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SINO-SOVIET RELATIONS AND POSSIBLE CHINESE INTERNAL DISUNITY

Document Type: 
CREST [1]
Collection: 
General CIA Records [2]
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP82-00457R008700150004-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 13, 2001
Sequence Number: 
4
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 24, 1951
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP82-00457R008700150004-3.pdf [3]488.52 KB
Body: 
littc-11-Olaroved For Release 2001/04/01 : CIA-RbP82-00457R008700150004-P CONFIDENTIAL 25X1A CLASSIFICATION 7coNmoL - U. S. OFFICIALS ONLY CENTRAL NTELLIGENC AGENCY REPORT NO. ifirORMATION AEPOIFIT CD No. COUNTRY Chiaa/LSSP. DATEEMSTR. 24 Sept. 1951 avta Sino-Seviet Relations and Possible Chinese NO. OF PAGES 4 Internel 7Jioun1ty 25X1A PLACE ACQUIRED DATE OF 25X1A INFO. NO. OF ENCLS. (LISTED BELOW) SUPPLEMENT TO 25X1X REPORT NO. Relations Between the Chinese Communists. end the USSR 1, The following teree pointe are the basis for cooperation between the USSR and the Chinese Communiste: The Soviet foreign policy in the Far East hes been mainly the same as the foreign policy of the Chinese Communists, from the standpoint of the Chinese Communists. The most important point is that both the USSR and the Chinese Communists fear that Japan will revive and rearm. The secend is thet they desire a Communist Korea. The third is that their relations with the various other. Far East countries bordering China as? yet shown no point of difference. It is possible that there mieet be some difference in their relations with the United States and Great Britkin, but temporarily they agree on this also. From these poiats, it is seen thet it would not be possible at present for the, USSA end the Chinese Communists to have any major difficulties in theeer zeletions. b. At Iresent, the Chinese Communists find it herd to feel that the Soviet exponsLon of power into Chinese soil cerriee with it any threat of aggeeseion. They are willingly taking slid]. RS the "help" from a bro- theely nation. This is the only "hele" they receive, end they have no reaeon to give it up. e. c. From the historical vieveoint, the USSR hes taught the Chinese Communists to tske adventege of the nationalistic esrirations of the people and the urge ,for democracy, and hes also taught them how to strengthen the lhinese Communist Party (CCF) to attain victory. They are brotherly Comeentest Parties of the Communist International, snd this tie remains etrenge " ASSIPCATION C9.75(11.51411 (417 fr e- re STATE yv JX cvAvy 'IL ct? J-KCRI;- Dis-:,142 LLJ_ MR -14qvratat No. CIriange In eIass.El Approv C/als. nangel To: IS S Deciazs;ad ?4)121/04i0'' I! t 'ELOPY DO NOT CIRCULATE vv.bx Approved For ReleaR30/90191. catISPRO0457R0087001500 11' 25X1A 2. The thief differences that might develop in.Sino-Soviet relation:3 are ee follows; a, The USSR, already a strong nation, 13 building an iron curtain, running the race for rearmament, and everywhere trying to etir up war end to vie with the democratic countries led by the United Stetes, with a view to realizing a Communist emeire. In the Far East, she follows a radically provocative policy. The Chinese aommunists, however, twee not become firm in their political control over China; Chine is not revtned, end she is still a poor and backward country, urgently In need of peace and reconstraction. These conditions, as reflected in the, nerds of the Chinese Communist leaders, call for a fight for existence, for secur- ity, and for strength. Now, the warlike -policy of the USSR has made the Chinese Communists join the Koreen wee., ed she has been. Fulled along the path of a third world wean That is the chief inconsistency in the relations between the Chinese Communists and. the USSR. b. Soviet help for the Chinese Communists lege for behind the pressing re- quirements of the Chinese Communiste. By far the greatest majority of the Chinese people long for reface and reconstruction, and they would not he willing to follow the USSR entirely to be enemies of the United States, Great Britain and other nations, and further, China has traditionally tesn friendly with the Unieed States. These factors must have had quite some effect among Chinese Communist leaders. d. Since pulling the ChineseiCommuniSts into the Korean WAX', the USSR fears that the Chinese Communists might tend to fall into the esyceological state of being conservative and mild. The Soviet advisero would netural- ly be interfering in various ways, would be doubtful, and would not trust the Chinese Communists. From this, there are bound to be :tone wrong de- ductions and childish action on the part of