U S POLICY AND POST-TITO YUGOSLAVIA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01095A001300010020-5
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 4, 2004
• Sequence Number: 20
• Publication Date: June 15, 1971
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For F ase 2004/12/01 : CIA-RDP79RO1095
NAi?IONAL SECURITY COUNCIL'
WASHINGTON, D .C. 20506
SIE:CRIT
June 15, 1971
National Security Study Memorandum 129
TO: The Secretary of State
The Secretary of Defense
The Director of Central Intelligence
SUBJECT: ------US Policy and Post-Tito Yugoslavia
'130II111fO20.5.- __
ExecuLivo dcgiztLy
./ / - ~?' 3ji L
The President has directed that a tudy be undertaken to evaluate possible
developments in Yugoslavia following President Tito's departure. The
study should include the following elements:
1. An intelligence appraisal is required of the internal and external
fa tors that will be of major influence on 'the course of events
after"Pesident Tito's departure. T!,is evaluation should examine
how situation might unfold under differing assumptions, of
internal developments. In each case attention should be given to
the intentions and actions of the USSR, countries of Eastern and
Western Europe,, and where appropriate the United States. The
purpose of this appraisal should be to highlight those factors which
could weaken Yugoslavia's cohesion as a unitary state, cause a
significant change in its foreign policy orientation, or lead to
Soviet/Warsaw Pact pressures or military intervention.?
This work should be undertaken by the CIA and the, intelligence
community and`'be completed by July 29, in order to serve as the
base for a subsequent study of US policy options.
2. A policy study, drawing on the above analysis, should be under-
taken of the various steps -- political, economic and military -- the
US could take in the near term to strengthen Yugoslavia's internal
and external positions and' relations with Western countries. In
addition, there should be It discussion of policy options that the US
might have in light of various crises that might arise after the
..departure of President Tito. This analysis and discussion should
Approved. For Release 2004/12/01 CIA-RDP79.R01095AO01300010020-5
 SECRET
Approved For FWase 2004/12/01 CIA-I DP79R010951 1300010020-5
be undertaken by an Ad Hoc Group of interested agenciesp
including the NSC staff and the representative of the
Assistant to the President for International Economic
Affairs, and chaired by the Department of State. It
should be forwarded to the Senior Review Group no
later than September 17.
The Chairman of the Ad Hoc Group should ensure that the terms of
reference for intelligence appraisal are suitable for preparing the
policy study.
cc: Chairman, Joiht Chiefs of Staff
Assistant to the President for International
Economic Affairs
Approved For Release 2004/12/01 CIA-F DP79R01095AO01300010020-5
S CRET