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JPRS ID: 8536 TRANSLATIONS ON JAPAN

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CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3
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APPROVE~ FOR RELEASE= 2007/02/09= CIA-R~P82-00850R0009 00060047-3 , ~ i vF i APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OFFICINL USE ON~Y ~ JPRS L/8536 a2 June ].979 ~ ~ TRANSLATIONS ON JAPAN (FOUO 2l/79) U. S. JOINT PU~LICATIONS RESEARCH SERVItE FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850ROOQ1 QOQ6Q047-3 ~ " NOTE Jptt5 publicaeinns cnnCain informarion prim~rily �rom fnreign newgpnpers, p~riodicgls gnd books, buC ttlso from news ~gnncy rr~nsmissions ~nd bro~dcasCs. Maeeri~ls from fdreign-language sources ~re eransl~Ced; thnse fram ~nglish-langu~ge SOl1YC~8 are Cran~cribed or reprinCed, wiCh ehe original phrasing and oCher characCeriseics retained. ' H~adlines, ediCorial re~.~nrC~, and maCeri~1 enclosed in brgckees are suppli~d by JPltS, Proc~ssing indic~Cors such as [~exC) ~ or [Excerpe~ in the firsti line nf e~ch ieem, nr following the lasr lin~ o� a brief, indicate how the rr;.~inal informaCion wns processed. Where no processino indi~aCor is given, the infor- cnation w~s summarized or ~xtracted. Unfamiliar names rendered phonetically or transliCerated are enclosed in parentheses. Words or names preceded by a ques- Cion mark and enclosed in parentheses were not clear in the original buC have been supplied asappropriAte in context. Other unaCtributed parentheCical notes within the body of un item originaCe with the source. Times within items a re as given by source. The contents of this publicaCion in no way represent the poli-' cies, views or attitudes of the U.S. Government. COPYRIGHT LAWS AND RrGULATIONS GOVERNING OWNERSHIP OF MATERIALS REPRODUCED HEREIN REQUIRE THAT DISSEMINATION OF THIS PUBLICATION BE RESTRICTED FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY. APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02149: CIA-RDP82-44850R000100064447-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ' ~ JPRS L/8536 22 June 19 ~9 TRANSLATIONS ON JAPAN (FOUO 2]./79) I CONTENTS PAGE POLSTICAL AND 30CIOI,OQICAL Ohira~s Political Tactics To Be Watched Closely (BUNQEI SHUNJU, May 79) 1 ~A5AHI~ on Results of Manila UNCTAD Meeting (Editorial; ASAHS EVENIN(3 NEWS, 6 Jun 79) 3 Miyamoto Discusses USSR, China, Tolcyo Summit in 3~~e Speech (Kin31 Miyamoto; AKAHATA, 3 Jun ?9) 6 ~YOMLURI' Comments on UNCTAD Meeting~ Tolqro Swrm~it (Editorial; THE DAIZY YONQUR.I, 5 Jun 79) 10 ' ~MAINICHI~ Co~mnents on Soviet-Chinese Move for Talks (Editorial; MAINICIiI SHIl~BUN, 7 J~ ?9) 12 Miyamoto on Inner-CP Relations, Narthern Territories Issue 1~ ~ (J~'S, 8 Jun 79) Intellectuals Moving Away F~om JSP 16 (Takehi,ko Takahashi; MAINICHI DAILY NEWS~ 30 May ?9) Van Wolferen Maps Persisting Coirununications Gap (Itarel G. Van Wolferen; THE JAPAN ECONONQC JOURNAL, g, 1~, 22 May ?9) 18 ECONOMIC , ~yOFQURI~ Comments on New 7-Year Economic Plan (Editor~al; THE DAII~Y YOI~QURS, 6 Jun ?9) 2~ Keidanren Affriliate Fi~esents 'Business Japan' on TV (MAINICHI DAILY, 7 .:un 79) 26 ~ ~ - a - [iIi - ASIA - 111 FOUO] ' ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR 0~'~ICIAL U5E ONLY CONm~NTS (Continued) P~~e Japan Must Seek Independence in Oi1 Supply~ Coal Technologyr (N~HON ISEIZAT SHSMBUN~ 28, 7.~ May 79) 28 Avo3d Dependence on Mideast Ranewed ~nterest in Coa1 MITI Forecasts Acute S3tuation for Oil Supply (MAINICHI DAILY NEWS, 1 Jun 79) 33 Briefs 34 Coal Powerplant SCIENCF AND TECHNOLOQY Research on Jet Seaplane, Hydrogen P].ane To Be Proposed - (asAxz Ev~rrirta rr~as, 23 May 79) 35 PNC Unveils New Nuclear Fuel E~richment Centrifuges (TH~ JAPAN TIl~IES, 9 Jun 79) 37 Genetic Erigineering Research Survey Group Files Report (NIHON KETZAI SHINIDUN, 9 May 79) 38 - . -b- FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOIt OFFICTAL U5~ ONLY pOLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL OEIIRA'S POLTTICAL TACTTCS TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY Tokyo BUNGEI SHUNJU in Japaneae May 79 p 149 [Article: "Keeping an Eye on Ohira-5tyle Polieical Tactics~'~ ~ [Text) The firet thing wa can obaerve about Ohira's three to fflur mon~ha of leaderehip of the Diet since the beginning of hia adminiatration is the "obacurity" of hia political tactice. A typical example is tihe convoluted nature of the Ohira-sCyle "partial coalition" cottcerning the 1979 budget bill, which was pasaed by the Houae of RepresenCatives in irregular fashion [after] being re~ected by him in the BudgeC CoimniCtee and then given turnabout approv- al in the main Diet aession. Concerning the complex course of the budget revision issue, which was brought to a close by this dramatic reversal, the 8 March NIHON KEIZAI SHINBUN wrote, "The Liberal-Democratic Party [LDP] membera concerned with piet policy and those of the o position have been dallied with." A YOMIURI SHINBUN editorial - on 4 March, entitled "A Budget Reviaion That Dallied With Our Expectations," criticized the "drama, mysteriously concluded behind cloaed doora," as [something] the people find imposaible to comprehend. Ohira himself, in a meeting with the heads of the Komeito and the JaPan Democratic Socialist Party [DSP] on 1 March, appeared to comply with their demands for rewriting the budget. In actuality, he used his high-class tactics to "deceive" not only the opposition leaders, but even Secretary General Saito and other executivea of the LDP. For the very next morning he ' "re~ected the rewrite of the budget," an about-face performed to avert a challenge by the Fukuda facCion and other critical forces wiLhin Che party, thus making the phrase "dallying" even more apt. But we must not forget that not only were the leadera of ~he government and opposition parties "dallied with" by the wily Ohira tactics, but also the newspapers. '�If we look at Che morning editions of 2 March, all of them, with the exception of the cautious ASAHI SHINBUN, concluded that Che negotiations for revision by the LDP, Komeito, and DSP would result in an agreement, each of them proclaiming with large headlines: YOMIURI, "Prime Minister Decides To Rewrite Budget"; TOKYO SHINBUN, "Government, Liberal Democrats Decide 1 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~Ott O~rICIAL USC ONLY Upon L~te Changey in liudget"; SANIC~I SHINBUN, "I3udget Iteviaion VirCunlly SeCrled, [13end~.ng] Townrd Approval by LDP, Kameien, ~nd nSI'"; ~nd ~;A'rNICNI SHIN~UN, "Pen~ions, ~mployment To t~e Rewritten; Komeito and n5I' 7'o Concur ~ on Budget." 13ut w~.Ch Che prime minister'a "change of heart," their ahorC- ' si~htedngsa became apparenr. As an edi~orial in ehe 4 M~rch MAINICHI coolly poittCed ouC, the Crue char- acter of Prime Minister Ohira's "partial conlition" was no more than "rhrowing crumbs" to the opposition parties, given the fnct thati despiCe tiheir simi- lariCies, Che LDP will persisC in preaerving its mnjority. The 1'r3me Minister t~as no reason Co seriously conaider a coaliCion governmene wiCh middle of the rogd parties, since the LDP is assured of a sCab~.e ma~oriCy, riding the wave of a conservative cameback, if che House is disaolved and general elections are held in Che fall as expec~ed, _ What has also become apparent is that, far from what slogans like "the honest simpleton," "the dumb ox;'and "spontaneous government wiChout excesaes" [imply], the subst~nce of Ohira's polieics has been surprisingly full of complex tech- niques of calculaCed power designs. Nonettieless, on 3 March, ufter the negotiations for budgeC revision with the _ Komeitn and USP hud been restnrCed, ASAHI proclaimed, "The Prime Minister and, Still and All, Che LDP, Komeito, 3nd DSY." The paper appraised Ohira's "partial coaliCion" rhetoric extremely naively, [assuming] that the decision for the acCual revision accepted by Che Prime Minister meant the strengthening of cooperation with the Komeito and DSP and, in short, progress along the LUP- Komeito-DSP line. But ~udging from Che situation within the Komeito and the DSP after that, there ~oas doubt whether the LDP-Komei.to-DSP line would be able to progress smoothly, even after the consolidated regional elections in April. Moreover, concerning Ohira's tactics on the budget bill, [ASAHI) seemed to ha�~e only admiration for him, [reporting] "his biggest decision since coming into office," and [Cerming him] "no mean Cactician" (16 March, ASAHI reporters' symposiumj. One wonders if one of these days thaC paper too mighC not be "dallied with" and taken in by the prime minister. On 18 March, during a talk at the Defense Academy, Prime Minister Ohira put forth his pet theory, that the heart of