the USSR, Sueh A state of affairs would bring about displeasure and lose of intimacy. Possible Causes for Chinese Internal Disunity In April 19ee "iireerptenary- sessinnee f t the Chi nese Common' s t Oen tr al Co m- mitts, there were many discussions on ChaigeeCtiMMUDifit internal disunity. In a final report of the Chinese Communist centrel authorities, there were put forward the following three problems a. Production and reconstruction were the crucial problems, and the prior-. ity in importance of cities over the villages was stressed as opposed to the view that villages 'ere more important than cities. b. There were two extremes in policy toward the democratic p,rt er or cliques: The close-door policy and that to accommodate u. The lack of confidence in production and reconstruction, and the dream of American end British economic assistance. From that time on, the Chinese Communists Imre won military victories and in the process of economic improvement, it cen be seid, in geuer-1, that the above-stated differences in views Were not breught any importent develoemant. In November 1950, when the Chinese Communists were about to join the Korean war. Chinese Communist documents emphatically pointed out that tnere were people opposed to the participation in the Korean war, these peoele reasoned that China, should have closed her doors in order to de reconstruction work, and that the United States would not tke the opportunity to invade Man- churia, at least nut so early. Some said the CHU Te, LIU Foecheng and TUNG Piewu were Against participation in the Korean wer,, but it he net been verified. En Upon taking part in the Korean war, the Chineee Commanitts hee dene a series of things to frustrate friendly relations between China and the Melted States, so as to prove definitely the necessity for joining the war, Theugh such propaganda produced eprrectsble remits, the arge member of earlaItiec sus- tained by the Chinese Communists at the Korea e front, coupled with the ine creased threats of a great war, have actually intensified peoelees fear of war, and the internal disquiet of the Chinese Communists. 7. .01 PoVed tilat RtgiOalge 23/496110404i901AIRDP82106457R0981700i5017041)3 agressor. the. Chinese Communists strongly- opeosed Japanese reernament, 4LCRET/C0o:LAOL P 3 6 OFFIC ,LS OtILY 25X1 A Approved For Release 2001/04/01 : ClARDP8200457R0087001500flA CENTRAL INTELLIGENCil AC,ENCT -3- to link up her anti-Japanese and aati-American campaigns. At the same time, the Chinese Communists silenced the propaganda to drive the Unieed Nations troops out of Korea and into the see This might be an indication that the Chinese Communists have learned a lesson from the Korean war, amd that they ? might be waiting to use the 38th Parallel as the basis for eettlement. S. The Chinese Communists here not slowed down their strules at home as a result of the Korean war. On the contrary, they heve been "taring out the counter-revolution movementen and vigorously proceeding with land reform end with interflow of goods to keep sound their economy Kvernvilare they agitate against tolerance. rightism, end the desire for peaee. Such heavy war pressure and the tense atomoephere farther increased diseuiet among the Communists and especially among the democratie parties or cliques. Previous History Concerning Sino-Soviet Relations and Chinese Communist Unity In the period of cooperation between the Nationalists and the Chinese Com- munists, the Chinese Communists, from MAO Tse-tung down, believed from the bottom of their hearts, that the fundamental policy of cooperation between Chinese Nationalists and Chinese Communists was right. However, at thet early stage, the Communist International looked down upon the strength of the Chinese Communists and did not help them to develop tally Alter losing many chances to get prepare, it was hastily decided to make the Chtneee Content - tete fight with the Chinese Nationalists for eepremacy in China. This was the cause of the failure that they faced. 10. After the split between the Chinese Nationalists and the Chinese Communists, the Chinese Communists leaders believed that their stern opeosition to Chiang Kai-shek's Government was the correct fundamental poiiey. However, the Communist International should be held res-ponsible for guerrilla war- fare and the Leftist blind-folded LI Liesants Line in the time of the Sov- iets that grew up during the period of armed -riots. 