidents in 11)01) suggest sits unrdr;tr demarcation t,f the boundary, in reer fit yea is vegetisttstu bus been cleari?d along several ss'gtnents of t1!4' boundary, thtts making It sissy It) Idrrttliy; i:1 olhrv, netts, however, Ihr boundary is Isss ldentlfiahlr whets vrgelIII loll hits been allowed to regrow or has iir?ver been cleared, PROSPECTS U111il relations between the two countries Int- lrc-ve, it resolution of the bonier dispute Is unlikely, Although border talks continue to be held Inter- niitlsntly, no credible evidence Is available to sug- gest that Peking and Moscow arc now close to concluding it settlement. 'I'll(, greatest problem area is still Cldnuutya. Even though the (aiinese case for sovereignty over the island tract appears to be supported by both the treaties and the geographic factors, strong Soviet security interests are involved. Although the Pamir segment is also Important, China's claim appears less legitimate., It scans unlikely that the Chinese will press it as vociferously-not only because it Is improbable that the USSR will with- draw from such a large tract but also because con- tinued demands would expose Chinese unreason- ableness and thus be politic, lly infeasible. None of the other disputed tracts al,pears to pose as great it problem: in many cases the major task involved is demarcation or redemarcation of the boundary; many small islands in the frontier rivers, though, would change hands following a border delimitation. In sum, the total territorial exchange in any future border settlement is likely to be ex- tremely small. The initiative for reaching a border settlement appears to rest with the Chinese, who, despite their self-proclaimed desire to reach an agreement, rig- idly adhere to their 1969 negotiating stance, which is still totally unacceptable to the USSR. Continuing polemical exchanges and the intransigence of the Chinese suggest that future border talks, at least until major leadership changes occur in the PRC, will continue to be protracted and at times acrimonious. 12 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 SECRET APPENDIX 'Territory and Applknble Trrnllrr UNDI;IINP:D RIVEHINE BOUNDARY (:himnaya Isbinll Area Nrllhrr trenly allocnird these 141n104, oppo. (11cI-h4hr-tzu) (325 6n'/125 ml') sit' Khabarovsk at the cooflueocr of the Anmr and U44orl Illvers. Treaty of Algun ( 18511) Trvaly of Peking (I8(iO) Amur-Ussurl 14Iaod4 Neither treaty allocated the more than 700 Trrnty of Argun ( 1858) Treaty of Irking (Iti00) Islands in the Anna and Ussurl Rivers. Upper Argun River Flood Plain Continuing shifts in channels pose practical (285 km'/110 ml') difflrultivs In denulreatIon of boundary. Trrnty of Ncrchinsk ( 1089) Generally, Chiocsv maps show boundary also, for Miim-short-h Vicinity only Treaty of Kinkhln (1727 ) TslLslhar Agreement (1011) BOUNDARY AGREEMENT AT ISSUE Tana rs (41,000 knt'/10,000 mi') Bilateral Agreement between Russia and Great Britain (1395) Tian-chou-11 Area (000 km'/350 rri' ) Treaty of Kiakhta (1727) T.;z(sihnr Agreement (1911) LAND BOUNDARY REQUIRING DE- MARCATION OR REDEAMARCATION Western Sector (3,000 km/1,850 mi) Treaty of Peking (1860) Treaty of Ili (1881) Lake Khanka to Turnen River (550 km/340 mi) Treaty of Peking (1860) along wvslrrmuost channel whereas So- viet maps depict It along rnslernnntst channel. The Chinese were not a party to the treaty, an(] the tract, in possession of the USSII, has never been recognize(] by sub,,,quent Chinese regimes as belonging to the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union bases it4 delimitation of the boundary between the Argun River and the Sino-Soviet-Mongollan tripoint on the Tsitsihar Agreement, which no Chinese government has ratified. This boundary is 8 to 16 kilometers south of the Chinese alignment based on the Treaty of Kiakhta. Chinese claim the loss of 440,000 square kilometers based on the westernmost ex- tension of mobile pickets sent to reguletc use of pastures by nomads in Central Asia. The USSR maintains that the boundary is correctly demarcated on the basis of perm- anent Chinese outposts. Twice demarcated during the last half of the 19th century; the difference in the degree of precision with which the boundary is depicted on recent Soviet maps in compari- son with the relatively generalized delinea- tion shown on recent Chinese maps suggests a need for redemarcation. 13 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000600140015-6 China-USSR Border: Eastern Secte- ;_: China-USSR Border: Eastern Sector Relea h a mnaya/Hel Ala4zu Island Ar d Chi r, onal boundary `I Rellmad rPt t ' b1I1mNIIdR1I dary ~?-- ge~lrord'' emMd , oval boon ry, p MInNUotlNt I dll ub AONd Indmrtl da In db ul -goad ~ ~ `',r ~~ '. ' fl p u w p InbinNadminletml boundary 41 t ~, l ; .: IAINfl Iidminl~grltlwbaunduy ( ee S. Pe 80e14117,200,00a ~, , `., joeb ti9,70o;00tl ~~ ", odnde eh ml on Aoundan # ~W7 0 ~ Min lelute Mills Whose, dl a In allrym t4 /. _?..n b_ Eli tW 1E0 2pp 2E0 ^+\ l? c O~~b6 1 ld~ ilhb 3E0 "~ b, ttu Itllomelero ~f T ~k a: 4 w UAa'll i f Caner' slaw eooadi ,~ 5,:,e,,;, . aa?alrY ne }}., ' : _? .,;'

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