overall defense security strategy lies in a"fully equipped defense strength." WheCher this signifies the trans- formaCion of a former dove, or is nothing more than "playing with words" (20 March YOMTURI), opinions differ. Political reporters, you must above all keep your eyes open for the new curve ball tne prime minister has thrown, keep them open.... COPYRIG1iT: Bungei Shun~u Ltd 1979 9010 CSO: 4105 2 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OF~ICIAL U5E ONLY POLITICAL ANYD SOCIOLOGICAL 'ASAHI' ON ItESULTS OF MANILA UNCTAD MEETING . Tokyo ASAHI EVENING NEWS in English 6 Jun 79 p 2 OW [Editorial: "North-South Dialog"--ASAHI SHINBUN 5 June] ~ ' [TexC] The Fifth General Meeting of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, which was held in the Philippine capital of Manila for about a month, has ended without fully achieving "cooperation between Che north and south." Delegates of the advanced countries in~the north and those of developing nations in the south certainly had shared the wish of the Philippines, as expressed by PresidenC Ferdinand Marcos, that "As the country aponsor- ing the general meeting, iC wants the conference to be truly fruitful." However, although the participating nations tried to reapond to the warm hospitality of the Philippines, they found the reality of the north-south problem too serious and complex to aettle there. A large number of reso;utions were adopted at the mesting under the North- South Agreement. They dealt with special measures for late-atarting developing nations suffering from poor economic conditiona, auch as land- locked states and inaular countries, ateps Co strengthen the functions of UNCTAD and sCreamline its organi2ation, means for UNCTAD to investigate trade protectionism and the question of industrial ad~ustments. However, ~ there were many resolutions that were adopted after making sure that the measures would not be a burden to the advanced nationa or after emasculating them to such a level A decisive blow to the south was that it was unable to win concessions from the advanced countries on a resolution on "interdependences," which was the focal point of the general meeting, and that talka ended in dissension. In this resolution, the south wanted the north to recognize that the present and future prosperity of the advanced countries depends on such things as the rich countries' exports to the south and that the developing nationa are vital to the development of the world economy. 3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLX ~ If ~he north accepta Chis, it will have to change the world economic aystem in ~uch a way ae to increase the say of Che south on mansgement of rhe world economy, such as decisions on tirade, currency, financiul and devel- npment policies. Ie was the draft resolution on "interdependence" ehat aimed fnr a breakehrough for th~ establiahment of a"new world economic order" wh~.ch Che developing countries have been demanding repeatedly. A resolution aimed at changing the world economi.c aystem could not be easily accepted by the advanced naCions. Advanced countries, sti11 am~rt- ing from the 1973 oil crisis and troubled by lower economic growth ratea, high unemployment, inflation and trade imbalancea, have become more cau- tious in dealing with demanda of the kind made by the s~uth. The south is now plagued with d3fferences within itself. There is the regional gap between the oil-producing and non-oil-producing countriea, . between developing countries well on the road to development and laCe- starCing developing countries, and among souChpast Asia, Central and South America and Africa. IC has become difficult for the developing nations to cooperate cloaely with each other as beforp and force the advanced countries to accept their demands. - However, we snauld not 'be concerned only with the failures of the Manila meeting. As poinLed out by Carlos Romulo, Philippine foreign minister who served as chaixman of r_he general meeting, in his closing addreae, there sho~xld be "neither victory nor defeat at UNCTtiJ." By looking straight at the severe reality of the north-south problem that showed up at the Manila session, the advanced natioiis and the developing countries ahould continue to work to promote dialogue and cooperation between t~e north and the south. Solution of the north-south issue ahould _ r.4var be limited to UNCTAD. Efforts should be continued toward this end. Because their economies are in bad shape now, the advanced c.ountries should not be overly stubborn 3n thetr attitude toward th~ south's demands. At the Tokyo Summit scheduled for late June, Japan, Which sent Prime Miniater Ohira as the top delegate of an advanced country to the Manila meeting, has the responsibility of extracting posittve postures of the advanced nations and ~f serving as a bridge between the two economic hem;Lspheres. ~ Concerning contributions to the "second window" to encourage market devel- opment for primary products, Japan, like the other principal advanced naCions, did not announce concrete figures. However, Premier Ohira ~ pledged "cooperation commensurate with Japan�'~s capability" in his address to the Manila meeting. So Japan should tackle this problpm wiCh , sinceriCy. As a result of the recent general meeting, the question of industrial ~ adjustments for countries in the north to open their markets to products 4 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY - APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OFFSCIAL USE ONLY from the south has become an increasingly 3mpnrtant issue. IndueCrial ttd~ustments are needed to prevent friction in trade among advanced naCions. In conclusion, we aek the developing countries to be willing Co calmly look at reality. The rec~nt general meeting in Manila hae shown Chat hastily mak~tng exceseive demande to the north will only end in dieillusion- ment. - COPYRIGHT: Asahi Shinbun Tokyo Honaha 1979 C50: 4120 � ~ 5 FOR Or'FTCIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY ~ POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL ` MIYAMOTO DS5CU5SES U55R, CHINA, TOKYO SUMrIIT IN 3 JUNE SPEECH Tokyo AKAHATA in Japanese 3 Jun ~9 p 4 OW [Speech by Kin~i Miyamoto, chairman of the Japan Communist ParCy Centr~l Committee Fresidium, at the Tokyo Festival marking the 20th anniversary ~ of AKAHATA, 3 June] [Excerpts] Excellent Proof of the Vita].ity of Our Party's InternaCional L ine Ladi.es and gentlemen. All kinds of international problems have arisen over the past 20 years. Our Japan Communist Party's stance toward ~.nternational problems has eloquently proved the vitality of our party's line. ~ Under Chese circumstances, the primary ob~ective of our party's basic line on international issues is to resolutely f ight against the policies of ' war and aggression pursued by the imperialist and reactionary forces headed by the United States, and t~ actively promote internati~onal solidarity for Chis purpese.. The principle governing relations among communist parties is independence, equality and nonint~iference in each other's affairs. As long as thi~s principle is observed, friendly relations should be developed with all communist parties. .Ladies and gentlemen. World developments over the past 20 years have proved the correctness of rhis principle. (Cheers) Co~munication with the USSk in the Socialist Language Ladies and tentlemen. Recently our party and the CPSU correctly settled the so-called "shiga issue" and agreed to restore friendly relations. This agreement is also based on the aforementioned principle. Under this agreement, we are scheduled to hold formal talks with the CPSU in the near 6 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OFFTCIAL USE ONLY future. The Cwo parties share a common view on impnrtant iseues such as opposi.Cion to the Jupan-U.5. Mi~itary Alli~nce. On Che Asian situation also, Chey ehare nearly the same view. Being different partiea and hav- ing differen~ historical backgrounda, the two parCiea httve different opinion~ on various problems such as the terr:itorial and fiet~ery iasues. 