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A COMMENT ON SOME ADDITIONAL RESULTS OF THE 1959 POPULATION CENSUS IN THE USSR

Document Type: 
CREST [1]
Collection: 
General CIA Records [2]
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T01003A001000070002-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
6
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 24, 2002
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 15, 1961
Content Type: 
BRIEF
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79T01003A001000070002-1.pdf [3]322.33 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2002/07/12 : CIA-RDP79T01003A0010q CONFIDENTIAL CIA/RR--CD'-61-7 Copy No. - 15 February 1961 25X1 CURRENT SUPPORT BRIEF A COMMENT ON SOME ADDITIONAL RESULTS OF THE 1959 POPULATION CENSUS IN THE USSR OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND REPORTS CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This report represents the immediate views of the originating intelligence components of the Office of Research and Reports. Comments are solicited. W-A-R-N-I-N-G This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of the espionage laws, Title 18 USC, Sections 793 and 794, the transmission or revelation of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Approved For Release 6 IIEN M,79T01003AO01000070002-1 Approved For Release 2002/07/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1003AO01000070002-1 CONFIDENTIAL A COMMENT ON SOME ADDITIONAL RESULTS OF THE 1959 POPULATION CENSUS IN THE USSR The USSR recently announced more summary results of the popula- tion census conducted in January 1959. 1/ The new data, which in- clude a distribution of the total population by social class and means of support, and a distribution of the labor force by occupation and educational attainment, provide a type of information that here- tofore has been available only in the published volumes for the 1926 census. For Soviet planners and policy makers, the detailed data underlying the few results made public are the first such data avail- able in census form since 1939. Distribution of the Population by Social Class According to the census results, the population of 208.8 million in January 1959 was distributed by social class as follows: Workers and Employees--68.3 percent; Kolkhoz Peasantry--31.4 percent; and Private Peasants and Handicraftsmen--0.3 percent. Since 1939, Workers and Employees and members of their fami-lies have increased from a little over half to more than two-thirds of the population, reflecting pri- marily the growth of the urban working class and the decline of 'the peasantry. State farms also contributed to this development as 'their population, which is included in the class Workers and Employees, more than doubled since 1939 to roughly 13 million in 1959. Distribution of the Population by Means of Subsistence The distribution of the Soviet population by source of income or support is shown in Table 1. According to the census results, 99.1 million persons were "gainfully occupied?'--that is, were reported as having an occupation as their chief means of support, and an additional 9.9 million were exclusively engaged in personal subsidiary agricul- ture--in farming. personal plots of land and tending privately-owned livestock. and poultry. The remaining 100 million persons were depend- ent on the state or on other individuals. The questions asked in the census, as well as the instructions issued to the census-takers, made no provision for an individual to report himself as unemployed. Persons with an occupation as their chief means of support but not working on the census date were asked to specify where they last worked and---were classified accordingly. 2/ Since the census was conducted in mid-January, when outdoor work was at a seasonal low point, the number of gainfully occupied persons was much higher than the number of persons actually at work. For example, the census reported 32,3 million gainfully occupied individuals on collective farms, but average employment during the census month was only 18.0 million. 3/ Similarly, the census counted 63 million gain- fully occupied Workers and Employees in mid-January, compared to a reported 56 million actually at work at the end of 1958. 4/ Although not a measure of unemployment by the rigidly defined US standard-- which counts an individual as unemployed only if he is actively seek- ing work 5/--these differences show the extent of idleness in mid- winter among persons who usually work: 44 percent among collective farmers and 11 percent among other-workers 25X1 Table 2 compares the census results wi estimates of the civilian labor force. In order to make these comparisons it is necessary (1) to add to the census figure for the total number of gainfully-occupied persons the number of persons engaged in personal subsidiary agriculture, and (2) to subtract the number in the armed 15 February 1961 CIA/RR-CB-61-7 Page 2 Approved For Release 2c02~07/TZ :Z:E NT IA IARDP4TO1003AO01000070002-1 Approved For Release 2002/07/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1003AO01000070002-1 CONFIDENTIAL POPULATION OF THE USSR BY MEANS OF SUBSISTENCE 15 JANUARY 1959 Means of Subsistence Million Persons Total population 208.8 Gainfully occupied 99.1 Armed forces 3.6 Workers and employees a/ 62.9 Collective farmers 32.3 Individual