Approved For Relmm 2003/09/29 : arn VREF85S00362R00OD0090001-8
IAC-D-7 4"--
IAC-D-7/1` -
IAC-D-8 ?--~--_.
Draft Terms of Reference: Communist China
(28 Nov 50)
Draft Terms of Reference: China
(6 Dec 50)
(See separate folders for IAC-D-8 Series: Information Reports
the IAC on the Limited Distribution)
IAC-D-10
IAC-D-10/ 1
IAC-D-9.0/2
IAC-D-10/3
IAC-D-10/4
IAC-D- 10/5
IAC-D-10/6
Terms of Reference: Implications of Main-
taining a Beachhead in South Korea (NIE-16)
(19 Dec 50)
Semi-Annual Estimate of the Status of the
Soviet Atomic Energy Program (28 Dec 50)
Summary of the Semi-Annual Estimate of the
Status of the Soviet Atomic Energy Program
(11 Jan 51)
Summary of the Semi-Annual Estimate of the
Status of the Soviet Atomic Energy Program
(20 Jan 51)
Proposed NIE: Soviet Capabilities to Interfere
with US Delivery of the Atomic Weapons to
Targets in the USSR (6 Feb 51)
Semi-Annual Estimate of the Status of the
Soviet Atomic Energy Program (6 July 51)
Semi-Annual Estimate of the Status of the
Soviet Atomic Energy Program (23 July 51)
Semi-Annual Estimate of the Status of the
Soviet Atomic Energy Program (29 Feb 52)
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SECRET CRC, 7/29/2003
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IAC-D-10/7
IAC-D-10/8
IAC-D-10/9
IAC-D-10/ 10
IAC-D-10/10. 1
IAC-D-10/11
IAC-D-10/ 12
IAC-D- 10/ 13
IAC-D-10/14
IAC-D- 10/ 14. 1
IAC-D- 10/ 15
IAC-D-10/ 15
(Revised
IAC-D-10/15
(Final)
Semi-Annual Estimate of the Status of the
Soviet Atomic Energy Program (31 Dec 52)
Forwarding Letter for Estimate of the Status
of the Soviet Atonic Energy Program
(28 Jan 53)
Estimate of the Status of the Soviet Atomic
Energy Program C. 10 Feb 54)
Summary Version of the Soviet Atomic Energy
Program to Mid-1967 (30 Apr 54)
Proposed Release of NIE 11-3A-54, 2X1
"Summary - the Soviet Atomic Energy Program
to Mid-1957" (14 May 54)
Designation of Chairman, Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee (15 Sept 1955)
25X1
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IAC-D- 10/ 16
Soviet Nuclear Proving Ground Site
(29 Nov 55)
25X1A
25X1A
IAC-D- 10/ 17
IAC-D- 10/ 18
IAC-D-10/ 18
(Final)
IAC-D-10/18
(Final - Amended)
IAC-D-10/19
(Limited
Distribution)
IAC-D-10/ 19. 1
(Limited
Distribution)
IAC-D- 10/ 19. 2
Proposed Terms of Reference for the
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee
(15 Dec 55)
Terms of Reference for the Joint Atomic
Energy Intelligence Committee (JAEIC)
(20 Dec 55)
Terms of Reference for the Joint Atomic
Energy Intelligence Committee (JAEIC)
(24 Jan 56)
Report on Soviet Nuclear Weapon Test
Activities in 1956 (30 Mar 56)
Report on Soviet Nuclear Weapon Test
Activities in 1956 (3 Apr 56)
Revised Version of the Summary of Soviet
Nuclear Weapon Test Activities in 1956
(6 Apr 56)
IAC-D-10/20 Joint Statement by GMIC/JAEIC (4-June 56)
IAC-D-10/21 Proposed Revisions for DCID 11 / 1, 13
December 1955 (12 July 1956)
IAC-D-10/22 Memorandum for the IAC, "Sanitized Version
of NIE 11-2-56, "The Soviet Atomic Energy
Program" (28 August 1956)
25X1A
IAC-D-10/23 Memorandum for the IAC, "Additional JAEIC
Statement falling within DCID 11 / 1 (31 August 1956)
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IAC-D-10/24 Scope of Part II of NIE 11-2-57 and Scope of
Future IAC Responsibility for Nuclear
Weapon Allocations (25 July 1957)
(Limited Distribution)
IAC-D-10/24. 1 Nuclear Weapons Allocation Section for
NIE 11-2-58, The Soviet Nuclear Energy
Program (13 Dec 1957) (Limited Distribution)
IAC-D-10/25 Release of Soviet Nuclear Test Data (3 Apr 1958)
IAC-D-10/26 Coordination of Intelligence Activities at 1958
Conference on Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy
(3 Apr 1958)
IAC-D-10/27 Revision of JAEIC Estimate of the Soviet
Nuclear Power Program as Previously
Reported in NIE 11-2-57 (6 June 1958)
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25X1A
IAC-D-11/1
IAC-D-12 Consolidated Statement of Intelligence
Objectives in the Field of Atomic Energy
(12 Jan 51)
IAC-D-13 National Intelligence Surveys (6 Feb 51)
IAC-D-13/ 1 National Intelligence Surveys (13 Mar 51)
IAC-D-13/2 NIS Program (18 June 51)
IAC-D-13/3 Conflict Between NIE 40 and Sections of
the NIS (15 Aug 51)
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9tCRET
IAC-D-9
19 December 1950
TERMS OF REFERENCE: IMPLICATIONS OF
MAINTAINING A BEACHHEAD IN SOUTH KOREA
NIE-1
1. This subject has been raised as a possibility
for a National Estimate.
2. The IAC is asked to consider whether it wishes
work to go forward on an estimate along the lines of the
attached.
JAMES Q. REBER
Acting Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
SECRET
IAC -D-9
19 December 1950
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COPY DD. I .
U1951
(Cca rooted)
x0Vm NgC or Tu
WEEK f- UTD&TR or Tim
or M.0-M 9m
L Dsteeeem UO-0 a0, dated 'e Dee"* 1950.
:. The dlsassi! not' =I at the sss~d =1 estivate of the "Status
o f the $ t t Atasda k rro , C It,/5I 100-51, daumi 5 Jaauary
1951, leas beea Reat]y Amsted bW the mssotar of Central Intelligence.
To pirsdt a .-.-at wide dietributian, this smmwf ~.f the slginal
estivate hss bee ar r^ated and slightly m'adif isd to rea we t as
'Irsririat.d Dataa contained thweth. The vodif isatS one occur cw*ly in
the sSsa A psrsgraph at the Casolwions and the toothot em. Thu
Pw as acs *"1tteu canf carve to its a lasaif coati as ?or, secret.
3. This i_- y is attached hereto for your approval as a am-nber
of the Tntesiig 1 l I /driaary Committee. it is regi.stod that this
appraral be etpdditsd aM that oasesits, if any, be c1aag tf ied ^h of
Res ts'iated Da1a?.
4. It is net proposed to discuss this suntur y at an t&C vtret.i ago
ands. , Af1.r spprcvsls a~ppth o iicta dJse it ation of this svrs ry will
J um Q. Ron
Acting 3earstary
Lt4111,gsnse Advisory Committee
Atlaaitsssnt~ _
Used 5 Jramar 1951
U J njary 1951
(Corrected)
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SIGNATURE RECORD AND COVER SHEET
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION
REGISTRY
SOURCE
OIC
CIA CONTROL NO.
42198-A
DOC. NO. IAC-D- 10 1
DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED 25X1
DOC. DATE 11 Jan 1951
COPY NO. 13
LOGGED BY
NUMBER OF PAGES t
NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS
42199-A
ATTENTION: This form will be attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intelligence Agency or classified Top Secret
within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until such time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of
CIA. Access to Top Secret material is limited to those individuals whose official duties relate to the material. Each alternate or assist-
ant Top Secret Control Officer who receives and/or releases the attached Top Secret material will sign this form and indicate period of
custody in the left-hand columns provided. The name of each individual who has seen the Top Secret document and the date of han-
dling should be indicated in the right-hand columns.
REFERRED TO
RECEIVED
RELEASED
SEEN BY
OFFICE
SIGNATURE
DATE
TIME
DATE
TIME
NAME AND OFFICE SYMBOL
DATE
AIC
7-9-
4
TSCO/NE
L 3
NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When this form is detached from Top Secret material it shall be completed in the appropriate spaces below and
transmitted to Central Top Secret Control for record.
THE TOP SECRET MATERIAL DETACHED FROM THIS FORM WAS:
BY (Signature)
DOWNGRADED ^
DESTROYED ^
DISPATCHED (OUTSIDE CIA) TO
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CIA 3b131
TOP SECRET
IAC-D-10 2
20 January 1951
SUMMARY OF THE
SEMI-ANNUAL ESTIMATE OF THE
STATUS OF THE SOVIET ATOMIC ENERGY PROGRAM
1. The dissemination of the semi-annual estimate of the
"Status of the Soviet Atomic Energy Program," CIA/SI 100-51, dated
5 January 1951 (IAC-D-1O dated 28 December 1950) has been greatly
limited by the Director of Central Intelligence. Ts permit a some-
what wider distribution, the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Com-
mittee has prepared a summary of this report.
2. IAC-D-10/1 of 11 January 1951 is hereby rescinded and
recalled due to dissents by the Army and Navy members of the Intel-
ligence Advisory Committee on the wording and concommitent technical
implications of paragraph 2b, when in fact there is agreement on the
ideas to be expressed among the members of the Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee as expressed in meeting on 19 January 1951-
3- IAC-D-102, a revision of IAC-D-10/1, is attached hereto
for your approval as a member of the Intelligence Advisory Committee.
It is requested that this approval be expedited and that comments,
if any, be classified "Not Restricted Data."
i. It is proposed not to discuss this SAC-D-10/2 at an IAC
meeting unless a member feels such a discussion is advisable. It
would be appreciated if you would telephone your concurrence to
this office as promptly as possible.
5. After approval, appropriate dissemination of this summary
will be made.
JAMES Q. REBER
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
TOP SECRET
IAC -D-10 2
20 January 1951
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i
SIGNATURE RECORD AND COVER SHEET
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION
REGISTRY
SOURCE
C
CIA CONTROL NO.
36131
DOC. NO. LAC D. Q 2
DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED
DOC. DATE 20 Jan
COPY NO.
LOGGED BY
NUMBER OF PAGES
dhl
NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS
none
ATTENTION: This form will be attached to each top secret document received by the central intelligence agency or classified top secret
within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until such time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of
CIA. Access to top secret material is limited to those individuals whose official duties relate to the material. Each alternate or assist-
ant top secret control officer who receives and/or releases the attached top secret material will sign this form and indicate period of
custody in the left-hand columns provided. The name of each individual who has seen the top secret document and the date of han-
dling should be indicated in the right-hand columns.
REFERRED TO
RECEIVED
RELEA
SED
OFFICE
DATE
TIME
DATE
TIME
DATE
Area
Control/IC
AD /NE
NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When this form is detached from top secret material it shall. be completed in the appropriate spaces below and
transmitted to central top secret control for record.
THE TOP SECRET MATERIAL DETACHED FROM THIS FORM WAS: 46
BY (Signature)
DOWNGRADED ^
'TOYED ^
ATCHED (OUTSIDE CIA) TO
OFFICE
DATE
FOMES- 38-13 TOP SECRET 16-01139-1 CPO
JAN 1- U
x P C
OLck a
m
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CONFIDENTIAL T^B B
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SECRET
TACD--10/3
6 February 1951
The Honorable Brien Mckahon
Chairman
Joint Committee on Atomic Energy
Congress of the United States
Washington 25, D. G.
Thank you for your letter of 22.January 1951 in
which you request a report on Soviet capabilities to
counter the delivery of U. S. atomic weapons. An estimate
of this scope will require the participation of the Weapons
Systems Evaluation Group of the Department of Defense, which
I have requested. This Agency is willing to undertake the
responsibility of preparation and of bringing the estimate
into the current schedule of intelligence production. This
will take some time as a detailed study will be necessary,
but, I believe we can have a satisfactory estimate ready for
you by April 1.
Your letter also requests information as to the
background of the semi-annual report whIch was recently
delivered to you. Since this information is of a very
sensitive nature, I have asked Mr. Walter Pforzheimer to
discuss with you informally the best means by which it can
be transmitted to you.
With kindest regards, I am
Sincerely,
(signed) Walter B. Smith
Walter B. Smith
Director
CONFIDENTIAL
SECRET
SAC-D-10/3
6 February 1951
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TAB C
i6l
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IAC-D-10/3
-N' 6 February 1951
5 February 1951
MEMORANDUM FOR: THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
SUBJECT: Request from Joint Congressional Committee on
Atomic Energy
1. Senator Brien McMahon, Chairman, Joint Congressional
Committee on Atomic Energy, has requested a comprehensive estimate
on Soviet capabilities "to impair, prevent, or frustrate the
delivery of atomic weapons to targets inside the USSR."
2. This agency, with the assistance of the Departmental
intelligence organizations, is willing to undertake the prepara-
tion of the necessary estimate, which we believe is desirable to
insure Congressional support.
3. However, Senator McMahon's request necessitates an appraisal
of Soviet defensive capabilities in terms of U. S. offensive capabili-
ties, and this can only be done with the cooperation of the Weapons
Systems Evaluation Group because of its recent operational analyses
in this field.
4+, Therefore, I request your authorization for the Weapons
Systems Evaluation Group to participate in this project. The finished
product will be issued as a national estimate with the same limited
distribution as that recently given to the report on the Soviet atomic
energy program.
/s/
WALTER B.. SMITH
Director
SECRET
IAC-D-10/3
6 February 1951
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S -E -C -R-E -T
IAC-D-10
6 July 1951
SEMI-ANNUAL ESTIMATE OF THE
STATUS OF THE SOVIET ATOMIC ENERGY PROGRAM
1. Attached hereto for your approval as a member of the
Intelligence Advisory Committee is the latest estimate of the
status of the Soviet Atomic Energy Program which has been prepared
by the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee. Complete agree-
ment of the Committee was not obtained. The Air Force member ex-
pressed some reservations, and the Navy member has submitted a
minority report.
2. It is not proposed to place this report on the agenda for
discussion at an IAC meeting unless such action is requested by a
member. Your opinion on this is requested.
3. It is requested that your approval, with or without comments,
be made to my office by close of business Thursday, 12 July, in order
that formal dissemination may be effected without delay.