13ut tnl.k~ beCween Chem are meaningful in that they wi11 confirm their common ground and discuss ways to promote inCernationaL solidariry. WiCh reg~rd ~o issues on which they have differing views, they will exchange their frank opinions by using the language of socialiam and deepen mutual under~tanding from the viewpoint of promoting genuine friendship and solidarity beCween the two peoples. Many people have often asked us: What is the significance of restoring relation between the two parties when viewed f rom the standpo3nt of the Japanese peopLe? As for this question, our two parties--wh~ch both hold communism and socialism as Cheir principle and Cheory--will be able to conduct frank, cool, scientific discussions which cannot be done in government-to-govern- ment negotiations. Through these discussions, we will accurately convey the Japanese people's various wishes to the o ther side, thereby making progress, even a step fr~rward, in issues up~n which the two parties differ. We thi.nk herein lies our maior role of accomplishing what the Japanese government would be unable to accompliah. To revive Japanese militarism, the Japanese reactionary forces are now advocating the introduction of new arms and the strengthening of the � Japan-U.S. Military Alliance while describing the Soviet Union as a potential enemy. - Under these circumstances, I think the JCP has a very important role to _ play. The Chinese Invasion of Vietnam and the Future of Socialism In the wake oi the Chinese invasion of Vietnam, people feel uneasy about the future of s~cialism~. - Ladies and gentlemen. As a matter of fact, we were flabbergasted when China, a socialist giant, launched open aggression against Vietnam, a neighboning socialist country, by tlir~wing in hundreds of thousands of troops, saying it was going to "punish" V ietnam. Three Reasons for Dealing with the Chinese Question You may ask why we must deal with the Chinese question. We have no intention of interfering in the internal affairs of China, but we have to deal with the Chinese question for the followlag three reasons: 7 FOR OFFICIAL USF ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 " FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Firsr, in the middle af the culCural revo?.~ition, the Chineae Communist Party persistently aCtacked the JCP for not push~.ng through a Chineae Cype of revolutionary line. The CCP openly encourttged those JCP members who were expelled from the party for blindly following the CCP. 5econd, the CCI' has taken the atiCitude of supporting the Japan-U.S. M1litzry Alliance, the extremely imperial3st milltary alliance which we have never c~ased to fighC, shouting "We oppose the Jap~n-U~S. Secur:Lty Tren~y" and "Down wiCh the Japan-U.S. Milit~ry Alliance." 'Third, needless eo say, the aggression against Vietnam clea~ly consti- tuCes a violaCion of peace in Asia, someChing we have in common. A11 these are not China's 3nternal affairs. What I have cited amounCs to unwarranted interference in the destiny of our country ~nd, at the same time, iC is a common international problem. I firmly believe that, _ by candidly pointing ouC all these things, we wi11 help the CCP move for- ward in Che right direction as a communist party. I believe that as long as the CCP remains a communist party, the time t,~ill come sooner or later - when it will find the right course worChy of its past brillianC revolu- tionary struggles. (Cheers) Historically, the JCP has had close relations with the CCP. The two parties fought Cogether for a long time against the Japanese militarists' scheme to wage a war of aggression and against the aggressive war when they finally started it. We want to stress Che following.two pointa: FirsC, when an unfortunate thing happens in a socialist country, we should never allow it to becloud our view of the future of socialism. (Cheers) Second, the JCP must continue L-o oppose the Ja~an-U.S. Military Alliance and push ahead with the task of building a peac~.`.ul, neutral and indepen- dent Japan. This is the only responsible way open �or us in having the CCP really correct its mistake of supporting the Japan-U.S. Military Alliance. (Cheers) The Tokyo Summit and the In�ternational Theoretical Symposium Ladies and gentlemen. There is another international problem.: A summiC meeting of the seven major capitalist countries is scheduled to be held in Tokyo soon. Similar summit meetings were held several times in the ' past, but their sub~ects were always the same. Each time they discussed energy, international currency, economic growth, inflation, trade and the north-south problem. The fact that the subjects are always the same means that, no matter how often a similar cast of represenCatives gets together . to discuss these problems, they will not be able to f ind basic solutions. (Cheers) , 8 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~ , Ft~tt Ot~'~'ICtAL U5~ ONLY Th~ reueon fnr Chis inability ig: W~et Gerrt~ny, ~r~ncp, the UniC~d 5tnt~~ and J~pgn gr~ g1L ddminae~d by highly gdvgnc~d monopoly c~pit~li~m. The d~~p-rnoted adntr~diction~ intrineic to the ~eruceur~~ ~nd ey~tpm~ df eh~sp mun~poly capitaiist eountri~~ e~nnot b~ re~olvpd by th~ Clever mn?~ipul~tion~ of th~ repr~~ent~Civ~g of the e~tablishmentg, b~ they from u congptvativ~ p~rty ~r ~~ocigl d~moGr~Cic p~rCy. (Ch~erg) I,ndf~y ~nd g~ntlarn~n. A~ ~n aneith~~3g ta Ch~ ~ummie in Ju1y, th~ JCP pl~ns Co hold ~ th~oretiagl ~ympa~ium d� cnmmunigC p~rtieg nf ~dvgn~~d cg~itgli~t counCrie~ in Tokyu ro m~rk ir~ fnunding ~nniv~rg~ry. (Che~rg) We h~ve invited the cdmmuniet partie~ of nin~ countrie~ ~u~h ~g the Unitcd Stateg, France, Itnly, Britain, Weet Germnny and Sp~in. 'fh~ sympo~ium will di~cus~ the following thr~e gub~ect~: "The preaenC gtate and outlook for the ~truggl~g in advanapd c~pitaligt countri~g," "A new ine~rn~tinn~l eennnmic nrder," gnd "The te~k~ nf ~cientific goeigli~m tind peace." Ladi~gs and gentlemen. I will noe go intn detai.l, buC I will tell ynu this much. Government leaders of the capitaliet countries attending the summit will try Co contrive ways to rnaintain the nld economic order. gut, instead of diecusaing the old economic order, we will discu~e g new economic order, a new international economic order to replace the preaent intprnational ecanomic order cent~red dr~und monopoly capitalist countries led by the United Statee, We will discuse the prospecte for this new - international economic order. There is AZDO an urgent, comman problem . concerning Che progpects for the struggleg of com?nunist partiee in highly advanced cepitalist countriea. Furthermore, we have to geriously think about ~he question of pe~ce as xelated tn the cauee of socialism in the context of the current Asian situation. We will discuas all thea~ very important international problems. Ours will be a meeting of parties not in power, but its occurrence and the perspecCive it will provide will be such that, unlike the goverivnent-sponsored summit, our aymposium will pravide an outlook for the new future and Che theory to usher in"that future. tt will be an epoch-making symposium, and we think we have to make it such. (Cheers) � COPYRIGHT: Nihon Kyosan-To Chuo Iinkai 1979 nen C50: 4120 9 FOR OFFICIAL USF ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047102109: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOtt 0~'F'ICIAL US~ ONLY POLITICAL AN~ SOCIOLOG~CAL 'YOMIURI~COi~NTS ON UNCTAD MEETING, TOKYO SUMMIT Tokyo THE DAILY YOMIURI in Englieh 5 Jun 79 p 2 OW _ (~ditorial: "Le~gon for Summit"J ~Textj Rieing oil prices and diviaion~ within thetr own ranks worked againat the developing countries in their bargeiaing with ind~atrially advanced nati~n~ at the FiftY? UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), and as a result, litCle ~a~ achieved. The conference demonatrated Che ineffectiveness of the collective bar- g~ining formula, and this fact alone will greatly influence north-south problems in the fut~e~ Although the south talked of cooperation, ita stance ~as etill one of confrontation. Power Balance Against South The rnot of the problem is that the north wants to keep the statua quo, while the south desires change. And, in negotiations, isaues are uaually discugeed from a position of poaer and the powei balance went decidedly ~+gainst the south. Even befo.re the fif th UNG"rAD, the internal split among the developing countries was evident, and this division became more pronounced on the question of rising oil pricea during the conference! and because of this split, the south presented its sweeping demands without force. The present oil crisis hardened the attitude of the n~~rth~ and hac'1 the effect of unifying the industrially advaaced countries in their c.~iscus- sions by their abrupt shirting from abstract ideology to concrete plans and problems. The south put forward a resolution stressing the interdependence of nations in the economic sphere and asserting that the present rules on trade, f in,~nce and currencies muat be radically reformed to give the south a voi~:e on decisions that affect the world economy. 10 FOR OFFICIA.*. USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~01t O~~~CIAL US~ ONLY Whi1~ ~greeing Ch~C thi~ i~ gn ag~ of inC~rd~pend~nce, ehe north oppn~ed th~ reg~lution ~r$uing ehgt noChing e~n replac:e Ch~ ru1~~ of Che mgrkee ~nd th~re wne no ne~d to radica].1y teform the exi~ting int~rnaCional ~ygt~m. It ie gppnrent thet only when th~ combined e~dnomie ~er~ngCh of eh~ ~oueh surp~~~ea thnt of th~ nnrth wi11 iee demand~ b~ accept~d. Nattonal Inrereet~ Far Ap~rt It ig v~ry difficult if not impoe~ibl~ fnr thg gouCh to re~11y ~p~ak with nne vniCe becauee the national inCeregtg nf developing eounerle~ diff~r grR~tly from n~tinn to nation. Nowever, this is not Co say that Che souCh can be diemiesed and ignored. And, unfortunately, iC seeme now rhat the nat3onal leaders participat3ng in the Tokyo summit will be too pr~occupied wieh Che oil problpn? t~ ~pend mueh Cime on north-sout~ problemg. Howev~r, prime Minieter Ohira, who ie the hogt of the summie~ ghauld not a11ow thie to happen. Ohira attended the UNCTAb becauae he wanted to serve ae a"bridge" between north and south, and ahnuld at the summit urge advanced countries to open their markete to induetrial producta . from emerging nations. COPYRIGHT: DAILY YOMIURI 1979 CSO: 4120 11 FOR OFFICIAL U5E ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~OR O~FICIAL US~ ONLX POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL 'MAINICHI' COMMENTS ON SOVIET-CHIN~SE MOV~ FOI~ TALKS Tokyo MAINICHI SHIMgUN~in ~fapanege ~ Jun 79 Morning EdiL�ion p 5 OW (Editorial: "Our Expectations of China-USSR Telke"] [Excerpte] In a note to China on 5 June the Soviet Union proposed vice foreign minieter-level Calke to be held in July or Auguet in Mc~scow to ~ discusa improving releeiona between the two countries. The Chinese ~oreign Ministry haA mt yet formally reeponded, merely saying thaC the proposal ig "under atudy." Judging from recent exchanges between the two governments, however, Chere is no doubC Chat China will go along with the latest Soviet move. Thia development ia indeed noteworthy as it brings bright proep~cts to Sino-Soviet relationa, which have been atrained. In fact, thaC Che tw~o countriea began moving toward negotiations apparently ~ has something to do with the Chinese deciaion to renounce its treaty with the US5R. While the treaty is due to expire in April next year, the stipu- lation that either party "shall not participate in any a113ance, action or measure directed againat the other party"--in the latter part of Arti.cle 3 of the tr~ty--will remain valid until then. Although it might be in name only, China, unceasingly complaining about the Soviet threat, would naturally want to have a new arrangement in place of this proviaion before the two countries enter a nontreaty state. Making this need more urgent is the fact that it is necessary for China to have stability in the inter- _ national field so as to push through its modernization programs. Meanwhile, Sino-Soviet rapprochement may have the effect of driving a wedge in USSR-Vietnam relations. Or.e cannot rule out the poesibility that it may help im~orove the deadlocked Sino-Vietnameae relations. The Sino-Soviet confrontation is so deep-rooted that it is premature to speculate that the current move will lead to an early reconciliation between the two countries. Let us tak~ a look among other things, at the anti- hegemony clause in the 5 June Soviet propoeal, which demands a basic change in the Chinese attitude toward the Soviet Union. It is extremely 12 FOR OFFICIAL OSE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~OR O~~ZCIAL'USE ONLY diff~.CUlt Co expece ~ Chinese compromiee on Ch3~ point. It i~ glso pog~~ble that the 1969 ~tipulation of understnndi.ng may prove to be an obstaclp eo tl?e proposed talke. ~ dn the other t~,~nd, one cannoe rule out tha posaibiliey nf the twn noun~- . tries reachir~g an accord on tihe nonuse of forca. Such a br~gkrhrough, if, it materializes, would h~ve a ma~or impact on the international community. Future developmente in the Sino-Soviet talke will be a matter � of great concern to Japan, too, which pursues a foreign poltcy dedicgted Co peace. COPYRIGHT: Mainich3 Da3.1.y NeNa, 1979 - C50: 4120 \ 13 FOR OFFICIAL US~ ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OFFZCIAL U5E ONLY POLITICAL AND SOCIOLOGICAL MIYAMOTO ON INNER-CF' RELA'~IONS, NORTHERN TERRITORIES ISSUE Toky~o JPS in Engl3sh 0856 GMT 8 Jun 79 OW [TexC) Tokyo, June 8, JPS--In an in~erview with the Japan BroadcasCing Corporation TV on June 7, Ken~i Miyamoro, Preaidium chairman of the Japanese CommunieC Party, tal?ced over 30 minuCea, expresaing viewa in reply Co an inCerviewer's quet3tions. The following is the ma~or points ~ of Miyamoto's views on Che international questions. On Che Themes of Japan-Soviet Communist Party Summit Talks Miyamoto: The questions interested ~n by both aides, that will be the ma~or aub~ects. They include such questions as Che international situa- tion, the aituation in Asia, and the question relating to the military alliance between Japan and the U.S., the question of the state-to-state � rel,~tionship between Japan and Che Soviet Union, the territorial question~ the fishery quesCion, and the question of cultural exchanges between both aid~:s. Another thing is how to actively push ahead with th~ party rela- Cio~iship from now on, taking lessons from the past aeverances of Che party relationahip. On Four Islands of Habomai, Shikotan, Kunashiri and Etorofu `1 Mi~~amoto: Our position differs from Che goverrunent's position. The government says it will maintain the Japan-U.S. Military Alliance, or in that sense, by keeping the U.S.-Japan SLCUrity Treaty, renounces the Chishima Islands, which is provided in the San Francisco "peace" treaty. The JCP, which was not involved in theae matters said once that there should be a new way of approaching the question of Etorofu and Kunashiri Islands, After the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty is abolished; that is when Japan has become a peaceful nation. From Che standpoint of wishing really long friendship between Japan and the Soviet Union, we sincerely hope that such a question be given ample time for a solution...concerning Hasomai and Shikotan Islands, as they are part of Hokkaido, and even the late Khruschev once promised that they would be returned at some time in the future. [Sentence as received~ But taking the Japanese government's demand for a bundle return of the four islanda, this carries various 1!~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~Oit 0~'~ICYAL USC ONt,Y r conergdiceinng, gnd we ~hould l~.ke Cn ngrry t~lks ~ep~rating Che qu~gtion o~ the ~hiehima Islgnda~c~nd ehe question of Hgbom~i and ShikoCan Islende~ On theitel~tiiun~ Between tha JCP ~nd thg Ch3nese Com~nuniaC Party Miy~moto: Our position, from the beginning, i~ th~t th~ JCP wi11 aeso- C~8t3 W~CM a~l cocmnunieC parCiea irrespece~.ve of differenc~e of viewe, if Chere ie no interference in tihe party affairs. But Chin~ still aonCinu~~ ies intervention in ehe JCP. In addition, China recently nnnounc~d ChaC China would aupport the Japan-U.S. Milit~ry Allian~e, and thie is a serioue maC~er for Japan's progressive forces. Beeides Chinn recenCly launched an aCtack on Vietnam. This is not an inCernal affair of China, but internaCional issues. In Chis point~ too, it is regrettable to eay, Chat the present Chinese way of doing things and our way of doing things .~re quite different. As the primary rhing, thnt the Chinese inter- ference in our affai:re is still continuing, there is a long way ahead of _ us to reach the point where China will not follow the policy of inter- ference. But I believe Chat Che time will eurely come that the Chi:neae Communist Party will change its ideae, if it is a communiet party. On Vietnam 'Intervention in Kampuchea' Miyamoto: I have a, clear-cut viaw on this matter...The Kampuchean side (in the era of the Pol Pot regime) had repeatedly attacked Vietnam, but the Vietnameae aide time and again propoaed Chat the dispute be eettled by negotiationa, and separate (each troops) five kilometers away from the border. But the Kampuchean eide re~ected them by severing diplomatic relations. China was giving aid to that Kampuchean government in the form of axms, preCending that China was supporting Kampuchea, so that we investigated and found out that the border dispute between Kampuchea and Vietnam was nothing but an unjuetifihble attack on Vietnam, atarted by the Pol Pot regime. In this sense, it amounts to a(Vietnam's) counterattack against the offensive started by Kempuchea, a(VieCnamese) defensive counterattack. This was overlapped by the Kampuchean people's insurrection againat the Pol Pot regime, a civil uprising of the Cambodian people to liberate them- selves, and resulted in a downfall of the Pol Pot regime. We hold that in such a situation, the so-called border clashes mean that Vietnam was compelled to counterattack in self-defense. eSO: 4120 15 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY . APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 i~'OIt d[~~'2CrAL US~ ONLY I'OL L'1' LCA1, ANI) SOCInLOGIC~L tN'L'I,LL(:C'i'UALS AtOVING AWAY I~ItOM JSP ~?