peasants and handi- craftsmen 0.3 Engaged in personal subsidiary agriculture 9.9 Dependent on stipends or pensions b/ 14.1 Dependent on other individuals 85.4 Dependent on other means, or status not reported 0.3 a. Persons employed in State-owned enterprises including State farms. and members of Producers' Cooperatives. b. Excluding employed persons receiving pensions (included as Gain- fully occupied); including all members of families receiving veterans' pensions, except those who were also employed. CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN THE USSR, CENSUS RESULTS ANDORR-ESTIMATES, 1959 (MILLION PERSONS) Census 25X1 Results Es timat es a/ Civilian labor force 105.4 104.2 Agriculture 48.3 51.4 Nonagriculture 57.1 52.8 15 February 1961 CIA/RR-CB-61-7 Page 3 Approved For Release 2c62/07/TlZ:IA-l~DP79T01003AO01000070002-1 Approved For Release 2002/07/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1003AO01000070002-1 CONFIDENTIAL, 25X1 forces. The number in the armed forces given in the published cen- sus results for January 1959 (3,623,000) is identical with the figure given by Khrushchev as the size of the armed forces as of y 1960. 7/ 14 Janua r he -ku estimate of the civilian labor force combines esti- 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 nrtes of the number of collective farmers who worked during the year with annual averages of employment on state farms and in nonagr.i--- cultural branches of the economy 8/ and therefore could not be ex- pected to agree with the census figure. Nevertheless, the totals are quite close; the. substantial differences in the two figures for agriculture and nonagricultural branches can be explained largely in terms of differences in concepts and definitions: (1)-T-he estimate of agricultural employment includes all employment at State and collective farms, and would therefore 15e higher than the census figure which includes only agricultural em- ployment at these. farms? In 1959, an average of a out 3 million farm workers were employed in nonagricultural activities at State and collective farms. 9/ (2) -Tit AWestimate of nonagricultural employment is an annual average and would necessarily be lower than the census figure, pri- marily because seasonal and part-time workers are treated the same as full-year workers in the census figure, but are included only as fractions in the annual average. (3) The census figure for nonagricultural employment probably includes certain small groups, such as domestic servants and the military security forces, thae excluded from reported annual averages and therefore from e fit-estimate. Educational Attainment of the Labor Force The census results were reported in a manner which shows im- pressive gains in the educational level of the labor force since 1939. The proportion of the labor force with at least an elemen- tary (7 year) education increased from 12 percent in 1939 to 43 percent in 1959. Among the intelligentsia, which included 202 mil- lion persons or one-fifth of the labor force in 1959, the propor- tion with at least an elementary education increased from 50 per- cent to 88 percent, and among the manual workers--the remainder of the labor force--the proportion rose from 4 percent to 32 percent. When average (median) years of schooling are computed for the various groups, however, the results (Table 3) show more clearly how low is the educational attainment of the.Soviet labor force and how very unequally the groups have shared in the educational pro- gress since 1939. Although the absolute difference between the educational attainment of the intelligentsia and manual workers is now greater than in 1939, the relative difference has remained the same--the intelligentsia had about twice as much schooling as manual workers both in 1939 and in 1959. The gap between the edu- cational attainment of State workers and collective farmers, how- ever, widened both absolutely and relatively since 1939. Although State workers had only 0.3 more years of schooling than collective farmers in 1939, they now have 1.2 more years; State workers now have 27 percent more schooling than collective farmers, compared to only 9 percent more in 1939. 15 February 1961 CIA/RR--CB-61-7 Page 4 Approved For Release 2d 9gfOT P& -Rg 01 003AO01 000070002-1 Approved For Release 20Q??~071 D .:~RPA79T01003AO01000070002, 1 AVERAGE (MEDIAN) YEARS OF EDUCATION OF THE USSR LABOR FORCE a/ 1939 AND 1959 a/ nc u ing t e.armed forces; excluding personal subsi- diary agriculture. Years Category 1939 1959 Total labor force 3.9 6.1 Intelligentsia 6.9 9.8 Manual workers 3.6 5.0 State workers 3..8 5.6 Collective farmers 3..5 4.4 Despite the rapid educational progress made by the USSR since 1939, the Soviet labor force, on the average, had only half as much education in 1959 as the US labor force--6.1 years compared to 12.0 years. US urban. workers averaged 12.1 years of schooling, and.US farm workers averaged 8.6 years. 10/ 15 February 1961 CIA/RR-CB-61-7 Page 5 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2002/07/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1003AO01000070002-1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/07/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1003AO01000070002-1 Approved For Release 2002/07/12 : CIA-RDP79TO1003AO01000070002-1

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