4. After approval, formal copies of the report will be dis-
seminated on a very limited basis to you, the President, the Joint
Congressional Committee on Atomic Energy, members of the National
Security Council, and such other recipients as may require the
information contained therein.
25X1A
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
25X1A
Enclosure (IAC Agencies only):
Report of JAEIC
dated 3 July 1951
lv 6
S -E -C -R -E -T
TAC-D-1/4
6 July 1951
' W11-
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-RDP85S00362Rd6
23 July 1951
SEMI-ANNUAL ESTIMATE OF THE
STATUS OF THE SOVIET ATOMIC ENERGY PROGRAM
1. In accordance with the instructions of the Director of Central
Intelligence at the meeting of the IAC on 19 July 1951, the Joint
Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee has reconsidered its estimate of
the Soviet Atomic Energy Program (ref: IAC-D-104 dated 6 July 1951)
and has secured agreement of the committee members on a revised version.
2. Attached hereto for your approval as a member of the IAC is
the revised estimate of the Status of the Soviet Atomic Energy Program
which has been prepared and agreed upon by the Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee.
3. No further discussion of this estimate by the IAC is proposed.
4. It is requested that your consideration of this paper be
expeditedecd that your approval, with or without comments, be made
to my office by the close of business 26 July 1951, in order that
formal dissemination may be affected without delay.
5. After approval, formal copies of the report will be dissemin-
ated on a very limited basis to you, the President, the Joint Cont-
gressional Committee on Atomic Energy, members of the National Security
Council, and such other recipients as may require the information
contained therein.
25X1A
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
Enclosure (IAC Members only):
Report of JAEIC
dated 23 July 1951
S- =C-R-E-T
.C-D-1O 5
23 July 1951
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3601,61
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ryTELLIOflIcZ ADYI&RY OOWITT.II
WMI-MORAL ISTiMA** OF TO
VAIt)S OF T1 SCVI17 AA?!*IIC MUM T PROGRAM
1. Attached hereto for your approval as a number of ttw Intelli-
peon advisory Glorwittse is the latest estiaats of the status of the
8ovist Atomic Inergy Program which has been prepared by the Joint
Aerie E'esrgy Intellilenea Os smittes. Complats agreement of the
On-utttee 'MD obtained. -
2. It is proposed to place this report on the agenda for dig-.
cesium at Us IAC meeting an 6 harsh 1952.
3. After approval, formal copies of the report will be disseminated
an a rear limited basis to the Msident, the Joint Congressional floc
id,ttes an Atomic RAnergy, numbers of the National deouri ty Council, and
mob other recipients as off require the information oor-tained therein.
Secretary
nnelovarer (IAC Apmaies only)
Report of JALIC
dated 27 February 1952
VP SNCIST
IAC-D-1O/6
29 February 1952
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d
C 0 P 7
CIA T3 1 74429
Cory go. *__
TOP =
TAO-
D-28 January 1953
DM.LI,It3RNCr ADVTWO ty C01 T1'T!'!
TORaiARDDIG L*TTrR FOR r3rTMATr or T{' 3T4"'1JS G? THY
SOV I!? A?OHTC Rnr PRO-. lk
ae a eve 12010
tc of the Central 25X1A
Intelligence Agency (telapbone ?x ns on before the class of 25X1A
business on 30 January 1951.
3. With reference to the proposed modifioatione to certain
paragraphs of the rstiaate, it is noted that concurrences were
rroeived from all members of the Intelligence Advisory Committee
by 15 January 1953:
,a
1.
In eeoordence with the desires expressed at the meeting on
8 January 1953, there is circulated herewith for your concurrence
or ooamsnt a draft of the letter of transmittal to be used by the
Director of Central Intelligence in forwarding the Report os the
Status of the Soviet Atomic Energy Program to the Chairman of the
Joint Committee of Congress on Atomic iiergy.
2. It would be appreciated if your concurrence or ccmarents
could be A i
25X1A
ActIng Secretary
Enclosure: (IAC Members Dilly)
Draft as stated above.
Irv ?c'C 4!T
T AC - D- I O/p
2P January 1953
"cJach.:i..).c,n,,+.~~ cs
1 ^.t 4*S
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,3 4),0/61
Approved For Release 2003 9 . 85S00362R00000I8
co IN
MMU (W TM sum
AV= ZWMT "MGM
1. Asd
auk A*dMW
stato it to &Nut A two V
prope"d by 11 J*ftt t
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25X1A
Document transmitted
herewith contains
RESTRICTED DATA
Approved For Release 2003/09/29 T ~ SEGRET 62R000300090001-8 0 / f3
25X1 A''
*?" r" ? ' 1 5IGNATURE RECORD AND COVER SHEET
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION
REGISTRY
-_ SOURCE
CIA CONTROL NO.
DOC. NO. nft
DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED
DOC. DATE
COPY NO.
LOGGED BY
NUMBER OF PAG
NUMBER OF ATT MENTS
ATTENTION: This form will be attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intelligence Agency or classified Top Secret
within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until such time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of
CIA. Access to Top Secret material is limited to those individuals whose official duties relate to the material. Each alternate or assist.
ant Top Secret Control Officer who receives and/or releases the attached Top Secret material will sign this form and indicate period of
custody in the left-hand columns provided. The name of each individual who has seen the Top Secret document and the date of han-
dling should be indicated in the right-hand columns.
REFERRED TO
RECEIVED
RELEASED
SEEN BY
OFFICE
SIGNATURE
DATE
TIME
DATE
TIME
NAME AND OFFICE SYMBOL
DATE
loft
ocument transmitted
so" tz"O"
02
erewl c ntainS
DATA
03 AAW
7d-r 1-4w
10
t
moo a l
it It
.f
-
4 ` -/
/i
7
NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When this form is detached from Top Secret material it shall be completed in the appropriate spaces below and
transmitted to Central Top Secret Control for record.
THE TOP SECRET MATERIAL DETACHED FROM THIS FORM WAS:
BY (Signature)
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DESTROYED ^
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Y ECRE
TS No. 100675
Copy No. 8
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Summary Vers ice? of
The e Soviet t0aiC End
Pr+sram toi d-1 7
IAC-D-10/10
30 April 1954
1. At i.ts meeting of 16 February 1951, the IAC agreed that
the JAEIC prepare a summary version, containing no Restricted Data,
of subject estimate, and, propose a dissemination list for this
version (,IAC4M.14l, 16 February). This version in attached. The
JABIC proposes dissemination
2.'.' XA C members will please notify Chairm_ an, JAEZC,
y 6 may 1954 as to their concurrence or Font
on this sal.
3. In accordance vith the 7AC'ss instruction, another version
of this estimate has been prepared in cooperation With the AEC. This
version ':mitred
Enciosus (XAC Umbers)only )
TS #10060T
Series C
30 April 1954
IAC-D-10
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7 1.) Q -7
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SIGNATURE RECORD AND COVER SHEET
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION
REGISTRY
SOURCE: NED/SI
DATE OF DOCUMENT: 30 Apr 54
COPY NUMBER (S): 8
NUMBER OF PAGES: 1 DOCUMENT NO.IAC-D-
NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS:
CIA CONTROL NUMBER: 100675
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AS IT IS
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OR ASSISTANT TOPL SECREDT
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ATE SPACES BELOW AND TRANSMITTED TO CENTRAL TOP SECRET CONTROL FOR RECORD.
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FORM NO. 38-13 PREVIOUS EDITIONS NOT TO BE USED 71
/~/
APR 1948 ' ?/)
SMI-A1NUAL Fs1' KATE OF Tt'F
STkTUS OF T'1E SOVIET AT ?4IC Fls(FArT PRCYRAV
1. Attached hereto for your approval as a member of thp Intelligence
Advisory Committee is the latest estiioate of the statu9 of the. Soviet -
Atomic Energy program which has been prepared and arreai to t'v the Joint
Atomic &iergy Intelligence Committee.
2. It is proposed not to discuss this report at an -A' meeting unless
major comments are received or unless the menfi 'r f#-pi auor a diaruaeton
will be necessary, 'four opinion in this matter is eoilcjtt-l.
3. After approval, formal copies of the r ej nor t wl i 3. t- i s ss i nated
on a ltm ted taxis to you, the President, the Joint, on~rr~4 i r,a.. "aner.ittee
on Atomic Energy, members of the National Security rounc iJ an' such other
recipients as may require the information conta lnrd they elm,.
4. As it is intended to make formal dleser in-at1 ot, of the retort by
4 January 1951, please do not delay your consideration o` :t
I
Acct)nr `` cretFr~
Intelligence A-viporv (:orrit.tee
Report of JAFIC
dated 27 December 1950.
When ~e~ahe,~rtnciosure
Sreat as - -'---___--
a
Ati ItPCember 1950
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3de/6~
Approved For Reles 2003/09/20Y]KA 85S00362R00QJ0090001-8
IAC-D-10/ 10. 1
14 May 1954
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
Proposed Release to
of NIE-11- 3A- 54, 25X6
"Summary - The Soviet Atomic Energy Program to Mid-1957"
1. By IAC-D-10/ 10, 30 April 1954 (distributed to JAC
Members only), the JAEIC proposed dissemination of subject
summary estimate tol
All agencies have concurred in the proposed release to
2. G-2 and ONI believe that MIC policy prevents dis-
semination to inasmuch as the estimate is classified.
"Top Secret. " No other agency has' interposed objection to the
proposed release tol
3. In view of the above, the IAC will consider the
proposed release tol at an early meeting.
Secretary
IAC-D-10/ 10. 1
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25X6
25X6
25X1A
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20 September 1955
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
To Holders of IAC.D-10/ 11. dated 15 September 1955.
Subjecto "Designation of Chairman. Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee''
Please change the number of this document to IAC-D- 10/ 120
25X1A
Acting Secretary
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o did f
3
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IAC-D. 10/ 1,,2_
15 September 1955
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Designation of Chairman
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee
Effective 13 September 1955 the Acting Director of Central
Intelligence designated Dr. Herbert Scoville, Jr., Assistant Director,
Scientific Intelligence, CIA, as Chairman of the Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee vic
secretary
25X1A
25X1A
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IAC,D-10/ 13
3 October 1955
I N T E L L I G E N C E ADVISORY C O M M I T T E E
MEMORANDUM FOR INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY#COMMITTEE
SUBJECT: Soviet Nuclear Explosions
The attached memorandum will be on the agenda of
the IAC meeting on 4 October.
ng Secretary
25X1A
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IAC-D- 10/ 14
14 November 1955
MEMORF:NDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
SUBJECT: Soviet Nuclear Explosion
The attached memorandum has been added to the agenda of
the IAC meeting on 15 November.
25X1A
Acting Secretary
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IAC-D-10/ 15
28 November 1955
MEMORANDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
SUBJECT: Soviet Nuclear Explosion
The attached memorandum has been added to the agenda of
the IAC meeting on 29 November.
25X1A
Acting Secretary
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'-ECR;T
IAC-D-10/ 15
29 November 1955
(Revised)
MEMORANDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITT
SUBJECT: Soviet Nuclear Explosion
The attached memorandum has been added to the agenda
of the IAC meeting on 29 November.
25X1A
Acting Secretary
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366179
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IA.C-D- 10/ 15
29 November 1955
(Final)
MEMORANDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
SUBJECT: Soviet Nuclear Explosion
The attached memorandum was approved by the IAC on
29 November 1955 for dissemination on a need-to-know basis.
25X1A
Acting Secretary
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IAC-D- 10/ 16
29 November 1955
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Soviet Nuclear Proving Ground Site
1. Pursuant to paragraph 5 b of the IAC minutes of the
15 November 1955 meeting (IAC-M-219), the Chairman, JAEIC,
reports the following for the information of the IAC:
a.
b.
The classification of the information contained
in the above paragraph has been determined to
be SECRET, not Restricted Data. This infor-
mation may be disseminated in normal intelli-
gence channels and publications bearing this
security classification.
25X1
Acting Secretary
25X1A
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IAC-D- 10/ 17
8 December 1955
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Proposed Amendment to DCID 11 / 1:
Control of Information Regarding Foreign Nuclear Explosions
Pursuant to IAC-M-220, Item 6 c, 29 November 1955, the
attached recommendation has been prepared for consideration
by the IAC, and will be placed on the agenda of the 13 December
meeting.
25X1A
Secretary
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IAC-D- 10/ 17
8 December 1955
MEMORANDUM FOR: Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
SUBJECT Proposed Changes to
1 . A s requested at the IAC meeting of 29 November 1955,
the recommendation below is forwarded.
2. It is recommended that paragraph 5 of
superseded by the following:
" 5. The JA EIC will prepare a statement which
protects intelligence sources and methods and which
is suitable for immediate dissemination to unified
and specified commands under provisions of paragraph
4 above.
116. The Chairman of the IAC will authorize the
Chairman of the JAEIC to make dissemination of the
statement referred to in paragraph 5 above through
normal U. S. intelligence channels whenever a national
decision to make a public release has been reached,
or whenever the Chairman of the IAC deems such dis-
semination to be warranted in the national interest.
The release to foreign nationals of this statement
or a modified version thereof will be an automatic
agenda item for the next IAC meeting."
3. It is further recommended that present paragraph 6 of
the presenti a renumbered paragraph 7 and that the
last sentence thereof be eliminated inasmuch as this procedure
is included in the recommended paragraph 6 above.
/s/ HERBERT SCOVILLE, JR.
Chairman
Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee
25X1
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IAC-D-10/ 18
15 December 1955
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Proposed Terms of Reference for 'the
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee (JAEIC)
Attached are the proposed terms of reference for the Joint
Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee (JAEIC). This item has
been placed on the agenda of the IAC meeting scheduled for
20 December.
25X1A
Secretary
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360 175'
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C IAC-D-10/ 18
0 15 December 1955
P
Y
MEMORANDUM FOR: Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
SUBJECT : Terms of Reference and Membership for the
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee
1. Pursuant to the general provisions of NSCID No. 3 the
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee was constituted as a
working group under the Scientific Intelligence Committee on
21 November 1949. Later, under provisions of DCID 3/4, in
August 1952, the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee
(JAEIC) was reconstituted "as a permanent interdepartmental
committee with the same structure and functions as before."
