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FOLLOW-ON TO THE 28 AUGUST NSC MEETING ON POLAND

Document Type: 
CREST [1]
Collection: 
General CIA Records [2]
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
11
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 28, 2010
Sequence Number: 
15
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 29, 1984
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0.pdf [3]388.1 KB
Body: 
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 ? ernnrT 0 The Director of Central Intelligence Washington, D.C. 20505 National Intelligence Council NIC NO. 04980-84 29 August 1984 MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence Deputy Director of Central Intelligence FROM: George Kolt National Intelligence Officer for Europe SUBJECT: Follow-on to the 28 August NSC Meeting on Poland 1. After the meeting I spoke with Paula Dobriansky, the NSC staffer on Poland. She expects that in a week or so State will send her its evaluation of how complete and reasonable the amnesty has been. She then plans to circulate it to the Agencies for comment before having it forwarded to Mr. McFarlane and the President for a final decision. 2. Paula also expressed hope that other Agencies, primarily State, would pick up Mr. McFarlane's suggestion at the meeting to devise a more comprehensive approach to Poland than just a step-by-step removal of sanctions. I told her that our thoughts ran along similar lines and suggested that this might be a good discussion item between you and Mr. McFarlane. I recommend that you put it on the agenda for your next meeting with Mr. McFarlane. To that end I have slightly revised the paper I gave you on Monday the 27th dealing with "possible elements of a more comprehensive US approach towards Poland." You may also want to discuss it with Secretary Shultz. Attachment: Talking Points eorge Kolt 25X1 25X11 SECRET 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 1-1 1 ? MEMORANDUM FOR: DCI DDCI FROM: NIO/EUR NIC No. 04980-84 29 August 1984 SUBJECT: Follow-on to the 28 August NSC Meeting on Poland Distribution: 1 - DC I 1 - DDCI 1 - SA/IA 1 - ER 1 - C/NIC 1 - VC/NIC 1 - NIO/E 1 - D/EURA 1 - DC/EURA/EE 1 - NIO/EUR (chrono) 1 - NIO/EUR (sub) NIO/EUR/GKOLT (29AUG84) SECRETI Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 ? ? v C-1. C+ sy C) cD fi Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 ? SECRE 0 Proposed DCI Talking Points Possible Elements of a More Comprehensive US Approach toward Poland You mentioned at the NSC meeting that the USG should think beyond the IMF issue and devise a strategy which takes us further. I agree with you. While we observe whether Jaruzelski frees all political prisoners and how he implements the amnesty we should devise a more comprehensive package. Our interrelated objectives should be to push Poland toward greater pluralism, economic efficiency, and financial recovery. The political elements of a more comprehensive package could include some Polish political reforms such as: - The permission to create new trade unions apart from either Solidarity or the government trade unions. Parliamentary elections with broadened non-party participation. Recreation of autonomous cultural organs like the Writers' and Journalists' unions. Its economic elements could include: Widened scope for the Polonia enterprises (small private enterprises in Poland owned and financed by Western businessmen usually of Polish descent) and encouragement of Western involvement with them. The introduction of workers' participation in the management of enterprises, along the lines being worked out before the imposition of martial law. If the Church fund for agriculture works out, increased Western private and governmental support for it as well as discussions about its expansion to cover small private service enterprises. Its financial elements could include: - The development of a financial repayment package among Western official and private creditors (with rescheduling and the recycling of some repayment along the lines of the Yugoslavia package.) Again granting Poland MFN status. SECRE 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 The Director of Central Intelligence Washington, D.C. 20505 National Intelligence Council Poland and the IMF NIC No. 04924-84 27 August 1984 AN.E2S 70-S"I MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence Deputy Director of Central Intelligence FROM: George Kolt National Intelligence Officer for Europe SUBJECT: Update Talking Points for 28 August NSC Meeting on 1. We have now received the promised issues papers for the NSC meeting and they turn out to be not a joint but separate State and Treasury papers (Tab B). 2. As expected, the underlying assumption in the State paper is that US approval of the resumption of IMF negotiations over Polish membership is just a matter of time. Thus the last paragraph states that "once we have determined that the amnesty decision has been completely and reasonably implemented . . . ", we should inform our Allies, Poland, and the public that the IMF negotiations may start. A draft press statement to that effect is attached. Unfortunately for State, events in Poland over the weekend have not gone in a positive direction. As of Friday it seemed that only two prisoners (Lis and Mierzejewski) might face charges that would exempt them from the amnesty. Now the Polish government has anounced that 630 prisoners have been freed but that 22 were still being held on charges not affected by the amnesty. State also downplays the warnings that have already been issued to some recently released prisoners and the possibility of rearrests. State's paper therefore is too optimistic. 