11. During the war Against Japan, the Cotton-Moot International had given little interference in the affains of the Chinese Communists, apart from making political suggestions. We, therefore, could not see any split in the relations between the Chinese Communists and the USSR. 12. In general, there has not been any split between the leaders of the Chi- nese Communists and those of the USSR. However, from the historical view- point, there were differences in the mew actual policies, Taus we may say that the Chinese Communist leaders are not without conditiorl_ in their admiration of the Soviet leaders, 13. In the past, when the representatives of the communist International inter- fered with the internal affairs of the Chinese Communists, the Chinese Communist leaders often rediculed them for their ignorance of the conditions in China. Pro-Russian elements such as CH'U Chu-pal were often ridiculed as ncompradoreen. Mif was usually looked down upon by the Chinese Commun- ists, CH EN Shao-yu and CHANG Wen-tien were singled out as belonging to the Soviet-returned cliqne. 14. Within the CCP and its armed forces, the cadres fall into various groupings, namely, those of the First, Second, and the 'Fourth Armies, those of the Long March, and those recruited since the war against Japan. Amnon n the techni- cians there are these of the Northeast clique and those of the Non-Northeast olive. Northerners are a majority among the local cadres. Besides, there are also returned students from the United States and Europe, and the fight- ing among the various cliques that took place in the peat. These are the potential factors of split, 15. In conclusion, within the CCP there is yet no sign of any social democratic ideology or that of democracy as opposed to Comnunissn nor Is there any sign of the formation of an international clique an opposed to a nationalist cli- que. Complicated differences in rims, have been neny, and these may pos- sibly lead to development of factions. Possibilities of a Split among CCP Leaders 16. The various views held by CHOU En-lai, CHU Te,LIN Tew-han, LIU Po-cheng. and TUNG Pi-wu may possibly be milder, from the point of view of the Korean war or as regards to internal military and political policies, Howeter, pou En-letap nerepnal %temple qkPAr(POP Mrtekeefftai ittigUNANAli 1.1164Wdb6/6d4r5156164t2re- 11 U.VT:11 M., Wait 25X1A ,Approved For Releaseci90)41/A691p6R12340457R0087001500 17. The views held by CHIN Shao-yu, CHANG Wen-tien, WANG Chia-hsiaeg, LI Liesan, and others may be more radical, from the viewpoint of inte7nal policy or from that of foreign policy. Their important backing es their intiwate relations with the USSR. However, LI:Li-san is not ie agreement or on good terms with CHIN Shao-yu, nor with CRANts Wen-Tien, 18. MAO Tse-tung LIU Shao-chi, CHEN Tun, eIN Piao, ?ENG Chen are possibly in between those two groups. They have never had relations with the USSR. However, the prestige and strong personality of MAO Tse-tung hes bad de- ciding effects on the formulation of Chinese Communist Parey policies. 19. In the pas,t, MAO Tse-tung and CHOU En-lei had some far-reachtnf controversies, and both LI Li-inn and CRFN Shao-yu were once defeated by MAO Tse-tang, LE141112-RILLIZEItla 20. A serious split may develop within the CCP about the degree of the leaning- to-one-side policy, relations with the United States and Great Britain, the question of the Korean war, end the iseue of peace and war. Aside from all these, there is yet no sign of any major split on other tomes. The growth of a split of this type requires a considerable length of time. 2/. The problem of China and that of Asia are levolred with a large number of complications that grew up in the peat:. There are certain differences in opinion among the democratic nations and within the major countries them- selves. The American China Policy is, in general, an accurate end cautious one. However, in the eyes of the Asiatics, the democratic countries have not yet bed the Asiatics establish a concise and explicit policy to build up a democratic Asia that commande the sympathy of the Asiatics. 22. In connection with the problem of China, one may say that in the implemen- tation end explanation of her policy, the United States seems to have not drawn a rigid line of demarkation between the Chinese Communeste and the Chinese people, with the aim to make carefule and patient attempts to win the sympathy of the Chinese people. 23. To isolate the Chinese Communists, to deliver blows to the Chinese Commu- nists, and at the same time to win the sympathy of the Chinese eeople, and then to bring about the growth in Chiraof an independent democratic force are no doubt the most important points for democratic forces in the present day situation in China. 1"71/21141TI1XL Approved For Release 2001/04/01 : CIA-RDP82-00457R008700150004-3 GOMIT/CONTROL U S. OFFICIALS ONLY

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