2. The present JAEIC membership is as follows:
a. CIA, Chairman
b. State Department
c. Atomic Energy Commission
d. Army
e. Navy
f. Air Force
$. JCS
h. FBI
Ad-Hoc
j.
OSD
3. The JAEIC approved terms of reference are forwarded
herewith as enclosure 1. The functions listed are essentially
identical with those transmitted to the SIC on 24 March 1950 and
under which the JAEIC has been onerating since that date. It is
recommended that enclosure 1 be published as Annex C to DCID 3/4.
/s/ Herbert Scoville, Jr.
Chairman
Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee
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SA if 6R0003V
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
SUBJECT : Briefing Memorandum on JAEIC Terms of Reference,
IAC Agenda Item
1. The proposed Terms of Reference for JAEIC have been
approved by all the full members of JAEIC. The functions are
essentially the same as those agreed upon in the past, but in
some cases they are spelled out a bit more clearly. The definition
of atomic energy intelligence, see Footnote J to the.Terms of
Reference, is new and limits JAEIC activities more than the old
NIA Directive 9 which defined it as follows: "All intelligence
information related to foreign atomic energy intelligence
developments and potentialities affecting the national security."
The present definition is acceptable to O/SI.
2. There has been considerable discussion within JAEIC on
this definition and it is possible that the Joint Staff or some
other military member might attempt to still further restrict
JAEIC fields of interest by recommending changes at the meeting.
In particular, they may wish to add at the end additional items
to be excluded from atomic energy intelligence. These might be
tactics and techniques of employment of nuclear weapons by armed
forces, or the political and strategic implications of various
weapon developments. He may also try to insert "scientific and
technical" between"is" and "intelligence" in the first line.
Although JAEIC does not intend to concentrate or do any extensive
estimating in these fields, these limitations are not considered
desirable. These fields must be considered in making an over-all
evaluation of the Soviet nuclear program.
3. It is considered that these proposed JAEIC functions are
good guide lines for other similar committees which may be set up
under the IAC. For example, we would recommend that the proposed
Guided Missile Committee have identical functions. Likewise, if
the charter of the SEC is revised, these functions might be
satisfactory for it as well.
-3 OO/7 /
'~r
.Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-Fkb1D85S00362R000300090001-8
SUBJECT: Briefing Memorandum on JAEIC Terms of Reference,
IAC Agenda Item
4. It is recommended that you endorse these Terms of Reference
at the IAC meeting and make every effort to prevent any weakening
of either the functions or the definition.
.
Assistant Director
Scientific Intelligence
Distribution
Orig & 1 - fwd.
1 - DD/I
1 - AD/RR
1 - AD/NE
1 - AD/CI
1 I (ONE)
25X1A
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" SECRET
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IAC-D- 10/ 18
20 December 1955
(Final)
Terms of Reference for the
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee (JAEIC)
The attached terms of reference for the Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee (JAEIC) were approved by the IAC on
20 December.
25X1A
Secretary
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IAC-D- 10/ 18
20 December 1955 (Final)
Amended
24 January 1956
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Terms of Reference for the
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee (JAEIC)
1. At its meeting on 24 January 1956 (IAC-M-227,
24 January 1956, Secretary's Note 6), the IAC agreed to amend
paragraph 1 a of the terms of reference for the Joint Atomic
Energy Intelligence Committee (IAC-D-10/ 18, 20 December 1955,
Final).
2. The terms of reference as amended are attached here-
with.
25X1A
Secretary
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25X1
TS #102420
IAC-D-10/19
30 March 1956
Copy No.
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
Report on Soviet Nuclear Weapon Test Activities in 1956
The attached JAEIC report will be considered in connection with
item 5 on the Agenda for the IAC meeting scheduled for 3 April 1956.
25X1A
Secretary
0 41"X,-~~ 11
PC),
/
-111/07 -Ti
25X1
TOP-SECRET.
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3' CO /?
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SIGNATURE RECORD AND COVER SHEET
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION
REGISTRY
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L
C I A CONTROL NO.
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/
~ ~ '
i
DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED
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IM
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/
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?_
1 `%ts b
NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS
~!/
TOP SMM A Y ~M
ATTENTION: ,This form will be placed on top of and attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intel-
ligence Agency or classified Top Secret within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until st.ch time as it
is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of CIA. Access to Top Secret matter is limited to Top Secret Control
personnel and those individuals whose official duties relate to the matter. Top Secret Control Officers who receive
and/or release the attached Top Secret material will sign this form and indicate period of custody in the left-hand
columns provided. Each individual who sees the Top Secret document will sign and indicate the date of handling in the
right-han columns.
REFERRED TO
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SEEN BY
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DATE
,v
Zz"
v
C.
/3a
17
NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When
spaces below and transmitted
this form is detached from Top Secret material it shall be completed in the appropriate
to Central Top Secret Control for record.
DOWNGRADED
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TO
BY (Signature)
TO
BY (Signature)
WITNESSED BY (Signature)
BY (Signature)
DATE Approved
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OO' 00090001-8
DATE
F
10APRN55 26 USE PREVIOUS EDITIONS.
TOP SECRET
TOP SECRET
3 0 0/ 6Z. (40)
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TS # 102420-a
IAC-D-10/ 19. 1
3 April 1956
Limited Distribution
Copy No.
_I q
Report on Soviet Nuclear Weapon Test Activities in 1956
Attached is the revised JAEIC report noted by the IAC on
Tuesday, 3 April. This is the "limited distribution" edition, and
is being sent in two copies to IAC members. In accordance with
IAC direction, JAEIC is preparing an edition suitable for general
distribution.
25X1A
Secretary
25X1A
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3COf 83
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10220 -,A
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DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED
DOC. DATE
^ ,
3
il
Ap
-
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LOGGED BY
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3+~T A
NUMBER
ttch
Air II
OF ATTACHMENTS
.
T~ SECRCri
ATTENTION: This form will be placed on top of and attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intel-
ligence Agency or classified Top Secret within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until sl,ch time as it
is downgraded, destroyed, or transmitted outside of CIA. Access to Top Secret matter is limited to Top Secret Control
personnel and those individuals whose official duties relate to the matter. Top Secret Control Officers who receive
and/or release the attached Top Secret material will sign this form and indicate period of custody in the left-hand
columns provided. Each individual who sees the Top Secret document will sign and indicate the date of handling in the
right-hand columns.
REFERRED TO
RECEIVED
RELEASED
SEEN BY
OFFICE
SIGNATURE
DATE
TIME
DATE
TIME
SIGNATURE AND OFFICE
DATE
NOTICE OF DETACHMENT: When
spaces below and transmitted
this form is detached from Top Secret material it shall be completed in the appropriate
to Central Top Secret Control for record.
DOWNGRADED
DESTROYED
DISPATCHED (OUTSIDE CIA)
TO
BY (Signature)
TO
BY (Signature)
WITNESSED BY (Signature)
BY (Signature)
DATE Approved
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DATE 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP85S0036
FM16300090001-8
DATE
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IAC-D-10/ 19. 2
6 April 1956
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Revised Version of the Summary of Soviet Nuclear
Weapon Test Activities in 1956
Subject report, dated 4 April 1956, is a sanitized version
of the Summary of Soviet Nuclear Weapon Test Activities in 1956,
previously distributed on a very limited basis (IAC-D- 10/ 19. 1,
3 April 1956). JAEIC has prepared subject report (attached as
Tab A) for more general distribution pursuant to the direction of
the IAC at its meeting on 3 April 1956 (IAC-M-235, item 6 a).
25X1A
Secretary
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SECRET 3M/N
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IAC-D-10/20
4 June 1956
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Joint Statement by GMIC/JAEIC
Reference: Memorandum for Chairman, IAC, from
GMIC/JAEIC,, 4 June 1956
1. Subject statement, signed jointly by the Chairman,
Guided Missile Intelligence Committee, and Chairman, Joint
Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, has been distributed
to GMIC and JAEIC members, on a limited basis, and therefore
is available to members of the IAC through their representatives
on those committees. If any IAC members should require addi-
tional copies they may be obtained through the IAC Secretariat.
2. This matter will be placed on the agenda of the IAC
meeting scheduled for 8 June 1956 for appropriate action.
25X1A
Secretary
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SECP"' 3ad/85
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IAC-D-10/21
12 July 1956
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Proposed Revisions for
113 December 1955 25X1
Attached is a memorandum from the Chairman, JAEIC, dated
12 July 1956, which refers to certain revisions i roposed 25X1
by JAEIC pursuant to the direction of the IAC on 3 April 1956
(IAC-M-235, item 6c). This matter will be placed on the agenda
of the IAC meeting scheduled for 17 July for appropriate action.
25X1A
Secretary
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Attachment to
IAC-D-10/21
12 July 1956
MEMORANDUM FOR : Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
SUBJECT : Proposed Revisions for
13 December 1955
1. At its meetin on 3 April 1956, the IAC requested JAEIC
25X1A to pr9pose revisions of in order to simplify the procedures on
the control of information regarding foreign nuclear explosions.
The following are the proposed revisions agreed upon by JAEIC.
3. Delete present paragraph 4 and substitute new paragraph 4
as follows: '
4. Delete present paragraph 5 and substitute new paragraph 5
as follows:
25X1A
25X1A
25X1A
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IAC-D-10/21
12 July 1956
25X1A
5. Delete present paragraph 6 and then present paragraph 7
becomes new paragraph 6.
I Ifor 25X1A
KS~ , JR.
Chairman
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence
Committee
12 July 1956
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IAC-D-10/22
28 August 1956
MEMORANDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
SUBJECT: Sanitized Version of NIE 11-2-56, "The Soviet Atomic
Energy Program".
1. The attached memorandum from the Chairman,
Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, deals with this
subject. The sanitized text forwarded with the memorandum 25X1A
is available .from your JAEIC representative or, if necessary,
by arrangement with the Secretary of JAEIC
25X1
25X1A
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
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C ATTACHMENT
0 IAC-D-10/,-22
P 28 August 1956
Y
JOINT ATOMIC ENERGY INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE
24 August 1956
MEMORANDUM FOR: Secretary,
Intelligence Advisory Committee
SUBJECT: Sanitized Version of NIE 11-2-56
1. The Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee has
reviewed NIE 11-2-56, The Soviet Atomic Energy Program, to
determine which portions must be deleted or changed to take
the estimate out of the Restricted Data category. Forwarded
herewith, with deletions and/or changes recommended, is a
sanitized version of the estimate. The classification, after
the deletions and/or changes are made, would be Top Secret.
25X1
s/ HERBERT SCOVILLE, JR.
Chairman
Joint Atomic Energy
Intelligence Committee
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IAC-D-10/23
31 August 1956
MEMORANDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
SUBJECT: Additional JAEIC Statement falling within DCID 11/1
1. In connection with item 8 of the Agenda for 5 September,
we have been advised by JAEIC that it has issued a second statement,
dated 30 August, dealing with a later explosion. This statement,
available from your JAEIC representatives, will be placed on the
agenda for the 5 September meeting.
2. In connection with both statements, the IAC, should
consider, in compliance with the paragraph 5 of DCID 11/1 (as
revised 17 July 1956), the question of release to foreign governments.
We are informed that JAEIC has made no recommendation on this
question, which appears to involve issues both of security and of
policy in the dissemination of information on nuclear matters which
is withheld from the US public.
Secretary, IAC
25X1A
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Limited Distribution
IAC-D-10/24
25 July 1957
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY C O M M I T T E E
Scope of Part iI of NIE 11-2-57 and Scope of Future IAC
25X1
The issues reviewed in the attached rnerrorr;ridum will be
placed. on the agenda of the IAC meeting schedvhai for 30 July,
for discussion and appropriate action.
Secretary
25X1A
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Attachment
IAC -D-10/2L1
25 July 1957
JOINT ATOMIC ENERGY INTELLIGFL CE CC MITTEE
MEMORANDUM FOR: Chairman, Intelligence advisory Committee
SUBJECT : Scope of Part II of NIE 11.-2-57 and Scope of Future
IAC Responsibility for Nuclear Weapon Allocations
1, In an attempt to accomplish the task of preparing a Part II
for NIB 11-2-57 an Ad Hoc Working Group was formed and has held a
number of meetings during June and July. This group has encountered
basic differences of view concerning the scope of the estimate and,
in discussion of the issues, has uncovered what appear to be basic
differences as to the responsibility the IAC should assume in the
field of estimating Soviet nuclear weapon allocations. At a joint
meeting of the Senior IAC representatives and JAEIC members on
24 July these: issues could not be resolved. We therefore regret-
fully submit the problem to the lAG for resolution.
2. The immediate issue concerns whether Part II should be done
at all,, or w e er, it is done, it should include merely illustra-
tive examples or should include a broad high-low range of possible
allocations divided broadly by missions and delivery systems. The
alternatives are:
Alternative A: no Part II at all.
25X1
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4. Agency Positions. The tentative Agency positions appear to
a. On the immediate issue of Part II of NIE 11-2-57:
State Air Force, and CIA favor going ahead with
erna ve for C approval.
AEC and JIG favor going only as far as Alternative B,
but would accept Alternative C.
Army and Navy favor Alternative A, or Alternative B
at most the event Alternative B is adopted, the
Army would oppose the inclusio,). f Section I-IV and
favor solely the statement on i,iathomatieal possibilities.
b. On the long-term issue of MC responsibility:
State, Air Force and C If1 -- in the event that the
present exercise does not produce an Alternative D
result -- favor the II.C taking responsibility for
an appropriate project to produce an'Alternative D
result at the earliest possible time, whether as
part of NIE 11-Ii-57 or as a separate project. Such
a project would include explicit discussion of
possible Soviet strategy, relevant delivery systems,
and war-gaming factors (with outside advice as needed).
AEC favors the IAC taking responsibility for an
appropriate project to produce an Alternative D
result at the earliest feasible time, provided
that Soviet strategic policy can be outlined in
sufficient detail to provide meaningful guidelines.
Arr
__ttNaavy and JIG do not favor the TAC taking
responslbi. i y at any time for an Alternative D
result in the absence of a clear and convincing
showing of consumer requirements, particularly at
the NSC level.
/s/
HERBERT SCOVILU , JR.
Chairman
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l1-2-,T8 pre //ods)
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IAC-D-10/21 el
13 December 1957
(Limited Distribution)
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Nuclear Weapons Allocation Section
for NIE 11-2-58, THE SOVIET NUCLEAR
ENERGY PROGTu m
Reference: IAC-M-300, Item 5
The attached memorandum will be placed on the agenda
of the IAC meeting now scheduled for 17 December, for
review and action.
