CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/11/12

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02643644
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: November 12, 1956

Approved for Release: 2019/10/24 CO2643644
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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
Copy No. 12
DOCUMENT NO. PO
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. <
DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 7Q.2
Wt.
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGE410E
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
VER:
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c) 7/
12 Novemlber 1956
04
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CONTENTS
1. MIDDLE EAST OIL PROBLEMS
(page 3).
2. EGYPTIAN-SPONSORED FEDAYEEN OPERATIONS
(page 5).
3. SYRIANS SEEKING "UNUSUAL" TYPE OF JET FUEL
(page 6).
4. JORDAN ART/ CHIEF BIDS FOR AMERICAN AID
(page 8).
5. THE SITUATION IN HUNGARY
(page 10).
6. ITALIAN SOCIALIST REUNIFICATION REPORTED BROUGHT
NEARER BY SOVIET INTERVENTION IN HUNGARY
Noforn) (page 12).
7. SOVIETS IN EAST GERMANY ACCELERATE DEPARTURE
OF DEPENDENTS (page 13).
8. LAOTIANS VACILLATE ON PAT HET LAO INTEGRATION
ISSUE (page 14).
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1. MIDDLE EAST OIL PROBLEMS
Saudi Arabia, which has ordered the
Arabian-American Oil Company to
stop exporting oil and oil products to
Britain and France, has shut off the
flow of its crude oil--some 170,000
barrels per day--to the refinery in
Bahrein. This will cause virtual shut-
down of the refinery, which normally
runs 200,000 barrels per day.
No Saudi oil from the ARA-MCO Tapline
is being loaded on British or French
tankers at Sidon, Lebanon.
the Saudi government expects the
Soviet bloc to buy some of this oil.
ARAMCO reports a 20-percent cut in
its normal production of nearly a mil-
lion barrels a day.
The Kuwait Oil Company, which nor-
mally produces slightly over a million
barrels a day, may cut back to 75 percent in two weeks be-
cause of a shortage of tankers, which must now make the
trip around Africa,
Reports on 8 November from Beirut on
the damages to the Iraq Petroleum Company's pipeline through
Syria indicate that pumping stations T-3 and T-4 are com-
pletely destroyed.' 1-2 pumping station has suffered exten-
sive damage. The company's local superintendent stated
that if the other stations were bypassed by new pipei,"T-1
pumping station in Iraq could deliver some 80,000 barrels
per day to the Mediterranean. This flow could be estab-
lished in a few days if the Syrian government were willing.
Egyptian-directed terrorist activities
against British and French installations continue and sabotage
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against other facilities by local nationalist elements re-
mains possible.
the imam ,4 Yemen has distributed arms to
the tribes in the British Iprotectorate of Aden and "the air-
field, the refineries, and the camp are to be attacked.�
(TOP SECRET EIDER NOFORN)
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Nro, Noe
2. EGYPTIAN-SPONSORED FEDAYEEN OPERATIONS
Cairo has or-
dered the cessation of fedayeen
activities in Israel and has forbidden
operations against American installa-
tions. It has, however, ordered the
continuation of sabotage operations
against British and French "installa-
tions." Agents in Amman were ordered
to carry out the Mafraq operation, pre-
sumably an attack on the British in-
stallation at Mafraq airfield in Jordan.
Egyptian agents
shipped demolition materials to Kuwait
Fedayeen activities are still being
carried on against Israel, presumably by parties already in
Israel and out of contact with headquarters. These activities
may provoke Israel into a major retaliatory raid against
Jordan and/or Syria. Israel was reportedly set to strike
into Jordall but apparently re-
versed the decision at the last minute.
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3, SYRIANS SEEKING "UNUSUAL" TYPE OF JET FUEL
The Syrian air force has asked the
president of the Beirut Socony organ-
ization, the exclusive supplier of all
Syrian air force fuel, whether Socony
could supply an "unusual type" of air-
craft fueL The Syrians expressed in--
terest in fast delivery and insisted on
secrecy in the negotiations�
The Socony representative informed
the Syrians that it would be impossible to supply such a fuel
in quantities of less than 700 to 800 tons. The Syrians seemed
not to be impressed but gave no indication of actual quantities
required. They also were interested in price, but indicated
it was no obstacle.
