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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
Secret
50
2 May 19 70
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No. 0105/70
2 May 19 70
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Laos: Communist forces have harassed Long Tieng
with rocket fire. (Page 1)
South Vietnam: Enemy forces appear to have begun
the anticipated May phase of the spring campaign.
(Page 2)
France-UK: British and French officials are optimis-
tic on the progress of the Concorde SST. (Page 3)
Chile: Internal military changes could be in the
mmak g . (Page 4)
Malaysia: The country is trying to forestall vio-
lence on the anniversary of last year's communal
riots. (Page 5)
IAEA: East European states are moving toward nego-
tiations on safeguards agreements. (Page 6)
USSR: The use of Western technology in the Moscow
television center demonstrates the Soviet lag in
electronics. (Page 7)
Bolivia: Kidnaping threats (Page 8)
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Laos: Current Situation
[-1 Communist-controlled territory
[-1 Contested territory
Limit of area claimed under
ComrnLmist and Neutralist
control June 1562
r Pane ,'
MUtm Scu'
bong Tieng
h~ r
Vasg vaeng,, Communist
t,ocket a ck
V!E'TNAM, -
.f f \ MARCATION
Y LINE
~hatat} $OUTI ;
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Laos: Communist forces have harassed Long Tieng
with rocket fire, but no major fighting has been re-
ported there or in the south.
The Meo stronghold was attacked with six 122-mm.
rockets, but no loss of life or major damage occurred.
Government forces from Long Tieng have had some suc-
cess in the past two days consolidating their hold
on high ground to the north, from where the Commu-
nists have been mounting their rocket attacks.
On the Bolovens Plateau overlooking Attopeu,
a small Communist force continued to resist govern-
ment efforts to recapture the key fire base lost on
29 April. Laotian troops reportedly got close to the
base's defensive perimeter early on 1 May, but were
withdrawn to permit additional air strikes. No ef-
fort has been made to retake the town of Attopeu
and :Little is known of its condition or the size of
the enemy force there.
2 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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South Vietnam: Communist forces in I and IV
Corps have stepped up their attacks, possibly in-
dicating the beginning of the anticipated May phase
of their 1970 spring campaign.
Following a series of shellings of allied mil-
itary targets in the four northernmost provinces
early on 30 April, the enemy initiated some 61 in-
cidents in IV Corps during the night of 30 April.
While this total is considerably lower than the
number which opened the first phase of the offen-
sive in the delta provinces at the end of March,
the targets struck were similar, with remote mili-
tary outposts accounting for about 75 percent and
district towns for ten percent.
Preliminary reports also indicate that enemy
action in I Corps was still high early on 1 May;
so far II and III Corps remain relatively quiet.
The pattern of preparations for this phase suggests
that there will be less coordination than last
month, with operations takin lace as each unit
completes its preparations.
2 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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France-UK: British and French officials are
optimistic over the progress of the Concorde SST
flight test program.
The British are now installing more powerful
engines on the UK-produced Concorde prototype and
plan to begin Mach 2 flight tests later this month.
The highest sustained speed flown thus far was Mach
1.5, which was achieved by the French-built proto-
type. France also plans to begin Mach 2 tests within
the next two months. The tests are expected to an-
swer many of the questions concerning the economic
feasibility of the Concorde's operation.
The two governments have so far spent about
$975 million on the Concorde project. An additional
$800.million probably will be spent before produc-
tion begins. The French and British manufacturers
presently estimate the unit price of the aircraft
at $19.5 million. The two companies point out,
however, that the price may be higher when contract
negotiations with the airlines begin this summer.
Some 16 airlines hold options to purchase 74 Con-
cordes; more than one half are for US airlines.
The Concorde is not without its technical
problems, the most intractable being excessive
weight and noise. The weight difficulty is largely
a result of unanticipated changes and additions to
the structure and equipment--problems normally en-
countered in the development of an aircraft incor-
porating new technology. Reduction in planned
passenger load from the original 140 to about 120
has. not alleviated the weight problem. The manu-
facturers still have not found a solution to the
noise difficulties.
Nevertheless, the French and British govern-
ments remain enthusiastic about the Concorde. While
it may not ultimately be an economic success, it
probably will go into production and enter at least
limited service, now scheduled to be in in 1973.
2 May 70
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Chile: The exposure of a group of army person-
nel who were instructing extreme leftists in guer-
rilla tactics could lead to internal military changes.