S* drolery"
25X1A
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13 December 1957
SUDJECT: Nuclear Weapons Allocation Section for NIE 11-2-58,
TI.Tz' SO`.,Ir i ~, UCr,'U-R 7NI;^iti:;'.
1. In accordance with the instructions of the I.'.C (IAC-11-300,
paragraph 5, 30 July 1957) a Working Group of your repnr:sentatives
continued work during August and September on a 'art II draft for
NIE 11.2.57, the Narch 1957 estimate on the Soviet nuclear ,Program.
'Early in October, this work was suspended as it became clear from the
progress of NIE 11-21-57 and the G14IC and J!;'',IC contributions to this
estimate and to NIE 11-10-57 that there uere sure to he substantial
changes in the estimates both of nuclear weapon development dates
and of development and production dates for major delivery systems.
2. The Doard of National Estimates and the Chairman, JAEIC,
now believe that every effort should be made to complete a section
on nuclear weapon allocation for inclusion in the forthcoming new
estimate rn the Soviet nuclear energy proram, NE" 11-2-58, now
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scheduled to reach the IAC in mid-January. ??Te recognize that
there may remain disagreement over the scope of such an allocation,
but we believe that (a) this disagreement can best he resolved in
the light of an actual draft reflectin; the dif:! ercnt viewpoints,
and (b) that the Working Group is in a position to adapt its past
work to present such a draft, probably concurre.ntiy with the
submission of the basic estimate to the I.W.
3, Accordingly, we rocormencl that the IWC direct that the
Working Group continue its work and prcparo to submit a draft
(reflecting the various scope alternatives), in the light of the
proposed conclusions of NIE ll-2-58 as to the supply of fissionable
materials and weapons types, as nearly concurrently as possible with
the corm lotion of the balance of NID 11-2.58.
Dciuty Assistant Director
National Estimates
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TAB A
IAC-D-10/25
3 April 1958
JOINT ATOMIC ENERGY INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE
2 April 1958
MEMORA
SUBJECT
ND
UM FOR : Chairman
Intelligence Advisory Committee
: Release of Soviet Nuclear Test Data
REFERE
NCE
: ACID
25X1A
I
(para
5)
25X1 A
25X1A
25X1A 1. The purpose of this memorandum is to recommend IAC
approval
25X1
3. All members of JAEIC concur in this proposal except the
AEC. The AEC representative has reserved his position inasmuch as
transmittal of this data to foreign nations appears to be in conflict
with some phase of AEC general policy on releases of information.
/a/
HERBERT SCO VILLE, JR.
Chairman
Attachment:
Lists of Tests
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IAC-D-10/26
3 April 1958
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Coordination of Intelligence Guidance and Collection
Activities at the Geneva 1958 International
Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy
At the meeting scheduled for 8 April the IAC will be asked to
note the attached memorandum from the Chairman, JAEIC, and
take appropriate action with respect to the recommendations
contained therein.
25X1A
Secretary
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2 April 1958
MEMORANDUM FOR: Chairman
Intelligence Advisory Committee
SUBJECT . Coordination of Intelligence Guidance and Collection
Activities at the Geneva 1958 International Conference
on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy
1. The second Geneva International Conference on Peaceful Uses of
Atomic Energy scheduled for 1=11+ September 1958 offers a unique oppor-
tunity for the intelligence community to acquire a great deal of infor-
mation on Soviet nuclear energy activities via the information released
by the Soviets as well as additional data by an exploitation of overt
and covert sources. A wide range of subjects that are important from
an intelligence standpoint have been included on the Provisional Topical
Agenda published through the United Nations for this conference, and
extensive Soviet Bloc participation is assured. There will be oppor-
tunities for extensive overt coverage and only a small overt effort
against several key areas of information appears necessary.
2. A particularly timely exploitation of this conference is
needed to assure prompt reporting and evaluation of the information
obtained in order for JAEIC to complete its annual NIE on the Soviet
atomic energy program during October and November 1958. Information
derived from Geneva should make a substantial contribution to the Estimate
as was, .the :case in 1955.
3. Interested analytical and collection elements are already
planning a number of actions and the AEC, Division of Intelligence, has
initiated some steps to coordinate these efforts. It is believed that
the sizeable intelligence effort required, if carefully coordinated,
can be carried out without interfering with, or deterring, the basic
US objectives.
4. Under NSCID No. 2, the Departments of State, Army, Navy and
Air Force as well as CIA all have responsibilities for the collection of
scientific and technical intelligence'that is obtainable through this
conference. In addition, the AEC is, vitally interested in this intelli-
gence, and has a responsibility for collecting intelligence through its
representatives to the conference. The best possible community approach
is needed to satisfy these complex intelligence interests and preserve
the sanctity of the intent of the Conference.
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5. It is the opinion of JAEIC that the IAC should take cognizance
of this need for concerted, but'carefully coordinated, intelligence
effort, and should sponsor the needed coordination. We recommend that
the IAC note this memorandum and approve the following:
a. There shall be a concerted and carefully coordinated
effort under IAC auspices to exploit the second International
Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy for intelligence
purposes. This effort shall in no way jeopardize the basic US
objectives of this conference;
b. The responsibility for coordinating all aspects of this
intelligence effort is assigned to JAEIC on an ad hoc basis, and
JAEIC shall advise the IAC as soon as practicable after the
completion of this conference of the intelligence gain and
experience acquired from a collection standpoint.
6. It is my intent that this coordination effort will be handled
by an ad hoc working group under Dr. Charles Reichardt, the Atomic Energy
Commission JAEIC member, and that the group include working level repre-
sentatives of both collection and evaluation elements to the extent
desired by member agencies. Any formal coordination of clandestine
collection found necessary can be accomplished via existing mechanisms
for that purpose with the aid of collection guidance generated by this
working group-
HMUMT O LLE, JR.
Chairman, JAEIC
25X1A
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BRIEF FOR: Director of Central Intellige
SUBJECT : Coordination of Intelligence Guidance and Collection
Activities at the Geneva 1958 International
Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy
1. The attached recommends that the IAC assign to JAEIC,
on an ad hoc basis, the responsibility for coordinating intelli-
gence exploitation of the Geneva atomic energy conference, i-14
September 1958.
2. All members of JAEIC have agreed to this proposal but
there may be some reluctance on the part of the AEC when the
matter comes before the IAC. The AEC-JAEIC member, Dr. Reichardt,
agreed to the attached text only after exhaustive argument
concerning the intent of language in He favors the
formation of a steering group under J s rec ion as we propose,
but has argued that this group should be directly under IAC
rather than JAEIC.
3. The AEC declined to accept responsibilities for atomic
energy intelligence collection abroad during the rewrite of
While some effort may be made to interpret present
wording to include this responsibility for the Geneva Conference,
I do not believe the intent of the present directive can be thus
interpreted.
4. I strongly recommend that the JAEIC proposed plan be
adhered to and approved. It is needed to provide coordination
of the many diverse requirements and collection problems which
will arise as planning for the conference proceeds. We were not
satisfied with our "take" from Geneva in 1955 and believe that
stronger coordination will produce better results.
HE=T OV a JR.
Chairman
Attachment:
Geneva Memo
25X1
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IAC -D-1027
6 June 1958
I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E
Revision of JAEIC Estimate of the Soviet
Nuclear Power Program as Previously Reported
in NIE 11-2-57
Attached is a memorandum from the Chairman,, JAEIC (Tab A)
dealing with the revision of the JAEIC estimate of the Soviet nuclear
power program as previously reported in NIE 11-2-57. A Board of
National Estimates memorandum commenting on and making certain
recommendations with respect to the JAEIC paper is attached as
Tab Be
This matter will be placed on the agenda of the IAC meeting now
scheduled for 10 June for appropriate action in the light of the
JAEIC and Board memoranda.
Secretary
25X1A
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TAB B to
IAC-D-10/27
6 June 1958
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE A G E N C Y
MEMORANDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
SUBJECT: Memorandum From the Chairman, JAEICC, Dealing with
Revision of Certain Parts of NIE 11.2-57t 5 June
The Board of National Estimates has reviewed the referenced
memorandum with a view to whether any new NIE should be issued in
the immediate future to take account of the revisions stated. It
is our conclusion that the subject is not of such crucial importance
as to call for such action, either through a new NIE or "Memorandum
to Holders" such as was recently used for SNIE 11-10-57 (ICBM).
2, However, we believe that policy-makers concerned in the
subject should have the benefit of the current JAEIC view. Accordingly,
we recommend that the IAC note the attached memorandum and direct that
JAEIC distribute its more detailed memorandum on the subject, now
available, to all holders of NIE 11-2-57 and NIE 11-2-58.
25X1A
Deputy Assistant Director.,
National Estimates
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IAC-D-11
29 December 1950
ASSISTANCE TO THE VOA
AND OTHER ASPECTS OF SOVIET JAMMING
1. Attached is a letter (TAB A) from 25X1A
Chairman of USCIB, transmitting the report kTAB B) o that
Board with respect to intelligence support to the VOA and
other aspects of Soviet jamming.
a. Approve the report and its transmittal to the
National Security Council;
b. Agree that USCIB should be the coordinating
body for the program; and
c. Note the State Department's willingness to
provide funds for the initial establishment and agree
to the principle that thereafter responsibility for
fund procurement will be allocated appropriately by
agreement among the interested agencies.
I
Acting Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
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IAC-D-11
29 December 1950
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29 December 1950
December 14, 1950
MEMORANDUM FOR THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE:
SUBJECT: Assistance to the VOA and other Aspects of Soviet Jamming
Enclosure: (A) Report of USCIB Ad Hoc Committee to Consider the
Problem of Soviet Jamming of VOA Programs and other
Aspects of Soviet Potential for Interference with
Radio Communications of the United States
1. As a result of United States Communications Intelligence
Board (USCIB) consideration of the subject problem, pursuant to a
request by the Director of Central Intelligence, the attached report
(Enclosure (A)) has been prepared, and approved by USCIB in principle.
2. If approved by the Intelligence Advisory Committee, the
members of USCIB recommend that the attached report be submitted to
the National Security Council (NSC) for consideration, with a view
to implementing action by the Department of Defense.
3. It is further recommended by the members of USCIB that,
if and when implemented, USCIB be designated as the coordinating
body for the program, in view of the communications intelligence
aspects of this problem.
1. If the program is approved for implementation, the State
Department has indicated that it will endeavor to secure funds to
cover requirements for its initial establishment, and that there-
after responsibility for fund procurement will be allocated appro-
priately by agreement among the interested agencies.
FOR THE UNITED STATES COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE BOARD:
/s/ W. Park Armstrong, Jr.
W. Park Armstrong, Jr.
Chairman, USCIB
Copy furnished:
Members of USCIB (without encl.)
SECREt
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IAC -D-11
29 December 1950
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TAB B
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IAC-D-11
29 December 1950
REPORT OF USCIB AD HOC COMMITTEE TO CONSIDER THE PROBLEM OF SOVIET
JAMMING OF VOA PROGRAMS AND OTHER ASPECTS OF SOVIET POTENTIAL FOR
INTERFERENCE WITH RADIO COMMUNICATIONS OF THE UNITED STATES
THE PROBLEM
1. (a) To determine the requirements in facilities,
personnel and funds necessary to obtain and
provide information on current Soviet radio
communication activities, as they relate to
potential ability to interfere with radio
broadcasts and communications of the U. S.
Government, which will assist the VOA in its
program and assist other U. S, Government
communications services in combatting pre-
sent and future Soviet radio interference,
and
(b) to determine what organization should be
responsible for this function in the event
it should be deemed practicable, and
(c) to determine what assistance to the VOA
can be rendered with existing Service
facilities and personnel..
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29 December 1950
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1? IAC 11
29 December 1950
FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM
(for facts, see Inclosure 1)
CONCLUSIONS
2 In blocking the reception of VOA broadcast programs in
territory within the U.S.S.R. and Satellites, the preponderant
advantage and possibility of success lies with the Russian jamming
organization due to inherent, inescapable physical factors. Improve-
ment in the extent to which the VOA can be made accessible to Russian
listeners can be achieved by informed manipulation of the broadcast
and relay frequencies and directional aspects of the VOA transmitters
based upon knowledge of the Russian jamming ability at the time.
This knowledge can be partially obtained by a monitoring organiza-
tion capable of identifying and locating the Russian transmitters
and frequencies available for interference operations. The ultimate
success of the jamming operation versus the penetration effort would
be determined by Russian decision as to the scale of their jamming
effort.
.3. An effort in support of the VOA program would provide
valuable information concerning Russian potential to block or inter-
fere with other communication services of the U. S. government and
possibly lead to the development of techniques for combatting such
interference.
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29 December 1950
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29 December 1950
4. Under present intelligence priorities and service opera-
tional requirements, existing facilities of the military services
and AFSA are not available for application on the required scale to
the problem of obtaining adequate information on present Russian
jamming of the VOA and potential Russian ability to interfere with
other U. S. communications. The facilities of the Services and
AFSA now installed overseas are not technically suited to a solu-
tion of this problem. No other agencies of the U. S. maintain
suitable facilities where they are required.
5. A program for obtaining information on Russian jamming and
potential for radio interference, such as suggested in Inclosure 2,
could be initiated at an estimated initial cost of $5,000,000 for
the first year and the provision of 355 trained technicians. The
effectiveness and success of this undertaking would be gradual
and in proportion as equipment and personnel became realities and
experience was gained, but the ultimate degree of success cannot
be predicted.
6. Operational direction of a program such as that envisaged
in Inclosure 2 could be conducted most effectively by AFSA which
now has the most complete store of information on Russian communi-
cations activities, is continuously acquiring this information, has
communications with and operational reporting from several of the
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29 December 1950
monitoring sites in the suggested program, and has had wide experi-
ence in the field of monitoring and transmitter location and
identification.
7. It is possible to render a minor amount of assistance to
the VOA program with existing Service facilities and personnel.
This amount of assistance to the VOA will not appreciably improve
the penetration of Soviet jamming and other interference nor will
it materially increase the amount of information obtained which will
assist other U. S. Government communications services in combatting
present and future Soviet radio interference,
8. If a program such as that indicated in Inclosure 2 is under-
taken, full advantage and use should be made of the experience and
technical knowledge of other agencies which have previously dealt
with this or similar problems, e. g., the FCC.