Comment The detailed specifications furnished by
the Syrians match exactly those for jet
fuel TS-I, one of the standard jet fuels used by the Soviet air
force.
In late August, most of the 24 MIG
fighters and two jet trainers Syria had ordered earlier from
Czechoslovakia were delivered to Egypt for assembly and
pilot training before flying to Syria. Their arrival in Syria
has not been confirmed.
There are only two airfields in Syria
suitable for continued use by jet aircraft, but three other
fields are suitable for limited use. The possible existence
of a "crash" program to prepare Syrian airfields to accom-
modate high-performance let aircraft is
proceding to complete the airfield
at Hama quickly, and to have the remaining Syrian airfields
ready before the end of the present month." Storage facilities
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immediately available in Syria for jet fuel are estimated
at between 4,000 and 5,000 metric tons.
MIG fighter aircraft are estimated to
reauire about one ton of fuel per plane per hour.
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4. JORDAN ARMY CHIEF BIDS FOR AMERICAN AID
Jordan's army chief Nuwar told the
American army attach�n Amman on
9 November that he must get military
and economic aid and that if the United
States would put up money and arms
he would dissolve parliament, take
over the government and guarantee
Communism would be prevented from
dominating Jordan. He said that if he
does not get aid from the United States,
he will get it from the Soviet Union.
Nuwar said that Communist influence
was gaining rapidly in Jordan and if
the United States wants to salvage any-
thing in Jordan it must act immediately.
He said the aid must be in sufficient
volume to compensate for British aid,
"which will soon be ended." Nuwar
strongly urgea his approach be treated with utmost secrecy
and that it not be discussed with King Hussain.
indicated Jordanian government concern that the British sub-
sidy of some $33,000,000 annually might be stopped or that
"the turn of events will force Jordan to refuse it."
the Soviet military attach�n Damascus/
had intimated the USSR is
prepared to pay the subsidy to Jordan which Britain now
na�tm and tn arm the national ffuard.
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Egypt,
Syria/and Saudi Arabia have previously offered to undertake
the support of the Jordanian national guard, and have dis-
cussed subsidizing Jordan if it would abrogate the Anglo-Jor-
danian treaty.
Soviet actions and statements in the
� Suez dispute have generated considerable popular pro-Soviet
opinion in the Arab states, and the Jordanian government is
reported under considerable pressure to establish diplomatic
relations with the USSR, and to abrogate the tie with Britain.
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5. THE SITUATION IN HUNGARY
Virtually all organized resistance in
Hungary apparently has ended. Amer-
ican correspondents who were allowed to
leave Budapest on 10 November reported
that, although some armed groups of
"freedom fighters" were in evidence,
they saw no fighting while en route to the
Austrian border. In a major address on
the morning of 11 November, Premier
Kadar claimed that, except for a few small armed groups and
snipers in Budapest and along the roads leading to the north-
west from the city, the "armed revolt" has been "crushed,"
The Budapest radio has implied that officers and men of the
Hungarian army will soon arrive in the city to assist the Soviet
units in maintaining order,
essation of fi htin ap ears
onfirme
The Kadar regime, faced with the monu-
mental task of restoring order, has been relatively frank in
its public discussions of the present "grave" state of affairs.
Its current program emphasizes the need for economic order
by urging a return to work and the restoration of transporta-
tion facilities, and the maintenance of civil order, The re-
gime has appealed to the population to support the "liberal
and national" Communist aims of the government.