~u!;yn MAINtCHI UAII.Y NLW5 in ~ngligh 30 Mc~y 79 p 4 [Cnlumn by Tttkehiko Taknh~shi: "NngaCacho Uoings"] ~ [TextJ Secretary GenerAl Mitsuo having a Soclallst prime Tomizuka ot Sohyo (General ministercameintobeing. Councll oE Trade Unions ot There are several reasons tor ~ Japan) has stfrred up a con� the lntellectuals' recent trnversy by declaring that tm allenation from the Japan tellectuals And 0 m o~ ~he re~soins Parc probabiy ipas Abandon(ng supp Japan Socialist Party. The toliows. - stntement is drawing attention Unions Stronger as one pointing out the reality ot First, the voice ot labor the JSP today. unions has becom~ stronger in When the Japan Socialist the party. Among the Socfalist Party was established atter the Diet members, there is an over- end ot the war, a teeling spread Whelming number hailing trom Among the peopie that since Iabor unions. Sohyo's present ,lapan was adopting a policy is to support the JSP and , democratic structure, the JSP When an elecNon takes place, would be the politfcal pnrty to the JSP is dependent on Sohyo shoulder Japan's destlny. for both tunds and votes. Accordingly, even the The moat tmportant thtng for managers of some enterprises Diet members is to win in an joined the J5P. Among the e~ectton. As a consequence, general publlc, there were Sohyo has become an organtza- people who, w ithout any - thought oE recompense, spent tion exercisiqg leadership over their own money to work tor ti~e the JSP. The party's [ormer ,~Sp Secretary Generai Tomomi In part(cular~ the sacalled Narita stated that "it is intellectuals gathered arnund necessary to overcome the the JSP and supported it. All dependence on labor unions" lhis bore truit~ enabling the and the present Chairman Ichio Japan Socialist Party at one e s t a b 11 s h m e n t~ o t� i n- lime lo become the No. i party ~ ot a coalltiogn ian administration ntt tude c to ard thelect on,s 16 FOR OFFICIAL U5E ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 I~'0(t 0~~'IGIAL U5C ONLY , contlnues to be "dependence on h~s gradually made the in� labor unfona," tellectuais dlslike tl~e J3p. Now that the labor unfona' Np ~e6 t volce tn the party has become P~ thls atrong, the volce oi tho Thirdly, the Japan Soc!n11st InteUectuats has weuker~ed lo Purty doea not ehow respect tor that extent, Since labor unton intell~ctuals, ~ leedera have thelr organl:a� It is not only that the tlons backing them, they can strengthened vofce ot the labor and have made the voice ot the unions has led to disrespect tor . lntellectuals inetfectual, intellectuals. When the In� It Is only natural,'under these tellectuals write Arttcles tor the - circumatances, tor the in� JSP's organ~ practlcally no tellectuals to move away trom payment ls made and this is ~ the Japan Socialist Pnrty, said to be "only netural," There Ideolo Ical Dls ute was one noted economic scholnr - g p who clearly atated, I 11 never Secondly, the ideological wrile articles tor the JSp dispute within the Japan again." - SociAlist Party 1s lntense. The These Intellectuals belteve largest ldeologtcal group within that there should be ap- the JSP is the Shakai Shugi propriate remuneration Ior Kyokai. As it began to display "Intellectual work," The party such strength as to be calied "a seems to consider It as pnrty withtn a party," op� "voluntary activity by position to the group ~rose, comrades." The controntatlon between The 1ntellectuAis have no the Shakai Shugi Kyokat and means tor pressing tor anti�Shakai 5hug1 Kyokal payment. F'or them, the factfons intensified And the problem is best solved by not party faced the denger ot a wriling. This Is another tactor schism, lt was to act as a that has put a distance betwcen mediator in this sttuaHon that the intellectuals and the JSP. Asukata resigned from his There are other reasons. posltion as mayor ot Yokohama Among them, the possibility o[ to become the JSP chairman. a Soctalist government being In the recent unit{ed local estaqlished appears very elections, there was severe remote. Because the i~1- controntatfon between Kyokai tellectuals who have supported and antf�Kyokat groups, the JSP see no possibility ot especfally in Chiba and Fuku� their ever assuming posttlons ot shima pretectures, resuiting in power, their enthusiasm has the de[eat ot the Sozialist waned. candidates. ~ It is uncertain whether what Then again, there is a strong Sohyo Secretary General Tomt- feeiing ot antagonism ~mong zuka has pointed out will be intellectuals such as Masao taken up by thc JSP as a Takahashi toward ltsuro problem but the link that this 5akisake, We theoretical teader has with the current decline of ot We Shakai Shugi Kyokai. the Japan. Socialtst Party This Ideolo~tcal conirontatton cannotbeoverlooked. COi'YnICHT: Maini~hi Daily News, 1979 CSO: 4120 17 ~ FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~ FOR O~FZCIAL US~' ONI.Y POLSTICAL AND SOCIOLO(3ICAI, ~ VAN WOLFEREN MAPS P~RSISTING COMMUNICATIONS GAI~ Tokyo THE JAPAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL in Engliah 8, 15, 22 May 79 [Article by Karel G. Van Wolferenj [8 MaY 79, pp 17, 20] _ Formal-factual Gap Has Been Inetitutionalized [TexC ~ Knrcl G. Vnn Wolferen is corre~pondent ,for N RC ~ 'f~andelsblad t'I'he Nettier� landsl bnsed {n Tokyo. He has lived in Asia since 1961 .and specializes in the polltics and sociology of Japan, Thailand and Indochina. '1'his series wili be carNed tn three installments. - Editor It is no secrel. that A com� lla~a~ on Japon~ If Germany suddenly dist~p munication gap hae opened be- peared from the map, her tween Japan and the West. It It, in fact, the,United States ne~hlta0t~a wouid adifer aevere thia gap persists, let alone and the EEC decide to ~mpbee '�economic diatreee; but i! the widens, we can in the long run limitations on their free trade, same thing happened toJapan, expect severe damage to the r~ult could well be an uo- very tew tAustralians perhepe sense of solidarity, long teken ~n~'ollable protecNonist chain excepted~ wauld shM many tor granted, ot the communfty reaction, ot the kind that tears. of nun�communlst industcial prologued the great depres. Yet, ,ironiraliy. it ia Japan, nations. ~ sion of the 193o's. the mast diaperelble ot the Last year In Bonn, these jus itiably orhnotp most ot the tradi g sy leme t~hat ate'ndsrto nationa, tearing possible b~me will be ~ economic and politicai chaae, Germa p~~ on Ja n. lose most if the system should , once again resoived to avoid i~y ~adiW~ch also bur� be abandoned. formal protectionist sanetions. ~~ance ot ~~~~ners with ~'or ,many in the West, it is But the issue has not gone ;s much bett~e~ in~~ p~~ems; therefore all the more puzzling away; if one takes recent �r~tern communi~rated in the that the Japenese themselves warnings seriously, this German gy~ epP~r unable to see that oNy a laudable resolution may well be geogr~ hi ~lon s to the West dramatic change In Japan's overruled by consideralions of p cally, racially and import pol(cies can help atem economic self interesG cullurally; Germamr e~ the trend towards rotectioh cupies a eentr~l position in the igm, A network ot multltateral (nveat ment~, whtch may be even more signiticant. 18 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR 0~'~ICIAL U5~ nNLY '1'heqe lwo di[terent per� An ~x~;mpla A reuder oF ry~F~~ ~Ap ~rlw~~en whut nc� reptioru~ are a clear Illugtrullon Japane~n ~ngligh language tu~lly is und what le guppased ot the existence ot u com� newsp~p~ra who lacks a tirgt to b~ La not unlque to Japan, munlcAtion gap between Japan Iwnd knowledge ot Japanese W~t s~ts' Jnpan ~pa rt trom end the Weat, realities g~ts th~ impresslon W~gtern experience le the tact Thg SN~aternere ure puzzitd u~"'~ '~pan ~~la ~n parilamentary that thla gap betwc~n "torm~l by the Japanese tallure to ~mocrary, that It mainta{ne reallty" und "factual reality" raspond to their werning,~; the pol?tical partles, labour unlorLa has been institutionalixed. Japunes~ ere puzzled that the and the like, which tunctlon ~or YJesternere, the urge to Westerners ure puzzled, The more or lesa as thcy do in the cammunicutlon gAp h~s two W~t, But thl~ is very for trom SOIV@ C0111PA(IICII0113 Ig a ba81C y~de8 . rultural cnmmend requiring nn being the case, excuse or explunation, ~ x c e 1 I e n t t a c t i c i a ns, A Japaneae prime minister, Japanese snciety, on the Japanese are poor strategiats, tor instance, does not have other hand, Is inaengltive to 6 or people who know Jupan anything like thu same power well, it is not easy to imagine exercised by his counterparts contradiction. JApAnese feel no how the Jupanese economir in other countriea, naBging Impulse ln be coo- system with its very diftused Japanese commentatore ot S~ntly testing what is formally internnl pnwer and res rr lrue agoinst what is visibly Po any sophistlcnHon are wcll ue. sibilities can dn anything so aware ot severe limitatlons fm� ~or Ja anese this institu- drastic ns td allow completely pos~, not by law, but by com� p fr~e competitinn on ita home munal tradition, tionalized gap between the market, or geverely to curtail to~mal end ljie tartual is its exports before the tuughest Doubl~ ~tandard purticularly Important in social circumstances torce Japan to gut in imitatlon of their relr~tions, ot which, InJapanese do so, eyes, trede negotietlons are n foreign colleagues, or tor pur- subs ies. 