9. A program of obtaining information on Russian jamming
potential by direct intercept, D/F, and signal analysis would in no
way diminish the need for obtaining intelligence on the problem by
other means, such as covert operations, COMINT, and reporting by
diplomatic missions suitably located.
RECOMMENDATIONS
10. That a program along the lines of that suggested in
Inclosure 2, for monitoring and locating Russian jamming and other
possible interfering transmitters and of conveying the resulting
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information to appropriate collating and control centers, be con-
sidered as the initial program for the purposes stated.
11.. That if this program and operation is approved it be
placed under the operational direction of AFSA and appropriate
provision be made for service procurement of the necessary equip-
ment and personnel.
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29 December 1950
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INCLOSURE 1
IAC-D-11
29 December 1950
FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM
1. Intentional jamming of the radio relay circuits and broad-
casting channels of the VOA programs is being carried out by Russian
radio transmitters with the result that only an estimated 100 of
the Russian language broadcasts of the VOA can be received in the
U.S.S.R. There is similar Russian interference with VOA programs
designed and engineered for reception in the European Satellite
States of the U.S.S.R.' Greece, Iran, and China. There has occurred
in recent months sporadic intentional interference with U. S. Ser-
vice communications and International Commercial radio communica-
tions, apparently created by Russian or Satellite organizations.
2. The effectiveness, skill and occasional misdirection of
this interference with the VOA indicate the existence in the U.S.S.R.
of a carefully engineered, well operated and lavish system of radio
jamming under competent control and probably under central direction.
3. The capability and effectiveness of this Russian jamming
organization are such that it could create serious interference
with, if not total blocking of, communication circuits of other
U. S. government services, particularly the armed forces' trans-
oceanic circuits and other radio channels serving forces afloat and
ashore in Europe, Africa, the Western Pacific islands and the main-
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land of Asia.
4, The number of Russian broadcast transmitters has been
increasing in the recent past, particularly in Western Russia, the
Satellites and the Russian occupied zones of Germany. The frequen-
cies of these broadcasters interfere with those of the VOA Western
German stations and Armed Forces Network stations in Germany and it
appears certain that the purpose of many of these transmitters is
not to deliver Russian government programs but to block programs of
other governments, such as the VOA and B.B,C,.
5? In the case of radio broadcasting there is no way now
known to science of combatting jamming interference created by
jammer signals of approximately equal or greater strength than the
broadcast signal in the area of intended reception other than by
avoiding the frequencies on which it is possible for the jammer to
produce such interference.
6. In the case of radio relay to the broadcasting point (as
is necessary for the VOA) or in the case of point to point radio
communication (as for government service or commercial circuits)
the effect of jamming interference can be diminished by knowledge-
able manipulation of the transmission frequency; in effect "dodging"
the jamming.
7? In either case the degree of success in evading interfer-
ence is dependent upon (a) immediate knowledge by the transmitting
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agency of the frequencies, locations, types of signals and effective
ranges of active and available jamming transmitters, (b) the ability
of the jamming organization to "follow" frequency shifts by the
point-to-point or broadcasting transmitters and (c) availability of
jamming transmitters so located and employing power and frequencies
such as to produce an effective jamming signal at the receiver.
8. A considerable amount of information on Russian trans-
mitters of all Russian communications services is available in AFSA
and is being continuously and systematically expanded; much less
information on Russian broadcasting and active jamming transmitters
is available and information on these two types is not being syste-
matically developed.
9. Little or nothing is known of the Russian organization
responsible for this operation or of the method of control of the
jamming operations. Information on these subjects is essential to
the planning of adequate counter measures.
10. The Navy Security Branch can, with existing facilities,
render the following assistance to the VOA: daily, but at times
which would be dependent upon operational commitments (of first
priority), obtain and transmit by rapid means to a designated center
D/F bearings of Russian jamming transmitters from stations as
follows:
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12. The Air Force Security Service considers that its exist-
ing facilities are insufficient for its primary mission and could
not, therefor, be committed to any continuing program of assistance
to the VOA. The AFSS can, however, accept specific D/F missions
from the VOA and attempt to locate specified transmissions within
the limitations of available facilities and after satisfying other
assignments of first priority.
13. Technically, the problem of separating and taking bearings
on several Russian interfering radio signals transmitted simultan-
eously on the same frequency from different localities is extremely
difficult. Employment of supressed carrier or other unusual techni-
ques will add to the difficulty. The Navy maintains only one D/F
in the Atlantic net favorable located outside the Continental U. S.
which severly limits the accuracy of positions of transmitters in
Russia located by this D/F network..
.14. The FCC has provided a limited amount of information on
Russian jamming transmitters and has had. considerable experience in
the type of D/F and monitoring operations required for the VOA prob-
lem. Certain British organizations have had similar experience of
value.
15. Additional facilities to obtain information on Russian
jamming activities and on radio transmitters capable of interfering
with U. S. communications could be provided and maintained far more
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economically at existing sites of U. S. activities, suitably
located, than at locations where no U. S. activities exist.
16. An organization of monitoring, direction finding, signal
analysis and rapid communications facilities for the purpose of
assisting the VOA in the present problem of increasing its penetra-
tion of Russian jamming and for providing information of value to
the military and other government communications services in com-
batting future Russian interference with U. S. radio communications
could be provided at an estimated initial cost of $5,000,000. This
would include equipment, installation and operating costs for the
first year. Additionally, there would be required 355 trained
technicians. Such an organization is outlined in I}closure 2,
17. There is a deficit of trained personnel, direction finder,
intercept and signal analysis equipment, communications equipment
and frequencies for any effective program for obtaining information
on Russian jamming potential. The approved programs for the expan-
-sion of AFSA facilities and those of the service cryptologic agencies
would be in conflict or competition with an effort to alleviate the
jamming problem, present and potential, from the standpoint of pro-
curement of trained personnel and facilities.
18. The cryptologic agencies of the military services main-
tain and operate monitoring and D/F facilities at some, but not all,
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of the locations necessary for the effective operations of such an
organization as is suggested in Inclosure 2.
19,, AFSA has operational direction of Army D/F stations in
25X1
via service controlled and operated circuits, exist from all
service monitoring and D/F stations to AFSA and to the service
eryptologic headquarters. These communications, with exception of
the Navy D/F control and reporting circuits, are not adequate for
solution of the problem under consideration.
20. The monitoring, D/F, and communications facilities now
serving AFSA, under either AFSA or Service control, are inadequate
to enable AFSA to carry out fully its currently assigned missions
and responsibilities. The approved programs of expansion of these
facilities will not be completed until at earliest the middle of
FY 1952,
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SE(REE
IAC-D-11
29 December 1950
25X1
11, Operational Arrangements
A. Monitoring.
Monitoring asoigrn~nents will be made by Control
Centers and will be such as to provide search of
communications spectrum or concentration in cer-
tain frequency bands as required. Monitoring
stations will report to Control Centers the in-
formation desired over direct radio circuits.
B. Direction Finding.
Control Centers will coordinate the taking of
bearings over direct radio circuits and collect
results over the same circuit. Any combination
of simultaneous bearings from two or more sta-
tions, or systematic taking of bearings by
individual D/F equipments as directed by local
search can be achieved.
SEtREI
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C. Control.
1. Control Centers will determine from station
reports and their own calculations such
information as
a. Number and location of jamming or
interference producing stations.
b. Effectiveness of jamming in given areas.
c. Optimum frequencies for avoiding jamming
or other interference.
d. Cumulative data on existing Soviet
and Satellite transmitters.
2. Control Centers will convey pertinent infor-
mation to VOA broadcasting control stations
to effect improved reception in desired areas.
3. Control Centers will forward accumulated
data to AFSA headquarters for further
analysi3 and collating with other infor-
mation available to AFSA.
III. Administrative and Operational Relationships
A. Provision and maintenance of D/F and monitoring
stations, staffing of these stations, and pro-
vision of essential communications will be a
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29 December 1950
military service responsibility.
B. Provision, staffing, and maintenance of Control
Centers will be an AFSA responsibility.
C. Operational direction of the Control Centers
and of the Monitoring Stations through the
Control Centers will be an AFSA responsibility
with VOA assistance and liaison.
D. Intelligence and, technical buck-up for the
operation will be furnished by AFSA.
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29 December 1950
INCLOSURE 2,
Appendix A
1. Equipment required at each station.
MATERIEL
Highly directive antennae oriented in direction of most
likely Russian target areas. Well installed rhombics
would be satisfactory. Antennae of lesser gain but of
higher directivity would perhaps be more satisfactory.
5 H/F Receivers for monitoring (Collins 51J or
Hammarlund 600jx )
2 M/F Receivers (superhetrodyne type - Navy Model
RAA, RAS or RAH)
2 Model M-2 Signal Splitter (McLaughlin type or General-
Electric Single Sideband Selector Model YRS-1)
2 Magnetic Tape Recorders (Magnecorder type)
3-5 Panoramic adaptors for HF Receivers
1-2 Sonograph (Kay Electric type)
1 Sonolator (Kay Electric type)
1 Panoramic Sonic Analyzer (Panoramic Corporation type)
1 H/F D/F Equipment of aural type
1 M/F D/F Equipment of aural type
1-2 H/F Receivers for circuit (net) communications
1-2 H/F Transmitters for circuit (net) communications
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(500-1000 watts).
2. Personnel required at each station for continuous operation.
1 Supervisor in charge
4 D/F operators
4 Maintenance technicians
12 Monitoring and signal analysis operators
8 Circuit operators and coding personnel..
3. Personnel required at each Control Center.
1 Supervisor in charge
1 Ionospheric wave propagation expert
4 Watch supervisors
4 D/F bearing plotters
8 Circuit operators and coding personnel..
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IAC-D-11/1
3 January 1951
INTELLIGENCE SUPPORT FOR THE VOICE
OF AMERICA WITH REGARD TO SOVIET JAMMING
1. The attached memorandum (TAB A) to the NSC has
been prepared to cover all of the aspects required in the
assignment regarding Soviet jamming and assistance to the
VOA including the recommendations of the USCIB Report.
2. It is recommended that this Report be approved
and transmitted to the NSC with the USCIB Report as a
detailed study on some of the aspects.
25X1A
Acting Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
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3 January 1951
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MEMORANDUM FOR: EXECUTIVE SECRETARY OF THE NATIONAL
SECURITY COUNCIL
SUBJECT: Intelligence Support for the Voice of
America with regard to Soviet Jamming
Reference is made to my memorandum of September 7, 1950,
on the above subject, forwarding the Report of the Ad Hoc Committee
on Voice of America Jamming, and noting that Recommendation 3 of
the Report regarding establishment of an additional monitoring
facility would be referred to the U.S.C.I.B.
The Chairman of USCIB has now forwarded to me the attached
report which recommends, in brief, that an additional monitoring
facility be established under the operational direction of AFSA and
delineates the requirements in terms of facilities, personnel and
equipment for the establishment of such a facility. This U.S.C.I.B.
report and its recommendations have the unanimous approval of IAC.
In the light of the USCIB report and further consideration
of the problem, the IAC now submits, for the consideration of the
Council in connection withNSC 66, the following final recommenda-
tions which incorporate the recommendations of the USCIB report and
the recommendations of the earlier IAC report, appropriately revised:.
1,.. That a readjustment of priorities among existing intelli-
gence tasks or a reallocation of the use of existing intelligence
facilities should not be undertaken.
2. That there should be established an additional monitoring
-activity to obtain and provide information on current Soviet radio
communication activities which will assist the VOA in its program
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and assist other US Government communications services in combat-
ting present and future Soviet radio interference, and that this
additional monitoring activity be established, coordinated and
operated as follows:
a. The initial program for this activity should be under-
taken along the lines suggested in Enclosure 2 of the USCIB
Report of 28 November 1950-
b. This activity should monitor and locate Russian
jamming signals and other interfering transmitters and should
convey promptly and continuously to the VOA and other interested
US communications services such resulting information as will
assist them to improve their reception.
c. This activity should not interfere with existing
monitoring programs, particularly from the standpoint of equip-
ment and personnel,
d, This activity should be thoroughly coordinated with
existing monitoring activities.
e. In view of the COMINT aspects of this program, USCIB
should be assigned responsibility for overall coordination of
this activity and of its relation to such other monitoring
activities as will contribute to this program. In the per-
formance of this responsibility, USCIB should be governed by
the provisions of NSCID #9 as they apply to COMINT activities.
f. This activity should be placed under the operational
direction of AFSA, and appropriate provision should be made
for Service procurement of the necessary equipment and personnel.
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Or 3. That the CIA assume overall responsibility to:
a. Coordinate the collection of information concerning
Russian jamming from all non-monitoring sources.
b. Serve as the collection point for this information
and assure that such of this information as will assist the
VOA and other government communications services to improve
their reception on a daily basis is passed promptly and con-
tinuously to these services. The CIA, with the assistance of
the Special Assistant, Intelligence, Department of State, should
determine and establish such security arrangements and channels
of dissemination as may be required to pass this information
to the VOA; these arrangements and channels to be determined
in the light of materials made available.
c. Undertake, in conjunction with the other intelli-
gence agencies, a coordinated program for the collection,
evaluation and dissemination of such information as will be
useful in the long-range analysis of Russian radio inter-
ference and in the development of counter-measures-.
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PROPOSED REVISION --IAC-D-111
INTELLIGENCE SUPPORT FOR VOICE OF AMERICA
WITH RESPECT TO SOVIET JAMMING
1. The following revisions are recommended to clarify
the paper and CIA's responsibility to this project:
Paragraph 2, line 3, strike "radio communication,"
substitute "electromagnetic warfare,"
Paragraph 2, sub d* should read: "This activity
should be thoroughly coordinated by CIA with existing
non-AFSA monitoring activities."
Paragraph 2.e., strike in toto.
Paragraph 3.a., strike "non-monitoring."
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8 tebruary 1951
0b ective of c
D?12)
1? This list of objectives in atomic energy stem fftm a letter
fraee General Cabeli suggesting the need for a statement which would give
greater direction to collectors in this field. This list (LAO-I3-12)
could be considered an elation in the field of atonic energy of
DCII 4/2, which is the IAC approved list of National. Intelligence
Objectives (attached TAB A),
back it might be pointed out that the State D
t
epsr
t
and probably think of this atomic energy list as useless to then but
not objecti ble. The military will probably attach significance to it
clashtag that it viii enable their collection offices in the Pentagon to
draft better collection directives,
3. With respect to production, it is quite probable that no IAC
a>a tuber would assert that his activities will be closely geared to this
list.
