Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79S01100A000200130001-4
Body:
Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
ESTIMATE OF PRODUCTION OF NAVAL
AND MERCHANT VESSELS IN THE USSR
1957, 1958, and 1959
EIC-SSC-WPB
July 1959
Subcommittee on Shipbuilding
of the
Economic Intelligence Committee
'.MENT NO. 1
ra C' IN ;LASS.
CLASS.
N
EXT F EViEW DATE:
AUTHI: HR 70-2
DATE: LY_fEn_R ' S- REVIEWER: 0
THIS MATERIAL. CONTAINS INFORMATION AFFECTING THE
NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE
MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAWS, TITLE 18, usc,
SECTIONS 793 AND 794+, THE TRANSMISSION OF REVELA-
TIONS QF WHICH IN ANY MANNER TO AN UNAUTHORIZED
PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW.
Printed and Disseminated.
.by the
CENTRAL. INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
The Subcommittee on Shipbuilding of the Economic Intelligdnce Committee
intends to publish annually an estimate of Soviet production of vessels
covering a continuous 3-year period ending with the current year. All
estimates are agreed to by each intelligence component having representa-
tion in the Subcommittee on Shipbuilding.
This report is the first annual publication and covers the years
1957, 1958, and 1959.
Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
ESTIMATE OF PRODUCTION OF NAVAL AND MERCHANT VESSELS IN THE USSR
1957, 1958, and 1959*
Production of naval and merchant vessels is given in this report in the
following two categories: (1) number and tonnage of vessels completed during
the year and (2) tonnage produced during year. The vessels listed, under the
heading Completed are considered to have been delivered by a shipyard complete
and ready for service, although in the case of naval vessels they may not yet
have been commissioned by the navy. The amount of tonnage produced during the
year is the part of a vessel or vessels completed during the calendar year.
This amount is determined by prorating the light ship weight of the.-vessel over
the required production time in months.
For all vessels considered in this report tonnage figures are given in
tons (2,240 pounds) of light ship weight, and for merchant ships gross register
tons also are reported.
Because of the lack of sufficient information to permit listing of
individual types and classes of fishing and of inland ships, a summary report
of production estimates is included herein. The methodology used to determine
these estimates may be found in the reports referred to on the summary sheets.
Submarines
Estimates of production of the Q, W, and F classes are included herein,
but lack of sufficient information precludes estimates of number and tonnage
of nuclear-powered and missile launching submarines.
An increasing amount of evidence indicates that construction of
nuclear-powered submarines may have been underway for some time. ShipyaiLs
No. 402 at Severodvinsk and No. 199 at Komsomollsk are suspected of participation
in this program. These shipyards have adequate facilities and their location
provides maximum security. In addition, these yards have access to the open
,seas through Soviet controlled waters. Naval shipbuilding in the USSR has been
sharply reduced since 1956. Most of the principal shipyards that have not been
engaged in a program for naval construction since that time have been actively
engaged in production of merchant vessels. Production of merchant vessels in
Shipyards No. 402 and No. 199 has been exceptionally low in relation to facilities.
This relationship, in the light of available evidence, indicates a naval
construction program which could include nuclear-powered submarines.
Based on various reports and including the information that preparations
for serial production of submarines began in shipyard No. 4-02 at Severodvinsk
in 1954, it is generally believed that this shipyard is the lead yard in the
production of nuclear-powered submarines.
It is quite probable that a prototype of a nuclear submarine was produced
in early 1957 and that the first serially-constructed submarines were produced
in late 1958.
Estimates and coiclusions used in this report are based on information
available as of 1 July 1959.
Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
Approved For Release 1999/09/21
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Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79S01100A000200130001-4
Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
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Approved For Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO1 1 0OA000200130001-4
Approved For, Release 1999/09/21: CIA-RDP79SO110OA000200130001-4
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