Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A022300090002-3
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Approved FoQelease 2003/06/25: CIA-RDP79T009i02230S8Gt3
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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
N2 041
17 July 1972
Approved For Release 2003/06/25 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22300090002-3
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Approved Fo $elease 2003 gRP -RDP79T009 022300090002-3
No. 0170/72
17 July 1972
Central Intelligence Bulletin
LIBYA: Internal crisis has been resolved by the ap-
po-inntment of a predominantly civilian cabinet.
(Page 1)
GHANA: A coup is foiled. (Page 3)
BURUNDI: A new cabinet is formed. (Page 4)
LAW OF THE SEA: UN session may determine whether a
Law of Sea conference will be held in 1973. (Page 5)
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LIBYA: A two-week internal crisis has been re-
solved by Colonel Qadhafi's appointment of a pre-
dominantly civilian cabinet with Major Abd As-Salam
Jallud, a leading Revolutionary Command Council (RCC) 1
member, as prime minister.
The crisis arose over the question of whether
the new cabinet would consist ntirely of civilians,
according to press reports. Colonel Qadhafi, the president of the RCC, has long hoped to phase out
the RCC gradually and replace it with a governmental
structure similar to those in the sister confedera-
tion states of Egypt and Syria. RCC members resisted
changes that might separate them from their power
base in the army and insisted on being represented
in the cabinet. After Qadhafi retaliated by sulking
in seclusion, Egyptian officials, including Presi-
dent Sadat, apparently arranged a compromise by which
at least two RCC members were to hold the portfolios
of defense and interior. They, together with Prime
Minister Jallud, would also retain their military
rank.
Seven of the 16 civilian ministers announced
so fare holdovers from the previous cabinet, and
two others--the foreign minister and the planning
minister--are seasoned professionals in their re-
spective fields who are taking over newly created
ministries; Qadhafi had formerly handled foreign
affairs without holding the portfolio. The only
puzzling appointment in the cabinet is that of the
defense minister which will be retained by Qadhafi
himself, despite the fact that the prime minister
presumably will be responsible to him as head of
the RCC.
lthough recent Libyan cabinets have been the
creatures of the ruling RCC, the new cabinet may
soon assume more responsibility than the former one.
Qadhafi's plan has been to establish a responsib
17 Jul 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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inet and a national legislature before author-
izing elections that would make him the Libyan pres-
ident and lead to the abolition of the RCC. Tradi-
tional Libyan xenophobia and fear of eventually
losing their positions, however, will incline minor
?RCC members to resist any plan that they believe
might bring Libya closer to a o s?ble mer er with
Egypt.
J
17 Jul 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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GHANA: The government has thwarted a coup de-
signed to restore former prime minister Busia and
the disbanded Progress Party to power.
The government has issued a statement charging
"disgruntled businessmen" and officials of the for-
mer Progress Party with an attempt to overthrow the
government. The statement gave assurances that
everyone connected with the plot would immediately
be brought to trial.
The coup attempt is only one of several real
or imaginary coup plots under investigation. The
fact that it was nipped in the bud may prove to be
a temporary deterrent to other conspirators. All
indications are, however, that the government is
in serious trouble and has a long way to go before
gaining the support it needs to govern effectively.
Rumors of coup plotting and dissatisfaction with
the government's performance will probably continue.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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BURUNDI: The new cabinet appointed by Presi-
dent Mico~mb re o on 14 July is not likely to bring
an early end to the tribal slaughter that has been
going on for the past ten weeks.
Micombero dismissed his previous cabinet on 29
April just prior to the outbreak of a short-lived
insurrection by exiled Hutu dissidents. Since then,
the ruling Tutsi minority has waged a nationwide
campaign of reprisals against the Hutu majority.
The new government, however, is weighted in
favor of Tutsi moderates who would like to see an
end to the bloodshed. As a conciliatory gesture,
Micombero also appointed two or three Hutus. Never-
theless, tribal and factional bitterness, tradi-
tionally strong in Burundi, has been so intensified
in recent months that a long break=in period-'prob-
ably will be needed before the government can begin
to restore stability. F7 I
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LAW OF THE SEA: The session of the UN Seabeds
Committee which begins today may determine whether
a Law of the Sea conference will be held in 1973.
The final decision on a conference will be made
this fall by the UN General Assembly, but, if the Sea-
beds Committee cannot agree on a`list of issues by
then, the chances of the conference being held next
year are slim. Recent discussions have centered on
a list drawn up last March by 56 of the 91 members
of the committee and subsequent "compromises" sug-
gested by the committee chairman. Two of the issues
are so troublesome, however, that no agreement has
been reached on how to word them in the agenda.
One of these issues is the economic rights of
states beyond the territorial waters they claim. The
other is the right of free passage through straits.
A few states have been trying to delay progress on
these items in hopes of obtaining more support for
their positions. Several Latin American countries
desire, at a minimum, sovereign rights over ocean
resources up to 200 miles from their coasts. Because
of its interest in the Straits of Gibraltar, Spain
has taken the lead in pressing for substantial con-
trol by coastal authorities over transit through
straits enclosed by the proposed extension of the
territorial sea to 12 miles.
Most members of the Seabeds Committee, however,
will be trying hard for agreement at this session
on the list of issues, believing that little can be
gained from postponement of the Law of the Sea con-
ference. They particularly fear that delay would
lead to the conclusion of unilateral or regional ar-
rangements that would further complicate the process
of reaching an international agreement. Recent Latin
American and Mediterranean efforts have shown that
even.a consensus on a regional basis is not easy to
attain, however. While agreement on the agenda
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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might facilitate eventual resolution of the substan-
tive issues involved, the Law of the Sea conference--
if it is held next year--is still likely to be a
contentious and drawn-out affair. 25X1
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17 Jul 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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