4. Indications are that siaiUr lists of objectives v= soon be
Pre Pared In other scientific intelligence fields. It is suggested that
the I should seek to appraise the practical (as opposed to the theo-
retical) validity of this approach.
That this paper be approved even though it is doubtful that it
will have any identifiable effect upon either the production or collection
effort.
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SMRE
IAC-D-12
12 January 1951
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF
INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES IN THE FIELD OF ATOMIC ENERGY
1. Attached hereto (TAB A) is a Consolidated Statement of
Intelligence Objectives in the Field of Atomic Energy prepared in
response to a letter from Major General C. P. Cabell, USAF, to the
Director of Central Intelligence, dated 16 November 1950. This
statement was prepared by the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence
Committee, which is a subcommittee of the Scientific Intelligence
Committee.
2. In addition to the IAC, the following agencies were asked
to submit statements of specific requirements which should be
included to meet their needs:
National Security Resources Board
Munitions Board
Research and Development Board
Military Liaison Committee to the AEC
3. All replies to the request were consolidated into a
single statement approved by the JAEIC. The objectives are stated
in the approximate order of priority.
4. Your approval of this statement of objectives is requested.
After approval this statement will represent the National Intelli-
gence Objectives in the field of atomic energy and will form the
basis for the establishment of priority collection requirements and
the framework for estimates in this field.
25X1A
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
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12 January 1951
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SECT
IACD--l
-13
6 February 1951
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEYS
1. The attached report of the National Intelligence Survey
Committee is submitted for consideration at the next IAC meeting..
The report recommends that the rate of NIS production be increased
to 15 per year so that studies on the 60 high priority areas may
be completed by 30 June 1954.
25X1A
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
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6 February 1951
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SPECIAL REPORT OF THE NIS COMMITTEE
1. The NIS Committee has for some time been concerned over
the general situation in respect to basic intelligence collection,
maintenance, and production for the NIS Program. In view of the
increasingly critical international situation, the Committee is of
the opinion that much greater emphasis must be given to the NIS
Program. to provide the essential basic intelligence on strategically
important world areas at the earliest practicable date. The Com-
mittee has therefore examined this matter and has arrived at
certain conclusions, set forth hereinafter) which it,desires be
laid before the Director of Central Intelligence for consideration
by the Intelligence Advisory Committee.
2. The actual operations of the NIS Program have extended
over the past two years. The experience of this period confirms
the essential soundness of the Program as a means of developing
the basic intelligence needed by the Government. There has been
a vacillation of support by the Intelligence Agencies, however,
which has greatly complicated the task and weakened the production
effort. Moreover, the uneven quality of NIS contributions indi-
cates a serious lack of qualified personnel available for NIS work.
The NIS Committee considers that no real measure of improvement in.,
the NIS Program can be realized at any level of effort without first
effecting a fundamental improvement in these aspects of the Program.
3. Recently the Secretary of Defense has directed the Armed
Forces Agencies to assign support sufficient to maintain NIS pro-
duction at the equivalent rate of eight NIS a year on a long range,
continuous basis. At this rate of production there should be
available by the end of this fiscal year the approximate equivalent
of 18 NIS. Considering only the 60 high priority areas contained
in the JCS list, there will still remain the equivalent of 42 NIS
to be produced beginning with fiscal year 1952. How soon this job
should be done is determined by the national security interests.
How soon this job will be done is determined. by the amount of
support which is directed toward its accomplishment,
4. At a sustained rate of production of 8 NIS a year the
NIS on all high priority areas will be completed and placed fully
on a maintenance basis sometime during fiscal year l957.. This is
nearly 5 years beyond the original target date approved in 19+8
by the IAC, the JCS, and the NSC. In spite of the urgency of the
present situation, the Committee feels that too much time has
already been lost to make the original target date a feasible goal.
The Committee therefore agrees that an intermediate target date
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r ~ t
should be set on the basis of a reasonably attainable augmentation
of NIS production capabilities within the CIA and the IAC Agencies.
This is indicated in the following table and sets the completion
of the primary requirements by the end of fiscal year 1954. There
will also be needed additional capabilities for the maintenance
of published NIS.
Fiscal Year
Equivalent NIS
Total
Previous
1949
31
32
production
1950
62
10
Present authorized (
level of production
1951
8
18
Proposed level of (
1952
12
30
production (
1953
15
45
(
195+
15
6o
5. In order to achieve the foregoing NIS production scliedule,
it will be necessary to build up a competent staff in each agency
actually capable of this production at the beginning of the fiscal
years involved. To do this needs more than mere authorization. It
needs the assignment of a priority for the NIS Program in each agency
commensurate with its importance and sufficient to ensure the acqui-
sition of this staff both through new recruitment and through re-
alignment of agency capabilities. Moreover, there will be needed a
greatly increased collection effort to fill the serious gaps which
now exist and to keep the basic intelligence up to date. The NIS
Committee therefore recommends:
a. that the NIS on all JCS high priority areas be com!leted
and placed fully on a maintenance basis by 30 June 1954;
b. that the Intelligence Agencies assign to the NIS Program
a degree of priority which will ensure the summary attainment of
adequate production and maintenance capabilities for this task;
and.
c, that the collection of NIS requirements on high priority
areas be afforded the necessary increased support.
25X1A
SE(RcT
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INV 25 JAN iJJ1
SPECIAL REPORT OF THE NIS COMMITTEE jq Q` 13
1. The NIS Committee has for some time been concerned over
the general situation in respect to basic intelligence collection,
maintenance, and production for the NIS Program. In view of the
increasingly critical international situation, the Committee is of
the opinion that much greater emphasis must be given to the NIS
Program to provide the essential basic intelligence on strategically
important world areas at the earliest practicable date. The Com-
mittee has therefore examined this matter and has arrived at
certain conclusions, set forth hereinafter, which it desires be
laid before the Director of Central Intelligence for consideration
by the Intelligence Advisory Committee.
2. The actual operations of the NIS Program have extended
over the past two years. The experience of this period confirms
the essential soundness of the Program as a means of developing
the basic intelligence needed by the Government. There has been
a vacillation of support by the Intelligence Agencies, however,
which has greatly complicated the task and weakened the production
effort.. Moreover, the uneven quality of NIS contributions indi-
cates a serious lack of qualified personnel available for NIS work.
The NIS Committee considers that no real measure of improvement in
the NIS Program can be realized at any level of effort without first
effecting a fundamental improvement in these aspects of the Program.-
3, Recently the Secretary of Defense has directed the Armed
Forces Agencies to assign support sufficient to maintain NIS pro-
duction at the equivalent rate of eight NIS a year on a long range,
continuous basis, At this rate of production there should be
available by the end of this fiscal year the approximate equivalent
of 18 NIS. Considering only the 60 high priority areas contained
in the JCS list, there will still remain the equivalent of 42 NIS
to be produced beginning with fiscal year 1952. How soon this job
should be done is determined by the national security interests.
How soon this job will be done is determined by the amount of
support which is directed toward its accomplishment.
4. At a sustained rate of production of 8 NIS a year the
NIS on all high priority areas will be completed and placed fully
on a maintenance basis sometime during fiscal year 1957. This is
nearly 5 years beyond the original target date approved in 19+8
by the IAC, the JCS, and the NSC.. In spite of the urgency of the
present situation, the Committee feels that too much time has
already been lost to make the original target date a feasible gaal.
The Committee therefore agrees that an intermediate target date
c ,. `
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should be set on the basis of a reasonably attainable augmentation
of NIS production capabilities within the CIA and the IAC Agencies.
This is indicated in the following table and sets the completion
of the primary requirements by the end of fiscal year 1954. There
will also be needed additional capabilities for the maintenance
of published NIS.
Fiscal Year
Equivalent NIS
Total
Previous
199
3-
`-`-~
3 -
production (
1950
6*
10
Present authorized (
level of production
1951
8
18
Proposed level of (
1952
12
30
production (
1953
15
45
(
195+
15
6o
5. In order to achieve the foregoing NIS production schedule,
it will be necessary to build up a competent staff in each agency
actually capable of this production at the beginning of the fiscal
years involved. To do this needs more than mere authorization. It
needs the assignment of a priority for the NIS Program in each agency
commensurate with its importance and sufficient to ensure the acqui-
sition of this staff both through new recruitment and through re-
alignment of agency capabilities. Moreover, there will be needed a
greatly increased collection effort to fill the serious gaps which
now exist and to keep the basic intelligence up to date. The NIS
Committee therefore recommends:
a. that the NIS on all JCS high priority areas be completed
and placed fully on a maintenance basis by 30 June 195+;
b. that the Intelligence Agencies assign to the NIS Program
a degree of priority which will ensure the summary attainment of
adequate production and maintenance capabilities for this task;
and
c. that the collection of NIS requirements on high priority
areas be afforded the necessary increased support..
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3 February 1951
RANDU TO t THE DII CTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCH
TOUGH s Assistant Director for Intellicence Coordination
Assistant Director for Research and Reports
The I Program
Special Report of the NIS Co %ttee dated 16 January
1951-
1. There is forwarded here'rdth the "Special Report of the NIS
Coittee" pursuant to the request of the Comittee that it be laid
before the Director of Central Intelligence for consideration by the
Intelligence Advisory Committee,
2, Reference report sets forth proposals of the NIS Cen =ittee which
would involve increasing NIS production to the equivalent of 12 NIS a year
for fiscal year 1952, and to the equivalent of 1$ NIS a year for fiscal
Years 1953-19 in order to complete and to place fully on a maintenance
basis NIS on a Jt hi & priority areas by 30 June 19S1i. General
of the necessary departmental capabilities to meet this pro--
uctioni goal are being prepared by the members of the NIS
for their respective Directors of Intelligence. Since the
Committee's proposals would also require increased support by the
in funds and services, there follows a general estimate of require-
ments affecttn; ; this Agency.
3, The services which the CIA directly provides for the NIS Program
a. The Basic Intelli_, ence Division, G/RR, which performs the
over-all coordination for the NIS ?rogram and provides facilities
for review, editing, and publication of the National Intelligence
Surveys.
b. The Geographic Division, 0/11., which is responsible for the
preparation of the NI maps and serves as coordinator and partial
producer of Chapter IX (Map and Chart Appraisal) of the M.S.
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naibilities for Section 56 (Intelligence and Security) of the
The Office of Special Operations, v .ch has the productican
The Office of Scientific intelligence. fah serves as
coordinator and partial producer of Chapter VU (Scientific) of
the NIS.
iginal NIS Gaz tear sheets by 1211 process a is charged
The Office of Collection and Dissemination.. which prepares
with the responsibility for the dissemination of}the published 1NIS.
Other agencies 'which receive CIA fiscal support for the NI
al.. Services Unit of the Covernxt PrintinC
Office for the printing of HIS and Gazetteers,
be The staff of the U.S. Doard on Ceo4raphic Names for the
dsvelaprwnt of NTZ standard - eo aphlc names and for the geo-
graphic name editing of Nl material.
c. The Intelligence . envy of the Dopart nt of State for
principal production of NIS Chapter IV (Sociological)
,
pier V Political), and. Chapter VI ( note c) .
d. The Department of Agriculture (Office of Foreign Aer{-R
eatural Relations and Forest Service) for the principal production
of N Section 61 (Food a Agriculture).
62 (Fuels and Power).. Section 61 (Minerals +et )
Agriculture), and for the principal production of NT=
The Department of the Interior (Bureau of Uines and Fish
We Serice) for the partial production of Nis section v1
and Supplement V (Petroleum),
5. The additional support in services and funds which the CIA would
be required to furn under the proposals of the NIS Coinmittee cannot be
fully deterred until the various contributing agencies have indicated
their require nts, This matter will be taken in hand as soon as policy
determinations have been rte, In ;eneral terms, however, it is estimated
that for fiscal yoarr 1952 the CIA services would need to be increased
about 3t%,# and the CIA fiscal support to other aZencies about 40%, over
Me in L,Qth services R2 i'Jsc support hi 7, the CIA for fiscal years
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6. There a severe shortage of personnel in the Cove
9WIfted to do intelligence work. This m alms it urgent that the
priority to be attached to an accelerated NIS program relative to
other work for which such personnel is needed be carefully considered.
7. Attention might be given to the possibility of having sow
arts of the Surveys done by contractual arr Umnts with niversities
r other private research Zroups. Such a procedure would not remove
y for a priority deterdnation her, since such private
also be employed tom, other urgent research for the vernment,
one of the principal remaining pools of people from whi
of intef .pence personnel can be made.
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CIA 36i4t,.
TQ&
V SECRET
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE SURVEYS
SECRET
117-7-1771
13 March 1951
1. On 8 February the IAC decided to postpone consider-
ation of the recommended increase in the rate of production
for the NIS program until certain matters could be investigated
(IAC-M-19).
2. The conclusions of these investigations are presented
herewith for information in connection with further consideration
of the recommendations of the NIS Committee (IAC-D-13).
3. Attached are:
TAB A. A memorandum from the Deputy Director for
Intelligence, The Joint Staff - setting forth
a revised priority list.
TAB B. The findings of the NIS Committee with regard
to:
(1) Estimated completion dates for the
NIS on the revised priority list.
(2) The possibility of omitting portions
from the standard NIS.
TAB C. The findings of CIA with regard to:
(1) CIA assistance to the military on
recruitment.
(2) Contracting NIS sections to private
institutions.
(3) Training additional personnel.
Li.. The question for decision remains whether or not to
authorize an increase in the rate of production of NIS from
8 to 15 per year.
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n~vurn nt tea.
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C;I Ct3C:l~t SJlt'~Y
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cxt f zvi iw
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Intelligence Advisory Committee
O1 SECRET
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1 SECRET IAC-D-13Ei
13 March 1951
THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF
Washington 25, D. C.
JOINT INTELLIGENCE GROUP
DDIM-23-51
21 February 1951
MEMORANDUM FOR: The Director, Central Intelligence Agency
Subject: Priority List and Production Rate for National
Intelligence Surveys
References: a. DDM-236, dated 20 March 1950
b. IAC-M-19, dated 8 February 1951
1. The "Priority List of N.I.S. Areas for use of C.I.A. in
Preparation of Basic Intelligence Studies," dated 15 March 1950, has
been reviewed by an Ad Hoc Committee composed of representatives of
the Army, Navy, Air Force, Joint Strategic Plans Group JSPG), Joint
Logistics Plans Group (JLPG), Joint Intelligence Group (JIG), and the
State Department. All agencies have concurred in the recommended
changes.
