SOVIET UNION EASTERN EUROPE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00865A000200080001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 12, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 21, 1975
• Content Type: NOTES

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Top Secret
I~Iffl~v Kgv~
Soviet Union
Eastern Europe
Top Secret
1[ 25X1
January 21, 1975
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January 21, 1975
Initial Soviet Reaction to the Chinese
National People's Congress. . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Yugoslavia: Contenders at odds . . . . . . . . . . 4
Bucharest Buys British Aircraft. . . . . . . . . . 6
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Initial Soviet Reaction to the
Chinese National People's Congress
Initial Soviet commentary on China's National
People's Congress suggests Moscow sees no hope for
greater Chinese flexibility in dealing with the
Soviet Union.
The Soviets are interpreting the congress as
a clear-cut gain for reputed pragmatists led by
Chou En-lai and Teng llsiao-ping. Radio Moscow has
assured Soviet listeners, however, that Chou and
Teng are moderates only by "Chinese standards,"
and. that, no important change in Peking's policies is
likely. Other Soviet commentary has noted that the
revised constitution approved by the congress re-
placed references to friendship toward the USSR with
"aiiti-Soviet, offensive, and saber-rattling slogans."
The Soviets view this change as merely formalizing
Peking's current anti-Soviet line.
It has become almost an article of faith in
Moscow that there can be no significant change in
relations with China until Mao passes from the scene.
The Soviets are tending to view the actions of the
congress as supporting that view. Even the post-Mao
leadership, they believe, will probably be tough on
the: Soviet Union. Those whose leadership positions
were set, by the congress are now more committed to
strongly anti-Soviet positions and will find it dif-
ficult to reverse these positions in the immediate
post-Mao period.
January 21, 1975
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Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt
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Yugoslavia: Contenders at Odds
Competition among some of the leading candi-
dates for Tito's party post has begun to sharpen.
The immediate cause seems to be the prolonged ill-
ness of Edvard Kardelj, Tito's long-time confidant
and probably the first choice of the military and
the "partisan generation" to head the party. Kar-
delj underwent surgery for cancer in December, and
the severity of his illness has sparked speculation
among other party hopefuls that he is now out of
the running.
As a result, a showdown may be looming between
Stane Dolanc, the secretary of the Executive Com-
mittee and--except for Kardelj--the strongest con-
tender, and Jure Bilic, Croatia's dark horse candi-
date for Tito's party mantle. Both men are young,
energetic party leaders who are likely to play key
roles in the transition period.
around i is s bitter resentment of Dolanc's in-
terference in the Croatian party. Bilic wants
this party fiefdom for himself, and the opportu-
nity is there because Vladimir Bakaric, the current
Croat party boss, is so ill that retirement or
death are imminent possibilities.
In fighting Dolanc'sinfluence in Croatia,
Bilic has even allegedF_ olanc
served in the German army in 1941-42. This charge
conflicts with the official biography on Dolanc
that says he was arrested by the Gestapo when he
was 16 because of his activities in the partisan
movement. The allegation is probably false, and
it could backfire on Bilic. Substantiation of the
charge, however, would be a serious and probably
fatal political blow to Dolanc.
January 2.1, 1975
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Dolanc has also drawn blood. He gave at least
tacit approval last December when Bilic was deprived
of some important responsibilities on the executive
Meantime, the absence of a clearly designated
party successor is evidently encouraging other am-
--
bitious men. F
I
the republic tarry unier in osnia- ercegovina, a
political lightweight in the larger Yugoslav arena,
is also being touted as Tito's successor.
January 21, 1975
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Bucharest Buys British Aircraft
Romania is likely to sign a contract soon to
purchase five short range BAC-111 aircraft from
the UK. Bucharest's decision to purchase British
instead of US aircraft was influenced more by the
overall sales package than by the merits of the
BAC-111. Romania obtained manufacturing rights
for some BAC--ill spare parts, a production agree-
ment with Rolls Royce--manufacturers of the BAC-
Ill engines--and an extension of a78ritish-Romanian
manufacturing venture for smaller aircraft. London
also provided excellent financing, which could not
be matched by US companies.
The new aircraft will join seven older BAC-
llls currently in Romania's civil inventory,
making it one of the largest non-British BAC-111
fleets in the world. The aircraft will be em-
ployed primarily on the country's scheduled Euro-
pean services, but will also be used for charters.
Romania also operates a number of Soviet aircraft
and three lone-range Boeing 707s the latter on
its New York and Peking routes.
January 21, 1975
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CHRONOLOGY
January 14 Australian Prime Minister Whitlam
arrives in Moscow from Leningrad and
is met by Premier Kosygin, just
returned from vacation in e
Caucasus.
