Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A003400350001-5
Body:
20U3701/9.q1A=REP799
/ 25X1
J
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
13 December 1957
Copy No.
r!o ::++a;a::._ IN CLAS. L
CLASG. CHA!,; .E!) TO: TS Cv~
EXT 14-IiW DATE: - Ad
N
AUTR 70-^
DATE." REVIEWER:
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
State Dept. review completed
TOP SECRET
2003/01/29 :CIA-RDP79~
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Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO03400350001-5
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CONTENTS
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SITUATION IN INDONESIA
2. EUROPEAN INTEREST IN BULGANIN LETTERS
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AV 3. FRENCH DISARMAMENT DELEGATE PROPOSES "NEW
APPROACH" ON DISARMAMENT
NO 4. MIKOYAN FORESEES SLOWDOWN IN RATE OF SOVIET
T:1F ' kTl1'11 fTf 11 T1l1TTT TITT
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d07.
ANGLO-EGYPTIAN TALKS SUSPENDED WITHOUT
AGREEMENT
NEW ARAB UNREST DIRECTED AGAINST AMERICAN OIL
(page 10).
INSTALLATIONS IN KUWAIT NEUTRAL ZONE
Q J59. SAUDI-JAPANESE OIL AGREEMENT SIGNED
(page 11).
INDO-PAKISTANI CANAL WATERS DISPUTE REACHING
CRITICAL PHASE
411. AFGHAN KING'S VISIT TO PAKISTAN POSTPONED BY
/" KAVeCVT
12. SECRET TRIAL OF GENERAL MALETER MAY BE UNDER
WAV IN TTUNGARV
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ANNEX- -Conclusions of the Watch Report of the Intelligence
Advisory Committee
13 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 2
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1. MOVE TO FORCE, INDONESIAN PRESIDENT INTO EXILE
MAY BE UNDER WAY
(Information as of 2400 EST, 12 Dec 57)
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Prime Minister Djuanda's announcement that
President Sukarno is "physically and men-
tally tired" and will leave Indonesia for a
"rest in a neighboring country," perhaps
within the next week, suggests that moderate elements are
making a serious effort to take control of the government and
check the drift toward chaos and Communist domination.
Earlier indications of intensive army activity give credibility
to reports that Sukarno is a virtual prisoner of the army, and
that his projected "rest" may, in fact, amount to at least tem-
porary exile. The motivation for such action undoubtedly would
be the belief that the only hope of preserving a united, non-
Communist Indonesia lies in getting Sukarno out of the country.
There will, however, be no renunciation of Indonesia's claim
to Irian or an immediate restoration of seized Dutch property.
Although Sartono, the vacillating speaker
of parliament, has been named to act as president in Sukarno's
anticipated absence, the real force behind the current moves is
probably a triumvirate composed of Djuanda, former Vice Pres-
ident Hatta and army Chief of Staff Nasution. The latter two
were primarily responsible for crushing the Communist upris-
ing at Madiun in 1948
Vigorous opposition to Sukarno's departure
can be expected from leftist and Communist elements. They
were the first to suggest that Sukarno postpone his previously
scheduled trip to various Asian and Latin American countries
in order to continue his leadership of the Irian campaign. They
probably will try to use Sukarno's enormous popularity with the
Javanese masses to prevent his departure. This could lead to
open conflict with the army. Sukarno may also attempt to
maneuver himself out of his apparent predicament. If he suc-
ceeds, he will continue to throw his weight to the Communists
and facilitate the rapid expansion of their already considerable
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13 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
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10
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2. EUROPEAN INTEREST IN BULGANIN LETTERS
i a uropean re o Bulganin's
recent letters indicates a widespread
desire to. keep open the possibilities for
East-West negotiations, despite annoy-
ance at Moscow's patent efforts to under-
mine next week's NATO meetings. At the same time there
is emphasis on the need to fortify NATO's military position.
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In West Germany, the independent Die
Welt's assertion that the notes might provide the "last chance"
to reach an understanding with the Soviet Union reflects the
general public uneasiness lest the establishment of NATO mis-
sile bases in the Federal Republic permanently freeze the divi-
sion of Germany. The press quotes Foreign Minister Brentano
as commenting favorably on the letters' "moderate tenor," and
states he favors doing everything possible to bring about an
international detente.
French press commentary on Bulganin's
letter regards it as an attempt to exploit cracks in NATO, but
is chiefly preoccupied with the question of the establishment of
missile bases on French soil.
Responsible independent British papers
argue against giving the impression of automatically reject-
ing all Soviet proposals- -presumably referring to the European
neutral zone idea--which they believe is worth considering.
The Labor press has used the letters to reiterate its call for
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holding immediate talks with the USSR.
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13 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
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