'Cherefore, to Japanese eyes, poses of invective, they otten ~ their Western trading partners Nere we have a prime cause seem to be asking tor the im� biame the Japanese prlme ~ t~ communication gap. saible, as lo as the don t minister for not accomplishing Negotiating wilh Japanese, match actio s to y their ~~ngs they know are beyond W~terners naturally suppase Ihreatening words. his capabtlities. that the tnmiliar Judicfal and In this instance the journalist commercial concepts uged by Unehall~y�! iilualom is doing something very their Japanese opposite Japenese: he ia using a double numbers rMer to what they Communication gapa are standard tor judging reality, seem to be referring to; lhe built on unchailenged ilitmions. The foreigner, however, is ~me procedures lhey know One such illusion ahared by unaware of this double stand- Ix~lh sides is that they apeak the ard. from home. The Japanese also behave as same language. I am not ~"�i~tern style political b~ if they were negotiatlrtg with tniking about the limited ability ~viour described try Japenese pnrtners at home. '1'hey tend to lo speak each other's ~ p~ausible, it has make elaborate use of the in- languages, which, although an irmer'coroiatency, ond so It stitutionnlized gup between demonstrably ot less im� ~g understood by thc (orelgn ~~fo~mal reality" and "faGtual portance, is often emphasized ~itoc as he would understand reality" to have it both ways. by Japanese. ~~paper comment in his own If a Western buqinessman ar The real problem is that ~~vy,, government representative ap ,lapanese and Westerners often gut it is a purely formal peala to a contract, A law, or an have essentially difterent In negotiations with international agreement, he perceptions of what is denoted toreign emissaries, and even may hear trom his Japanese by the same term. Japanese amongst themselves, Japaneae counterpart that in Japenese journalists and scholars have reter to this tormal reality as if aociety one is not solely ~uided Added to the confusion by ;t actually existed. by cold rulee on lifeless paper, describing their society with a but rather by warm humun larrowcd Western terminology. ~~~M~~at~d und~ntondin4 feelings determined afresh on it is ~enerAlly agrecd that Jupanese ~nd Western institw At the same time there is a every separate occasion. tions are o(len ditferent The Japanese "tactual reality;' a But when the toreigner. at uae of Western terms in talking largely unformulaled under- the next opportunity, appe~is to iibout Japan blurs lhe underly standing without which this extra�legal tradition, [or inK, muchgreater, ditferences. Japanese cauld not cope with instance by urging their social environmenl.' bureaucrnlfc intervention in a 19 FOR OFPICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~'Ott OFFICIAL USE ON~,Y trade problem, I~e should not bc 'Cn Japan~sc thi~ aurprisr.d to heAr thnt lhig is muno~uvering Ig nnn of the Impos~ible In d~mocraNc w,ays by which the gtrong apd � th~ higher�rankinpj Cl~im thuir Japan w~ilch, he g ou utr rivile Ce In n societ which derstand, Ia aftor all gnv~rnCd' has nuvcr insisted on resolvinq by ~~Wg' ' rnntradictions, , Purguing n delwte on purely ~ut It often brings ths ralional grounds.in Japan o[ten lo icall reasoning outstd~r to deteriorateg intn a ch~a g~me ~he edge of exus eraNon, and in which the Jupanese npponent ?~yond, ~ p changes the rules whenever 1t auitg him, [15 May 79, p 24] '.Crade Gap Proves Wider Than Show of 'Sincerity' [Text] ~ormidable iilusions on both number ot these people who pressecl hlm with thefr readi� sides in the eronomic conflict can be umazingly trank, neas to take etfective action, is - between Japan and the West convey genuine understanding ckceiving himself. huvc helped turn a11 the ~oE the toreigner's dittlculties, Such persona with the necea~ energctic eftorts of one side to and create the impression of snry broad authorlty stmply do , meke its position understood by willingness to c~ter to hia not exist in Japan. the other into exercises of wishes. it is an illuaion; the Inevitable disappointment futility. ~ "butfer" has no auch mandate, with the minimal concrele One oE these illusions is, as I and usually er~oys rather little resulfs [ollowing "trank dis� suggested last weck, the aup~ iniluence himselt. cussions" leads lo the next posiNon thal because Japanese The tormer minister ot ex� Western mtsunderstanding that and Westernera share a fWest� ternal trede, Nobuhiko Ushiba, lhe Japanese are deliberately ernt vocabulary of eocia who is atill the most important fooling the worid. economic terms~ they are international economic trouble talking about the same thfngs. shooter, is a super-butter, one D~aiMuilnus A second illusion of Western � of the more telented Japan has ~e New York Times~ com- trade negoUators is that when produced. menting recently on the deceit� they come here~ they talk to the Ushiba is sophlsttcated {n the (ullness ot the Japanese tacade right people, ways of the West and pleacffi the of goodwill, expceased a wide 1'he problema t have Japanese case convincingly, spread notion whieh ie ateadily described in the firat part of but he dces not have the spreading even wider. thls article are often not even mandate Western leaders heve However, ot the eccusation of noHced by the of[icfal envoys been led to believe he has. conscious deceit I belleve that sent to Jepan to clear up Mlnisters more influenttal the Japanese are not guflty. than Uahiba~ a leaders o[ the matters, as they get to deal Truth tends to be established with plein-apeaking Japanese economic tederationa, and even ~n Japan not ao much by objec� negotiating ~artners wit~ the prime minister hlmself, ~ervatlon aa by an whom, so it seems, they can otten play the bufEer role on ~ ~emotianally directed ~pkture in realiy get to the heart ot the occasior~ toreign trade envo W~ch things are the way they matter. get to apeak with them. re suppoeed to be. And the ~`~n~ � It is Just as much a mistake ~ to rely on theae potentat~es' way they are supposcd to be tends to coincide with the io- These are the "buEfera": maktng good what Westerners teresls ot the gtoup to whlch Japanese entrusted with the interpret as their promises. ~e;~fvidual belongs. lask ot making contracts with 7~he trade negotiator who ar� Moreover, whet sometimes toreigners as smooth as rives home yet again with the s~ms to outside~a to be Japa- poseible. news that this time he has nese hypocri9y, or even Every big corpocatlon and really talked with lhe Proper ~Uight lying, may be a simple qovernment ottice employs a uUthorities~ who have im� Casa oE ignorance; as. for io- . 