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T
ChNTRAL INTEIETGENGE AGENCY
Office of the Chief, Economic Research
Office of Research and 'Reports
,oject No. )0 J646
Jatc: 20 October 195.,
AT:qumn:LA to Project Action emorandum 30.1646 dated 16 October 1'356,
li;conomic Aspects of Soviet uclear Energy Ptcorram
1?:F,Q1Ti-;STERr, (i4E'. Through JAE-10
S6.45 OF RRLNCE
RI-once memorandum - from Chairman JAhIC to Assistant Director fcr
Research. rand Eeports? Subject: "Deve:lopment and Production of lconomic Intelli-
genee for 11-2-574i and 6ubsegmnt Lstimatesq, dated 15 October 1956
1_ The reference memorandum requests ORR to prepare econanic intelligence
s'6udies Of certain commodities and industries of the USSR by December 1956 to
essist JAEIC in the preparation of the 1(37 estimate of the Soviet atomic
er.erorogrt These areas of study include
311biect of Study emons1Uei3renqh
acid 4CE
Nickel Powder WITM
cury i:Var
GraohAe
Comnpessors ) I/kE, I/sH
ConveLers )
Llectric Motors I/E2
Power-factor Oanaeltors IAE
Concreto aid E;tn.;41;upcji Steel S/COT
Electric Power Angara Region AA:P
:Cadustrial Labor Force A/t
AE Finance
2 The general terms of reference for these studies are outlined in the
following paragra
a ,General
As a minimum requirement all contributors should 1)rovide a general,
description of the status of the subject canmodity or industry during the nerod
1946-56 and tllo outlook through 1960, This should include;
EL 11.2z.57 ls the incorrect number and refers to a subject other than atomic
energy, The number of the atomic energy ATE uill be assigned by ONE In the near
futureQ
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J.,o;-ocu 3U.1646
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Page 2
(1) A statement of the status of technology as evidenced by
USSR accomplishments and literature;
(2) A general discussion of any plan and plan fulfillment data
that may be available;
(3) A general statement of volume of output and the share of
total production which would be exnected to be absorbed by non.atomic energy
part of the economy.
b. ?mcific Economic Data
In addition to the above minimum, the following items should be
presented as fully as data and research time permit.
(1) Estimates of total annual production between 196660? If
available, include regional distribution of the centers of production?
Estimates may be in physical terms, value terms or a combination of both.
(2) Estimates of the use pattern of the commodity by principle
aonsumers. If possible apply to the years 1946, 1950, 1953, 1955 and 19600
A regional USD pattern should be prepared if possible?
(3) Estimates of quantities of commodities going to atomic energy
installations or consumers.
CO Qualitative evaluation of the impact of the principal atomic
energy uses (as discussed in (3) above) upon the major suppliers of the com?
modities.
102,951a1 SulL1221A
Specific terms of reference for industrial manpower, regional
analysis of electric power and financial analysis cannot be prepared at this
time. Following detailed discussions with the responsible analysts specific
terms will be established?
3. In order to insure consistency of approach and to provide specific
guidance and coordination, the various commodities to be studied will be
divided into two groups with a nroject analyst for each group. Questions
as to the substance to be included should be directed to the responsible
analyst.
prolix )
25X1A9a analyst:
I/SH, 1124? s, , Weil
Grou' II
analyst: 25X1A9a
min4; ; ,tx!; A U
A, Contributions from the contributing branches are due to the project
analyst by 3 December 1956. This project has a very high priority; if it
conflicts with any cher scheduled project, St/FR should be informed.
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Attechment
2') October :i.956
,
ge 3
'Jr., This attachment amends Project Action IlemTandum dated 16 October /956
iude SiCST and ii1H as contributors to this ?reject. Latimated :flan?
no71rs or each branch. --- 50.
00NOURVENCE:
9 ,
S
St/PR
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25X1A9a
25X1A9a
25X1A9a
Attachment 2
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S-E-C-R-E-T
MEMORANDUM FOR: All Division and Staff Chiefs
Economic Research Area, ORR
SUBJECT:
FilVERME:
18 October 1956
Liaison with UD/OSI and Coordination of ERA
Economic InteJligence Production on. the Soviet
Nuclear Enermr industry
Mimorandum from Chairman, jAEIC, to AD/RR, dated
15 October 1956, Subject: Development and Pro-
duction of Economic Intelligence for NIE 11-2-57
and Subsequent Estinates
1- The responsiiiities for (a) coordihatin3 economic intelli-
gence reseaTch conducted within. ERA in. support of the referenced
jAE1C estimates of Sovftet nue2ear energy capabilities, and (b) pro-
viding a central.. point of control within ERA for icc ary contacts
and relations vith MED/OSI, are hereby assigned 25X1A9a
Deputy Chief, Industrial Division, in aftdItion? to his
other duties.
2. An ad hoc group will be set up by composed 25X1A9a
of "Q" cleared an as well- as appropriate 3 u2enr1sory per-
sonnel) to provitre guidnnce in the plaAlning and execution of
pertinent ERA research,: to exchange infonration and idea s the
program develops) and to assist ano..1ts in obtaining necessary
materia,lis fora tT,ED/OSI arid the Atorde Enera Comnission.
3. EPA analysts axe requested to make initaA. contacts with
NgO/OSI through...11111i and to keep Unl infomed of subse-
quent progress, ih the event analysts. receive reTaests for
assistance direct3y from NED/OSI, such requests should be coordinated
prio to the initiation of research. Such requests
will also be sUbjeet to the approvea o ujierv: sxry echelons, as
required by existin6 proceduxes
Chief, Economic Research
Eacloure: (i)
Referenced Memorandum Tnot attached.
S-E-C -Ft-11-T
25X1A9a
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Approved For
Attachment 3
ase 2001/03/02 : CIA-RDP61S 37A000100140040-1
CENTRAL INTELLIGPICE AGENCY
Office of the Chief, Economic Research
Office of Research and Reports
Pro'ect Action Memorandum
----------
Project No. 30.1646
Date: 16 October 1956
TITLE: Economic Aspects of Soviet Nuclear Lnergy Program
REQUESTER: orE Through JAEIC
STATE:TNT_OF.THE PROBLEM AD TERMS OF REFERENCE:
Piobierm--7ro provide support ias requircd to the Joint Atomic Energy
IntelITFnc6 Committee on the economic aspects of Soviet Bloc atomic energy
activities for NIE 11-2-57.
Terms of Reference: To be furnished by JAEIC. Contributions will be
forwnlaga-Grflugh JAETC who in turn will forward ERA contributions
bo ONE. This project will use all-source material and will probably contain
RESTRICTED DATA matqrials.
UoSPONSTBIL1TY:
Concurrence
Man-hours Due Dates (Initials
oam....ausosner.sneE.
Action Divisionz D/I 1 Feb 57
Dranc.es: I/MIE 300
1/EE 50
I/MM 50
Contributing Divisions: D/M As required
Branches: M/CH 50 by Action Div.
-------
M/FM 50
M/NF 50
M/EP 50
D/A
A/U 50
St/PR
25X1A9a x 2922
Staff:
Principal Analysts: x 3803
LE212.9t Monitor
, 23145 25X1A9a
_z
This proj000t -rilay delay other co:orently clIeJolcd projects but the delay
in, specific projects cannot be ascertaind until precise terms of reference
arc 6stablished This project will aupersede and cancel Project No. 10.1504,
"The Soviet Nuclear_kslajama."
APPROVED 1:11t..Ch/E
S.F,C-R-E-T
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