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WEEKLY SUMMARY SPECIAL REPORT SOVIET POLICY IN INDONESIA SINCE 1965

Document Type: 
CREST [1]
Collection: 
General CIA Records [2]
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79-00927A006800070003-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
January 6, 2005
Sequence Number: 
3
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
January 17, 1969
Content Type: 
SUMMARY
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79-00927A006800070003-0.pdf [3]340.52 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927A00680Q 70 ece-f 25X1 OF INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY Special Report Soviet Policy in Indonesia Since 1965 Secret N2 720 17 January 1969 No. 0353/69B Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 SECRET 1 :1 The USSR has faced a dilemma as regards its policy toward Indonesia over the past three years, and the prospects that it will be able to resolve the situation satisfactorily are not good. On the one hand, Moscow cannot afford to be too closely identified with a gov- ernment that has relentlessly persecuted the once power- ful Indonesian Communist Party (PKI), while simultane- ously trying to wean the party away from the influence of Peking. On the other, Moscow finds it equally un- desirable to give the government of Indonesia cause, e.g., by open support of the PKI, to move any further into the Western orbit or to renounce its large debt to the USSR. As a result, the Soviets have done just enough to keep their relations with the government alive, while quietly cultivating those groups they hope will ultimately assume power. The Indonesians, for their part, are nervous about Soviet subversive capabilities but would still like to have economic and technical aid from the USSR. Background During the night of 30 Sep- tember - 1 October 1965, the Chinese-oriented Indonesian Com- munist Party attempted to seize control of the government by means of a coup ostensibly aimed at protecting Sukarno from a mili- tary plot against the government. The PKI hoped to paralyze army counterreactions by murdering several top-ranking army gen- erals, including the army com- mander. The army, under the leader- ship of General Suharto, quickly crushed the attempt. Taking advantage of the PKI's leader- ship of the affair, the army moved against the party. The legal Communist organization was violently dismantled, and surviving cadre were forced underground. It was not until the summer of 1968 that party members in East Java felt confident enough to undertake a terrorist campaign against the government. This 25X1 25X1 was quickly smashed by army troops, Although Soviet-Indonesian relations had deteriorated as Sukarno had strengthened ties with Peking, Indonesia at the time of the coup was still the USSR's second largest military aid client in the free world. Relations with the Government Soviet-Indonesian relations have been cool ever since the SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Page 1 SPECIAL REPORT 17 Jan 69 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 SECRET coup attempt. In the immediate aftermath, the USSR suspended its economic and military aid, and cut cultural and informational activity drastic Pu is y, e USSA was circumspect in its criticism of the new order. Since late 1966, relations between the USSR and Indonesia have had their ups and downs. As time went on, about the only source of comfort to Moscow was the dramatic decline in Chinese influence. In November 1966, Moscow agreed to reschedule In- donesian economic and military debts of $785 million. The In- donesians made no immediate move, however, to ratify the accord. Then in August 1967, Indo- nesia touched another sensitive Soviet nerve by joining with Malaysia, Singapore, the Philip- pines, and Thailand to form the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The organiza- tion was established only to fos- ter regional cultural, economic, and social cooperation, but Mos- cow nevertheless was apprehensive that Indonesian economic cooper- ation with such staunch allies of the US as Thailand and the Philippines might ultimately lead to military cooperation and the abandonment of a nonaligned stance. Other sources of grievance to the USSR were Indonesia's policy of encouraging Western investment, its continued harsh treatment of the PKI, and its failure to condemn US policy in Vietnam. A Soviet official's comment at the time that "they are even confiscating Dostoevski" illustrated the USSR's gloomy view of its prospects in Indo- nesia. By late summer, 1967, how- ever, there were also signs that the USSR had decided to pursue a more activist policy in an effort to stem the drift to the right. On 2 September of that year, the Soviets finally agreed to provide some $10 million in military spare parts to the Indonesian Navy and SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO0680070003-0 Page 3 SPECIAL REPORT 17 Jan 69 25X1 25X1 25X1' Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 SECRET Over the past year, the So- viets have continued to use the carrot-and-stick approach. Last March the Indonesians finally ratified the debt rescheduling agreement. Further developments were forestalled when Indonesia condemned the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia. In October, moreover, Djakarta again provoked Moscow by announcing its inten- tion to execute several top-rank- ing PKI members. President Podgorny led the long list of Communist individuals and groups protesting. After the executions, the USSR's propaganda organs launched a volley of protests. In mid-December, the en- dulum began i-n aw; nn h .t'ir e Soviets initiated is- cussions with the Indonesians about implementing phase two of the spare parts accord. I Soviet Economic and Military Aid Soviet-Indonesian economic relations have been clouded by the failure of the two sides to come to terms on debt resched- uling. Although, the Indonesians ratified the debt rescheduling accord, they are still hoping that the Soviets will defer an- other $25 million repayment due next April. The Indonesians would also like to secure a resumption of Soviet aid for their new Five Year Plan and for jungle clear- ing and road building. The only project on which the Soviets are currently involved is a minor in- land waterways project involving the construction of three dredges. There has been no work on such prestige Soviet-aid projects as the steel mill. at Tjilegon or the phosphate plant at Tjilatjap. The Soviets are particularly un- happy that the Indonesians have done nothing to protect the equip- ment already sent in 1965 for the construction of the steel mill. Although 80 percent of the equipment for this $35.5 million project had been delivered prior to the coup, only five per- cent had been installed. Much of the machinery has since rusted or been pilfered. 