20 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY w APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~ ~OIt OF~'IC~AL US~ OIVI,Y ~ _ ~Wner, when the dir~~clor nf u JbpbtlC5C pnsitinn ut lhe '1'hat, in the pcrceptlon ot tne ministeriul bureau dunles the Coming surnmlt of industrfal dissatisfled, urgument�weury exiatence of speclfic non�turlff nntlonsinTokyo, forelgner is propAganda, und barrlera. ' In all the yearg thnt L have not helpful nnulysis. Japanegc bosses uro in many iived here, sesrce a week has A shcond llluqlon on the Jnpa� C8g@8 meraly nominally peased wlthout same news- nese side is that dig~atisfied responalble tor the activitles of paper's pleading In some treding pnrtners will bc im� their subordinates, And the context or another tor Im� press~d by a gpnerttliced tlurry officiul nuthorities within the proved mutual understanding, ot ectivity, withoul this lending Japanese sygtem have them� This ia ~ marvellous rhetori� to the results the impatienl qelve~ quite otten a poor (dea of cal device, Ilke being tor peace, pflrtners want, the precise goings on in an slnce nobody can possibly esaentinlly selt�regulating disagree; and no one can Oood {ntintions syatem, measure the progress of the an- pmong J~?panese, good interr Westernet~ may conclude nounced etforts. tions demonstreted with e lot of that the Japanese nre ltars, The However, in my view, all this energy are often more im� _ ,;apAnese in thelr turn ronclude hammering on mutual under� ~rtent proof nt "sincerity" trom this that the Westerners etanding merely multiplies the ~httn the l~ngibl~ consequences completely fail to underst~nd misunderstandings, of their ncUons. Ja An. Apert from diverting atten~ p Indeed, the Jnpanese trans� Prime minister Ohira re~ t~on from the issues really at ~~,tlon of "sincerity," As most cently voiced A common Japa� stake, it blinds the ,lapanese to long term fnreign residenls _ nese opinion when he told a the tact that one ot causes of ~Ve ~scovered, covers a parllnmentary coriimlttee that , the communication gnp is that rather di[ferent concept. Amerlcn does not know Japan ~ey don t want to be under- yyhile lhe USA ~+nd the EEC and that this ignorance leads to 'sloo~ ut all. in tl~eir troubles with Japan see misunderstanding. ~ The uniqueness of being only broken promises and a Jnpanese, which by definition ludicrous gap between ' 'Mutual und~rs~andinp' cannot be understood by projected trade balance One of the illusions nn the foreigners (as Japnnese con~ Statistics and the reality, the Japanese side is that a cam- stantly persuade themselves in Japanese authorities keep pai~n [or the promotion of schools and via the media) is polnting to the "emergency "mutuAl understanding" wi11 t~ important an ingredient for measures" they have taken to contribute to a solution of the ~apanese self�esteem. appease lheir crltics. trade corflicts with the West. In practice, therefore, Japan ahowed "ginverity" The latest move in this "mutual understanding" means ~e trade gap - and more direction is, I hear, the alloting ~at foreigners should accept impurtant, the communication ot one billlon Yen to help ~e picture of Japan presented ~p - is wider than ever, pre.~pare understanding of the bY the Japanese establishmen~ [22 May 79, p 24J Japanese System Can Work Dramatically 'When Too Late' [Text] is lhe wny in which the Japa- practical purposes, they are not su[ficiently conscious ol nese economy is organiZed beside the point. A problem this. It is nevertheless the right or wrong? Are the exists and ethical debate will Western natiaas, the over- complaints of Japan's trading not make it go away, whelming ma jority of the in- . partners about persistent trade dustrial world, who will decide surpluses justified or not? Unacc~proble po~ition the outcome. In the absence of common The Japanese have In the first two parfs oI this standards oE judgment these manoeuvered themselves into article I described two sets of endlessly debated questtons an international economic illusions: Western illusions ttwl have no mutually convincing position whlch, rightly or they and the Japan~se speak answers, but in any case, tor wrongly~ is unacceptAble to the the same language, that they Western nations. Japanese are talk with the right people in 21 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOIt OFFICIAL USE ONLY ,IUp~n, und thAt thc Jupflnesc tests to A busic ignnr~nce nbout Japane~~ history shuws iire deliberntely deceitful; und howJapun (nc, works, many examples relevunt lo the ,lupunese illualons th~t stopgap Thcre is in Japan no le~ding ronclusion that the weakly led me~sures ~und incunt~tions center that makes decisions yy~~~m wiil only unito �or a nbout mutual under~tunding und has the.authority to cnrry palntul, drnstic change nf will solve the problem, these out. The J~panese esf~tr policy when overwhelming There Is another contributlon Iishment dces not need strong clrcumstances leave It no other to the communication gap from centrxlized leadership to choice, the JApanese side: the crum� function effectlvely on its own In the present econnmic ~ bled pereeptlon of the lssue, ground, conflict with the West, no OF course, therC are ctrcles ln Decisive action on the part of signiticunt changes in the eco- the bueiness world, especinlly a prime n~inister to a degree nomic structure will lake plnce on higher executive levels, in comparable with thnt ot hfs until the entire eslablishment - the Gaimusho, in the rarifled Western counterpnrts is not has been thoroughly imbued heiKhts of MiT[, and I suppase needed or tolerated, with the ideu thnt they hnve - even in lhe prime minister's The Japanese system works become c+bsolutely necessAry. office who undoubtediy worry wlthin Japan because it ls No thre~ts from the U.S� ubnut the ominous epectre of made up of finely meshed nll� cnuch less from the ~~G, nre protectionism. Japanese components, and it likcly to bring this about, But thts adds up to no more has a capable bureaucracy to ~~~e they have tor many ths~n inchoate ,feelings ~of repntr small defects. ye~rs pro~~ed empty. unense without A clear pattern. As long ns "emergency True~ to lhe cas~~-by-case tradi- a~vs sho~teomin~s imporls," a subsidlzed voyage tion, the perception of the protr But in coping with the outside by a floating American lem is not shared by all who world the JApAnese system department store, highly should be conscious of it, and oflen demonstrates grave placed buying missions, nnd any progress in this direction is shortcomings. JApanese policy other cosmetic measures blighted by the tendency to within Japan is not [inaily continue to give temporAry lreat Western protestations as determined by reason, but by relief from Western pressure, isolated rumblings of a dor- power. The system has protr the Japanesersyatem will be ' mnnt vulcano. lems with its external relatlons g~rengthened in its delusion Sometimes a slrong feeling of because the rest~ of the world that no major surgery is neces- unreality 'comes over me as I conceals power behind a mask gary. read Japanese editorial of reason and political prin- c~ne way for the West to comment about a new phase in ciple. achieve reciprocity in dealing the conflict, writlen as if the Foreigners find only "buF- with Japan would be to follow - current dispute was ttiunder fers" to reason with. And they Japanese methods. That means out of a blue sky. As if no bACk- search in vain for the men with firm, continuous pressure in a log ot similar unresolved cases power in Japan. Diffused ~ngible, not verbal, torm. existed. throughout the system as it It could, for instance, The Japanese establishment tends to be, or in some in- "suddenly be diacovered" that as A whole dces not see a clear stances ~arbitrarily organized, some ~Japnnese automobiles picture of the situation, at least in foreign eyes, Japa- developed mechanical because it is broken up by the nesc power eludes the Western problems on Western higtr ad hoc cas~by-case analysis; grasp. ways, necessitating a period in the same way, the system The futile attempts to "nego- "in quarantine." does not respond with counter- tiate with nobody" frustrate However, the importers in measures oF the necessary foreigners equally in the fields the trading system of the West, broad sweep. of national security, general being rather more free, would So we are back at the strat~ foreign policy, and in- never accept such measures. gic failure of the Japanese sys- ternational economic relations. Other alternatives are [ew. tem, as i see it: the likelihood One is [or the West to learn to that it can only respond in a 'Taks me to I~ader' live with perenniai tradedN dramatic way when it is ~~Take me.to your leader!" ficits with Japan and cease the already too late. must be the secret scream of harping that irritates ~nd Washington, at least until re- ' many a highly placed foreign alienates the Japanese, cently, upparently thought that visitor who is ~sed elsewhere to Another would~ be to ad- thc directorate of J~pnn Inc. getting down to brass tacks. minister An ultimate "shokku" w~is puwer(ul enouKh tn nego- lu lh~~ qysl~vn in th~ ~chup~ of tiute pallcy chun~es. Thls at- 22 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ~OR O~FICIAL U3~ ONLY fdrm~i protprtlonl~m, wnuldben~eeeaaryfartheU,S. gpcrlfir~lly gingling out Jap~n, ~nd the ~~C to atop thelr - 'Chi~ la a rpmedy, howcver, diplometle agr~ement with the which muy provg wore~ than Japan~ee a~rgument that tbey the d?eeaxe, aleo inuet tr`y~~ 1i~~der ~~to DIM~r~n1 wIN penet~ate the Japene~p market. Ther~ la another poerlbllity, Another paH ot a new tet of perhape the magt hop~tul of all, c~nditiot~a c~auld ~or i~ta~e b~ but {t would need a dcg~ of dl~ecl tixed eommltmeMa be~ imagln~tfon the We~t haa not xo tw~n Weatetn end Japan~ tar ehown, economlc Inslitutlaw for an tt wouid be to at~lve tor the Internatlonal divlalon ot labaur, development nt an cnlirely dif� Propo~a1 would ta doubt terent ~t ot nile~ to govern Initlally be denounced by trad~wlthJapan. , Japane~ sa d4criminotory The firet etep would be to and untair. But to allow t!