Two officers, one of whom is a relative of the
leader of the Movement of the Revolutionary Left
(MIR), and 12 enlisted men have been detained. They
are accused of involvement with "civilian clandestine
movements" and other nonmilitary activities. The
fact that the officers are members of an elite air-
borne special forces unit has shocked-the Chilean
military community and may mean an investigation of
assignments to the elite corps.
The MIR is responsible for much of the terrorism
that has taken place in Chile during the past several
years. The people being trained apparently were from
a group organized by the MIR.
2 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Malaysia: A nervous Malaysian Government is
trying to forestall violence on the 13 May anni-
versary of last year's postelection communal riots.
Although the atmosphere in West Malaysia is not
so highly charged as it was last year, the govern-
ment, while trying hard to damp down rumors of im-
pending violence, is also taking contingency secu-
rity measures. Kuala Lumpur has reportedly issued
emergency curfew passes to security forces, may
have denied leave to government officials, and ar-
rested at least seven people last week on charges
of spreading rumors.
The Communists are as usual being depicted as
the source of the potential troubles. Since most
of the Communists are Chinese, the Chinese community
in general is included in these allegations. Even
Prime Minster Rahman, usually more conciliatory
toward the Chinese community than many of his Malay
colleagues, has been making anti-Chinese statements.
The appearance of Communist pamphlets and the
setting of booby traps. throughout West Malaysia and
Singapore in late April marked the 40th anniversary
of the Malayan Communist Party. The organizational
ability demonstrated by these actions has obviously
increased the government's fears that further unrest
may be in the offing.
If Malay-Chinese rioting erupts again this May,
the Chinese would receive the worst of it as they
did in 1969.
2 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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IAEA: In an apparent attempt to isolate EURATOM,
the East European states are moving toward negotia-
tions with the International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA) on safeguards agreements.
Poland has informed the IAEA that it would like
to enter into talks as soon as possible on the safe-
guards agreement required by the Nonproliferation
Treaty (NPT), which is intended to prevent the diver-
sion of fissionable material from peaceful uses.
The Polish statement--the first of its kind since
the NPT entered into force--noted that all the War-
saw Pact nations had adhered to the treaty, but that
none of the six EURATOM countries has yet ratified
it.
NPT adherents are not required to begin the
safeguards negotiations until 1 September, but the
Soviets have said that other "socialist" countries
would soon follow the Polish lead. It was suggested
that Western governments--particularly Denmark, Nor-
way, and Canada--be urged to do likewise.
The East European moves appear intended to in-
duce other nations to accept the model agreement.
A rush toward ratification would not only undermine
the IAEA safeguards committee, but would also pose
negotiating problems for EURATOM members, who oppose
any agreement that would infringe on their own safe-
guards system.
2 May 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR: The extensive use of Western technology
in Moscow's giant new television center points up
the Soviet lag in civilian electronics.
The complex, which is nearing completion after
six years of construction, will originate programs
for the Moscow area that will be transmitted through-
out the country via Molniya satellite. During a re-
cent tour of the facility by US Embassy personnel,
the chief engineer revealed that video-tape is pur-
chased in Western Europe under US license "because
the Soviet chemical industry lags far behind the US."
Moreover, he admitted that the color television equip-
ment is French and that some of the black and white.
TV equipment was purchased abroad, allegedly because
Soviet electronic enterprises "defaulted on delivery."
The Soviet electronic industry has been develop-
ing video-tape and color TV equipment for more than
ten years but has consistently failed to convert
laboratory successes into commercial production. The
Soviets have tried to resolve their color TV problem
by adopting the French Secam color system and by
importing French equipment. They have attempted to
acquire Western technology for the manufacture of
video-tape but have been thwarted by trade restric-
tions.
The Soviet engineer's most surprising admission
was that some black and white equipment has been im-
ported from the West. This technology has been ex-
tensively developed in the USSR. The most plausible
explanation for the purchase of Western black and
white equipment is that the low quality of Soviet
equipment makes it unsuitable for the showcase Mos-
cow facility.
2 May 70
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Bolivia: The possibility of kidnapings is caus-
ing mounting concern in the La Paz diplomatic commu-
nity. The government's statements that it will pro-
tect foreign diplomats have done little to allay
the fears, since the government admits it lacks the
resources for effective security precautions. I
Regis De ray and others jailed for participating in
"Che" Guevara's ill-fated guerrilla campaign present
a very attractive ransom for potential kidnapers.
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