2. The Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff,
recommends that:
a. The present HIGH PRIORITY GROUP I with certain additional
areas be placed in a new group to be accorded HIGHEST PRIORITY.
Also that the new HIGHEST PRIORITY GROUP be further sub-divided
into priority groupings as follows:
HIGHEST PRIORITY
a.
China-Manchuria
Indo-China
Yugoslavia
Greece
Turkey
Iran
U.S.S.R.
b.
Norway
Sweden
Denmark
Thailand
India
Pakistan
Burma
East Germany
Czechoslovakia
Hungary
Austria
Poland
Bulgaria
Rumania
Malaya (British
Indonesia)
Finland
Albania
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U March.1951
b. The capabilities for the production of surveys in the
HIGHEST PRIORITY GROUP be increased sufficiently to insure a
much greater production rate,
c. Studies currently in progress be continued if it is
determined that personnel employed on these studies can be
utilized on them without detriment to the preparation of
studies of areas recommended for inclusion in the HIGHEST
PRIORITY GROUP,
d. The Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff,
re-examine the N.I,S. Priority List semi-annually with a view
to determining if changes should be made in the List.
/s/ V. E. Megee
V. E, MEGEE
Brigadier General, USMC
Deputy Director for Intelligence
The Joint Staff
cc: Spec. Asst, Intel,(State)
A.C. of S,, G-2, U.S. Army
DNI
D/I, USAF
ran SECRET
-I+O SECRET
IAC-D-13 1
13 March 1951
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CIA 36i4,.
NIS COMMITTEE FINDINGS
-SECRET
IAC-D-1 1
13 March 1951
1. The following questions were asked the NIS Committee:
a. At the presently authorized T/0 of the contributing
agencies, which is based on the production of the equivalent
of 8 NIS a year, when will the NIS be completed on the 2L
Highest Priority Areas contained in reference memorandum?
b. Assuming the rate of production proposed by the NIS
Committee in its Special Report of 16 February 1951, when
will the NIS be completed on the 2t Highest Priority Areas
contained in reference memorandum?
c. What portions of the NIS outline do the IAC Agencies
consider could be omitted with a view to reducing the pro-
duction load?
Completion Dates
2. The Committe feels that, while a certain amount of
production on the new Highest Priority Areas is already being
accomplished, it will require an appreciable length of time
before maximum effort can be directed to these new Highest
Priority Areas. In many instances, area specialists will have
to be recruited. In other instances, current production will
have to be completed before starting work on some sections of
the Highest Priority Areas in order that the large amount of
production work already accomplished will not be wasted. In
other words, it takes time to realign NIS production to new
priority objectives. Moreover, the existing staffs in the
contributing agencies include area specialists concerned with
other high priority areas who should continue NIS production
in the interests of realizing the maximum production capabilities
of these agencies. There is no assurance, either, that some of
these other high priority areas may not be raised in priority
at some later date.
SECRI, .T@SECRET
3. Taking into account the above factors, and based on
the assumption that adequate staffs can be recruited within a
reasonable time, the NIS Committee considers that the NIS on
the Highest Priority Areas can be completed with the presently
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13 March 1951
authorized T/0-by 30 June 1953. The NIS Committee further
considers that, while the NIS production rate proposed by the
Committee in its Special Report of 16 February 1951 will be
capable of a much greater "across-the-board" production of the 60 High Priority Areas than with the presently authorized T/O,
the completion of the NIS on the new 2)4 Highest Priority Areas
will be accomplished with the proposed larger staffs about six
months earlier, or 30 December 1952.
Portions That Could Be Omitted
)4. The NIS Committee members stated that their agencies
did not consider that any substantial reduction in the NIS
outline should be made. The Air Force is eliminating certain
Order of Battle data in Section 83, Chapter VIII (Armed Forces),
but since this information is maintained by the Directorate of
Intelligence as a standing requirement, its exclusion from the
NIS will not appreciably reduce the amount of effort necessary
to produce this NIS section. The NIS Committee has kept NIS
requirements under continuing revision since the inception of
the NIS Program, and the Committee considers that any major
reduction in the present requirements would be prejudicial to
the NIS Program.
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CIA 36144 SECRET TAB C
CIA FINDINGS
'-SECRET
IAC-D-13/1
13 March 1951
1. CIA was requested to consider the following questions
relating to the NIS program:
a. How can CIA be. of assistance to the military
services in their recruitment for NIS positions?
b. Could sections.af the NIS be prepared under
contract by Universities or private research groups?
c. Could training programs be instituted to pro-
vide more analysts with the special kinds of competence
required for NIS work?
Recruitment Assistance
2. The CIA personnel office is in touch with the Army
NIS people and will endeavor to render such assistance as
they can. Upon preliminary examination CIA believes it can
be most helpful by making available the services of CIAis
recruiting teams and by drawing on extensive CIA application
files. This can best be done by getting the Army's specific
qualification requirements, Although the matter is still
under study, it does not now appear that CIA can be of much
assistance with regard to the civil service aspects of the
problem or financial support.
Contract Research
3. Arrangements of this kind have been tried in the past
with somewhat unsatisfactory results. There is a tendency for
academic experts to reflect in their contributions special
points of view which are not in keeping with the purely objec-
tive and factual tone required in the Surveys. An understanding
of the precise specifications, requirements, and editorial
character of the NIS can be acquired only by a contact between
the writer and the editorial group closer than that which is
possible when the work is done in a distant city by people not
familiar with the program. Finally, in many cases a good deal
of classified material must be used in the preparation of the
Surveys which cannot easily be made available to private groups.
The possibilities of having completed sections ready for publi-
cation farmed out on contract do not, therefore, look promising.
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.7-6P-SECRET
TAC -D-13 1
13 March 1951
4. On the other hand, a real saving in the time and
effort needed for final preparation in Washington may be
possible by having done at Universities background studies
which assemble some of the basic material and which can then
be edited and blended with classified data by the Washington
agencies. The extent to which this can be done depends upon
the availability in private institutions of qualified analysts
and information relating to the high priority areas. The
External Research Staff maintained jointly by the State Depart-
ment and the CIk is currently conducting an inventory of the
research facilities of 90 leading colleges and universities
throughout the United States. When this survey has been com-
pleted it will be matched with the list of NIS sections still
to be done on the high priority areas to determine the specific
possibilities of contract research. It is believed, however$
on the basis of a preliminary comparison of the sections to be
done and the probable research facilities available that only
a few contracts of this kind will turn out to be feasible or
desirable.
Training
5. The problem of training analysts for NIS work is
inseparable from the broader problem of training people capable
of doing competent research on various areas of the world. The
principal. requirements for NIS analysts are a sound grounding
in one or more of the major disciplines (e.g. economics, political
science, history, military science) etc.) and some academic study
in the language, institutions, and characteristics of an area of
the world. No short program of special instruction can supply
these qualifications, which can be furnished only by appropriate
academic training. Such special skills as are peculiar to NIS
production are best acquired by on-the-job training in the NIS
program itself.
6. Any increase in the number of area specialists being
turned out by the colleges and universities, and any improvement
in methods of drawing such people into intelligence work will
benefit the NIS program. The problem of ways of encouraging the
universities to expand their area programs is one which CIA is
considering jointly with the State Department.
96P SECRET
E(RET -D- -r
13 March
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IAC-D- 2 /3
15 August 1951
CONFLICT BETWEEN NIE 40 AND SECTIONS OF THE NIS
Attached hereto is a memorandum from the Chairman of the
Economic Intelligence Committee submitted for consideration at the
IAC meeting on Thursday, 16 August 1951, with the purpose of obtain-
ing a resolution of the conflict described.
D
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
S-B-C-R-E-T
IAC
IAC-D- 2
15 August 1951
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S-E-C-R-E-T
LAC-D-a 4913
15 August 1951
SUBJECT: Conflict Between NIE 40 and Sections of the NIS
I have been ins-cructed by the Economic Intelligence Committee
to request from the IAC a statement of the relative priority of
NIE 40* and certain sections of the NIS program. At the last
meeting of the EIC both the Army and the Navy representatives indi-
cated that preparation of their assigned sections on NIE 40 would
cause considerable delay in their submission of certain NIS assign-
ments. In view of this conflict and in response to the Navy's
request the detailed terms of reference for the economic sections
were pared down to the absolute minimum necessary to answer the
central question raised by the estimate. The Army and Navy repre-
sentatives indicated that in spite of this revision a delay in the
submission of sections of NIS studies in the highest priority
group would result which might be as much as one and a half to two
months, The EIC Working Group on NIE 40 feels that the assignments
now proposed for the Army and Navy relating to such items as ship-
building; transportation, weapons productions, electronics, and
the like cannot be satisfactorily secured from any other source
and it is the opinion of this group that these assignments are an
integral and vital part of the study.
*NIE 0-?-Potential. Military, Economic, and Scientific Accretions to
the USSR Resulting from the Acquisition of Western Europe
before Mid-1952.
/s/ MAX F. MILLIKAN
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-D-
15 August 1951
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IAC-D- 13/3
15 August 1951
CONFLICT BETWEEN NIE 4+0 AND SECTIONS OF THE NIS
Attached hereto is a memorandum from the Chairman of the
Economic Intelligence Committee submitted for consideration at the
IAC meeting on Thursday, 16 August 1951, with the purpose of obtain-
ing a resolution of the conflict described.
25X1A
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
S-E-C-R-E-T
IA C -D 2 /.~/.3
15 August 1951
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IAC-D- 13/3
15 August 1951
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
SUBJECT: Conflict Between NIE 40 and Sections of the NIS
I have been instructed by the Economic Intelligence Committee
to request from the IAC a statement of the relative priority of
NIE 40* and certain sections of the NIS program. At the last
meeting of the EIC both the Army and the Navy representatives indi-
cated that preparation of their assigned sections on NIE 40 would
cause considerable delay in their submission of certain NIS assign-
ments. In view of this conflict and in response to the Navy's
request the detailed terms of reference for the economic sections
were pared down to the absolute minimum necessary to answer the
central question raised by the estimate. The Army and Navy repre-
sentatives indicated that in spite of this revision a delay in the
submission of sections of NIS studies in the highest priority
group would result which might be as much as one and a half to two
months, The EIC Working Group on NIE 40 feels that, the assignments
now proposed for the Army and Navy relating to such items as ship-
building; transportation, weapons productions, electronics, and
the like cannot be satisfactorily secured from any other source
and it is the opinion of this group that these assignments are an
integral and vital part of the study.
*NIE 40---Potential Military, Economic, and Scientific Accretions to
the USSR Resulting from the Acquisition of Western Europe
before Mid-1952.
/s/ MAX F. MILLIKAN
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-D- 2
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IAC-D-13 2
18 June 1951
NIS PROGRAM
The attached memorandum, received from Captain Knowles,
Chairman of the NIS Committee, is distributed for information.
It will not be considered at an IAC meeting unless one of
the member agencies so requests.
e
Intelligence Advisory Committee
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IAC-D-13 2
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IAC-D-13/2
18 June 1951
NIS PROGRAM
VaW
1. The augmentation of NIS production proposed by the NIS
Committee in its Special Report of 16 February 1951 was considered
by the IAC on 15 March 1951. Essentially, the IAC agreed that, for
the remainder of this fiscal year, the Intelligence Agencies will
devote their efforts to building up their capabilities to at least
an 8 NIS-a-year level. The IAC further agreed that at the end of
this fiscal year this matter would again be considered with a view
to determining the extent to which further augmentation should be
carried.
2. The NIS Committee examined the production situation at
its meeting of 29 May 1951. Current NIS production is roughly 50%
of commitments, or at the rate of 4 NIS a year. Recruitment of
personnel is slow in all of the Intelligence Agencies and it appears
that authorized strength will not be reached before the end of the
first quarter of fiscal year 1952. In consequence, the full pro-
duction of these staffs will not be reflected in the finished con-
tributions from the Intelligence Agencies until the middle of next
fiscal year. The NIS Committee anticipates, however, that the
production schedule for fiscal year 1952, which calls for the
equivalent of approximately 10 NIS, will generally be fulfilled.
In this respect, attention is invited to paragraph 6 of NIS Committee
Meeting No. 106, of 29 May 1951, which indicates the general pro-
duction situation of each agency. (Excerpt attached)
3. The NIS Committee, therefore, believes that further
reconsideration of the NIS Program by the IAC should be deferred
until the capabilities of the presently authorized staffs in the
several Intelligence Agencies can more accurately be appraised.
Furthermore, the NIS Committee is of the opinion that no material
advantage would be gained at this time from any current revision
of the JCS Priority List, since scheduled NIS production for the
next fiscal year will be proceeding on as broad a front as possible,
including all highest priority areas and a large number of high
priority areas.
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-D-13 2
18 June 1951
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IAC-D-13/2
18 June 1951
State - Expects to have authorized personnel on board by October 1951
in which event State should be able to complete its allocations
in NIS areas by the end of FY 1952.
Army - The personnel situation is uneven, particularly in some of
the Technical Services where recruitment has been slow. In gen-
eral terms, however, Army should be able to complete its alloca-
tions for at least 8 NIS areas during FY 1952.
Navy - Does not expect any substantial increase in production until
authorized personnel have been recruited, which should be sometime
during the summer. Navy expects to produce at the rate of 4 NIS
during the first six months of FY 1952 but anticipates that its
allocations in 8 NIS areas will be met by the end of FY 1952.
Air Force - Expects that its authorized strength will be reached by
September 1951. In this event Air Force should complete its
allocations in approximately 10 NIS areas by the end of FY 1952.
Scientific Intelligence Committee:
The SIC has scheduled 4 Chapters VII (Scientific) for FY 1952
and may be able to produce one more before the end of the year.
Since there are relatively few countries which have a real scien-
tific potential, the slower production of Chapters VII will not
unfavorably affect the overall completion dates for the highest
priority areas.
