Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP86B00420R000400810002-7
Body:
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Meeting with Bud McFarlane
26 July 1984
~1 1 Please return to SA/DCI/IA
dam/ //24/
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SECRET
25 July 1984
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
FROM: EA/DCI
SUBJECT: Meeting with Bud McFarlane, 26 July 1984
e
formal response to McFarlane's request or talking pf
your use. 9 points for
1eWr.7uay Illu1_FI
ng L
will provide for insertion at TAB C eith1
e
o
SNIE
1. You are scheduled to meet tomorrow at 5:00 p.m. with Bud McFarlane.
There are four items on the agenda (three at our initiative and one from
the NSC), plus two "not on the agenda but you may wish to discuss" items:
-- Buckley Update (CIA Item). DO/NE will provide the latest
information on this. Their paper will be up Thursday morning
for insertion at TAB A so as to include any last minute
developments. Suggest you emphasize the close collaboration
between State and CIA at this most delicate point in the proceedings.
-- Central America (CIA Item). Included at TAB B are notes
prepared by Bob Vickers on Bulgarian arms shipments destined
for Central America. (You will recall the Naval Intelligence
briefing of Wednesday on their tracking of"Kapitan Petro
Voivoda.) Vicker's final point notes the potential impact
of L-39 deliveries to Nicaragua on the regional military
balance; this may have pertinence to Friday's NSC discussions.
-- SNIEs and NIEs (CIA Item). McFarlane had requested that we
r
f AITr-
do a ntumb
-- Intelligence Budget (NSC Item). Ken deGraffenreid says that
the White House legislative liaison people are concerned
that the Congress--particularly HPSCI--may damage NFIP
collection capabilities by overly zealous budget cuts.
Included at TAB D are IC Staff-prepared talking points on
this issue. (FYI - Eloise Page tells me that the House
problems are under control but, as you know, we may be facing
problems with the SSCI.)
2. The following two items are not on the agenda but you may wish
to raise them with MrPn,l~no?
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-- Soviet Policy SNIE Talking Points. At TAB F are talking
points on SNIE 11-9-84 for Friday's NFIB. Please note that
Fritz makes some additional points which he recommends you
call to the attention of NSC principals but not the NFIB.
3. Please let me know if there is anything else you will need for
this meeting.
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SECRETI
25 July 1984
Libyan/Bulgarian Arms Shipment to Nicaragua
There is a strong possibility that a Bulgarian ship, the "Kapitan
Petro Voivoda," which departed the Bosporus on 23 July, may be carrying a
Libyan arms shipment to Nicaragua.
-- The ship declared for Cuba, but in late May it delivered a
shipment of tanks to El Bluff after declaring elsewhere
-- Earlier this month, another Bulgarian ship was seen at Tripoli,
Libya, apparently loading five L-39 aircraft and other cargo. The
ship subsequently returned to Bulgaria.
Libyan shipment of arms destined for Nicaragua and Latin American
insurgent groups was loaded on a Bulgarian ship in mid-July. The
ship was to return to Bulgaria, where the cargo would be transferred
to another ship for transport to Nicaragua.
25X1
25X1
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SECRET 25X1
Intelligence Community analysts are agreed that the delivery of L-39
jet aircraft to Nicaragua would represent a significant increase in
Sandinista capabilities.
-- Designed as trainers, they also are capable of ground attack
-- The aircraft would be useful to the Sandinistas in a
counterinsurgency role, and they would also be an offensive threat to
Honduran, Costa Rican, and Salvadoran targets.
Thus although the L-39s probably fall below the threshold of high
performance jet aircraft such as MIGs, which we have warned the Soviets
not to deliver, they represent an interim step which will impact on the
regional military balance.
SECRET I 25X1
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Jtl.Kt I
NIC #04307-84
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington. D C. 2050S
MEMORANDUM FOR: The Honorable Robert C. McFarlane
Assistant to the President for
National Security Affairs
SUBJECT: National Intelligence Estimates Program
25X1
Thank you for your suggestions on Intelligence Community products. Some
of those you request are already underway, and the others we will begin as
quickly as possible:
All portions of this memo
are classified SECRET/NOFORN
CL BY Signer
DECL
DERIVED FROM ~u 1 p e--
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EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT
ROUTING SLIP
ACTION
INFO
DATE
INITIAL
1
DCI
2
DDCI
x
3
EXDIR
4
D/ICS
5
DDI
6
DDA
7
DDO
8
DDS&T
9
Chm/NIC
X
10
GC
11
IG
12
Compt
13
D/Pers
14
D/OLL
15
D/PAO
16
SA/IA
17
AO/DCI
18
C/IPD/OIS
M
rc/1qrc
x
20
21
22
SUSPENSE 27 July
Doh
Recommendation please to i?CI.
fog 01f'6155101 AT WIC, ST4FF 416 71