25X1 DCI EXEC 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release_2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0'- ~ REG / 25X1 Z I Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 0 SECRET 3. Treasury's paper concentrates on the financial situation and reveals considerable concern over the reactivation of Poland's application. It evinces doubt that Poland would provide the required data or implement fully IMF membership obligations; shows unease about increasing East European participation in the IMF; and notes the Congressionally-required Treasury certification that IMF membership would provide, inter alia, a basis for correcting a new member's balance of payments problems and for advancing market-oriented forces. Treasury wryly comments that "implementation of this legislataive requirement for Poland could pose serious problems." 4. Except for an update on the prisoner situation (as shown in the Attachment and already inserted in your book) your talking points do not seem to require modification. The talking points on the political situation are more comprehensive and balanced than State's analysis. Those on the financial situation overlap slightly with Treasury's on Poland's position vis-a-vis IMF and on the likely course of the application process but provide much more detailed financial data on Poland's current situation and on possible implications of IMF membership. George Kolt Attachment a/s Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 ? Update to DCI Talking Points for 28 August NSC Meeting on Poland and IMF On Page 2, change the second and third bullets (starting with "according to . . . " and ending with ". . . . . about them") to read: According to Polish government figures the number-of political prisoners in July 1984 stood at 652. Over the weekend the government announced that it has freed 630 but that 22 were still being held on charges not affected by the amnesty. Cardinal Glemp has also stated publicly that 630 have been freed. But, so far, we have no church or other independent assessment of the exact numbers remaining in jail. The number 22 presumably includes the pPominent Solidarity leader Lis and an associate (Mierzejewski) who were arrested some three months ago and may be charged with treason -- a charge that would exempt them from the amnesty. According to the government, the charges against the rest of the 22 are criminal in nature and are therefore not covered by the amnesty. But, according to our Embassy, the government is still talking to the church at least about Lis and his associate. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Rer. rks EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT ROUTING SLIP D/ICS.- DDI 16 SSA/IA.:. ?17 AO/DCI 13 C/IPD/OIS 19 20 /d 4ZO SUSPENSE 3637 tl?81,. t- - 4'YSTEM II - at_ 1;0892 Executive Registry 7052 =-sident y Affairs Secretary t Iona l _ .."`Budget to the Un#ed States United N4Itions tepresentalfive Executive Secretariat JOULWAN : e Chairman =:4F Membershtip, August 28 IS) be held on Tuesday, )inet Roomy to review our -it of Poland's recent rincipalplus one are (immitt ;ecretary Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Executi e SSeecrr ttory Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 ~ SECRET ? NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON. D.C. 2050 August 21, 1984 4'YSTEM II 1;0892 E,,cc!uti';c Registry 7052 MEMORANDUM- FOR MR. DONALD GREGG Assistant to the Vice President for National Security Affairs COLONEL R. J. AFFOURTIT Executive Secretary Department of Defense DR: ALTON KEEL Associate Director for National -- = Security Affairs--- -MR----THOMAS B. CORMACK MRS. HELEN ROBBINS Executive Secretary --Central Intelligence Agency THE HONORABLE HARVEY FELDMAN Washington Representative to the Una+ted States Representative to the United N+'tions _Db~iArtment of State MR. DENNIS WHITFIELD Office of the U.S. Trade Representaliive Winder Building ----- MS ~ -TERE SA COLL-NS ' - - - Chief, Secretariat Staff, Executive Secretariat U.S. Information- Agency BRIGADIER GENERAL GEORGE JOULWAN -----Executive Assistant to the. Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff NSC'Meeting on Poland's IMF Membersi$iip, August 28 IS) A National--Security council meeting will be held oln Tuesday, Auugust 28, 1984, at 11:00 a.m. in the Cabinet Room, to review our .~~ pqsitLOn on Polish IMF membership in light of Poland's recent i_vited (S) + Robert M. Kimmitt Executive Secretary Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Executive Assistant to the Secretary z~.-- Department of Commerce Office of Management and Budget fix Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 PLEASE RETURN TO OFFICE ROOM NO. AND BUILDING PLEASE DESTROY FORM 3291 USE PREVIOUS (13) 8.7l EDITIONS Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0 0 ROUTING AND RECORD SHEET SUBJECT: (Optional) Follow-on to the 28 August NSC Meeting on Poland FROM: EXTENSION NO. NIC N 04980 84 George Kolt NIO for Europe o. - DATE ust 1984 29 Au g TO: (Officer designation, room number, and buildin ) DATE OFFICER'S COMMENTS (Number each comment to show from whom g RECEIVED FORWARDED INITIALS to whom. Draw a line across column after each comment.) VC/NIC 2. C/NIC 0 AU 1 3. ER 3 1 UG 198 4. 5. A)I~ 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. DCI 15. ~? EXEC REG FORM 61 0 USE PREVIOUS 1-79 EDITIONS Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200160015-0

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