~ jettlaon the tletlon that Japan ia conftlct to teater Indeiinft~iy a fre~ market economy eimltar eould lead to a dla~itrou to tta:e ot the Weat, To m~kke eatrangement~ whlch tor Japan ~ woutd be !er worae. the polnt pertecqy clear It t~ndojserleil COPYRICHT: 1979 The Nihon Keizai 3himbun~ Inc. CsO: 4120 ~3 _ FOR OFFICIAL U5E ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR OFFICIAt, US~ ONLY ~CONUMIC 'YOMIURI' COt~fENTS ON N~W 7-Y~ L~CONOMIC PLAN Tokyo TH~ DAILY YOt~tIUR2 in L~nglish 6 Jun 79 p 2 OW ~~ditorial: "3haky 7-Year Plen"] [TexC~ The governmeet ruehed to draw up a new 7-Year ~conomic p~rogram, centered on doublie$ the eocial overhpad c~pital to etimulate domeetic demand, because of th~ forrheoming Tnkyo eummib buC withour seemingly euffici~nt aCudy. The program is to be carried out during f igcal years 1979-8S and is de8lgn~d to lower the level of criticiem against Japan over ite trade surplue. However, a neW oil crisie has arisen becauee of the Iranian revolution and rhe renewed pric~ hike of�eneive by the Orgaeization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). We Wonder if it ia poseible for Japan to mainCain an economic growth rat~ of elightly under 6 percent ae envisaged in the new program. A~eo, can the social overhead capital be doubled? possible Miscalculation If the government has failed to take into full coneideration these problems~ then the new program Wi11 be difficult if not imposeible to achieve. Under the program, social overhead capital, now totaling yen 150,000 billion, will be doubled to yen 300,000 billion by �iscal 1985, switching the growth peCCern of the economy from an export-led to domestic demand- led pattern. It is to bring into exiatence a Japaneae-style welfare gociety. The main objective ie to appease foreign countriea who are critical of Japan because of ita gurplus in its balance of current accounts. ' Economic Planning Agency Director-Genera~ Tokusaburo Kosaka intends to travel b~the U.5. and Weatern Europe to explain in detail the plan in advance of the Tokyo summit. HoWever, if the plan does not take into consideration the rapidly changing international economic ~ituation, then Japan may be unable to honor its promise and imite international dis- truet as a reault. ~ FOR OPFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR O~FICIAL US~ ONLY Irnnie~l `i'wige irnni~~iiy thi~ pian wa~ h.~teh~d when ie w~r~ b~coming clear EheC JAp~il wnuid nor eome und~r f3re ~e che ~ummiC. Con~~rn over ehe pric~~ ~nd ~~ppiy af oil i~ likely ed d~minae~ ehe m~~ting~~ ~nd J~pgn'~ b~1~nc~ of current account~ ~urplue hae b~~e ~harply d~cr~asing ~tnc~ rh~ et~rt of thig y~r. te i~ now extr~meiy diff icu1C to prediee ehe oiL ~ituation, but in ~11 pr~bnbiiiey, OP~C at it~ ~eneraL meet3ng ~ueC before th~ summit wi11 further rai~~ ~11 price~. Tha governm~nt'~ new progr~m dn~~ hav~ a chnptpr on energy but it~ wording i~ gbstract and general~ and the worid eronomy bec~u~e of oi1 pricing gnd eupplip~ f~cee Che pro~ppct~ of plunging again into inflation and depre~s~on. ~he govercuaent ehould be honest enough to revise ite program, and promptly~ if the oil situation changee proepecte for achieving the program'e goale. COPYItIGHT: Dai1y Yomi.uri, 1979 CSO: 4120 25 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY _ APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 , ~OR O~FIC~At~ US~ ONLY ~CONOMIC KEIUANitEN A.f~~ILIATE PRES~NT5 'BUSIN~SS JAPAN' ON TV Tokyo MAINICKI DAILY in Engllsh 7 Jun 79 p 5 OW [Textj A new Engli~h-iangu~ge TV program will ~tart on June 13 for , foreign diplomat~, businessmen gnd corre~pondents in Tokyo a~uer a cable Celevigion neCwork. The same program wi11 ~l~o be pregentgd in Che Kaneei area over another cable t~levieion ne~work. _ The prim~-hour 30-minute "gusinegs Nippon" program begins et 9:30 pm on the second and fourth Wedneedays each month wiCh repeats at 8:35 am on the secnnd and fourth Saturdays on Che JCTV cloaed-circuit network (Channe,t 2 nt hotels and apartments in Tokyo). '~he commercial-free, dialogue aeminar program is intended for foreignera ia Jgpan to deepen their understanding of Japaneae economic activitieg by t~king up problema and questiona about the Japanese economy as posed by �oreign bueine~smen and correspondents with their participation and with noted Japaneae businessmen's participation~ said the sponaor, the Japan Institute for Social and Economic Affairs (JIS~A), an affiliate of the Federation of Econo~ic Organization (Keidanren). The JISLA said it will take due care in chooeing each installment topic so as tn~ensure an even-handed approach to Japanese economic relationa with Lurope and the U.S. as well as the developing countries auch as ASBAN. - ' '~he inaugural program~is subtitled "Problems" and it will sketch the economic problems between Japan, the U.S., ac~d Europe. The scheduled participants are: Jamea S. Balloun, vice president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Japan (ACOJ) and the coordinator of the recently publiahed "White paper on U.S.-Japan Trade"; Martin G. Barrow of Jardine Matheson; Masaya Miyoahi, Keidanren director for the International ~conomic Affairs Department; and Dick Yamashita of Marcom International as the moderator. Subtitled "Domestic Problems," the second installment will deal with the basic Japanese economic issues such as growth rate, lifetime employment, ~ 26 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 ` FOR OFFICZAL U8E ONLY ~obLer,g reCe, ~ob reCraining, ~nvironmenCal proCeeCion, ~nd energy on the oeceglon of th~ Tokyo summit m~eC3ng. Ie wi11 be p~reic~.p~e~d in by Yoehixo Idek~, preeidene o� Mir~ui & Co; Mas~ya Miyoehi, Keid~nren dirpctor; nnd Cl~arleg Smith, FINANCIAL TIMES correspond~nt. The ~hird installment wi11 be entitled "Distribution Syetem" and wi11 be aCC~nded by 8eiki Tozaki, president of C. Itoh 6 Co and chairman of th~ Keid~nren Committee nn dieer3buCion; Miyo~hi; gnd oeher~. The fourth inetallmenC ie to be on the "Tradg Mieeion." Samuel Jameson, LOS ANG~LL3 TIt~S correspondent~ will take part in it rogether with Miyoshi and Crading houee offic~als~ COPYRIGHT: Mainichi Daily Newe, 1979 CSO: 27 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2007/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 APPROVED FOR RELEASE: 2047/02/09: CIA-RDP82-00850R000100060047-3 FOR O~FIC~AL USE ONLY ~CONOMIC ~ JAI'AN MUS'I' SE~K IND~P~NUENC~ IN OIL SUPPLY, COAL TECHNOLOGY Avoid Dependence on Midea~t Tokyo NIHON K~IZAI SHIMIiUN in Japgnege 28 Mgy 79 p 1 [~xcerpt] A group to srudy the correlation of Che Mideast political sieua- tion and oil supply stability with the development of Siberian oil resourceg ha~ been formed in Kasumigaseki. If Che Soviet Union's principal reason for its intervenCion in the MideasC is to secure the oil resources, Chere would be new grounds to reconsider the concept of ~oint Japan-U.5.-USSR development of the T~tmen' oil fi~lds. In other words, ahould the development of oil fields in Soviet terrieory be foseered, it may serve to mitigate the USSR's interesr in Che Mideast to that extenC. "Japan is unable to aurvive without a srrategy of auch scale," says a medium-level bureaucrat heatedly. ~ Chnnging the sub~ect, ~ehe world oil market is allegedly in the midsC of a disCribution revolution. That is, up to now, nil flowed through ma~or oil companies (international oi1 capital), but recently, the proportion of "DD crude oil" handled directly by oil producing nations has increased. Fo11ow- ing Che revolution, virtually all Iranian crude oil has changed to DD. For this reason, there is a growing feeling that the power of ma~or oil companies is on the decline. ~ Reconciliation With Foreign Capital Oil However, iC musC be remembered that some view the "power of ma3or oil com- panies as becoming increasingly greater." This was clearly poinCed out by Senator E. Kennedy in his interview with Che LOS ANGELES TIMES (April 19 edition). Even if the pipe from oil producing nations were made larger, it must not be forgotten that nearly 60 percent of all crude oil shipped to Japan comes via the ma~or oil companies. Despite the increased propor- tion of DD crude oil, Japan would be in a quandry should the major oil companies look the other way. � When Exxon notified Japan's oil companies of its intent to curtail the delivery of crude oil because of difficulty of procuring it from Iran, speculations arose Chat the "major oil companies were ultimately planning ~ ~ 28 FOR OFFICIAI. USE ONLY _ . :

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