DAILY SUMMARY OF POSITIONS ON INF--CLASSIFIED DEVELOPMENTS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T00287R000500550001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 7, 2010
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 31, 1983
• Content Type: REPORT

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/09/07: CIA-RDP85T00287R000500550001-8
SECRET
31 January 1983
Daily Summary of Positions on INF--Classified Developments
Poll Puts Conservatives and SPD at Dead Heat 25X1
A poll published yesterday in Welt Am Sonntag shows the SPD pulling virtually even
with the CDU/CSU (44.4 to 45.1 percent). The survey also revealed that the Free
Democrats' share of the vote has grown to 4.8 percent--just under the 5 percent needed for
representation in the Bundestag. The poll conflicts with previous polls, including those
sponsored by the SPD, whic rnnsistently have placed the CDU/CSU 5 to 6 points ahead of
the opposition.
Comment: The poll reportedly was commissioned by the FDP and deliberately released
just before the FDP's convention on Saturday to enhance its stature. Previous polls by
the same organization (the Institute for Practically Oriented Social Research) have plac25X1
the SPD ahead of the CDU/CSU with the FDP steadily increasing its support. Although the
most recent results thus may be misleading, IPOS was the only polling organization to
ic25X1:cessfully the SPD victory in last month's Hamburg state elections
Moscow Assesses Its Propaganda Effort
The Soviets appear to be pleased with the impact of their propaganda campaign in Western
Europe, and probably credit themselves, at least in part, for the recent flurry of public
announcements. by West European political figures calling for a reconsideration of the zero
option or an interim agreement in the INF talks. The Soviets nevertheless also appear to
be apprehensive about the Bush visit, fearing that the US will, in fact, emphasize its
flexibility in the negotiations and, thereby, dispel the image that the US is not
interested seriously in an INF accord. The Soviets are likely to seize on any such
indications of US flexibility as an opportunity to appeal to West European publics for a
delay in NATO's deployments in order to give arms control more time. However, the Soviets
are also seriously concerned that, by emphasizing its willingness to entertain proposals
over than the zero option, the US will be able to sustain NATO's commitment to deployment
while pursuing a negotiated outcome. From Moscow's perspective, such a step could end
the US to "stall" the negotiations endlessly while NATO's INF deployments proceeded.
SFCRFTI
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/09/07: CIA-RDP85T00287R000500550001-8