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-D-13[
18 June 1951
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15 August 1951
N2 OBANDUM Fti x Director of Central Intelligence
FEOUz Assistant Director, research and Reports
SUBJECTS item 3 on the IAC Agenda for 16 Ault, Conflict between
MZ-40 and sections of the NIS
1. This issue w a s raised by t h e N a v y which has been somewbat
opposed to haves an Estimate of Soviet gait from the seizure of Western
Europe done at all. They now sey they can't do their share without
serious 37 de1a ring the Ate: program. i Zkwas is that they have sosriewhat
exaggerated the conflict.
2. The conflict is nonetheless real, Arcy, which believes in the
importance of the Estimate, also faces this difficulty.
3, My rec+ ndati ons as to the CIA position are as follows s
a, NU -40 is very definitely of sufficient importance to
justify so delay in the 2115 program. Dr. Lamer and Dr. Kent
of ON agree with this view.
b, This particular conflict is illustrative of a general
problem which the IAC might profitably discuss. The military
services, especially the An q and Navy, are not now staffed to
do an adequate job both on the N2IS and on support for the national
Estimates Board, One or the other will inevitably continue to
suffer until they build up their capabilities further.
\S
NAI F. DLIJ LIKAN'
Distribution
Addressee 0&1
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.4
Bacoloitation of Captured Sources (IAC-D-14)
1. This natter has been placed on the agenda at the request of
General lee who is desirous of having TAG approval of the DCI's reply
to the Secretary of Defense. It was thought vise at the saws time to
seals approv al by those agencies concerned of the agreement by which CIA
would represent the interests of State and the AEC in this matter. The
P31 has declined to be associated with the Department of State, the AEC
and CIA in this matter pretering to utilize its existing channels of
Information with the Department of Defense.
2. It is likely that the broad question of CIA representation in
Theaters of Operations will be precipitated collaterally with the dis-
cussion on this subject unless it is held to be out of order in the
present context. Coordination thus far achieved has been without
prejudice to the problem of overall CIA representation in Theaters of
Operations* The CIA position has been that it was not necessary to
solve this problem in order to more ahead with the exploitation of
captured xrces, and that the ultimate decision on CIA representation
in the Zone of the Interior and in Theaters of Operation should be made
at another time.
3. The ndum of the Secretary of Defense pertains to the overt
exploitation of captured sources for intelligence purposes and does not
enter the field of CIA covert operations. Uowever, to reserve CIA's
concern In the operational aspects, Paragraph 5 has been inserted in the
tm of reply as a precaution against curtailment of CIA operations
of this meter.
The following is attached TAB A for IAC approval:
Memorandum from the DCI to the Secretary of Defense embodying
the principles of non-military participation in the proposed
s aes. (This arum should not be considered as ca 3.t
tins this Agency to approval of the detailed texts of either
the directives or the manuals related to this problem.)
5* The following is attached as TAB B for approval by the repre-
sentatives of the Department of State and the AEC:
A draft Memory of Agreement anang these agencies providing
for CIA representation in this connection.
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1. On 6 December the Secretary of Defense requested the DCI
to coordinate with the other interested non-Defense agencies the
JCS recommendations for the exploitation of intelligence from
captured sources.
2. These recommendations have been thoroughly explored by
CIA in conjunction with the Department of State, the FBI, and the
AEC, and with the designated team of the JIG,
3. The JCS recommendations cover directives establishing in
the Zone of the Interior two agencies of the JCS for the exploi-
tation respectively of such documents (ASPIC) and personnel (ASPIC)
as may come under military jurisdiction in a Theater of Operations,
and a third agency (JMIA) to coordinate the exploitation of materiel.
Manuals detailing the operation of each of these agencies and pro-
viding for their functioning in Theaters of Operation are under
preparation by the Joint Staff in consultation with CIA.
4. The following is attached for IAC approval:
A memorandum from the DCI to the Secretary of Defense
in reply to that cited in Paragraph 1, embodying the
principles of non-military participation in the proposed
agencies. (Tab A)
5. The following is attached for approval by the represen-
tatives of the Department of State, the FBI and the ABC:
A draft memorandum of agreement among these agencies
providing for CIA respresentation of their interests in
this connection.' (Tab B)
25X1A
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
:REI
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~~ D-14
6 February 1951
MEMORANDUM FOR: SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
SUBJECT., Directives for the Exploitation of Intelligence
Derived from Captured Sources
1; The proposed intelligence projects referred to me with
your memorandum of 6 December 1950 have been taken up with the
Department of State, the Atomic Energy Commission, and the Federal
Bureau of Investigation; The Department of State, the AEC and
the CIA have a common interest in being assured that documents,
personnel and materiel will be readily accessible to these agencies
for foreign intelligence exploitation. The FBI feels that its
primary responsibility for internal security can best be met through
direct liaison with respect to these sources.
2: The Department of State; the AEC, and the CIA agree that
their common interest can most effectively and efficiently be
served by being represented through the CIA in both the Theater of
Operations and the Zone of the Interior. This representation is
considered necessary in order to insure, through participation of
the CIA within the Theater of Operations, that the selection and
exploitation of documents, personnel, and materiel are accomplished
as required by the intelligence needs of the non-military agencies
and that appropriate items are consigned through Joint Centers in
the Zone of the Interior to other suitable locations for non-
military exploitation,
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3. For the purposes of exploitation by the non-military
agencies it may be necessary from time to time to associate
personnel from the Department of State or the AEC with the CIA,
representation at appropriate facilities in the Zone of the
Interior, and to detail personnel from these agencies to CIA for
representation in the Theater of Operations. It is moreover to
the interest of these agencies for the CTA to maintain the closest
possible liaison with MIA, in the allocation and consignment of
materiel for non-military exploitation. Consignment for non-
military exploitation would be without prejudice to the right of
the Armed Services to control. the final disposition of the
documents, personnel, and materiel selected. This fact would
not be permitted to interf are with complete non-military exploi-
tation of materiel.
1.' CIA representation for those purposes in Theaters of
Operations will require certain administrative and operational
su5port by the Department of Defense, particularly with regard to
subsistence, quarters, transportation and communications.
5. It should be recognized that in addition to the common
interest which the CIA shares with the other agencies in exploiting
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intelligence derived from captured sources, this Agency has a
special operational concern with these sources. CIA concurrence
with the projected intelligence exploitation program extends to
the common interest cited above, but should not be construed as
a modification of this special interest,
6. This Agency greatly appreciates the establishment of the
proposed centers for the exploitation of captured documents, per-
sonnel, and materiel since these arrangements will very considerably
assist it in discharging its present functions in these fields for
the benefit of the other agencies of the Government;
74 The Intelligence Advisory Committee approved the principles
set forth in this memorandum at its meeting on 8 February 1951; On
the basis of this concurrence, it is recommended that the Department
of Defense proceed in accordance with these: pririci7los with the
establishment of the organizations proposed in your memorandum.
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PROPOSED MEMORANDUM OF AGREEMENT
VC--b - 14
6 February 1951
MEMORANDUM OF AGREEMENT AMONG THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY,
THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE AND THE ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION
1. As a matter of common concern and in order to avoid
unnecessary duplication, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) will
represent the Department of State and the Atomic Energy Commission
(AEC) in the exploitation for foreign intelligence purposes of docu-
ments, personnel, and material acquired in Theaters of Operations
by the military forces. In its representative capacity the CIA
will:
a. Arrange with the Defense Departments for CIA repre-
sentation, in association with Department of State and AEC
personnel as appropriate, at the Armed Services Document
Intelligence Center (ASDIC), the Armed Services Personnel
Interrogation Center (ASPIC), for CIA liaison with the Joint
Materiel Intelligence Agency (JMIA) and for CIA participation
in the Joint Intelligence Centers or analogous organizations
established or to be established in Theaters of Operations;
b. In so far as funds are available, provide budgetary
support for all such exploitation except that which is of
interest to only one agency, in which instance the CIA will
arrange for that agency to underwrite its particular project;
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c. Devise procedures which will ensure the establishment
of agreed priorities for exploitation purposes;
d. Arrange for agency participation, where required, in
the exploitation processes, whether in 'a Theater of Operations
or in the Zone of the Interior. Within a Theater of Operations,
representatives of the Department of State or the AEC will be
detailed for these purposes to the CIA, under the overall
theater command.
2. The foregoing arrangements will in no wise affect normal
liaison relationships between the Defense Departments and the State
Department or the AEC.
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SEC 3.,'
IAC-D-14/1
3.March 1951
EXPLOITATION OF CAPTURED SOURCES
1. On 6 December 1950 the Secretary of Defense requested the
DCI to coordinate with the other interested non-Defense agencies
JCS recommendations for the establishment of joint agencies in the
Zone of the Interior for the exploitation of intelligence from
captured documents (ASDIC), personnel (ASPIC), and materiel (JMIA).
2. On 8 February 1951 the IAC decided to defer action on this
matter pending resolution of the related question of CIA representa-
tion in Theaters of Operation.
3. By memorandum of 15 February, the Deputy Director for
Intelligence, The Joint Staff, invited reconsideration of this
decision on the ground that CIA representation the Theaters of
Operation does not bear closely enough on the matter under discus-
sion to warrant delay and recommended that the IAC recommend forth-
with to the Secretary of Defense that he approve the directives
covering ASDIC, ASPIC, and JMIA,
4. Since the presentation of this subject to the IAC on
8 February, the proposed reply to the Secretary of Defense has been
modified in two respects:
a. To eliminate all reference to the Theaters of Operation,
except in a general statement (paragraph 4);
b. To provide for CIA to name an Assistant Director in
ASDIC and ASPIC and a special adviser in JMIA, in order to
ensure that the non-military aspects of these operations will
receive adequate attention.
5. The following is attached for IAC approval:
A memorandum from the DCI to the Secretary of Defense in
reply to that cited in Paragraph 1, embodying the principles
of non-military participation in the proposed agencies.
(TAB A)
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6. The following is attached for approval by the representa-
tives of the Department of State, the FBI and the AEC:
A draft memorandum of agreement among these aencies pro-
CD
viding?for CIA representation of their interests in this con-
nection. (TAB B)
Secretary
Intelligence Advisory Committee
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3 March 1951
SUBJECT: Directives for the Exploitation of Intelligence
Derived from Captured Sources
1? The proposed intelligence projects referred to me with
your memorandum of 6 December 1950 have been taken up with the
Department of State, the Atomic Energy Commission, and the Federal
Bureau of Investigation. The Department of State, the AEC and the
CIA have a common interest in being assured that documents, personnel
and materiel will be readily accessible to these agencies for foreign
intelligence exploitation. The FBI, while associating itself with
the principles set forth in this memorandum, feels that its primary
responsibility for internal security can best be met through direct
liaison with respect to these sources.
2. The Department of State, the AEC, and the CIA agree that
their common interest can most effectively and efficiently be served
by being represented through the CIA, This representation is con-
sidered necessary in order to insure that appropriate items are made
available at suitable locations for non-military exploitation.
3.. For the purposes of exploitation by the non-military
agencies it may be necessary from time to time to associate personnel
from the Department of State or the AEC with the CIA representation
at appropriate facilities. It is moreover to the interest of these
agencies for the CIA to maintain the closest possible liaison with
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3 March 1951
JMIA in the allocation and consignment of materiel for non-military
exploitation. Consignment for non-military exploitation would be
without prejudice to the right of the Armed Services to control the
final disposition of the documents, personnel, and materiel selected.
This fact would not be permitted to interfere with complete non-
military exploitation.
4. The Department of State, the AEC, and the CIA believe
that in order to meet their responsibilities with respect to intel-
ligence of concern to the non-military agencies it will be necessary
for CIA to have representation in theaters of operation. Recogniz-
ing, however, that this broad question is now under discussion as
a separate matter, it is not proposed to hold up the current
directives pending its resolution.
5. Accordingly, CIA has the following changes to suggest in
the wording of the directives so as to take account of the non-
military needs;
a. ASDIC and ASPIC, paragraph 4, add to section b: "and
one appointed by CIA, to represent the interests of CIA, the
Department of State and the AEC."
b. JMIA, paragraph 3(c), change to read: "c. Insure
that close liaison is maintained between JMIA and the various
ZI intelligence exploitation agencies of the Armed Services
as well as CIA so that:"
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c. JMIA, paragraph L+, add new section d: "The CIA, on
behalf of the State Department and the Atomic Energy Commission,
will name an adviser to the Director, JMIA, to ensure that the
non-military aspects of the operation will receive appropriate
attention."
6, This Agency welcomes the establishment of the proposed
centers for the exploitation of captured documents, personnel, and
materiel since these arrangements will very considerably assist it
in discharging its present functions in these fields for the benefit
of the other agencies of the Government.
7. The Intelligence Advisory Committee approved the principles
and specific changes set forth in this memorandum at its meeting on
5 March 1951. On the basis of this concurrence, it is recommended
that the Department of Defense proceed in accordance with these
principles with the establishment of the organizations proposed in
your memorandum.
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PROPOSED MEMORANDUM OF AGREEMENT
MM011ANDUM OF AGREE ENT AMONG THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY,
THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE AND TGIF., ATOMIC ENERGY CO : HISSION
1. As a matter of common concern and in order to avoid
unnecessary duplication, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) will
represent the Department of State and the Atomic Enerf-y Commission
(AEC) in the exploitation for foreign. intelligence purposes of docu-
ments, personnel, and material acquired in Theaters of Operation
by the military forces, The FBI will arrange for the exploitation
of such sources for internal security purposes. In its represen-
tative capacity the CIA will:
a. Arrange with the Defense Departments for CIA repre-
sentation, in association with Department of State and AEC
personnel as appropriate, at the Armed Services Document
Intelligence Center (ASPIC), the Armed Services Personnel
Interrogation Center (ASPIC), for CIA liaison with the Joint
Materiel Intelligence Agency (J TA) and for CIA participation
in the Joint Intelligence Co.nters or analogous organizations
established or to be established in Theaters of Operation;
b. Insofar as funds are available provide budgetary
support for all such exploitation except that which is of
interest to only one agency, in which instance the CIA will
arrange for that agency to underwrite its particular project;
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c, Devise procedures which will ensure the. establishment
of agreed priorities for exploitation purposes;
d. Arrange for agency participation, where required, in
the exploitation processes in the Zone of the Interior and
within Theaters of Operation. In the latter case represen-
tatives of the Department of State or the AEC would be
detailed for these purposes to the CIA., presumably under the
overall theater command.
2. The foregoing arrangements will in no wise affect normal
liaison relationships between the Defense Departments and the State
Department, FBI, or the AEC.
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