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D
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50
29 September 1969
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No. 0233/69
29 September 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Vietnam: Relations between Hanoi and Peking are
warmer. (Page 1)
Czechoslovakia: The ultraconservatives have
strengthened their position in the party, but Husak
retains his control. (Page 2)
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Chile: The government is trying to refurbish its
leftist credentials. (Page 7)
USSR-Japan: Development of a large power project in
Siberia is under discussion. (Page 9)
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Capital Special Zone
`;;'GAM
11A, ANH
6r
SOUTH
CHINA
SEA
#v CORPS
AVERAGE STRENGTH
OF ENEMY UNITS
Division: VC 5,000 7,000
N V A 5,0008,000
SOUTH VIETNAM
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MILES I
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C Vietnam: The reception accorded to a high-level
North Vietnamese delegation in Peking and the propa--
ganda treatment being given to a new Chinese aid
agreement provide new evidence that North Vietnamese -
Chinese relations are becoming somewhat warmer.
The North Vietnamese delegation headed by Prime
Minister Pham Van Dong was met by high-ranking Chi-
nese Communist officials, including Premier Chou En-
lai, on arrival at the Peking airport on 27 September.
The day before, the two countries announced a new
agreement covering economic and military aid for 1970.
In their propaganda coverage of these two events,
both countries lavish praise on the other, in marked
contrast to last year's Chinese national day ceremon-
ies, when the subject of Vietnam was virtually ignored
by Chinese leaders.
Enemy military activity in South Vietnam re-
mained at a low level over the weekend. In the only
significant enemy attack, the Communists fired ten
mortar rounds into Hoi An city, the capital of Quang
Nam Province.
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Czechoslovakia: The position of the party's
ultraconservatives was strengthened by the results
of the central committee plenum on 25-26 September,
but Husak apparently still retains his control of
the party.
The conservatives' strength in the central com-
mittee doubtless will increase as a result of the
purge of 29 members of the committee. Included in
the list of those reformers ousted were former for-
eign minister Hajek and one of the major targets of
the extremists, Josef Smrkovsky. Smrkovsky will
also lose his position as deputy chairman of the
federal assembly.
Former party leader Dubcek lost his seat on the
party's ruling presidium and will also lose his post
as chairman of the federal assembly. Dubcek, however,
was not dropped from the central committee, which
suggests that Husak's views prevailed over those of
the extremists on what was the major issue to be re-
solved by the plenum. Dubcek's replacement on the
presidium, moreover, is the relatively moderate Josef
Kempny. The latter, also named a deputy premier in
the federal government, now is one of only four men
who hold seats on both the party presidium and sec-
retariat. He presumably will be one of the most
powerful political figures in Czechoslovakia.
The new federal government appointed over the
weekend is also relatively moderate in character.
Most of those men replaced were involved in economic
affairs, and presumably were dropped because of the
poor performance of the economy rather than for
strictly political reasons. Premier Cernik, Defense
Minister Dzur, and Foreign Minister Marko, who have
been under political attack, retained their positions
in the new government.
29 Sep 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Chile: Recent friendly gestures toward Commu-
nist countries are probably designed to refurbish
the leftist credentials of the Christian Democratic
government.
On 20 September, the Chilean ambassador in Mos-
cow decorated a Soviet scientist, a cosmonaut, and
the president of the Soviet-Chilean friendship so-
ciety. In featuring the story the Chilean Communist
Party newspaper called this the first time Soviet
citizens had been decorated by a Latin American gov-
ernment other than Cuba. Ambassador Pinochet's pre-
sentation speech seemed designed to elicit official
Soviet support for the Frei government's policy of
Chileanization of the copper industry, a policy the
Chilean Communists are still attacking as a giveaway.
On 23 September, Foreign Minister Valdes an-
nounced a new Chilean policy in the Pacific which
includes support for Communist China's membership
in the UN.
The Chilean minister of mines, meanwhile, is
promoting joint venture agreements on mineral ex-
plorations with countries of Eastern Europe. He
says that an accord with the Yugoslavs is firm, and
that he is optimistic about one with the Romanians.
The Christian Democratic Party would like to
regain the leftist approval won by President Frei's
immediate recognition of European Communist countries
in 1964. Party strategists probably feel they have
a chance of further splitting the squabbling Chilean
Marxist forces before they can unite behind a presi-
dential candidates F_ I
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Japanese and Soviets Discuss Joint Thermal Electric Project
NikoLayefi"5k
Possible Sites,!
-fear Power"Comp x i
~,SAKHALI N
Transmission Line
I Proposed
145
JAPAN
f
A.'t3 1.4Q/".. _. 141
ti
PA CIFIC
I
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USSR-Japan: A consortium of Japanese electric
companies is in Moscow discussing the joint develop-
ment of a large electrical project in Siberia.
Under the plan, first proposed by the Soviets
last year, a complex of thermal power stations would
be built either on the northern tip of Sakhalin or
across the Tatar Strait in Siberia. Japan would sup-
ply the technical expertise and thermal power plants
worth about $550 million in return for some 6,000
megawatts of electricity annually. The electricity
would be supplied by a high-powered transmission line
traversing Sakhalin and Hokkaido.
The project would be completed by 1980, at which
time it would supply Japan with about five percent of
its estimated power needs. The Soviets would benefit
by obtaining Japanese capital to develop Siberia.
Although the Japanese believe that Siberian
power would be less costly than that produced in
Japan, a number of technical and financial problems
still have to be solved. In the past, Japan has been
reluctant to undertake such ambitious Siberian pro-
jects. Furthermore, Japanese estimates of Siberian
petroleum and other fuel resources for the power
plants may be somewhat optimistic. _F I
29 Sep 69
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