CIA ESTIMATE OF SOVIET GRAIN HARVEST

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: Library of Congress
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): LOC-HAK-264-5-21-0
• Release Decision: RIFLIM
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: January 11, 2017
• Document Release Date: February 22, 2010
• Sequence Number: 21
• Publication Date: August 1, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/02/22: LOC-HAK-264-5-21-0
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CIA ESTZt'A1'E F SO IFT GRA7 t HAi VeST
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Tars 75 TO ALERT THE PRF'STOFNT AND YOU TO THE PACT Tt$A1 OUR
T!STIMAYE OF TH , SQV,IP? T RAIN TS CJROPPIN6 In THE POINT THAT SERIOUS
ECONOMIC. A NO PO ITTCTAL, PR t L1'MS F0h THE U W R C+ U ,C1 R($ULI,
OUR PREYInt4S F'STIMATF' OF ThE SOVIET GRAIN CROP OAS ISM MT.LL.In TONS,
HECAUSF OF ADDITIONAL EVIDENCE ON THE CONTT$lIF,O tACJ WEATHER ItM THE
USSR, WE NOW a xPECT TOE CROP TO BE BELOW 10 Y L ION TONS. TF TMt
WEATHER CoN1TTwuk$ TO. WE UN AVORARLF, THE CROP COULD FALL TO flW iF.V "N
LOW THC 1972 LEVEL OF 16MILLIUtz TONS
TM. OPOUt HT 'HAS ALSO SHARPLY CURT AiL:tr) FORACF; CROP.,$, SO 1 HE,
TOTAL SHORTFALL TN $CtVItT PROOUCTtrtN IN F? LATInN TO NEEDS COULD ML;
IN THE RAN OF 30 Tn 50 MILL ION TONS? TO C}ATf ? a4USCO$ HAS CONTRACT
t O4? , ASPUt Is, MILLION. TONS OF POKF I t M GRAIN, AMO NOt* S4045
ViRTUAL0 CEPIAI- THAT MnsCUW.WILL OF OACA FOR ADO'ITTON'A-L LARUF
OUANYITIES OF GRAI , AVAILABLE GRAIN SUPPLII!S, HOWEVER, 'ARF NQNHFS
NEAR SClFFICIFNT TO SATISFY ALL SOVIET NUEOS WITHOUT I)AASTI
INC KEASE1% TN WOW) PPICESr
THE tt$Sk WILL. M0 ODUST MAKE UP SOME Of THE SHi)RTFALL. FROM
ITS STC1CKS Bill WILL ALSO ff FOKFO TO CUT ITS CONS[JM-TION OF
(RAIN, Its P4aOfUCTTU1N 09,R9 AS LOW AS IN 1912, CUTS IN CON U14PYlUN
WOULD) RE CARGO, ANO THERE WOtL,P ?# MAJOR ECO-No.dIC IMP1,ZCATTONS,,
IN ANY EVENT T LRE APE 860 40 R POLITICAL *rPR COS TONS IN
THE ti$SH, TNCLt.SOINr CRITICT$-M.'OF R9Zp+N V1$ PJrRFORMANt;F ?10. THIS
PCFARLAM ,R )DMA.t
PSN101Stt79
RECALL
No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/02/22 : LOC-HAK-264-5-21-0
PAOk A'tt t R! 11 /~PV+I? '7 OTGt 4100442 AUG 75
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No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/02/22: LOC-HAK-264-5-21-0
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No Objection to Declassification in Full 2010/02/22: LOC-HAK-264-5-21-0