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P IN FO M TIO RETORT
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Ot 0;TRY Brazil
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DATE DISTR.. 11 JAN 50
Political Situation in Brazil WO. OF PAGES
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u r- NO. OF ENCLS.
1C-JJIRED (LISTED BELOW)
ATE 0!= IN
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REPORT NO.
Po .bilitq that PS~e. ident._,13 tra M n. Declare State of iegqt
io Getulio Vargas, leader of the Partido Trabalhistt Brasileiro (Brazilian
Workers a Party. - PTB), Adhemar do Barros of the PS',,-,, N ereu Ramos, Vice Presi-
dent of Brazil, and Walter Jobim of the PSD, have reportedly concluded that
President Dutra will declare a state of siege in Brazil, suspend the elections,
and keep himself in power. These loaders have reached an accord, kfown as
the Jobim formula, whereby they intend to preven=; any such action by Dutra.
Under their agreement,, Barros, Jobim, Moises Lupo>in, the Governor of Parana.,
and Farbosa Liana Sobrinho, the Governor of Pernambuco, intend to retain
control of their respective states by not resigning from their present
positions to run in the next elections. They feel that they would be
more capable of thwarting Dutra?s plans by remaining in office. Another
phase of the plan is to select a "candidate--popular" who would be the true
representative of the people and even cotnmaizd Communist support. It is
believed that this candidate will be wither Nereu Ramos, PTB Senator Salgado
Filho, or possibly Getulto Vargas himself. Political leaders in Southern
Brazil are in constant communication and ex?oect to announce an "anti-
golpista" candidate at the proper moment. They fully expect that he will
have popular support. A complete political and social reform Is expected
after this man is elected.
2 Shortly after the Esplanada do Castelo affair* many copies of a flyer were
dropped on the city of Rio from a plane. The sheet, which was addressed
"to the People," attacked the clergy and Cardinal Jayme Camara for not
allowing a memorial service in the Cathedral in honor of Zelia Msga-l.haes.
It claimed that all reaction emanates from the Vatican ttnd Udall Street.
Over half of the sheet was devoted to an attack on the n,man Cathol5 o Church
and Cardinal Camara. It ended with a salute to world peace, the US R, Luiz
Carlos Prestos, and the Communist Party of 3razil. Sources stated that this
document is the work of the Federal Government because the attack against
the Church and clergy is far stronger than the Cermnunists would dare make
it in view of the strong position the Church holds in Brazil. Sources
add that they believe the government did this in order to create a serious
situation which would necessitate the decla~.?atior, of a state of siege, sus-
pension of civil rights, and the dissolution of Congreas0
CLASSIFICATION
NSRB
This document is hereby regraded to
CONFIDENTIAL in accordance with the
letter of 13 Cc.zber 073 from the
Director o Cc ..ral Intell'gence to the
Archiv1st of t: o United S:aies.
ApprC t R as 01/03/05: CIA-RDP
Apprpved For Release 2001/03/05: CIA-RDP82-00 Rw~Q~~QQ14 P 1
CENTRAL I TELLIGENC.E F.GENG!
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Activities of Getup' o V ms
Gotul.:lo is apparently taking advantage of the po iticlai unrest to launch
his p: esidential candidacy. Gain Dias I3apt:.sta sa believed to have joined
forcer with Vargas' PTB and has worked out a prof:aganrta program in conjiuier,ion
w it.h?M Deputy Segados Viana. A large emoua.at of Querci at.sta campaign lite?. $zture
is being collected for distribution throughout tl's coiumtry at a pre irrango"A
tixe. In Rio do Janeiro, they have taken o-,,-er tnc;ro t ian sixty : oom5 from
whit they will distribute propaganda to the public.
11 mae-ping of the FT'S was held in Rio recent:'y at, hic'r's there were rop3 c s ~,Y ~ -.
tires from every state in the country. The repr,--zentL iwe from Rio Qrando
do S: Deis State Deputy Joao Nunes de C,aanpocas Vice -Pr(. 4d of the State
Assam,';alyp who stated that while there would be e. ?TS i;3at,ionai Ceonvention t s
sel ac- a candidate, it was hoped that Ge tixl:`_o would be :nominated.
ibar' o Pasqua1 in1 a fox b PBT pxbea .toria.r:. c-tn.("idFatt-, in Rio Grande do
Sul, arrived in Ric- during the middle of -nee mbe. and 'tas been anti -e in
!),ue;.,rzy-,Asta activities. He has been visited by Ld:.lthexo >:nd Ecsgarat~c;ce V'i.r a
son and brother respectively of Gstulio, l F. has been reported that Pas-
qualiaii {3 s task in Rio is to push 5riga&eiro Ediix-io Gc aes as an "anti-
golpi it-a" min. ' h gas forces believe Gmimes to be the logical mm to fore-
stall a Sutra coup and plan to side-step Ganes then and devote their eatis:?ra
ener'g:.es to Getixl.io 7 s cxipaign.. Querem3sta i are c ount Zr;g on the support
of -TooCim, Renos p and all QQue eniis to elerent. in f. e PS:.1,
:12, President ih+t ray who is believed to be awarc of Catulio a s power, is expected.
to :af"V'er the Ministry of Labor post to a PTT] merul r se"? eoted by Vargas,. in
early 1950. Hbnorio Monteiro;, the present anisate,)r of Labor,, will ha giv nn
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the opportunity, of running for the Senate.,
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Cuomnen .:, This is believed to be the ": orocs"n Ra :.lroad4
cosFID
Approved For Release 2001/03/05: CIA-RDP82-00457R004100140012-2