A variety of regime statements over Radio
Budapest reflect in detail the magnitude of the government's
problem: pleas for the transportation of food supplies to and
within Budapest have not abated; children in Budapest have been
warned to stay off the streets because of the danger of "unex-
ploded shells and damaged building"; the Ministry of Health
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has warned the people of Budapest of the "dangers rising out
of the deterioration of public health conditions"; a county in
the provinces has hailed with some pride the movement of
trains within the county and promised on 10 November that
"one or two trains will today move outside the county"; and
a regime spokesman has said that Budapest workers were
sitting "idly while our beautiful capital city is being de:S-
.5-troyed:'
Premier Kadar's efforts to gain pop-
ular support have included, in addition to his earlier promises
of a free and independent Hungary which will negotiate for the
withdrawal of Soviet troops, assurances of the continued use
of the Kossuth national emblem which was officially adopted
by the Nagy regime, the continued "freedom" of the trade unions,
and a substantial increase in workers' wages. A press report
claims that, in an additional attempt to woo the public, Kadar
recently conferred with ex-premier Nagy�presumably in an
effort to persuade Nagy to join the government. The regime
has condemned Nagy for his tactics during the revolution, but
has not accused him of treachery and has denied reports of
his arrest.
The ability of the Kadar government to
impose its will by alternately issuing promises, pleas and
decrees is, at best, dubious. The regime's authority at pres-
ent is weak and its organs are still in the process of reorgani-
zation. Most workers appear to be on strike, most of the
Hungarian army has been dissolved or disarmed, and the Hun-
garian police forces have proved themselves inadequate to
maintain order. The population can be expected to withhold
its support as long as the Soviet troops remain in Hungary and
as long as the present ruling diumvirate of Kadar and Muen-
nich remains in power.
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6� ITALIAN SOCIALIST REUNIFICATION REPORTED
BROUGHT NEARER BY SOVIET INTERVENTION IN
HUNGARY
It
Adoption by Nenni's Italian Socialist
Party of an official position which
clearly opposes that of the Italian Com-
munists on the Hungarian situation is
in. -te' in cementin� Socialist unification,
no more an
percent of Nenni's party will defect o e Communists if
his rt mer es with Saragat's Democratic Socialists.
Comment
Events in Hungary have accelerated the
deterioration of the Italian Communist
Party, and may prove the decisive factor in impelling
Nenni to break with his Communist allies. If the present
trend continues, Nenni may expect to lose a considerable
number of his followers unless he breaks with the Communists.
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7. SOVIETS IN EAST GERMANY ACCELERATE DEPARTURE
OF DEPENDENTS
e processing of dependents' baggage
t Wuensdorf, one of the processing
enters in East Germany, has been in-
reased to three or four times normal
rate. rrhe soviet commandant at Wuensdorf Railroad Station
expects this rate of travel to continue for two months. On
31 October railroad authorities were ordered to open new
baggage processing centers at Potsdam and Eberwalde.
During early November trucks heavily
loaded with military equipment and household goods were
observed moving from Oranienburg toward the Potsdam
area each evening. Most of the baggage is being shipped
in the name of the dependent to scattered destinations in
the USSR rather than in the name of the officer to a new
duty station. A general lack of preparedness indicates
that the movement orders were unexpected.
all Soviet women in East Germany
have been ordered to be prepared for sudden departure since
a movement order may be expected at any time
Comment This accelerated shipment of dependents
from East Germany reflects the tense
situation in the Satellites and, possibly, Soviet doubts as to
the security of the principal routes of evacuation through
Poland.
Snvi et
personnel fighting in Hungary
were concerned over the welfare of their families and the
evacuation of dependents.
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8. LAOTIANS VACILLATE ON PAT HET LAO
INTEGRATION ISSUE
Comment on:
Although the Laotian government ini-
tially indicated that it would integrate
only 300 Pathet Lao soldiers into the
royal army, the army chief of staff now
estimates that some 5,000 Pathet troops will volunteer for
integration. Of this number, he felt that 3,000 "might" be
rejected by various screening devices, but indicated that
nothing much could be done if the Pathets were to "balk"
at being assigned to reindoctrination centers. Questioned
about a report that the Pathet Lao had increased its effec-
tive force by 1,600 men since the 5 August cease-fire agree-
ment to improve its bargaining position, he replied that the
government had no way of proving figures of Pathet strength.
The government has already made dan-
gerous concessions to the Pathet Lao on other issues, and
the army chief's defeatist attitude on integration of the armed
forces suggests chat this issue will be settled on terms whfLch
will weaken the integrity of the army. The American em-
� bassy's comment on the general's vacillation is that it "does
not augur well for a successful outcome" of the forthcoming
negotiations on integration.
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