25X1 25X1: SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Page 4 SPECIAL REPORT 17 Jan 69 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 The Soviets and the PKI At the height of its influ- ence in the early 1960s, the PKI was the largest nonruling Com- munist party in the world. The Soviets began their campaign to woo the badly decimated PKI away from Peking about a year after the gust 1967, a Soviet radiobroad- cast implied for the first time that not all Indonesian Communists were oriented toward Peking. The Soviet commentator referred to documents of the Indonesian Com- munist underground" that indi- cated the party was examining the disastrous implications of its past alignment with the "Mao Tse-tung group. In November of that year, when the PKI finally succeeded in holding its first plenary session after the coup, a pro-Soviet "revisionist" faction reportedly tried and failed to wrest control of the party from the more powerful Peking-oriented faction. Last June, Moscow resumed its public wooing of the party by launching an international campaign protesting the ill-treat- ment of political prisoners in Indonesia. The Soviets were rel- atively quiet while the Indone- sians rounded up those members of the PKI who attempted to launch an insurgency in East and Central Java this summer, but were quick to point out after it was crushed that the PKI had erred again in following the Maoist line. Moscow no doubt hopes t a i s recent efforts on behalf of the PKI will strengthen the hand of the more moderate faction. Relations with Leftist Groups In the latter half of 1967, there was a noticeable upswing in the activities of the Soviet diplomatic establishment in In- donesia. This was a further in- dication that the Soviets had not given up their efforts to culti- vate the Indonesians. A new So- viet cultural center was opened in Surabaya in April 1967, and Soviet cultural and information activity began to climb toward precoup levels. Soviet cultural officials, athletes, and trade unionists began traveling to In- donesia once again, and Indonesian groups once again received in- vitationq to visit Moscow. SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Page 5 SPECIAL REPORT 17 Jan 69 SECRET 25X1 25X1 85X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 SECRET Soviet officials in Indo- nesia began renewing old friend- ships and cultivating new ties with members of potentially powerful political groups. The principal targets of this overt and covert effort were students, various labor groups, Moslem or- ganizations, pro-Sukarno members of the Indonesian Nationalist Party (PNI), and other Sukarno- ists. The approach was rela- tively circumspect, however, and was apparently aimed at test- ing the attitudes of these peo- ple toward the government and quietly encouraging pro-Soviet attitudes. The recent propaganda on behalf of the PKI also made In- donesian leaders conscious of the USSR's troublemaking poten- tial. One of the government's greatest fears is that Moscow will encourage the Marxists, former PKI members, old-line Sukarnoists, and various oppor- tunists to unite in opposition. Conclusion In recent years, the So- viet Union has clearly placed a higher priority on its involve- ment in Vietnam and its efforts to establish relations with Ma- laysia, Singapore, and even the Philippines than on its rela- tions with Indonesia. Moscow evidently believes that the po- tential benefits from cultivat- ing the current regime are not worth the political or economic cost. Judging from its writings on Indonesia and the statements of its diplomats, the USSR does not expect the present govern- ment to remain in power indefi- nitely. Soviet officials predict that Djakarta will fail to solve the serious socioeconomic problems it faces--large for- eign debts, unemployment, wide- spread poverty--and will be re- placed by a government more to Moscow's liking. There is no evidence that the Soviets are as yet offering more than token support to the leftist forces it would like to see dominate that government. For the time being, at least, Moscow appears content to let things drag along. A Western observer has described Soviet policy toward the government as "thou shalt not kill but need not strive officiously to keep alive." If the Soviets did SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Page 6 SPECIAL REPORT 17 Jan 69 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927A006800070003-0 SECRET 25X1 25X1 The Indonesians have not given up hope that the Soviets will ultimately unbend and of- fer economic and technical aid. Such aid, Djakarta believes, would not only contribute to economic development, but also would tend to balance their image as a truly nonaligned na- tion. Djakarta is not really counting on this aid, however, and is particularly reluctant to give the Soviets an oppor- tunity to expand their physical presence in Indonesia to a si - nificant de ree. SECRET Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927A006800070003-0 Page 7 SPECIAL REPORT 17 Jan 69 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0 Secret Secret Approved For Release 2005/01/27 : CIA-RDP79-00927AO06800070003-0

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