Secretary of State Kissinger announces
the USSR's rejection of the 1972 US-
Soviet trade agreement.
January 15 White House announces that President
Ford will make a state visit to
Yugoslavia at a time yet to be set
.
USSR and Australia sign scientific
and cultural exchange agreements in
Mos cold.
Japanese Foreign Minister Miyazawa
commences a three-da visit to the
USSR.
Kuwaiti Oil and Finance Minister
Atiqi concludes his official visit
+)eputy Defense Minister Kulikov
.onfers in Moscow with visiting
:Iraqi chief of the general staff
;'hanshal.
Czechoslovak party chief Husak confers
with visiting Soviet Deputy P I I
emier
Lesechko.
Politburo member Shelepin addresses
a Soviet trade union plenum and refers
to Brezhnev's "tremendous personal
January 21, 1975
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contribution to the implementation of
the 24th CPSU C T gress' peace program."
Politburo member Grishin leads Soviet
delegations on a five-day visit to
Warsaw for celebration of that city's
30th anniversary of "liberation" from
Nazi control.
Romanian President Ceausescu confers
with Soviet Deputy Premier Dvmsh;ts_
US and USSR resume in Vienna their
talks on technical aspects of peace-
ful nuclear explosion devices-F
January 16
Slovak Central Committee concludes
a meeting in Bratislava on "how to
implement... the conclusions of the
November plenum of the Czechoslovak
Central Committee."
Soviet Embassy in Washington, citing
home leave plans, discloses that
Ambassador Dobrynin will return to
Moscow next week.
Cuban Deputy Premier Castilla begins
January 21, 1975
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Polish party chief Gierek concludes
a one-week visit to Cuba.
20 West European Communist parties,
issue a joint statement condemning
US statements on possible military
action against Middle East oil-
producing states.
After extensive talks with Premier
Kosygin and a meeting with President
Podgorny, Australian Prime Minister
Whitlam concludes his five-day visit
to the USSR.
January 17 Japanese Foreign Minister Miyazawa
concludes his visit to
meeting with President
deliver Prime Minister
addressed. to :Brezhnev.
the USSR after
Podgorny to
Miki's message
Deputy Premier Dymshits concludes
his visit. to Romania.
Hungarian. party leader Kadar meets
with East German Politburo member
Hager.
Party secretary Ponomarev receives
the Hero of Socialist Labor title on
the occasion of his 70th birthday.
Polish party chief Gierek returns
home after a 10-hour stop in Portugal.
January 21, 1975
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January 18
"at an earliest date."
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Soviet-Japanese statement on the
Miyazawa visit notes both states will
continue peace treaty negotiations
with a view to signing the document
the principal speech.
RSFSR Council of Ministers concludes
a meeting on agricultural subjects,
RSFSR Premier Solomentsev delivered
Red Star discloses that Defense Minister
Grechko spent "several days" in East
Germany durin the week visiting Soviet
troops.
January 19 Three rifle shots are fired into the
Ukrainian UN mission in New York; a
Jewish group claims reponsibility.
I I
Indian Foreign Minister Chavan begins
a five-day visit. to Yugoslavia.)
January 20 East Germany announces the appointment
of Oskar Fischer to replace Otto
Winzer as foreiqn minister.
Czechoslovak party chief Husak and
Premier Strougal begin a visit to
Bulgaria.
Party secretary Katushev confers in
Moscow with a visiting Yugoslav party
delegation.
January 21, 1975
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January 27 Czechoslovak Foreign Minister Chnoupek
t.:to commence a four-day visit to
'inland.
Albania's legislature to convene.
late January Bulgarian Foreign Minister Mladenov
=.:o go to Yugoslavia for a visit.
MBFR negotiations to resume in Vienna.
Deputy foreign ministers of the Warsaw
January 31 SALT to resume in Geneva.
early Icelandic Foreign Minister A ustsson
February to visit the USSR.
Finnish Foreign Minister Karjalainen
:o visit the USSR.
US and USSR. probably will resume in Moscow
--heir talks on handling peaceful
nuclear explosion devices in a thresh-
hold test ban treaty.
February 7 UN Secretary General Waldheim to
commence a three-day visit, to East
Germany.
February 13 UK Prime Minister Wilson to begin a
six-day visit to the USSR.
January 21, 1975
Appro
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late US and USSR likely to resume in
February Washington their talks on an agreement
to curb efforts to modify the environ-
ment to gain military advantages.
early March French parliamentary delegation led
by former Foreign Minister Couve de
Murville to visit the USSR.
Grand National Assembly.
March 11 Romanian chief of staff Coman to
begin a nine-day visit to the US, the
first by such a high-ranking officer
from a Warsaw Pact member-state.
likely to visit the USSR.
USSR.
January 21, 1975
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Top ziecret
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