NATIONAL FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE STRATEGY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90M00551R001300700018-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 3, 2013
• Sequence Number: 18
• Publication Date: August 22, 1988
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved forRelease2013/07/03 : CIA-RDP90M00551R001300700018-1
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ICS 4263-88
22 August 1988
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
VIA: Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
FROM: Lieutenant General Edward J. Heinz, USAF
Director, Intelligence Community Staff
SUBJECT: National Foreign Intelligence Strategy
2 2 AUG 1988
Attached for your information is a copy of the draft Terms of Reference
(TOR) for the effort to provide a revision of the National Foreign
Intelligence Strategy. We are currently coordinating the TOR with key
Community participants. If you have any comments or reactions to the draft,
please let me have them by the end of the week.
Attachment:
Terms of Reference
"SEL-Rt
Lieutenan Genera AF
ILLEGIB
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CFCRPT
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SUBJECT: National Foreign Intelligence Strategy
DISTRIBUTION: (ICS 4263-88)
Original - DCI
2 - DDCI (ER File)
3 - D/ICS
4 - D/PPO (File:
5 - PPO Subject
6 - PPO Chrono
7 - ICS Registry
NFIS )
DCl/ICS/PPO,
(19 August 1988)
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Terms of Reference
National Foreign Intelligence Strategy
Background
The first National Foreign Intelligence Strategy was published in January
1986. An update issued in early 1987 reaffirmed the Strategy's basic
judgments and identified specific goals and priorities to guide its
implementation. The central message remained the need to preserve and enrich
existing intelligence capabilities, building on them where possible, but
always ensuring that maximum advantage is derived from the assets that are in
place or in development. The importance of not standing pat was recognized,
however, and the Stategy acknowledged the need to place a high premium on
flexibility and adaptability in the face of expanding and changing demands for
intelligence support.
Since the Strategy was published, budget constraints and world events have
combined to exert greater pressures and demands on intelligence. The effect
has been to underscore the prudence of the Strategy's conclusions on the need
for flexibility and preservation of capabilities. However, the passing of
time, the continuing austere fiscal outlook, and the direction of events (such
as the pace of arms control negotiations and developments in the Soviet Union)
have provided impetus for a review and restatement of the Strategy.
Scope
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It is important to note that the Strategy was not intended to be a plan, a
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program, or a budget. Nor was it conceived as a shopping list of specific
systems or capabilities. Rather, it was written to set forth the main lines
of development for the Intelligence Community, based on an assessment of the
future and its consequences for intelligence. This revision of the Strategy
will again identify main lines of development and will convey a sense of
priorities by treating only the most significant problems or forces expected
to affect intelligence resources. Substantive geopolitical and world economic
problems will be a main focus, but attention will also be paid to questions of
infrastructure, including the need to meet challenges posed by changing
requirements and increases in available data. The field of view will be five
to ten years.
Approach
The Intelligence Community's Planning Working Group (PWG), augmented as
necessary, will serve as an oversight forum for the revision. Drafting
support will be provided by the Intelligence Community Staff (ICS). The final
draft of the revision will be distributed to the National Foreign Intelligence
Council (NFIC) for review and comment.
The revision will be built on a view of the world written by the National
Intelligence Council (NIC). In addition to a discussion of geopolitical
conditions that are likely to prevail, the NIC contribution will also address
global isssues (such as terrorism, weapons and technology proliferation, and
narcotics) and other developments (such as emerging technologies) that are
likely to be of principal concern to intelligence in the projected time
period.
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WU
The National Security Council (NSC) Staff will provide a statement of US
national security objectives that will be used to draw out the intelligence
implications of the National Security Strategy published in early 1988. The
NSC objectives will include political, economic, and military dimensions, and
will serve, along with the NIC view of the world, as the backdrop for an
analysis of significant future intelligence requirements and concerns.
The analysis will include substantive intelligence problems (such as arms
control), infrastructure issues (such as workforce requirements), and
procedural or structural questions. An initial list of significant
requirements and concerns to be considered will be identified by each of the
Community's program managers, the NIC, the Intelligence Community Staff (ICS),
and the Intelligence Producers Council (IPC). These contributions will be
analyzed to compile an integrated list of significant areas.
The program managers, along with the NIC, the IPC, and the ICS Program
Budget Office (PB0), will also be asked to assess programmed intelligence
capabilities in relation to the significant intelligence requirements and
concerns that are identified. These assessments will be used as the basis for
the identification of major intelligence needs or gaps. The needs or gaps
will likely range across collection, processing, analysis, production, and
dissemination questions. Structural and organizational issues may be included
as well.
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The discussion of major needs and gaps will be selective rather than
comprehensive--restricted to ten or twelve of the most pressing problems or
functional areas that will claim attention or resources. The list of needs
and gaps will then be analyzed to establish relative priorities among them.
As part of the analysis, consideration will be given to the impact and effect
of anticipated constraints on fiscal, human, and technology resources.
ICS/PBO will be asked to provide a budget forecast to aid this analysis. The
gaps will then be presented in the context of the strategy needed to improve
our ability to address them and meet the intelligence challenges of the
future.
During preparation of the Strategy, the PWG will serve as a link to the
Community's program managers for the transmittal of appropriate information.
Schedule
Key milestones are as follows:
o NIC View of the World and NSC statement of national security
objectives completed - 29 August
o Initial list of significant requirements and concerns submitted
by program managers, NIC, IPC, and ICS - 29 August
o Strategy outline completed - 13 September
o Preliminary draft completed - 11 October
o Final draft completed - 25 October
o NFIC review and meeting - early/mid November
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