No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
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No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
qAP,A Date
o4 4
NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL INFORMATION
TO SECRET / SENSITIVE
~~L, USIV,,RLY,. Y ONL
MEMORANDUM FOR: HENRY A.
SUBCT;China Trip
I suspect t yob,, as are somewhat concerned that we have not yet
heard fro the ,' .,:......fin dates fox your trip... I suggest that the
following, e th individually or col tfve y4",' y ;behind the delay:
t',#av been. un -
ft s Y Your
nerving, to say the least, In addition to ' , oid that You, ore
bed h0P st, . thy, there is the tougher 4ueatl of what to do about
It. y c o d :,, o se, simply decide to let you come, to Peking,,
br m a n drop the subject. But there must also be some
thought about whether to move to something more substantive with the
34 i :plied in your rex Garb s to Huang Ghe Tit
U. S. f4A your. ,y r.se
cannot be Vin easy .ci sio, particularly if there are still,i~rison?? th,
in the leadership. In any a ept'.,, w th;;a lpa,rty congress in the offing, this
issue must eve occasion *d some difficult (and time -c s ')debate.
2 C 2!La: Every:. i,ksave seen would indicate that Peking
get yo ;tag,, er th Sihanoult. But PRC flexibility must be
Id e
to L
ntraa ,ed"by the need to water Moscow and Hanoi flanks - particularly
if there is any question of S han uk's acceptability (or staying power)
with the n all hon
.. about "secret
negotfatio s ', and yob possible meeting with Sihanouk, must have put
the,- Chinese on the spot with Hanoi, f '? ` , i4olft g 6y and Snook y. Peking
may well, believe it was '"had" as part o ' he, fete debate here with
the Congress, ."E.the n rd' was dyed effectively to 'obtain
a orit do io cosltinue the bombing for an " ddit .o i 45, 44 ye?
3. Teter" .`: I am, the last to claim any expertise in 'this area,
but given the two issues discussed above, I cannot but wonder whether
TOP ORET / I :TIVE
EXOI SI `E Y EYE ONLY
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6
~,... ~~
ZXCl Ya "EYES ONLY
whatever i0etU4 :ccorx odations were made to pelt the PRC to
move toward'a new relationship with us may not have been te..r41
shaken. There surely must be those who fear too rapid movement;
them, the report on the Bre zhnev visit may have looked like an effort
to force the pace*
any event, e#410, , have overdr the Bre zhnev and Cambodian
elements of the equation, we n: to re pine t Peking (or parts
the leadership) listsee your next visit , potentially a new benchmark 'txx
-- and therefore.an, event to be approached with caution and thorough
a3 ?`...o; views before any decisions are made.
In the An*!' analysis, my bet is that Peking will want you to come soon;
Braev thing must concern em deeply. they will want to hear
ImAbr'e about It even f . n decide not to pursue it further. The
pt' m wM- be Camabodl.- ' " re they wii hive 'a hell of a time. I
simply am unable to come to any real judgment on how they will come
out either in trnrs of the degree to "w'hi'ch) they will pres sure Sihanouk,
or, howw suecessf l thaey'willA be if they do so I would guess that they will
apply sO.e'; r'. u!re;I have no guess whatsoever on how successful that
pressure w -M In -getting Sihanouk or some of his people to sit down
with you:
There is, I suspect, little we can do to affect either the pace or the con-
tent-of *'; Es reply. On ~aiready weak hand could be weakened further by
any sign oaf ty. As I indicated
, in ` my + arlfi.er o to you, however,
do ~ ire potenti' a . lever l prrb le"bhi s , concern over, "your report
on the Brezhnev" sit I still believe it a card worth playing, but only
gently, aan o .y itb a recognition that it may ba re (in term of
Chinese acquires ei icein "d laying yo ,4t visit)
TOP SECRET f S $XTIVE
ExIttk & ziY 't3]il ' "
No Objection to Declassification in Part 2010/12/08: LOC-HAK-462-7-5-6